(3) If the court makes an award for future economic loss, it is required to state the assumptions on which the award was based and the relevant percentage by which damages were adjusted."
29 The implications that s 13 has on the power of a court to award a buffer for future economic loss were discussed in Penrith City Council v Parks [2004] NSWCA 201. Giles JA (with whom Cripps AJA agreed) said (at [5]):
"I consider that it is still open to assess damages by way of a so called 'buffer'. The occasion for a buffer is when the impact of the injury upon the economic benefit from exercising earning capacity after injury is difficult to determine. There is still a comparison between the economic benefits, although the difference can not be determined otherwise than by the broad approach of a buffer. Section 13(1) can be fulfilled, and the assumptions as to exercising earning capacity before injury can be stated."
30 Giles JA's observations have been followed by several cases in this Court. See, for example, K'Mart Australia Limited v McCann [2004] NSWCA 283, The Nominal Defendant v Lane [2004] NSWCA 405, New South Wales v Zerafa [2005] NSWCA 187. It was not suggested that this Court should not follow Penrith City Council v Parks, and I propose to do so.
31 There was evidence that, but for the injury, the appellant's likely net earnings (on the basis that he had yet to finish his apprenticeship) in the period 1 October 2001 to 1 October 2004 would have been $600 net of tax per week.
32 Thereafter, his net earnings would probably have increased to $942 net of tax per week. I infer that this evidence is based on the assumption that the appellant would have completed his apprenticeship. The probabilities, however, against the likelihood of this assumption have materialised. For reasons unrelated to the assault, the appellant did not complete his apprenticeship and his work history does not suggest that he would ever have done so.
33 Robison DCJ found it was not possible to determine the income that the appellant received as an employed glazier and in his glazing business. This was because of the failure of the appellant to produce appropriate documentary evidence in support of his case and because of his Honour's view of his credibility. There was no challenge to this approach by the judge.
34 According to the appellant, he earned in the order of $520 per week gross when employed as a trainee in the glazing industry. By reason of the difficulties with the appellant's evidence it is not possible to infer that his income in the glazing industry has been any less than his income would have been had he not been assaulted. Indeed, from his Honour's comments concerning the success of the appellant's business, it may well be that he has earned more than he would have earned in the formwork carpentry field.
35 The appellant's challenge to Robison DCJ's dismissal of his claim for loss of past economic loss therefore fails.
36 As regards the loss of future capacity to work, the appellant has not proved that, should he continue permanently in the glazing industry, he will suffer any financial loss.
37 The evidence, however, firmly establishes that that the appellant's injuries - particularly his shoulder injury - have caused him to lose capacity to work in the formwork carpentry industry and any other industry that requires, for long periods, the lifting of heavy weights, or raising the arm above shoulder height, or performing forceful pushing and pulling activities with the right arm. If, for any reason, the appellant is not able to retain employment in the auto glazing industry, these disabilities will unquestionably hamper attempts on his part to obtain employment in other industries involving manual labour.
38 In State of New South Wales v Moss [2000] NSWCA 133; (2000) 54 NSWLR 536, Heydon JA said (at [87], 559):
"In short, where earning capacity has unquestionably been reduced but its extent is difficult to assess, even though no precise evidence of relevant earning rates is tendered, it is not open to the court to abandon the task and the want of evidence does not necessarily result in non-recovery of damages. … The task of the trier of fact is to form a discretionary judgment by reference to not wholly determinate criteria within fairly wide parameters. Though the trier of fact in arriving at the discretionary judgment must achieve satisfaction that a fair award is being made, since what is involved is not the finding of historical facts on a balance of probabilities, but the assessment of the value of a chance, it is appropriate to take into account a range of possible outcomes even though the likelihood of any particular outcome being achieved may be no more than a real possibility." (Citations omitted)
39 Of course, the evidence may disclose that a reduced capacity to work may not be productive of financial loss, even where there is an unquestionable loss of capacity to earn. In that event no buffer will be awarded: Fegan v Lane Cove House Pty Limited [2007] NSWCA 88.
40 Robison DCJ held that the appellant had failed to discharge the onus imposed by s 13 on a plaintiff in his position. His Honour said that he was left, "not in an area of speculation, but simply in an area of guesswork".
41 I doubt, however, whether there is any material difference between "speculation" and "guesswork". Unlike the factual situation in Fegan v Lane Cove House Pty Limited, this case is in the same category as State of New South Wales v Moss. As I have pointed out, the appellant's earning capacity has unquestionably been reduced. Should the contingency arise that the appellant cannot obtain employment in the auto glazing industry, his loss of capacity to earn is likely to be productive of financial loss. The extent of that loss is difficult to assess. Accordingly, in my view, it would be appropriate in this case to award the appellant a buffer.
42 As in The Nominal Defendant v Lane (at [54] per Giles JA) the claimant's most likely future circumstances, but for the injury, can be found. The appellant's most likely future circumstances but for the injury were likely to involve employment in the formwork carpentry industry or in some other industry involving manual labour. The evidence did not establish that such employment was likely to produce a greater income than that which the appellant is likely to earn in the auto glazing industry.
43 In my view the appellant should be awarded what McClellan AJA in Penrith City Council v Parks (at [58]) called "[a] modest award as compensation for the chance that a claimant may be disadvantaged in the future because of the injury". That involves the award of a buffer.
44 In considering the buffer that would be appropriate, I take into account the possibility that, at some future time, the appellant might not be able to work in the auto glazing industry, his talent for running his own business, his chequered work history as an employed person, the periods that he was out of employment and the reasons for him not being employed.
45 Taking all these matters into consideration, I consider that an appropriate buffer would be $40,000. In effect, ignoring the accelerated benefits of the award, this sum provides the appellant with a buffer of $600 per week (the sum that he was earning while a formwork carpentry apprentice) for a period of some 15 months (or 66 weeks). In my opinion, this is a reasonable basis for determining the compensation to which the appellant is entitled for the chance that he may be disadvantaged in the future because of the injuries he suffered.
46 Accordingly, I propose the following orders: