The Pre- and Post-Transfer Solvency Position of QIA and QII
26 In considering the way in which the two schemes will affect the interests of the policyholders of QII and QIA as required by s 17F(1A), actuarial evidence as to the pre- and post-transfer solvency position of both QIA and QII is of central significance.
27 The principal report is the independent actuarial report of 26 October 2015 prepared by Mr Warrick Evan Gard of Ernst & Young. That report outlines the assets (including the reinsurance assets) and liabilities being transferred from QII to QIA under the proposed schemes and sets out Mr Gard's opinion on the changes in solvency of QII and QIA and the impact on the security and the contractual rights of the policyholders that will arise from those transfers.
28 From 16 February 2016 to 25 February 2016, Mr Gard received documents, forms and other data sources which updated the financial and capital information on QII and QIA that was previously available to him.
29 That body of information included the following information pertaining to QII:
(a) QII Insurance Liability Valuation Report as at 31 December 2015;
(b) QII audited financial statements as at 31 December 2015;
(c) APRA Form 110 detailing QII's capital position as at 31 December 2015; and
(d) Pro-forma APRA Form 110 detailing QII's capital position as at 1 January 2016 after the transfer of QII's New Zealand insurance business to QIA on 1 January 2016; the transfer by QII of AUD 182 million of its assets to QIA; the expected transfer out of the Norfolk Island and the QBE Re businesses; and the transfer out of the Vietnam and Thailand subsidiaries of QII.
30 It also included the following information pertaining to QIA:
(a) QIA Insurance Liability Valuation Report as at 31 December 2015;
(b) QBE New Zealand Insurance Liability Valuation Report as at 31 December 2015;
(c) QIA audited financial statements as at 31 December 2015;
(d) APRA Form 110 detailing QIA's capital position as at 31 December 2015; and
(e) Draft QIA Internal Capital Adequacy Assessment Process Report (draft ICAAP Report) which contained a summary of the Pro-forma APRA Form 110 detailing QIA's capital position as at 1 January 2016 after the transfer of QII's New Zealand insurance business to QIA on 1 January 2016; the transfer by QII of AUD 182 million of its assets to QIA; and the expected transfer out of the Norfolk Island and the QBE Re businesses.
31 The further affidavit of Mr Gard, sworn 26 February 2016, summarises his findings in light of this updated information.
32 Mr Gard notes in this further affidavit that as at 31 December 2015, the solvency coverage ratio:
(a) of QII was 257% with excess capital of AUD 250 million above the APRA required minimum; and
(b) of QIA was 164% with excess capital of AUD 896 million above the APRA required minimum.
33 Mr Gard estimates that when the transfer of the New Zealand business, the transfer of AUD 182 million of assets, and the expected transfers of the Norfolk Island Scheme and the QBE Re Scheme and the Vietnam and Thailand subsidiaries are taken into account, the solvency coverage ratio as at 1 January 2016:
(a) of QII will become 263% with excess capital of AUD 138 million above the APRA required minimum; and
(b) of QIA will become 170% with excess capital of AUD 1,022 million above the APRA required minimum.
34 The affected policyholders are estimated to experience a change in solvency ratio in the following ways:
(a) For transferring QII policyholders, the solvency coverage ratio of their insurer will fall from 257% to 170%; and
(b) For existing QIA policyholders, the solvency coverage ratio of their insurer will rise from 164% to 170%.
35 One relevant issue here is whether these impacts on the solvency ratio will detrimentally affect the interests of the transferring Norfolk Island and QBE Re policyholders.
36 Mr Gard states in his affidavit, sworn 26 February 2016, that in his opinion the transferring policyholders of QII would experience no material disadvantage under either scheme. He notes that while the QII solvency margin is currently higher than the target range in the QII management plan, this does not necessarily afford additional security to policyholders. Mr Gard considers that the QII target range and QIA target range will provide a comparable level of security to policyholders, noting that the higher QII target range addresses the additional risk borne by a smaller entity with less predictable earnings. He further points out that the QIA solvency margin is within its target range as set out in the QIA capital management plan.
37 As noted in the affidavit of Mr Gard, sworn 26 February 2016, the actuarial report of 26 October 2015 was prepared before the updated information referred to above at [29] and [30] was received by Mr Gard.
38 Mr Gard states that while the updated information provides further certainty around the financial and solvency impact of the transfers of the Norfolk Island and QBE Re businesses on QII and QIA, it does not alter any of the conclusions made by him in the actuarial report to the effect that the schemes will not have a materially adverse impact on the solvency or policyholders of QII and QIA.
39 In the report of 26 October 2015, Mr Gard noted the immateriality of the transferred assets and liabilities of the Norfolk Island and QBE Re businesses, which represent around or less than 1% of the assets and liabilities of QII and QIA as at 31 December 2014 and the date on which the proposed transfers are effective. The solvency impact of the transfers on QII and QIA is likely to be minimal. Further, the report also states that the Norfolk Island and QBE Re policyholders will benefit from the transfer as QIA has significantly more net assets than QII. Further, the fact that QIA has a larger capital base and a more diversified balance sheet than QII may lead to a lower probability of its breaching regulatory capital requirements than QII. This may constitute a further benefit for the transferring Norfolk Island and QBE Re policyholders.
40 Mr Jack Kai Jiang, Chief Actuary Asia Pacific for QII and Mr Benoit Laganiere, Head of Actuarial and Reinsurance at QBE Management Services Pty Limited, reviewed the actuarial report of Mr Gard and communicated in letters addressed to Mr Victor Walter, Chief Financial Officer of QBE Insurance Limited, the outcome of their respective reviews of the report. Both Mr Jiang and Mr Laganiere were satisfied that the interests of the policyholders of QIA as well as the interest of QII's transferring policyholders would retain adequate protection under the proposed schemes. Those letters are attached to the affidavits of Mr Jiang, sworn 3 December 2015, and Mr Laganiere, affirmed 4 December 2015.
41 The actuarial evidence before me therefore provides a satisfactory basis to conclude that the interests of the transferring Norfolk Island and QBE Re policyholders and the existing policyholders of QIA will suffer no material detriment as a result of the schemes. I so conclude.