24Under the Growth Centres SEPP, the acquired land is within Riverstone East precinct. Schofields Road forms the southern edge of this precinct. In addition to having a projected development yield of 5,300 dwellings, Riverstone East precinct is to cater to four to six neighbourhood centres and (along Schofields Avenue near Alex Avenue) a mixed-use employment corridor.
25At the acquisition date, Riverstone East precinct was adjoined on three sides by the released and rezoned precincts of Area 20 to the east on the other side of Tallawong Road; Riverstone to the west on the other side of First Ponds Creek; and Alex Avenue to the south/south-west on the other side of Schofields Road. To the north it is adjoined by Box Hill precinct. To the south-east of Riverstone East precinct on the other side of Schofields Road, is a large, quite densely developed and attractive new suburb of large houses known as The Ponds. The Ponds is immediately east of Alex Avenue precinct except that its final and westernmost stage (Stage 4), which is subdivided but with no houses as yet, is in Alex Avenue precinct. The Ponds was developed by Landcom, the NSW Government's property developer. Development of The Ponds moved one kilometre west and one kilometre north in five years from 2007 to 2012 until it was close to the subject land on the other side of Schofields Road. The Ponds was one of the most sought after residential development locations in the Sydney region. Throughout 2012 demand for residential lands in The Ponds was extraordinary.
26By 2011, it was well known that there was a severe shortage of housing in the Sydney region. A major bank's 2011 annual report indicated a shortfall of 110,000 homes in the Sydney region.
27In August 2010, the NSW Government formally committed to the construction of the North West Rail Link. On 12 December 2011, the NSW Government announced that documents would be lodged with the Department of Planning for approval of the North West Rail Link, including eight stations and an extra 1,000 commuter car parks. It stated that the population of the North West is expected to grow by more than 200,000 to more than 600,000 over the next 40 years.
28Services infrastructure is the trigger for urban development in the growth centres. In October 2011, Sydney Water, the authority responsible for delivering water and wastewater services, announced that it does not build infrastructure before a precinct is rezoned because, operating as a successful business, it targets its capital expenditure to those areas that are more likely to develop first, otherwise its assets would be under-utilised. It stated that the process of obtaining development consent following rezoning is such that there is usually a gap of two years between rezoning of a precinct and the building of a new home in the precinct.
29At the acquisition date, Riverstone East precinct had sufficient services infrastructure except that it did not have sewer infrastructure. Nor did much of Riverstone precinct. By 2012, part of Alex Avenue precinct (including the Mirvac development site in Alex Avenue) was serviced by sewer infrastructure to the west, and it was known that the remainder of that precinct, to the extent of 400 new dwellings (net of Landcom's requirements), would have access to interim sewer services from May 2014. Prior to June 2012, the latter part of Alex Avenue precinct together with Riverstone East precinct and much of Riverstone precinct were due to be serviced by permanent sewage infrastructure via the future First Ponds Creek carrier, but it was not due to be completed until 2020. As was known to the market by the date of acquisition, the NSW Government's infrastructure acceleration program announced in June 2012 (discussed below) caused this date to be brought forward to late 2014.
30From 12 June 2012, there were a number of public announcements or media releases by the NSW Government that it was accelerating and funding infrastructure to support housing, particularly in north-western Sydney. Unfortunately, not all relevant 2012 government media releases are in evidence before me, for others are referred to in the recent judgment of the Court in De Battista v Transport for New South Wales [2014] NSWLEC 39 (Pain J), and are in evidence in Chircop v Transport for New South Wales in which my judgment is presently reserved. I propose to confine myself to the evidence before me.
31The most significant media release in evidence was the first, on 12 June 2012, by the Minister for Planning and Infrastructure (not in evidence is a media release of that date by the Premier that is in evidence in Chircop containing additional information). It was there announced that more than half a billion dollars would be invested in new infrastructure to "unclog the arteries blocking housing development across NSW"; and that the 2012-13 budget delivered "a comprehensive package to accelerate housing development, stimulate private sector development and restore confidence to the NSW housing market". It was stated that the budget package included $481 million dedicated to a Housing Acceleration Fund to be invested in infrastructure needed to support housing across the State, particularly in greenfield areas; $50 million for a new Urban Activation Precinct Program to unlock infill development opportunities; and $30 million for a Local Infrastructure Renewal Fund to provide subsidised loans to local councils to unlock over $1 billion of contributions for local infrastructure projects. The Housing Acceleration Fund would enable "an accelerated start" on 10 identified projects in major housing growth areas. Two of those 10 infrastructure projects directly or indirectly affected the subject land:
(a)The more important of the two, being the one that directly affected the subject land, was construction of the First Ponds Creek carrier wastewater infrastructure to service Riverstone East precinct, as well as much of Alex Avenue and Riverstone precincts that did not have permanent sewage infrastructure. I note that on 6 August 2012, Sydney Water wrote to applicants advising that the Housing Acceleration Fund would allow delivery of the First Ponds Creek carrier to be brought forward from 2020 to 2014 to provide wastewater services to the remaining unserviced land in Riverstone and Alex Avenue precincts, "and will ultimately provide initial services to the Riverstone East precinct when rezoned".
(b)The other was construction of Schofields Road from Railway Terrace to Veron Road. I note that although this is a considerable distance west of Riverstone East precinct, it is part of the proposed upgrading of the whole of Schofields Road from a rural road to a sophisticated four lane "transit boulevard". Stage 1 of that upgrading between Windsor Road and Tallawong Road directly affected the subject land. Prior to the 12 June 2012 announcement, Stage 1 had either commenced or it was known it would soon commence.
32In a 13 June 2012 media release, the Premier of NSW announced that the government had brought forward the construction of essential infrastructure to support the release of up to 19,000 housing blocks and the creation of around 10,000 jobs in North Western Sydney. He stated: "7,000 housing lots will be on the market sooner due to fast-tracked sewerage connections at North Kellyville and First Ponds Creek...Both connections were due to begin in 2016/17. They will now start next financial year...The State package provides $481 million to fast track critical infrastructure". In the same media release the Treasurer said that the package providing $481 million to fast-track critical infrastructure together with the most generous first home buyer scheme for new dwellings in the nation would help to get housing construction back on track.
33On 17 July 2012, the NSW Government announced that the government would extend financial assistance to councils to help deliver essential infrastructure required to support new housing by continuing to provide for councils when the cost of delivering essential infrastructure was greater than the amount they could collect from capped s 94 contributions. Already $18 million had been paid to Blacktown and Hills Shire Council.
34On 29 August 2012, the Minister for Planning and Infrastructure announced an additional $100 million project to provide water infrastructure to enable the development of 13,000 new homes in Sydney's north-west. These funds would enable 24 kilometres of water pipelines, two reservoirs, two pumping stations and 10 kilometres of pipelines to service residential and land release areas in Box Hill and Schofields. This was on top of the $481 million committed in the budget to the Housing Acceleration Fund for infrastructure.
35On 6 September 2012, the Minister for Planning and Infrastructure and the Minister assisting the Premier on Infrastructure NSW announced that a new government unit, the Housing and Infrastructure Delivery Office, would be established in the Department of Planning and Infrastructure "to drive housing delivery in greenfield and urban renewal areas and report on housing supply". According to the applicants' planner Mr Gary Rhodes, $20 million was set aside to fund it.
36As noted earlier, the subject properties were compulsorily acquired by the respondent on 21 September 2012.
37Although not evidence of market knowledge at the date of acquisition, a March 2013 NSW Government fact sheet stated that Riverstone East precinct was released for planning in March 2013. It was formally released in August 2013. In October 2013 the Department of Planning indicated that it was anticipated that Riverstone East precinct would be rezoned in early 2015.
38By the acquisition date I consider that the government's announcements in June, July, and August 2012 had generally reinforced market confidence that the government would act to accelerate release of housing land and stimulate demand. The announcements appear to have influenced an increase in new housing approvals and commencements. In October 2012, there were 4,159 approvals for dwellings, the strongest month since May 2004. In 2009, only 13,752 new homes were built in Sydney. By the end of 2012, housing completions had risen to 18,186, the highest level since 2006. As the government's target was 27,400 new homes in Sydney every year, it was announced that another 9,000 homes would be achieved by (amongst other things) "the release of three additional North West Growth Centre precincts where planning will start for a further 8,200 homes".
39Prior to the government's June, July and August 2012 announcements, the time between release and rezoning of North West Growth Centre precincts had ranged from about 2.25 to 5 years. On the basis of the announcements, I consider that at the acquisition date the market would anticipate that the time between the future release and rezoning of Riverstone East precinct would be much shorter.
40The applicants' planner, Mr Gary Rhodes, considered that at the acquisition date the market would have expected release of Riverstone East precinct in early 2013 and rezoning in late 2014 / early 2015. The respondent's planner, Mr Anthony Rowan, considered that at the acquisition date the market would have expected release in late 2014 and rezoning in late 2016 / early 2017. Thus, about two years divide them.
41As stated earlier, I have concluded, similarly to Mr Rhodes, that at the acquisition date the market would have expected Riverstone East precinct to be released around mid 2013 and rezoned in about late 2014 / early 2015 under the Growth Centres SEPP. My conclusion is based on the planning history of the North West Growth Centre outlined above and the following considerations.
42First, Mr Rhodes' estimates are more consistent with the NSW Government's 2012 announcement of substantial funding to accelerate housing supply, connoting an intention to do so both in terms of servicing and rezoning, Mr Rhodes' forecast of the time for rezoning is also supported by the forecast that he obtained from a Department of Planning and Infrastructure officer.
43Secondly, Mr Rhodes provided persuasive reasons to support his market estimate of the rezoning timetable:
(a)Because Riverstone East precinct was surrounded by four rezoned precincts, the rezoning process for Riverstone East precinct would be less complex given that the work that had been completed for the other four precincts could be applied to Riverstone East precinct.
(b)The government's policy to accelerate housing supply necessarily involved an acceleration of the bureaucratic steps needed to release land for development.
(c)Rezoning would occur when services became available because not only would that implement the government's policy of accelerating housing supply but it was also the most efficient way for it to recoup capital expenditure. Recoupment would be through sewage and water charges and stamp duty on the sale of lots; and 75 percent of the costs of the works on Schofields Road would be funded by developers paying the State Infrastructure Contribution imposed under s 94EE of the EPA Act.
(d)The politics of the of the matter: having spent many millions of dollars on servicing of land, the government would hardly expose itself to the criticism of forgetting to rezone it promptly thereafter, consistently with its announced acceleration program.
(e)There was a severe shortfall of housing in the Sydney region that could obviously be ameliorated by releasing more serviced lots sooner.
(f)The Government had reshaped the bureaucracy to coordinate the acceleration of housing supply.
(g)Most of the Housing Acceleration Fund was being applied, in the first instance, to the North West Growth Centre.
44Thirdly, Mr Rhodes' estimates have so far proved to be more reliable than those of Mr Rowan. In August 2012, just prior to the acquisition date, Mr Rowan advised the respondent that the earliest consideration by the government of the release of Riverstone East would be after completion of the First Ponds Creek carrier in late 2014. In fact the government announced the release in March 2013 and it was formally released in August 2013. Mr Rowan also predicted that if this precinct was released in 2014, it would not be rezoned until 2016. In fact in October 2013 the government indicated that rezoning was expected in early 2015. Mr Rowan also erred in his August 2012 report in stating that after rezoning 6-12 months were required for detailed precinct planning. In fact, as he conceded in oral evidence, that task precedes rezoning.
45Fourthly, Mr Rowan's main reasons for his longer estimate of the time required for rezoning are unpersuasive:
(a)His first reason was that the Premiers' June 2012 budget announcement did not single out Riverstone East precinct; therefore the timing of delivery of infrastructure was not determinative of the time when it would be rezoned. In my opinion, that reasoning is flawed. The real purpose of the announcement was to establish a target of accelerated housing. Riverstone East precinct was to be a beneficiary of the government's plans to accelerate completion of the trunk sewer for the area by late 2014 and to upgrade Schofields Road (Stage 1 in 2015 and Stage 2 in 2017). As discussed above, rezoning promptly upon provision of the trunk sewer was the most efficient way for the government to recoup its capital costs faster.
(b)Mr Rowland's second reason was that the past timeframe for rezoning of other precincts reflected the timeframe for future zoning: for example, Alex Avenue and Riverstone precincts were released in mid 2006 and rezoned in mid 2010. I agree with Mr Rhodes that by the acquisition date the past timeframe did not reflect the current government's policy of seeking to accelerate housing supply both in terms of servicing and rezoning. Earlier, a number of precincts had been rezoned without services and without any plan for the government to provide services other than the failed user pays principle where developers could fund them. In 2012, prior to the date of acquisition, the government announced a massive infrastructure boost to meet the shortfall of homes in the Sydney region.
46Finally, in August 2012, Sydney Water had advised that the First Ponds Creek carrier would service Riverstone East precinct when it was rezoned. By the acquisition date, it was known that this servicing would occur by the end of 2014. Accepting the logic that the government would not provide services to unzoned land, the market would be confident that rezoning would occur by late 2014 / early 2015.