2.2 Key threats
There are numerous threats currently impacting upon Littoral Rainforest, or which may potentially impact the ecological community in the future. The majority of these threats can be considered to be human-mediated as they are either a direct result of human activity or an indirect consequence of human actions. These human-mediated threats interact with natural perturbations to Littoral Rainforest and can result in alterations to the healthy functioning of the ecological community.
What was once a semi-continuous archipelago of patches of Littoral Rainforest along the eastern coast of Australia, has been reduced and fragmented primarily by coastal development, sand mining and agriculture (Bradley & Merrilyn 1992). As Littoral Rainforest is located on, or in close proximity to, the coastline, which is a focal point for human settlement and urbanisation in Australia, coastal development is a key historic and ongoing threat to the ecological community (Lavorel et al. 2015). This distribution also makes Littoral Rainforest highly susceptible to the interacting effects of climate change and sea level rise, both of which exacerbate the existing threats of habitat fragmentation and invasion by transformer weeds (Lavorel et al. 2015). Littoral Rainforest continues to be reduced and fragmented by land clearance, weed invasion, recreational disturbance, animal browsing/grazing, fire and natural disturbance. These threats have serious implications for the long term persistence of Littoral Rainforest, particularly for smaller, isolated patches or heavily degraded patches. Current and ongoing threats to the ecological community are summarised in Table 2 and described below. Further information is available in the Listing Advice and Policy Statement 3.9. Recovery actions (Section 5.4) aim to address these threats in a strategic and cost effective manner.
2.2.1 Urban development
The principal threat to the biodiversity of Littoral Rainforest is the further loss and fragmentation of habitat likely to result from ongoing coastal development, with urban development recognised as a key pressure on Australia’s coastal environment (Beeton et al. 2006). The coastal areas of eastern Australia support the majority of the region’s population (60-70 percent) (BAAM 2013). Coastal development is likely to intensify over time due to the predicted increase of the population, particularly along the east coast of Australia (Beeton et al. 2006). Statistics show that coastal urban development continued to increase from 1980 to 2004, and this trend is not predicted to change in the near future. Projections indicate that more than 40 percent of the Nowra (NSW) to Noosa (Queensland) coastline will be urbanised by 2050, resulting in significant losses of Australia’s temperate and tropical coastal systems (Beeton et al. 2006), including Littoral Rainforest (TSSC 2008).
Along the Queensland coast, the human population is projected to increase significantly, with the total population in Queensland predicted to rise by five million people in 50 years, from 4.1 million in 2006 to 9.1 million in 2056. Overall, population growth is predominantly centred on coastal areas. For example, within the Mackay and Northern statistical divisions (which overlap with the Wet Tropics Bioregion), the population is projected to grow by approximately 43 percent and 40 percent, respectively, between 2006 and 2031 (Queensland and Statistical Divisions 2011). In New South Wales, coastal regions will continue to have the fastest growth rates in the state. The Department of Planning and Environment projects that between 2011 and 2036 the total population of New South Wales will grow by 2.71 million (NSW Planning & Environment 2016). In Victoria the population in East Gippsland is projected to grow by approximately 10 000 people between 2011 and 2031 (DELWP 2016). Major population centres likely to be impacted in East Gippsland include Lakes Entrance, where Littoral Rainforest occurs, Bairnsdale and Orbost (DELWP 2016). As well as development pressures associated with local and regional population growth, there is likely to be additional pressure associated with tourist infrastructure and second dwellings owned by non-residents.
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Figure 2: Clearing of vegetation for a residential development adjacent to Littoral Rainforest. The patch was incorrectly defined in Regional Ecosystem mapping but following ground surveys was identified as Littoral Rainforest (© Helen Murphy).
In addition to the direct impacts of land clearing, coastal development can also result in a wide range of other indirect impacts to Littoral Rainforest, such as increased weed invasion, dumping of garden waste and other rubbish, pollution and disturbance to native fauna from domestic pets (BAAM 2013). Pollutants (such as detergents) that break down the protective waxy cuticle on leaves may threaten Littoral Rainforest species, such as coast banksias (Banksia integrifolia) and hoop pines (Araucaria cunninghamii), by allowing salt to penetrate and damage the plant (Morris 2003).
2.2.2 Tourism and visitor disturbance
Tourism and visitor disturbance within Littoral Rainforest pose an ongoing threat. According to the Bureau of Tourism Research (DISR 2001), 50 percent of international visits and 42 percent of domestic visits are to coastal areas. Due to the ongoing demand for tourism and recreational facilities to cater for users of coastal and marine ecosystems (Ward & Butler 2006), this trend is likely to increase over time. Such pressure is likely to result in more development on coastal land and a rise in visitor numbers in conservation areas where Littoral Rainforest occurs (TSSC 2008).
Visitor disturbance in conservation areas includes soil compaction and disturbance, erosion from foot, cycle, trail bike and four wheel drive tracks, the introduction of pests and the creation of new planned and unplanned tracks. Increased visitation results in increased demand for and use of visitor facilities, such as walking tracks, viewing platforms, toilet blocks and picnic areas, many of which are located in Littoral Rainforest patches because of their attractive landscape features (shade, open understorey and proximity to the sea). These impacts hinder the recruitment of key canopy species, slowing regeneration rates and facilitating establishment of weeds. Other impacts include the dumping of cars; rubbish; and garden waste, which has the potential to cause weed infestation (NSW Scientific Committee 2004). For example, in the Central Mackay Coast Bioregion, the ecological community receives high use by recreational vehicles and foot traffic where it occurs close to urban areas. At Corringle Slips and near Orbost, Wingan Inlet and Mallacoota in Victoria recreational development, such as campgrounds, is the most common and ongoing key threat to Littoral Rainforest (Peel 2010).
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Figure 3: Beach access track through a Littoral Rainforest patch in the Cape York Peninsula bioregion of Queensland (© Andrew Ford).
2.2.3 Climate change
Another significant threat is climate change, which has the capacity to augment the detrimental effects of natural disturbances and other threats, including fire and invasive weeds. As a result of climate change, the following changes are likely to impact Littoral Rainforest: rising sea levels; increased rainfall variability; and increased frequency of severe weather events which are projected to lead to major coastal erosion events, storm surges and saline inundation (DSE 2004b; Lavorel et al., 2016). In north-east Queensland climate change scenarios are predicted to result in increased temperature and increased potential evaporation, possible overall deceases in rainfall but increases in rainfall intensities, and changes in the frequency and intensity of tropical cyclones resulting in potentially widespread impacts across tropical rainforests and the Great Barrier Reef (Suppiah et al. 2010).
Given its coastal location, sea level rise is of particular concern for Littoral Rainforest, as it will expose the ecological community to increased inundation and disturbance and is likely to result in increased habitat fragmentation and create opportunities for further weed invasion (Lavorel et al. 2016). Under conservative climate change predictions, Littoral Rainforest is likely to experience reductions in diversity and changes in community composition as plant tolerance limits are exceeded in response to temperature and water availability: As climate change scenarios increase in severity, the structure of the ecological community is expected to undergo a process of simplification (Lavorel et al. 2016), resulting in physical canopy damage, loss of emergent trees, reduced canopy height and increased canopy gaps (Kellner & Asner 2009). Dieback within patches of Littoral Rainforest may also be exacerbated by climate change (BAAM 2013).
Predicted rising sea levels, increases in storm surges, flood occurrences and cyclone intensity, and potential increases in extreme fire events during the dry season, are all expected to result in transformative changes to the structure, function and composition of Littoral Rainforest (Lavorel et al. 2016). The proliferation of coastal developments, together with natural barriers along the margins of many patches, considerably restricts the potential shoreward migration of Littoral Rainforest, thus many patches of this ecological community may be lost or transformed to mangroves as the impacts of climate change unfold (Lavorel et al. 2016).
2.2.4 Weed invasion
Weed species are dispersed across the landscape by people, animals and through physical processes such as wind and water. Due to its naturally fragmented distribution, Littoral Rainforest is susceptible to weed invasion, which is further exacerbated by natural and human-induced disturbances (BAAM 2013). Weed species compete with native plants for space, water and nutrients, and weeds have been observed to kill mature Littoral Rainforest trees (Peel 2010). Weed invasion has the potential to reduce native plant diversity in Littoral Rainforest patches (BAAM 2013).
Transformer weeds are highly invasive taxa with the potential to seriously alter the structure and function of the ecological community. Whilst it is accepted that the ecological community can tolerate a significant amount of weed cover due to its relative resilience, if left unchecked, such weeds will eventually take over and destroy the affected patch. Some weeds that invade Littoral Rainforest, notably pond apple (Annona glabra), lantana (Lantana camara), bitou bush (Chrysanthemoides monilifera subsp. rotundata), asparagus fern (Asparagus aethiopicus) and rubber vine (Cryptostegia grandiflora) are recognised as Weeds of National Significance (i.e. high impact, highly invasive species) (TSSC 2008).
The establishment of transformer weeds in Littoral Rainforest patches have been observed to have a significantly detrimental effect (TSSC 2008). For example, an assessment of littoral forest in the Wet Tropics of far north Queensland, found that exotic coconuts (Cocos nucifera) are a major transformer weed species and a significant threatening process to remnant forest in the littoral zone. Coconuts are highly invasive and form monocultures that compete with, and suppress recruitment and seedling development of, native littoral species. In parts of the Daintree coast, especially in the Cape Tribulation region, coconuts now occupy 80-100 percent of the littoral zone (Spencer et al. 2010).
Transformer weeds of the warm temperate climate zone of south-eastern Australia, such as cape ivy (Delairea odorata), bitou bush, lantana and madeira vine (Anredera cordifolia), also extend into the sub-tropical zone of northern New South Wales (Williams 1993; Peel 2010). Rubber vine and Siamese cassia (Senna siamea) are currently a problem near Princess Charlotte Bay and within Lakefield National Park, Cape York Peninsula, and have the potential to expand if left unchecked. This indicates certain transformer weeds have the capacity to significantly expand their range on the eastern coastline (TSSC 2008).
Whether the ecological community is protected in reserves or not, the risk of weed infestation increases where patches of the ecological community are located near human habitation and/or are subject to visitor disturbance (TSSC 2008). This is supported by Peel’s (2010) study where a positive correlation was found between proximity to human activity and weed invasion based on a sample of 251 sites, with the majority of weeds recorded having been incidentally introduced through human activities such as agriculture, recreation, domestic gardens and associated refuse dumping.
Weed invasion also occurs through seed dispersal by birds and mammals. For example, this mode of dispersal has led to weed infestations of wilderness areas, such as Croajingolong National Park and Howe Wilderness in Victoria (TSSC 2008). In New South Wales, many coastal habitats have been invaded by bitou bush through the spread of fruit by birds and flying foxes (TSSC 2008). Bitou bush smothers canopy and may form dense growth around the edge of Littoral Rainforest (Adam 1992). This transformer weed has also spread into Queensland where it has the potential to flourish in rainforest stands in the south-east. In the Cape York Peninsula Bioregion transformer weed invasion is mainly attributable to disturbance by cattle and pigs (Stanton & Fell 2005).
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Figure 4: Weed infestation, by Singapore daisy (Sphagneticola trilobata), in the understorey of a patch of Littoral Rainforest in the Wet Tropics (© Andrew Ford).
2.2.5 Fire
The fire tolerance of Littoral Rainforest varies across its distribution. In general, Littoral Rainforest is a fire-sensitive class of vegetation, with high intensity fires posing a risk to both mature trees and seedlings (Miles & Kendall 2006). However, some Littoral Rainforest plant species are capable of re-sprouting following low intensity fires (Miles & Kendall 2006) and some vegetation types, such as brush box (Lophostemon confertus) habitat along the headlands of northern New South Wales, are relatively fire tolerant (Floyd 1990b).
Coastal processes (including high humidity, oceanic aerosols, wind direction, abundance of surface water) associated with Littoral Rainforest, and the presence of fire retardant vegetation (such as mangroves and salt marshes), confer some degree of fire protection. The presence of a salt haze around patches can also reduce risk as salt retards fire and can slow combustion of potential fuels (BAAM 2013). Nevertheless, the accumulation of fuel loads derived from highly flammable weeds increases the risk of fire which, depending on its intensity and frequency, can destroy a patch if not suppressed. Research by Peel (2010) indicates that fire has the potential to eliminate complete stands of Littoral Rainforest. If fire were to occur in the early stages of succession development, Littoral Rainforest may return to a woodland state (BAAM 2013). The fragmented nature of Littoral Rainforest, and the relatively small-sized patches, increases the risk of irreversible damage from fire.
2.2.6 Agriculture
Grazing is the most extensive land use in Australia (DoEE 2016b), with most historical clearing of Littoral Rainforest having been driven by the conversion of land for agricultural uses (BAAM 2013). Many patches of Littoral Rainforest are within the vicinity of, or adjoining, agricultural land uses including grazing. Biodiversity can be affected in a number of ways as a result of the grazing impacts of introduced herbivores, primarily cattle and sheep (DoEE 2016b). The impacts of grazing can include trampling and fouling of waterholes, selective, indiscriminate or close grazing of vegetation and the introduction and spread of weeds, in addition to the physical removal of vegetation to free up land for stock (DoEE 2016b). These impacts can affect the biodiversity of forest and woodland ecosystems through reductions to the quality of mid-storey and understorey vegetation. As the ecosystems are simplified subsequent declines in the number of species, or their genetic variability, can occur causing ecosystem resilience to decrease (DoEE 2016b).
2.2.7 Feral animals
Across its’ distribution Littoral Rainforest is impacted by the grazing, browsing, trampling and digging activities of a number of feral herbivores, including deer, rabbits and pigs. The impacts of these feral species can prevent the establishment of seedlings, open up the understorey and create gaps in vegetation that may facilitate weed invasion, all of which can alter community composition and vegetation structure (Taylor et al. 2011).
Grazing and browsing by feral Sambar deer (Cervus unicolor), hog deer (Axis porcinus) and Rusa deer (C. timorensis) has been shown to detrimentally impact the ecological community on both a local and landscape level. These activities can result in structural modification, erosion and altered species composition within Littoral Rainforest. Rubbing causes direct physical damage to established trees, while browsing prevents regeneration of Littoral Rainforest canopy and understorey species and creates gaps in the vegetation which allows colonisation by weeds. This has occurred in the area near Genoa River, in Victoria, where the vegetation gaps have been colonised by cape ivy (Delairea odorata) and dense thickets of Madeira Winter-cherry (Solanum pseudocapsicum). When infestations are severe these weeds contribute significantly to the collapse of existing Littoral Rainforest patches through the smothering of shrubs and young trees (Peel et al. 2005). Severe damage to Littoral Rainforest by feral deer has also been observed from Twofold Bay in New South Wales to the Gippsland Lakes in Victoria. Persistent deer infestations are documented as causing the local loss of rainforest species and whole sections of mature rainforest in Victoria (Peel et al. 2005). The coastal expansion of feral deer has reached at least as far north as Bermagui. Within the range of the deer patches of littoral rainforest (e.g. Marl Island) have been destroyed (Peel 2010). In the Royal National Park in New South Wales, herbivory by Rusa deer has led to a 54 percent reduction in understorey plant species richness in sites where deer densities are high (Moriarty 2009) and caused a 75 percent reduction in cover of the threatened plant magenta lilly pilly (Syzygium paniculatum) (Keith & Pellow 2005). In the East Gippsland region of Victoria, Sambar deer are the most damaging feral species impacting upon Littoral Rainforest (Peel et al. 2005). ‘Herbivory and habitat degradation caused by feral deer’ is a listed Key Threatening Process under the New South Wales Threatened Species Conservation Act 1995. ‘Reduction in biodiversity of native vegetation by Cervus unicolor (Sambar Deer)’ is a listed Key Threatening Process under the Victorian Flora and Fauna Guarantee Act 1988.
Feral rabbits are also impacting upon Littoral Rainforest, with documented cases of herbivory causing damage to the understory of patches of the ecological community on Cabbage Tree Island, New South Wales (Werren & Clough 1991), and exposing nesting Gould’s petrels (Pterodroma leucoptera) to increased predation risk. In the Tambo River region of East Gippsland, the initially limited regeneration of Littoral Rainforest was attributed to herbivory by rabbits, with rapid recruitment of native ground cover and shrubs beginning to occur following the implementation of a rabbit control program (Peel 2010).
Native fauna species inhabiting patches of Littoral Rainforest are threatened by predation and competition from feral animals. In particular, feral cats (Felis catus) and foxes (Vulpes vulpes) are known to prey on native mammals, birds, reptiles and insects (DoEE 2016a). Cane toads (Bufo marinus) can poison native predators, such as snakes and quolls, and can compete with native animals for shelter (DEWHA 2010). Black rats (Rattus rattus) can compete with native species such as the bush rat (Rattus fuscipes) and exclude them from relatively undisturbed patches of Littoral Rainforest (Stokes et al. 2009).
Interactions between exotic scale insects and invasive ant species which farm them for their honeydew can also be detrimental to Littoral Rainforest, particularly on coral cays. When invasive African big-headed ants (Pheidole megacephala) and coastal brown ants (Pheidole megacephala) are present, scale insects, such as the Caribbean species (Pulvinaria urbicola), can reach such high densities that they defoliate trees (Smith & Papacek 2001). Repeated defoliation over time can kill trees and reduce the extent of Littoral Rainforest patches (Smith et al. 2004), as has been documented on the coral cay, Tryon Island, Queensland (Smith & Papacek 2001). Native impacts that are introduced to areas outside of the natural biogeographic range can also pose a threat to Littoral Rainforest. For example, the planthopper (Jamella australae) caused massive damage to pandanus trees (Pandanus tectorius) when it was introduced to south-east Queensland and north-east New South Wales, particularly in Burleigh Heads National Park and Noosa National Park where 75 percent of pandanus trees were destroyed (Smith & Smith 2000).
2.2.8 Mining and industrial development
Mining and industrial development pose a threat to Littoral Rainforest, especially in Queensland where these activities are increasing in some regions. For example, in the Gladstone area, ports and gas terminals are under construction or proposed on Curtis Island, and the development of an alumina refinery south of the city has resulted in clearance of vegetation on Boyne Island to create room for tailings dams (BAAM 2013).
In northern New South Wales, sand mining historically posed a significant threat that resulted in the destruction of numerous stands of Littoral Rainforest (Floyd 1990b), including near Harrington just south of Port Macquarie (Williams 2002). Sand mining is now primarily limited to North Stradbroke Island and Cape Flattery on southern Cape York in Queensland (BAAM 2013). At Cape Flattery sand mining is responsible for the ongoing clearing of vegetation in patches of Littoral Rainforest, while on North Stradbroke Island sand mining is not directly threatening any known patches of Littoral Rainforest but may be indirectly impacting the ecological community through hydrological changes (Worboys 2006).
2.2.9 Exotic pathogens
Exotic pathogens may impact upon the integrity and survival of patches of Littoral Rainforest. Of the greatest concern is the exotic fungal pathogen from South America known as myrtle rust (Puccinia psidii) which infects species in the Myrtaceae family, a prominent plant family in Littoral Rainforest. Myrtle rust is known to infect dominant canopy species of the genus Syzygium and may thus pose a significant threat to patches of Littoral Rainforest (Queensland Herbarium 2011; Keith 2004). The spread of myrtle rust is difficult to control as the pathogen is wind dispersed. However, fungicides can be used effectively to treat individual infected plants (Carnegie & Cooper 2011).
Myrtle rust infestations are known to overlap with parts of the range in Victoria, New South Wales and Queensland. Myrtle rust predominantly effects new plant growth and does not appear to kill most of its host species, with the exception of some particularly susceptible species such as Rhodamnia species and native guava (Rhodomyrtus psidioides) (BAAM 2013). Nevertheless, as the potential effects of myrtle rust are increased in the seedling stage, impacts to recruitment and changes to patterns of species dominance may become evident over longer timeframes. Conversely, some species may evolve resistance to the effects of myrtle rust over time, thus reducing the scale of potential impacts (BAAM 2013).
Native pathogens may also impact patches of Littoral Rainforest. For example, the root rot pathogen Phellinus noxius is known to affect tree and shrub species found in Littoral Rainforest. P. noxius is known to lead to the death of its host plants by attacking tree roots, causing decay and cutting off water and nutrient supplies to the crown (DEEDI 2010). Literature shows that this native pathogen has caused the death of an endangered scented Acronychia (Acronychia littoralis) individual, and several other plant species, in a patch of Littoral Rainforest in Cape Byron State Conservation Area, New South Wales, in 2003 (Pegg & Ramsden 2003).
2.2.10 Other natural disturbance
In addition to the above anthropogenic sources of impacts, the ecological community is subject to natural disturbances, such as storm events and cyclones, which, depending on their intensity and frequency, can have a detrimental effect. For example, a severe storm can cause coastal erosion and accelerate the rate of weed invasion as the canopy and ground layer are disturbed. In northern Queensland, patches of Littoral Rainforest are highly vulnerable to cyclone damage (Murphy et al. 2008), as was evident in 2011 when Cyclone Yasi destroyed several hectares of Littoral Rainforest (Metcalfe et al. 2011). Cyclone damage appears greatest for early-successional tree species. However, these species tend to recover quickly while late-successional species tend to incur less damage but take much longer to recover (Metcalfe et al. 2011).