Joint actuarial report
9 The evidence included an actuarial report dated 17 August 2016, prepared jointly by Mr Faulkes and Mr Wilson. The joint actuarial report was supplemented by an additional report dated 22 September 2016 which took into account quarterly APRA returns lodged by each of ACE, Chubb and ACE's parent company, Chubb Holdings Australia Pty Ltd ("CHAPL") for the reporting period to 30 June 2016.
10 The summary conclusions of the joint actuarial report are:
1. Given our understanding of the financial position of [ACE] and [Chubb] and the post transfer entity, we are satisfied that the Insurance Scheme provides adequate financial security to the policyholders, noting that there is always uncertainty around the outcomes of insurance business and ongoing solvency cannot be guaranteed. We note that [ACE] and [Chubb] are both wholly owned subsidiaries of the ultimate parent Chubb Limited which, on completion of the acquisition on 15 January 2016 (AEST), on a pro forma basis had market capitalization of US$51.2 billion, annual gross written premiums of US$37 billion and total assets of approximately US$150 billion. Chubb Limited is the world's largest publicly listed P&C insurer and is AA rated by Standard & Poors.
2. The ratio of CIAL's APRA Capital Base to its Prescribed Capital Amount (PCA) after the Scheme will be lower than that of [Chubb]. However this is in the context of the lower net impact of future claims due to changed reinsurance retentions, the greater size and diversification of the integrated entity, as well as capital no longer being required to support a standalone rating for [Chubb]. We therefore believe that the lower PCA Coverage Ratio does not materially lower the financial security for [Chubb] policyholders.
3. [ACE] will assume [Chubb] insurance liabilities on the same terms and conditions as currently apply. To that end, [Chubb] policyholders will be in the same position as before the Insurance Scheme. The Insurance Scheme will not of itself change the nature of the coverage that existing policyholders are entitled to.
4. We expect that post transfer CIAL claims handling procedures, and the end outcomes they produce, will be broadly consistent with those of both current organisations. Therefore, there is no reason to believe that policyholder and claimant expectations in relation to claims handling would be materially affected by the Insurance Scheme.
5. The Insurance Scheme will not reduce the amount of reinsurance protection for past liabilities and we do not expect any material adverse impact on policyholders due to future changes to the reinsurance arrangements following the insurance transfer.
6. Many of the risks currently faced by [ACE] and [Chubb] are similar. To the extent that there are some additional risks for each set of policyholders arising from the proposed merger, these can be offset against the benefits of the proposed merger: a more diversified spread of risk, with a broader policyholder base and greater scale.
11 More particularly, the joint actuarial report concluded that:
Based on APRA capital adequacy, which is a simple but useful view of financial security, we find that if the Insurance Scheme were to have taken effect on 31 December 2015 all policy holders would continue to have a high level of capital protection, and:
• For [ACE]/CHAPL, the capital base of their insurer would increase from $202 million to $650 million, and the PCA CR would increase from 150% to 193%.
• For [Chubb] policyholders, the capital base of their insurer would increase from $548 million to $650 million, and the PCA CR would reduce from 238% to 193%, after a $100 million dividend is paid.
Further, the greater size and diversification of the integrated entity, together with the new reinsurance arrangements, means that lower expected PCA CR will not materially change the degree of certainty and security for [Chubb] Policyholders.
For all policyholders, CIAL will offer a very sound level of financial security. On this basis, we conclude that the proposed Insurance Scheme does not present any material risks to current capital adequacy for either [ACE] or [Chubb] policyholders.
12 The proscribed capital amount coverage ratio ("PCA CR") represents the ratio of an insurer's APRA capital base to its PCA. For ACE, the actuarial analysis focusses on the PCA CR for ACE's parent company, CHAPL, because there is an intercompany loan between ACE and CHAPL.
13 APRA's prudential standards require each regulated institution to have an Internal Capital Adequacy Assessment Process ("ICAAP") to ensure that each regulated institution holds capital resources commensurate with its risk profile. The ICAAP is additional to the need to ensure compliance with regulatory capital requirements. Again, ACE's ICAAP focusses on the capital adequacy ratio of CHAPL.
14 According to the joint actuarial report, ACE/CHAPL and Chubb currently operate with different target capital ranges, namely:
(1) for ACE/CHAPL, the target PCA CR is 160%, with a preferred operating range of 145% to 160%;
(2) for Chubb, the preferred range is 200% to 250%.
15 A new ICAAP target range will need to be determined for the post-scheme entity. That target range is expected ultimately to be lower than the current Chubb range (and, I infer, in all probability higher than the current ACE/CHAPL range), but will be determined following a process that will be managed with APRA, and with regard to the new features of the post-scheme, integrated, entity.