3.4 Proper characterisation of the appellant's claims
31 The appellant submitted that his claim to fear harm from insurgent attacks in Kabul (comprised of various integers as I explain) was clearly articulated and squarely raised.
32 First the appellant contended that this claim was specifically raised by the passages identified in bold and italics at [3] and [6] of the submission from his migration agent dated 27 January 2015. Specifically, and placing those paragraphs in context, the migration agent submitted under the heading "Fear of persecution" that:
2. [The appellant] fears serious harm and persecution at the hands of the Taliban and [a particular individual]. [The appellant] also fears serious harm at the hands of a variety of Afghani and Pakistani, as well as other foreign anti-Shia groups now known to operate in Afghanistan. [The appellant] fears persecution and serious harm as a returnee from Australia.
3. Since the applicant's last ITOA was conducted, there has been a significant deterioration in security in Afghanistan and in particular an increase in religiously and ethnically-motivated killings targeting Hazaras, in Kabul, in the Hazarajat and on the roads in between.
4. Independent country information confirms a dramatic deterioration in security, in the last three years, specifically and relevantly, in areas in which [the appellant] lives and must travel and in Kabul, a relocation alternative considered by the Department in limited circumstances. Our submissions will include a detailed reporting on not only Taliban attacks, but the rapidly proliferating threats of direct and personal relevance to the applicant…
5. The threat to the Applicant in Kabul is not one faced by the population generally, though the extreme deterioration in security in the capital since 2011 is of course relevant. [The appellant] has been directly threatened in Kabul by the Taliban. The threat to the Applicant is personal and particularised given his status as a returnee - in particular a returnee from Australia - and the shifting strategy of the insurgency: a demonstrable shift in the tactics of the Taliban towards targets in West Kabul and specifically in the Hazara-dominated suburbs of the capital.
6. [The appellant] fears harm from the Taliban and Taliban affiliates and fears harm from generalised as well as targeted violence in Kabul. This submission will also address increasing criminality in Kabul and factors personal to the applicant likely to make him a target of such criminality and harm. The extreme instability in the capital due to the contested Presidential election result is of relevance to the Applicant's reassessment. We note the serious deterioration of security in November and December 2014 - we note in particular the daily warnings issued by DFAT to on December 1st, 2nd and 3rd 2014 and in particular the attack on the French Cultural Centre in Kabul on December 11th, an attack directed not at foreigners, but it ordinary Afghans watching a play condemning suicide bombings.
(Emphasis in italics and bold added; emphasis otherwise in the original)
33 The submission from the migration agent then referred to a speech by the Acting Head of the National Directorate of Security to the Afghan lower house on December 17, 2014 that there were more than 100 armed groups operating in Kabul in order to destabilise it, and stated that:
8. We seek to emphasise that in the particular circumstances of this applicant, high levels of generalised violence in Afghanistan are relevant to an assessment of the risk of serious harm.
(emphasis added)
34 The migration agent's submission continued then to refer to a December 2014 briefing to the UN Security Council confirming that the insurgency had shifted from targeting foreigners to targeting Afghan civilians, including by increased targeting of marketplaces and sporting and cultural events.
35 The Minister submitted that while the migration agent's submission referred to generalised violence in the sense of indiscriminate attacks, nonetheless what was feared was that there would be insurgent attacks in Kabul in which the appellant may be caught up but which did not necessarily target him. I accept that characterisation of the submission. Further integers of the claim, however, were that insurgent groups were targeting ordinary Afghans and that the security situation was deteriorating. In addition, notwithstanding that the submissions were made under the heading "Fear of persecution", it is apparent from the submission at [4] that the claim was made also with reference to Kabul as a possible relocation alternative.
36 Secondly, the appellant relied upon the same submission from his migration agents at [122]-[123], while acknowledging that the focus of this part of the submission was upon the primary question of the fear of serious harm or persecution (referring to the heading "2.5) Fear of persecution, serious harm in Kabul - level of violence particular to Hazara areas of West Kabul"). The submission at [122] reads:
122. Since late November 2014, there has been a campaign conducted against Afghan National Army personnel on their way to work as well as campaigns targeting ordinary Afghans who express their opposition to the Taliban's suicide bombing campaign [quoting from an SBS news article dated 12 December 2014]:
A 17- year-old suicide bomber carried out the attack on Thursday night's performance. Earlier on Thursday bombers targeted a bus carrying Afghan troops in Tangi Tarakhil on the outskirts of the capital. "As a result of the (first) attack, six Afghan army staff were martyred and 10 others were wounded," senior Kabul police official General Farid Afzail said. Taliban spokesman Zabihullah Mujahid claimed both bombings in separate email statements sent to media. He said the theatre show was "desecrating Islamic values" and "propaganda against jihad", particularly suicide attacks. Afzali and the interior ministry said one foreign national was killed, without giving further details. But French Foreign Minister Laurent Fabius said the "barbaric" attack had left several people dead. "I firmly condemn this terrorist act which caused the death of several people and left many injured. There were no French victims," Fabius said in a statement. French President Francois Hollande condemned the bombing as "heinous" and said it was an assault on "culture and creativity." "It is a place of tolerance, of dialogue between the cultures and it is this symbol that the terrorists wanted to target," said Romain Nadal, French Ministry of Foreign Affairs. "But as the French President and Prime Minister stated, France will not give up its cultural and educational cooperation with the Afghan people and they expect our support." NATO forces are preparing to pull out of Afghanistan within weeks. Kabul has been hit by a spate of deadly attacks in recent weeks, heightening concerns that Afghanistan could tip into a spiral of violence as the US-led military presence declines."
(emphasis in the submission)
37 Particular emphasis was placed by the appellant upon the last sentence in bold.
38 Paragraph [123] of the submission then set out a list of 41 attacks which were described as "the most relevant attacks in terms of target and location in Kabul in 2013-2015". The appellant submitted that these raised the issue of generalised violence as well, with some attacks being specific but not all. The respondent, however, submitted that the list of attacks did not suggest random acts of violence but was generally suggestive of the targeting of individuals or institutions. In this regard, the attacks described included attacks on members of Parliament, on Kabul airport and other institutions such as the Ministry of Defence, the Supreme Court, the US embassy and a Shiite cultural centre, attacks in West Kabul (which is said to be an Hazara majority or dominated area) and other locations, attacks on foreigners or hotels, and so forth. This suggests a high level of targeted attacks. However, the list of attacks also described civilian casualties. So understood, I consider that the migration agent's submission was supportive of a fear that the appellant may suffer harm in attacks directed to other targets as effectively "collateral damage" or in attacks on Afghan civilians. That being so, and given that Kabul had (correctly) been identified as a possible place to which the assessor may consider that the appellant might relocate, the migration agent's submission squarely raised the issue of whether these fears might render unreasonable the proposition that Kabul was a place to which the appellant could safely relocate.
39 Thirdly, the appellant relied upon part of a lengthy quotation at [168] of the submission under the heading "5) Relocation to Kabul", albeit accepting that it raised the issue somewhat transcendentally. The quotation is from a decision of Member Corrigan in relation to a different case given on 11 October 2012 and the part relied upon read:
Notwithstanding, Kabul is safer than other parts of the country there is evidence of a number of insurgent attacks including the Ashara Day attacks. Though this is not sufficient in itself to establish a real risk that the applicant would suffer significant harm, the existence of these attacks and the limited danger they pose to the applicant contributes to the unreasonableness of relocation.
(emphasis in the migration agent's submission)
40 However, I do not consider that a phrase in a lengthy passage quoted from a decision in another case in 2012 lends any real support to the appellant's submissions as to the proper characterisation of his claims.
41 Fourthly the appellant relied upon the report of Dr Schuster, School of Social Sciences, City University London, which was attached to the post-hearing submission from the appellant's migration agents. In the first passage on which the appellant relied, Dr Shuster stated at [32] of her report under the heading "Internal Relocation to Kabul" that:
In February 2013, current Presidential Candidate Ashraf Ghani referred to Kabul as the most insecure capital in the world, citing the presence of insurgents from Al Qaeeda, Hizb-e-Islami and a host of other insurgent groups in Logar, Wardak, Parwan, Kapisa and Laghman provinces, which surround Kabul. In March 2013, a group of 30 Afghan MPs wrote to the Australian government urging it to abandon plans to return asylum seekers to Kabul, saying that the security situation in the Afghan capital is getting worse. As noted by Fabrizio Foschino of the Afghan Analysts Network in 2013 "day-to-day existence - work, school and free time - is threatened by an armed insurgency which views Kabul with… strategic and symbolic value and is willing and able to strike inside the city".
(emphasis in the original) (weblinks omitted)
42 I accept the respondent's submission that this passage suggests again that the risk of harm in Kabul is from the presence of insurgents but also consider that it suggests that the security situation is deteriorating and that Kabul is not safe for ordinary civilians.
43 The appellant also sought to rely upon the following additional passages in Dr Schuster's report where she expressed the opinion that:
38. To sum up - While the majority of Kabul citizens go about their everyday lives accustomed to the risk of being in the wrong place at the wrong time, if family affiliations or destitution forced someone to live in certain parts of the city, he would be at greater risk from those who would recognise him, although my own view is that he would be at greater risk from those who would see him as contaminated by his time in the West, or assume that time spent abroad would mean that he or his family would be able to buy a ransom. Neither the Afghan government forces or the International Forces are in a position to offer protection to individuals.
CONCLUSION
39. In conclusion, the situation in Kabul means that it should not be assumed that it is safe to forcibly return people there. Only those who have strong networks may have a chance to reintegrate.
(emphasis in bold and italics added)
44 I accept the appellant's submission that the report, which deals with the security situation generally in Kabul, suggested that the extent of the security issues and uncontrolled attacks are such that Kabul is not a reasonable place to which people could safely relocate save that the risks may be less where individuals have strong networks.
45 To conclude, therefore, the claim that relocation to Kabul was not reasonable because of the risk that the appellant may be "caught up" in attacks by insurgent groups present in Kabul, given the scale, frequency and increasing number of such attacks on many and varied targets, including against Afghan civilians, arises sufficiently clearly from the material such that a reasonably competent assessor (or decision-maker) would appreciate its existence: NAVK at [15]. This characterisation of this aspect of the appellant's claims is also consistent with his claim at the ITOA interview in response to the proposition that it was unlikely that low level targets would be pursued and targeted by the Taliban in Kabul, that "conflict and killing are a part of daily life". As such, I agree with the characterisation of the claims as I understand it ultimately to have been put by the appellant.