Future Economic loss
47 The trial judge recorded (at [8]):
"There was no dispute that the plaintiff was entitled to damages for lost earning capacity although the quantum was a question for the court to determine having regard to the fact that the plaintiff was in permanent employment and, more likely than not, would remain so through to retirement."
48 However, at a later point in the reasons his Honour said, speaking of s 13 of the Civil Liability Act, (at [15]):
"The defendant argued that this section would not permit any allowance for future economic loss because it could not be demonstrated that she was likely to suffer any loss of income or lost opportunity to earn income."
49 These two statements are not easily reconciled. However, before this Court, no point was taken by the opponent that the applicant had by reason of a concession disentitled itself from submitting that no award should be made for future economic loss. Accordingly, it is necessary to consider whether it was open to the trial judge to make the award.
50 The Civil Liability Act was introduced to confine awards for personal injury damages. In relation to economic loss, provision is made by s 12 for the maximum which may be awarded by reference to weekly earnings. Section 13 makes special provision in relation to future economic loss, and provides as follows:
"13(1) A court cannot make an award of damages for future economic loss unless the claimant first satisfies the court that the assumptions about future earning capacity or other events on which the award is to be based accord with the claimant's most likely future circumstances but for the injury.
(2) When a court determines the amount of any such award of damages for future economic loss it is required to adjust the amount of damages for future economic loss that would have been sustained on those assumptions by reference to the percentage possibility that the events might have occurred but for the injury.
(3) If the court makes an award for future economic loss, it is required to state the assumptions on which the award was based and the relevant percentage by which damages were adjusted."
51 My understanding of the section suggests that the following steps are necessary when determining an appropriate award for future economic loss. Firstly, the court must determine the "most likely future circumstances" of a claimant "but for the injury." This requires the court to assess matters such as the prospects of a claimant gaining or remaining in employment, and for what period and also determine the rate at which he or she may earn during that employment; these are "assumptions about future or other events". Secondly, the court must make an adjustment to any award by reference to "the percentage possibility that the events might have occurred but for the injury." Thirdly, the assumption and the percentage must be stated.
52 This section was considered by this Court in MacArthur Districts Motor Cycle Sportsman Inc & Ors v Ardizzone [2004] NSWCA 145. Hodgson JA recognised some difficulties with the wording of the section and suggested that Parliament might consider some amendments (at [17]). I share his Honour's concerns.
53 One issue which troubled Hodgson JA was how a court was to undertake the task of making the adjustment required by s 13(2) by reference to events that "might have occurred but for the injury" which have been considered when coming to a view as to the claimant's "most likely future circumstances" in s 13(1).
54 Hodgson JA resolved the dilemma by looking to the manifest purpose of the section, which he identified as providing for the usual "vicissitudes" deduction. His Honour said (at [12]):
"In my opinion, having regard to the apparent purpose of the section, 'the events' in s 13(2) must be those corresponding to the future economic situation of the plaintiff as it is understood to be resulting from the injury, not those corresponding to his future situation but for the injury."
55 In my opinion it is possible to give effect to the intention of the Parliament without undertaking the reinterpretation suggested by his Honour. Section 13(1) requires an identification of "the most likely future circumstances" of a claimant. These words do not permit an adjustment which recognises the chances of "the most likely future circumstances" failing to occur. When identifying the "likely future circumstances", all that the court must be satisfied of is that the assumptions which are made about "future earning capacity or other events" accord with "the claimant's most likely future circumstances."
56 It is s 13(2) which requires an adjustment to be made having regard to the "percentage possibility that the events might have occurred but for the injury." This requires a judgment to be made as to the chances of "the most likely future circumstances" occurring if the claimant had not been injured. In the ordinary course, and reflecting the conventional approach to vicissitudes (a discount of 15 percent), a court would assess there to be an 85 percent chance that an applicant would have experienced his or her most likely future circumstances.
57 Although this approach to the section resolves the first of the problems identified by Hodgson JA, it may not resolve the second ("positive vicissitudes"). It would require a positive adjustment under s 13(2) when clearly the subsection contemplates the assessment of the percentage of chance of the "most likely future circumstances" occurring which must always be 100 percent or less.
58 With respect to an award for future economic loss in the nature of a buffer, I doubt whether the section has any relevant impact. Although the section must be complied with, it will not lead to a conclusion which has any relevance to such an award. The court must determine the claimant's "likely future circumstances" and identify the pre-injury percentage possibility of those events occurring, but the compensation awarded is not otherwise confined. A modest award as compensation for the chance that a claimant may be disadvantaged in the future because of the injury is not precluded by the section. All that the section is attempting to do is identify the pre-injury circumstances upon which any award of damages may be based, but it does not dictate the outcome in the event that only part of a claimant's earning capacity has been affected by the injury.
59 In the present case, the trial judge addressed the matter of future economic loss and s 13 in the following terms (at [15-16]):
"There was no dispute that the assumptions referred to in s 13 of the Civil Liability Act 2002 as to lost earning capacity required the court to consider the plaintiff's likely future course of employment if she had not been injured and to determine, now that she has been injured, the degree to which her earning capacity has been reduced. Most of her work has been clerical. There is some lifting, bending and writing in her daily tasks. The defendant argued that the section would not permit any allowance for future economic loss because it could not be demonstrated that she was likely to suffer any loss of income or lost opportunity to earn income. However, as I said, if the plaintiff lost her present employment, then, more likely than not, she would have grave difficulty obtaining alternative work. She therefore has a restricted earning capacity. This loss has to be assessed.
The assumptions I find have been made out are that she would have worked to age 65 in a clerical time job if uninjured. She would have earned an average of about $450.00 per week net. Because of her injury she would not be able to obtain similar work if she needed to do so. The uncertainty of any occupation in today's workforce requires allowance for lost capacity even though the plaintiff continues to work. In my opinion, an appropriate award should be $15,000.00. It is likely that the plaintiff will have to undergo further treatment and may take time off work as a result. I have taken this into account in coming to my conclusion that some allowance for loss should be made. I also allow a further sum of $2,000.00 for future treatment."
60 I understand his Honour to have determined, as required by s 13(1), that the most likely future circumstances but for the injury would have the opponent employed in a clerical position until age 65 earning at a present weekly rate of $450.00 net of tax. However, his Honour did not determine the adjustment required by subsection (2) which, if the award was to be related directly to the loss of the whole or part of the weekly wage, would have been required. Instead, his Honour determined, as in my opinion he was entitled to do, that a "buffer" in the modest sum of $15,000 was appropriate. Even if his Honour had followed the requirements of the statute, having regard to the opponent's age of 53 at the time of this appeal with a most likely working life of a further fifteen years earning an average $23,400 per annum net of tax, an award of $15,000 is not excessive.
61 In my opinion this Court should grant leave to appeal confined to the question of damages, allow the appeal and assess damages as follows:
Non economic loss $3,500
Past economic loss $6,425
Future economic loss $15,000
Past medical expenses $2,105
Future medical expenses $2,000
TOTAL $29,030