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[2008] NSWIRComm 122
Industrial Relations Commission (NSW)
2008-06-27
Boland J, Walton J, Harrison DP, Staff J, Mr P
Original judgment source is linked above.
CITATION: State Wage Case 2008 [2008] NSWIRComm 122
Australian Business Industrial Australian Federation of Employers and Industries Australian Hotels Association (NSW) Australian Industry Group (NSW) Australian Retailers Association (NSW) PARTIES: Catholic Commission for Employment Relations Director of Public Employment Furnishing Industry Association of Australia Limited Minister for Industrial Relations Local Government and Shires Association of New South Wales Unions NSW
CORAM: Boland J President; Walton J Vice-President; Harrison DP; Staff J; Tabbaa C; Murphy C
CATCHWORDS: State Wage Case - Application by State peak council for employees for a State decision setting general wage-fixing principles - Claim for increase in minimum award wages and allowances of 4.5 per cent - Claim by Catholic Commission for Employment Relations for minimum wage to apply to employees not covered by an industrial instrument - The Australian economy - The New South Wales economy - Low paid workers - The wage environment - Impact of the claim - Whether Commission should grant minimum wage as claimed by Catholic Commission for Employment Relations - Whether flat or percentage increase - Increase of 4.0 per cent in minimum award wages and allowances granted - Increase of 4.0 per cent in Award Review Classification Rate granted - Minimum wage established at same level as Award Review Classification Rate - Liberty to apply for any person affected by introduction of Minimum wage - Wage fixing principles amended - Orders made.
Annual Holidays Act 1944 LEGISLATION CITED: Industrial Relations Act 1996 ss 3(a), 3(c), 3(e), 3(f), 8, 10, 11(1)a, 11(4), 14, 49, 51, 51(1), 51(2), 52, 146(2), 406(1) Workplace Relations Act 1996 (Cth) Workplace Relations Regulations 2006 (Cth) reg 12.3 and 12.6 of Chapter 2
Professional Engineers & Professional Scientists (Private Industry) (State) Award [2005] NSWIRComm 402 Safety Net Review - Wages - 2003 (2003) 121 IR 367 CASES CITED: Safety Net Review - Wages, June 2005 (2005) 142 IR 1 State Wage Case - August 1997 (1997) 73 IR 200 State Wage Case (No 6) (2006) 153 IR 268 State Wage Case 2007 (2007) 163 IR 253
HEARING DATES: 16/04/08, 09/05/08, 13/05/08, 14/05/08
AUSTRALIAN BUSINESS INDUSTRIAL AUSTRALIAN INDUSTRY GROUP (NSW) AUSTRALIAN HOTELS ASSOCIATION (NSW) FURNISHING INDUSTRY ASSOCIATION OF AUSTRALIA LIMITED Mr D Grozier and Mr D Hargreaves
AUSTRALIAN FEDERATION OF EMPLOYERS AND INDUSTRIES AND ITS AFFILIATED ASSOCIATIONS AUSTRALIAN RETAILERS ASSOCIATION (NSW) Mr R S Warren of Counsel
LEGAL REPRESENTATIVES: CATHOLIC COMMISSION FOR EMPLOYMENT Mr P E Marchionni and Mr J Keech
LOCAL GOVERNMENT AND SHIRES ASSOCIATION OF NEW SOUTH WALES Mr R Nassif
MINISTER FOR INDUSTRIAL RELATIONS DIRECTOR OF PUBLIC EMPLOYMENT Mr J V Murphy of Counsel
UNIONS NSW Mr M J Thistlethwaite
CORAM: BOLAND J, President WALTON J, Vice-President HARRISON DP STAFF J TABBAA C MURPHY C
Application by Unions NSW for a State Decision - State Wage Case 2008 under section 51 of the Industrial Relations Act 1996
THE CLAIMS Claim by Unions NSW Claim by the Catholic Commission for Employment Relations SUMMARY OF RESPONSES TO THE CLAIMS Minister for Industrial Relations Local Government and Shires Association of NSW Australian Federation of Employers and Industries and Australian Retailers' Association Australian Business Industrial, Australian Industry Group and others THE AUSTRALIAN ECONOMY Unions NSW (evidence of Dr Gelber) Combined Employers (evidence of Mr Bennett) Federal Budget Conclusions regarding Australian economy NEW SOUTH WALES ECONOMY Minister for Industrial Relations Unions NSW (evidence of Dr Gelber) Combined Employers (evidence of Mr Bennett) The Australian Retailers Association Conclusions regarding the New South Wales economy LOW PAID WORKERS Vulnerable Workers Children and Young People Experience of Indigenous Workers Migrant Workers Workers with a disability Unions NSW CCER Conclusions on Low Paid Workers THE WAGES ENVIRONMENT Measures of Wage Movements Evidence of Ms Frino Unions NSW Minister for Industrial Relations Joint Employers Combined Employers Conclusions on Wages Environment IMPACT OF THE CLAIM Employers and employees affected Cost Impact of the Claim Impact on Employment Labour Market Participation Conclusions regarding employment and participation Productivity Conclusions regarding the impact of the claim LAGGING AWARDS FLAT OR PERCENTAGE INCREASE AMOUNT OF INCREASE AWARD REVIEW CLASSIFICATION RATE CCER APPLICATION: A MINIMUM WAGE Jurisdiction to make such an order Merit: Minimum Wage ORDERS ANNEXURE A
1 Unions NSW, the State peak council for employees, has made an application for a State Decision pursuant to s 51 of the Industrial Relations Act 1996 (NSW) ('the Act') in which it seeks a general wage increase in awards of 4.5 per cent.
2 In its application filed on 31 January 2008, Unions NSW sought to initiate a State Wage Case in which it made the following claims: (a) a 4.5% increase in rates of pay in certain awards in accordance with the State Wage Fixing Principles;
(b) a 4.5% increase in existing allowances which relate to work or conditions which have not changed, including shift allowances expressed as monetary amounts and service increments in certain awards in accordance with the State Wage Fixing Principles; and
(c) the variations apply to respective awards 12 months from the date of increases to wages and allowances made under the State Wage Case 2007 [2007] NSWIRComm 118 .
3 The grounds in support of the application were: (i) The Industrial Relations Commission has jurisdiction to grant the variations sought under section 51 of the Act.
(ii) The application is consistent with the objects of the Act , particularly the objects contained in section 3(a), (e) and (h).
(iii) There are good reasons for the making of a State decision in the terms sought including the maintenance of the real value of award wages in New South Wales.
(iv) Such other grounds and reasons as the Commission deems appropriate.
4 Mr M Thistlethwaite for Unions NSW submitted that the claim was moderate, justified and sustainable. In summary, Mr Thistlethwaite submitted: · the application will affect approximately 219,500 employees or 8.96 per cent of the total New South Wales workforce; the majority of these employees were in unincorporated private sector businesses; they were predominantly employed on a part-time basis (58.9 per cent); half were employed in the retail trade, accommodation, cafes and restaurants and property and business service industries; the majority were women (60.5 per cent) and many did not belong to a union and predominantly worked in service and intermediate clerical occupations;
· the claim is consistent with the objects of the Act and consistent with the Commission's duty to set fair and reasonable conditions of employment in New South Wales awards;
· the fundamental economic indicators demonstrate that the New South Wales economy is sound and remarkably resilient and that the economy is continuing its strong economic performance;
· the claim is affordable and there will be no contribution or risk of an inflation-based wage break out in New South Wales;
· the claim is consistent with recent Wage Price Index ('WPI') data from the Australian Bureau of Statistics ('ABS'), from Treasury forecasts and also the forecast from BIS Shrapnel;
· whilst the claim is slightly higher than average annual wage increases in recent agreements, it is consistent with expected trends in agreements;
· workers subject to this claim have no choice regarding enterprise bargaining; many live in low income households surviving month to month; a large portion of their income being devoted to cost of housing, food, clothing and transport. Expenditure in these areas has been hard hit with recent increases in petrol and food;
· State Wage Case adjustments to awards maintain the real value of income for low paid workers in New South Wales;
· in terms of the micro-characteristics of the claim, industries most affected would be retail, accommodation, cafes and restaurants. Conditions for doing business in those industries in New South Wales at the moment are good, with revenue increasing and employment growing;
· the Commission must seriously consider the claim for a 4.5 per cent increase rather than a flat dollar increase such as awarded in recent State Wage Case decisions, to ensure the on-going relevance of awards in New South Wales and to uphold the objective of equal remuneration for men and women doing work of equal value;
· there is a stark contrast in the plight of workers condemned to award based wage increases in recent years compared to those who have enjoyed increases through the exercise of bargaining; and
· the evidence before the Commission demonstrates the need to provide fair and reasonable conditions of employment for employees covered by State Awards. 5 Unions NSW supported the Catholic Commission for Employment Relations' ('CCER') proposal for an order to apply to those adult employees who are employed in the jurisdiction of the Commission and who are not covered by an industrial instrument and that the full-time minimum weekly rate of pay to all adult employees shall be equal to the Award Review Classification Rate ('ARCR'). Unions NSW did not support the alternative put by CCER, namely, the making of a "NSW Minimum Rates (State) Award". 6 It should be noted that the related proposal by CCER, seeking an additional $5.79 per week increase over the general award increase to the ARCR, was also opposed by Unions NSW. It was submitted that to grant the claim would reduce relativities inappropriately at the lower end of the award wages scale.
7 Unions NSW relied on evidence from Dr Frank Gelber, Director and Chief Economist with BIS Shrapnel Pty Ltd; Dr Ian Watson, freelance Researcher and visiting Senior Research Fellow, Macquarie University; Mr Brett Walker, Electrical tradesperson; Mr Kenneth Davies, First Class Sheet Metal Worker; Ms Helen Marcia Maguire, Senior Hairdresser; Ms Elaine Evelyn McInnes, casual Shop Assistant; Ms Betty Frino, Co-ordinator of the Awards and Agreements Analysis Unit, Workplace Research Centre (formerly ACIRRT); and Mr Stephen Lewis Bali, Vice-President of the Australian Workers' Union, Greater New South Wales Branch. Only Dr Gelber, Dr Watson, Stephen Bali, and Betty Frino were required for cross-examination. 8 In respect of lagging awards, of which the Commission was advised in the course of proceedings there were 47, Unions NSW supported a six month gap between adjustments. Claim by the Catholic Commission for Employment Relations
9 The CCER filed submissions on 28 February 2008 in which it sought an amendment to the Wage Fixing Principles to include the introduction of a State Minimum Classification Rate for all non-award employees in the State of New South Wales as distinct from the ARCR, being the minimum rate of pay for employees covered by a State Award.
10 In supplementary submissions filed on 21 April 2008, CCER amended its position. It sought that an order or an award be made in accordance with s 52 of the Act, the effect of which is to provide: ... a minimum wage for those adult employees within the Commission's jurisdiction whose employment is not currently governed by an industrial instrument as defined in s 8 of the Act. 11 The CCER amendment was designed to address jurisdictional objections raised in respect of its original submission by the Minister for Industrial Relations, the Honourable John Della Bosca ('the Minister') and Unions NSW. 12 CCER accepted that a general State wage increase should be granted by the Commission to employees the subject of awards but did not wish to be heard on those matters concerning the quantum of a general increase to State awards, except insofar as a general wage increase impacted upon the ARCR. Furthermore, CCER did not wish to be heard in relation to whether any general increase should be a flat dollar increase or percentage adjustment.
13 CCER submitted that it would be fair, reasonable and appropriate for the Commission to grant an ARCR increase $5.79 per week higher than the general increase to take into account the plight of low paid employees and having regard to the need to raise the wages of those employees paid at the ARCR rate higher than the Henderson Poverty Line.
14 The Minister submitted that a fair minimum wage was essential to achieve sound economic and social outcomes.
15 It was stated that there were between 187,000 and 246,000 employees reliant on minimum award rates out of approximately 555,000 employees of unincorporated entities in the private sector in New South Wales. Those persons would, it was submitted, receive a direct benefit from an increase to the minimum wage in this State.
16 The Minister submitted that a $20.00 increase per week in minimum award wages was economically sustainable and responsible, and would directly benefit the lowest paid workers whilst having negligible impact on employment and productivity, as well as promoting increased workforce participation.
17 It was contended that employees affected by such a claim should not be penalised because they were working in industries where the scope for productivity improvement was limited.
18 In support of a flat $20.00 increase, the Minister discussed the legislative framework and the economic environment within which the Unions NSW claim was made; the cost of the claim including its effect on New South Wales workers and businesses and the capacity of the economy to absorb it; the impact of the claim on labour market participation; the needs of the low paid taking into account their income and expenditure; the need to maintain a decent minimum wage to avoid the establishment of a working poor; maintenance of a fair and decent minimum wage for vulnerable workers with limited bargaining power, including women, indigenous people, migrants, young people and disabled workers; the negligible impact that a $20.00 increase in minimum wages was likely to have on employment; and the impact of the claim on productivity. The Minister further argued that restricting the minimum wage would only result in increased profitability and not productivity.
19 The Minister, in a supplementary submission, dealt with the amended submission of CCER, which sought an order/award to enhance the protection of award free adult employees in New South Wales. The Minister opposed the claim on three broad grounds, namely:
· the scope of the power CCER recommends should be deployed to give effect to its application;
· it is unclear whether any of the parties represent those who would be bound by the order/award proposed to be made; and
· the absence of specific occupations and callings it claims will be subject to the proposed order/award as well as the overall unreliability of the numbers of such employees. 20 Other specific grounds for objection were that, firstly, whilst the making of an order setting out conditions of employment is an award, the making of an order ought not avoid the general award-making provisions of the Act.
21 Secondly, none of the other parties to the proceedings or members represented by the parties would be bound by the award/order if made. It was not clear that there was any person in the proceedings with "sufficient interest in the proposed award" as required by s 11(4) of the Act. The absence of particulars as to which industries, occupations, or callings were to be subject to the proposed award was unprecedented in New South Wales award-making processes and made it very difficult to assess the potential scope and effect of the proposed award. The Commission has historically been required to act judicially in what it does. That carries the obligation to ensure that the parties potentially affected were on notice and had the opportunity to be heard. The unintended consequences of such a proposal were also of concern to the Minister.
22 Thirdly, in respect of the aggregation of potentially affected employees, a robust estimate of their numbers was not possible but it was likely to be substantially less than claimed by CCER.
23 Finally, it was submitted that the mechanism proposed by CCER was not the proper vehicle and the issue of enhanced protection for award free, low paid adult employees should be considered in the context of current and on-going discussions between New South Wales, other States and Territories and the Commonwealth regarding the establishment of a harmonised system of industrial relations regulation.
24 The Minister also opposed the related proposal by CCER to adjust the C14 rate in the Metals, Engineering and Associated Industries (State) Award by $5.79 over and above a general increase intended to address the issue of the Henderson Poverty Line.
25 In connection with the means by which an across-the-board wage increase could be granted to include award free employees, it was submitted that there does not seem to be any residual power to vary the basic wage as existed under the Industrial Relations Act 1991. Local Government and Shires Association of NSW
26 The Local Government and Shires Association of NSW ('LGSA') opposed the quantum of increase sought by Unions NSW; supported the submission of the Minister for a flat $20.00 increase; identified what it regarded as a number of jurisdictional and merit based impediments to the application by CCER; confirmed its agreement to the continuation of the existing wage principles; submitted that a commitment be made in relation to absorption consistent with Principle 8(g); and that the issue of lagging awards not be the subject of a State decision.
27 The LGSA opposed the CCER claim on the basis that it was not an application that gave effect to the making of a State decision sought by Unions NSW as required by s 52; nor was it an application of a State peak council, or one on the Commission's own initiative as required by s 51(2). Further, it opposed the CCER submission for an order/award on the basis that it would not be consistent with the objects of the Act as set out in s 3(e); that a minimum wage for employees whose employment was not governed by an industrial instrument may be inconsistent with the provisions, intent and purpose of s 406(1) of the Act, which provides that the conditions of employment set by an industrial instrument were the minimum entitlements of employees; and there were precedents indicating that it was awards that traditionally laid down the minima. The LGSA also submitted that the CCER application for a new award in these circumstances ought to be considered under the Special Case principle and contended that CCER had failed to identify the nature and characteristic of employees it was intended would be covered by the said order/award. 28 It was further submitted that, in respect of the $5.79 per week increase sought for the purpose of keeping pace with the Henderson Poverty Line, there was insufficient evidence before the Commission to justify the granting of such an additional amount. 29 In respect of lagging awards, the LGSA submitted that there were appropriate mechanisms in the Act and in the Wage Fixing Principles to ensure that lagging awards were updated upon application rather than by a general order.
Australian Federation of Employers and Industries and Australian Retailers' Association
30 The Australian Federation of Employers and Industries ('AFEI') and its affiliated associations, the Printing and Allied Trade Employers' Association of NSW, Bus and Coach Industry Association of NSW, Real Estate Employers Federation of NSW, Master Builders' Association of NSW, Registered Clubs Association of NSW (collectively referred to as the Combined Employers') and the Australian Retailers' Association ('ARA') opposed the percentage increase as proposed by Unions NSW and also opposed the quantum of the increase proposed by the Minister. The Combined Employers and the ARA submitted that an increase of $10.00 per week should be available, upon application, to State Awards. They joined with the Minister in contending that it was not yet time to consider granting a percentage increase, especially when employees paid at the higher end of the award wage scale had demonstrated a capacity to negotiate overaward payments greater than those available at the lower end of the scale.
31 Mr R Warren of counsel, who appeared for the Combined Employers and the ARA, tendered an affidavit of Mr Ray Bennett, Business Analyst and Economist, who was required for cross-examination.
32 The Combined Employers' submissions may be summarised as follows: · prime consideration should be given to the current inflationary and uncertain economic circumstances confronting employers in the State of New South Wales and the flow-on effects of increases to awards in the labour market generally, which is likely to be more pronounced in a tight labour market. Increases, not related to productivity or other off-setting changes at the work place, when excessive, lead to price increases or reductions in employment, or both;
· whilst the number of employers directly affected by any State Wage decision is relatively small, and the direct wages cost to the State economy is also estimated to be small, this is not a complete measure of the cost of increases in award rates, if they provide the benchmark for wage increases generally;
· award wage increases are used as a reference point in negotiations for both overaward and formal agreement rates;
· the Commission should have regard to the circumstances of employers directly affected and who may be particularly vulnerable to changes in their labour costs. Private sector employers under New South Wales State Awards are primarily small, unincorporated employers in the retail and hospitality sectors, which are labour intensive with relatively high wage costs as a proportion of total costs. Profit levels do not match those of larger retailers;
· recent economic developments are of concern in respect of a slowing in growth, further increases in interest rates and inflation and a decline in business and consumer confidence. The outlook for job growth for the remainder of 2008 is unclear. The New South Wales economy has not been as strong as elsewhere in Australia;
· there is a high level of uncertainty in a number of key factors affecting the economy, including: the global credit shortages emanating from the United States ('US'); the US economy slow down into recession; world financial market problems flowing through to Asia; rising oil prices; and the global impact of the slowing growth and inflation in China;
· if economic conditions decline, the low paid/low skilled will be most immediately and severely affected and whilst economic surveys predict continued strong demand in the resource sector, other sectors are under increasing pressure from rising costs, interest rates and reduced demand. As noted by the Reserve Bank of Australia ('RBA'), the global economic situation is one important source of uncertainty and another is the risk that the recent rise in inflation feeds back into wage and price expectations. The RBA has noted that the data on wages is at the " high end of the range of recent readings " and has signalled that labour costs are moving beyond a level consistent with keeping inflation within target. Unions NSW's assertion that a wage increase of 4.5 per cent is within the RBA's target rate for inflation is contentious;
· the Commission should be cautious about predictions of significant improvements in the New South Wales economy. The short term situation is uncertain enough for the impact of any cost pressure affecting employment decisions of New South Wales businesses, with enough negatives emerging to give rise to caution in decision-making by the Commission. Mr Warren referred to economic indicators of inflation statistics, private sector wage increases as shown by the WPI which measured 3.8 per cent in the December quarter of 2007 whilst the All Groups Consumer Price Index ('CPI') increased by 2.4 per cent. Other statistical information was also referred to in considerable detail and we deal with those later in this decision. These include the trend in average weekly full-time earnings, productivity, lower growth in low skilled employment, participation rates, and the fact that the NSW ARCR already reflects the highest "minimum" award rates in Australia;
· the Commission was asked to take into account alternative mechanisms to address the needs of the low paid such as taxation and transfer payments. The minimum award wage should be only one part of an overall strategy which includes tax, welfare and a focus on increasing skills of the low paid; and
· without the economic survival of vital areas of small business, such as retail and hospitality, the opportunity for employment (often initial or start up employment) would be lost to a large number of young people. 33 The Combined Employers recognised that one of the elements to be considered by the Commission was the lack of bargaining power of lower paid workers. The Commission's flat rate increases when awarding previous State Wage Case adjustments have been a partial recognition of this and the need to maintain comity with National Wage Case movements. The Commission should not depart from awarding a flat money amount, nor should the Commission be persuaded to award an additional amount of a notional $5.79 increase based on the Henderson Poverty Line as claimed by CCER.
34 In opposing the claim by CCER, the Combined Employers noted that a State decision could only be made in accordance with s 51 of the Act, and s 51(2) required that it may only be made on the application of a State Peak Council or by the Commission on its own initiative. Mr Warren observed that CCER was not a State Peak Council. Counsel contended that the Commission had no power to set minimum wages other than in accordance with s 10 and there was no statutory basis for a Full Bench of this Commission to make a single minimum rates award applicable throughout the State.
35 In respect of lagging awards, the Combined Employers identified a list of awards requiring rectification and submitted that, whilst it supported those awards being updated, rectification must be on the basis of appropriate arrangements for the phasing-in of any increases. The appropriate phasing-in period would be six months between wage increases and where the most recent increase was during 2006, a 12-month interval between the 2006 and 2007 increase should apply.
Australian Business Industrial, Australian Industry Group and others
36 The Australian Business Industrial, the Australian Industry Group New South Wales Branch, the Australian Hotels Association (NSW) and the Furnishing Industry Association Ltd, represented by Messrs D Grozier and D Hargreaves ('Joint Employers'), opposed the 4.5 per cent increase sought by Unions NSW on the basis that the claim was excessive and unsustainable having regard to economic circumstances and the likely economic effects of the claim. The Joint Employers submitted that an increase of no more than $13.00 (representing an increase of 2.5 per cent on the current ARCR) would not be unreasonable.
37 The Joint Employers' submission may be summarised as follows:
· the international environment is riskier than at the time when more recent wage cases were considered, particularly in the light of the fallout from the sub-prime mortgage lending practices. Although the full extent of that impact remains unclear, global growth rates have been revised down. The RBA has identified increased inflation risks and drawn attention to the role of wages in exacerbating the risk. Low skilled employees are at greater risk of job loss and the current low rate of productivity growth is likely to persist in the medium term; · although there has been a recent pick-up in employment results, the New South Wales economy still lags the rest of Australia and is more vulnerable to rising interest rates, as demonstrated by housing activity. The direct impact of the Commission's decision would mostly be upon marginal NSW businesses and employees who will be vulnerable to a rise in unemployment; and · private sector wages growth has accelerated recently as shown by the December 2007 quarter with 5 per cent for retail and 3.6 per cent for accommodation, cafes and restaurants. The real value of wages in the NSW private sector measured by the WPI has risen over the past ten years by 4.6 per cent and the real value of the ARCR has risen by 12 per cent over the last ten years. Tax cuts operative from 1 July 2008, together with a $13.00 per week increase, would mean the disposable income of single persons on the ARCR will have risen by 4.1 per cent or about 0.6 per cent in real terms. Minimum award determination should not be the sole method of addressing the need of low-income earners.
38 The Joint Employers opposed both the proposal by CCER to increase the ARCR by the general increase determined by the Commission, together with an additional $5.79 per week, and the application to extend the ARCR to adult employees not covered by awards. The Joint Employers submitted that the Commission should not, as a matter of merit, make the order or award, as there was no industrial character behind the request; no question or difficulty prompting the request; no application for an expanded ARCR such as made by Unions NSW; nor was it supported by any other employer organisation. Should the Commission accept a State Minimum Wage in accordance with CCER's proposed award, it should be made pursuant to the First Award and Extension to an Existing Award Principle. It was not a matter for the State decision now under consideration. A general order, which was proposed as an alternative by CCER would be subject to the same jurisdictional problems as raised by the Minister in his submissions.
39 The Joint Employers submitted that the Henderson Poverty Line was not an absolute measure of poverty and was not an appropriate basis for awarding an additional $5.79 over the general increase. THE AUSTRALIAN ECONOMY
40 The approach to be taken to the assessment of the New South Wales economy in the context of broader economic considerations is well settled. In its 2007 State Wage Case decision at [32] the Full Bench observed: Whilst our focus in these proceedings from an economic viewpoint must, as a legislative imperative, be on the state of the New South Wales economy, we cannot proceed in a vacuum to deal only with that economy. We have remarked in previous State Wage Case decisions on the interrelationship and interdependence between the New South Wales and national economies and it is fundamental to any consideration of the claim in these proceedings that we are satisfied that if any increase is to be awarded it may be done so knowing that there is nothing associated with the state of the national economy or its future prospects that would preclude us from doing so.
Unions NSW (evidence of Dr Gelber) 41 The evidence of Dr Gelber, the principal witness for Unions NSW, was that: Favourable economic conditions, both overseas and in Australia, are expected to continue to underpin healthy economic growth in Australia and New South Wales over 2008 and into 2009:
· despite the US-initiated financial problems and credit squeeze, the impact of International conditions on Australia remains positive, with China well positioned to weather a US downturn. With demand for commodities to remain high through 2008, the main implications for Australia from the recent turmoil comes in its effect on credit availability, which has effectively raised borrowing costs for consumers and businesses. We don't expect it to have a marked impact on investment, but higher consumer borrowing rates will help contain inflationary pressures in Australia;
· the outlook for the Australian economy remains broadly favourable. Slowing mining investment and a moderation in spending, investment and employment growth will help to alleviate inflationary pressures through 2009. Interest rates are expected to be on hold for the majority of calendar 2009 and this will provide the necessary stimulus to kick start the long over-due housing recovery. A strengthening external sector will help support growth before a broader recovery in spending, employment and investment comes through early next decade;
· while New South Wales's recent Gross State Product growth may have been comparatively slower than the rest of Australia, the underlying fundamentals of the New South Wales economy are positive. Going forward, the New South Wales economy is expected to gain strength over the next two years. Encouragingly, our expectation is that many of the factors that have beset the state economy are on the wane. Investment is predicted to return to a more 'normal' level and this should drive employment and push the economic growth of New South Wales over 2007/08 and 2008/09 to its fastest pace since 2000/01. The state economy is expected to strengthen further in 2008/09 on the back of solid consumer spending, recovery in the housing sector, significant non-dwelling building construction and an expected rebound in the farm sector (assuming sufficient rains for this year's winter grain crop). We are of the view that the gap between national and New South Wales growth rates will narrow substantially by the end of the 2008/09 financial year, and economic growth in New South Wales will be stronger next decade. 42 Dr Gelber deposed that it was estimated that world output would expand by an average of 4.5 per cent over the next two years after recording a 5.4 and 5.3 percentage growth in 2006 and 2007 respectively.
43 Dr Gelber noted that there were some downside risks to growth, particularly if the US weakened more than expected or a cumulative sharp increase in oil prices was experienced. However, there were no significant imbalances in the world economy to attract a pessimistic forecast. 44 Dr Gelber provided the following analysis of the major economic zones:
· the US economy may still experience one or two quarters of negative growth in the first half of 2008;
· the US Government has announced a package of significant tax cuts and increased Government spending which, coupled with reduction in interest rates, were expected to stimulate activity and prevent a collapse in consumer spending;
· investment fundamentals (excluding housing) remained sound and would support employment and wages; and
· the forecast was for a 1.7 per cent growth in calendar year 2008 and a more normal 2.6 per cent in 2009.
· China would remain a major contributor to world growth. The forecast was for Gross Domestic Product ('GDP') to ease from over 11 per cent to 10.2 per cent in 2008 and 9.0 per cent in 2009;
· while exports to the US, and other Asian countries dependant on exports to the US would suffer, fixed asset investment (which accounted for around 44 per cent of China's GDP), would continue to drive strong growth powered by the sustained boom in infrastructure and housing construction; and
· China was a creditor nation attracting significant investment into production for the Chinese market, leading to the conclusion that construction would not stop, thus sustaining demand for steel, iron ore and coal.
· the Euro Zone was expected to experience a further year of good growth despite some tax increases in Italy and Germany and the strength of the Euro hurting exports;
· the German economy appeared to be broadening as broad-based investment spending drove growth in Germany over the last years;
· positive production forecasts for exports and a modest expansion in employment in response to a pick-up in activity were helping to lift consumer sentiment and spending; and
· economic conditions in other key Euro Zone economies, particularly France, remained positive. Western Europe
· growth in Germany (the area's largest economy), would be affected by a slower export growth to the US and easing global investment. Household disposable incomes were expected to be held up by further employment growth and a pick-up in wages, supporting consumer spending;
· interest rates were expected to ease over the next year, boosting confidence and spending; and
· elsewhere in Europe growth remained solid, assisted by declines in unemployment, lower interest rates and the continued strength of internal demand and external demand from Russia, Eastern Europe, China and other emerging economies. Japan
· the Japanese economy was sound. Growth was expected to ease back over 2008 and 2009 from the high growth of the last four years; and
· Japan and the rest of Asia would continue to benefit from strong external demand, particularly from China and partly due to their undervalued currencies boosting competitiveness, while investment should also be sustained. 45 In summary, in relation to the effects of world growth, Dr Gelber stated: [W]e don't expect to see a marked slowdown in world growth over the next two years, with China well positioned to weather a moderation in US consumer demand. With demand for commodities to remain at a high level through 2008, commodity prices will remain at elevated levels, with sustained rises in coal and iron ore prices from April 2008 providing a significant boost to Australia's terms of trade and national income. The main implications for Australia from the recent turmoil comes in its effect on credit availability, which has effectively, raised borrowing costs for consumers and businesses. We don't expect it to have a marked impact on investment, but higher consumer borrowing rates will help contain inflationary pressures in Australia.
46 On the outlook for the Australian economy Dr Gelber's evidence was that: Overall, Australian economic growth will remain strong, with GDP growth forecast to be 4.0 per cent in 2007/08 and 3.9 per cent in 2008/09. Investment will continue to be the key driver of growth and employment, with consumer demand further boosted by tax cuts, although high interest rates will moderate growth through 2008/09. Solid employment growth, predicted to be 2.7 per cent in 2007/08 and 2.2 per cent in 2008/09 will keep the unemployment rate below 4.5 per cent for another year, although an expected easing in employment growth in the first half of 2009 will see a small rise in the unemployment rate by mid-2009. This means the labour market will remain tight and that wages are likely to rise in order to attract and retain labour, and because CPI inflation is expected to increase to 3.5 per cent in 2008/09. 47 Dr Gelber further deposed in relation to the Australian economy that:
· year-on-year domestic demand reached 5.2 per cent in 2007, its highest level since 2004;
· consumer spending was a key driver of growth in 2007, largely funded by incomes, not debt;
· the Australian labour market was still very tight, with job vacancies running at 35 per cent of total unemployed;
· with the economy already running close to the limits of its productive capacity through 2006, the acceleration in demand over 2007 added to inflationary pressures. Despite the shortage of labour, in particular the shortage of skilled labour, wages growth was not the overriding driver of inflation in 2007. Instead it was a combination of demand inflationary pressures, high world commodity prices and domestic supply-constraint, in the provision of housing, energy and food, which saw underlying CPI inflation pick up through the year. Demand-inflation manifested in the sharp rise in retail profit margins during 2007 as retailers took advantage of extremely high growth in retail sales (retail sales volumes increased 7.4 per cent through calendar 2007) and a rapid rise in the Australian dollar (which cut consumer goods import prices) to widen margins;
· successive industrial relations reforms and well-anchored inflationary expectations have been the key reason why there has not been a wage-cost push of the type of old. Other factors which have contained wages growth have been rising immigration, increased participation (particularly amongst women) and a shift from part-time to full-time hours, all of which have bolstered the short term supply of labour;
· going forward, a stronger supply response would help alleviate food and oil price pressures in the near term, but it would take much longer for a significant domestic supply response to ease housing and energy cost pressures. The RBA's ability to contain pressures through reducing demand was limited. However, these supply-side constraints were raising the cost-of-living for workers and eroding real wages. It was the shortage of labour and the potential for a wage-cost push which remained the greatest threat. In an environment of strong demand and labour shortages there was a real danger of higher inflationary expectations not only becoming entrenched, but also realised in wage demands;
· assuming the 2008 income tax cuts go ahead the resulting boost to demand would most likely see the economy start to again exceed its speed limit. The boost to household incomes would effectively undo much of the previous work of the RBA in cooling demand. The RBA will want to head off a pick up in consumer spending and it was expected that it would act quickly and put in a 50 basis point rise after the tax cuts in the September quarter 2008 to take the momentum out of household incomes and spending; and
· investment was not as interest rate sensitive as consumer spending. While the credit crunch and weak world outlook may help temper investment, its impact was not expected to be pronounced. The most likely outcome would be for these transitory constraints to delay investment, with the result of extending the boom. 48 Dr Gelber also made the following forecasts:
· the resources boom would continue to run at full steam due to strong demand and slow world supply response;
· infrastructure spending would remain at high levels due to prior under investment in roads, ports, rail, water, electricity and telecommunication; much of which was being undertaken by the public sector which was in a strong financial position to proceed;
· new residential construction in retail, office, warehouse and transport facilities would remain strong;
· residential construction strength in 2007 would be muted by interest rate rises and increased caution, however, the extent of pent-up demand for dwellings would put a floor under the level of construction, even though borrowings were set to rise further;
· generalised business investment would remain strong;
· business investment was forecast to post growth of 9.1 per cent year-on-year in 2008 and increase by 3 per cent in 2009; and
· the cycle of business investment was continually extended by capacity constraints. 49 Dr Gelber noted that in its February monetary policy statement, the RBA gave its latest projections for inflation. The Bank expected inflation to continue to exceed its 2 to 3 per cent target range through 2008 and remain at the top end of its target band in 2009 in the absence of further monetary tightening. Specifically, the RBA forecast headline CPI inflation to rise from 3.0 per cent in the December quarter 2007, to 3.5 per cent in June 2008, and remain at 3.5 per cent in December 2008, before easing to 3.25 per cent in June 2009 and December 2009. Its forecast for its preferred 'underlying' inflation measure was for an increase from 3.6 per cent in December 2007 to 3.75 per cent by June 2008, before gradually easing to 3.5 per cent in December 2008 and to 3.25 per cent in June 2009 and December 2009. This was not only a clear indication of the RBA's intent to bring inflation back towards its target through 2009, Dr Gelber said, but also that the Bank expected inflationary pressures to persist. 50 As for wage inflation, Dr Gelber said it was likely to be a 'slow burn' and because of the influence of institutionalised wage setting it was unlikely there would be a blow-out. However, Dr Gelber said the combination of higher inflationary expectations and intensifying labour shortages was expected to see growth in the LPI pick up to 4.6 per cent by the end of the year, after running at around 4.0 per cent over the past three years. 51 Dr Gelber expected consumer demand to remain robust. With the employment and wage momentum continuing into the first half of calendar 2008, private consumption expenditure was forecast to grow 3.9 per cent in real terms in 2007/08. However, Dr Gelber expected consumer spending growth to slow through 2008/09 - despite rising wages, promised tax cuts and a strong labour market - as a result of monetary tightening by the RBA. Dr Gelber noted that BIS Shrapnel expected the RBA to raise the target for its official cash rate by another 0.5 percentage points in calendar 2008, from 7.25 per cent to 7.75 per cent. 52 As a result, private consumption expenditure was forecast to increase 3.4 per cent in 2008/09. 53 The tightness of the labour market was the critical issue, Dr Gelber said. The challenge was to encourage participation in the labour force in order to provide an adequate supply of labour to service demand.
Combined Employers (evidence of Mr Bennett) 54 The evidence of Mr Bennett for the Combined Employers acknowledged the sustained economic growth of recent years and the historical high employment in New South Wales. 55 Against this background Mr Bennett deposed that there were a number of developments affecting, or likely to affect, the New South Wales economy in 2008 and 2009 that provided reason for caution. These included:
· ongoing turmoil in global, and to a lesser extent Australian, financial markets. Continuing uncertainty as to how this will be resolved and how it will connect with the physical economy;
· a significant slowdown or recession in the US and possibly others such as the UK and Japan;
· an unabated rise in oil prices and many key food prices such as rice;
· direct and indirect effects of continued volatility in the Australian Stock Market and other financial markets;
· the input of twelve consecutive interest rate rises as inflation has moved above 4.2 per cent;
· tighter credit, falling house prices, and rapidly increasing rental costs, reduced housing conditions;
· the input of labour shortages on businesses having to cope with slower demand and rising costs; and
· signs that productivity growth in New South Wales is below trend.
It is also of some concern that the NSW economy has only recently evidenced that it is emerging from lagging behind most other States in its economic performance and this improvement has not yet been established.
The more than a decade of employment expansion in this State has been attributed to a number of factors of which the majority are common to the Australian economy as a whole. These include the microeconomic reforms of the 1980s and 1990s, the above-trend improvement in the nation's productivity during that decade, the rapid expansion of the world economy and financial system and especially in recent years the high growth rates of the Chinese, Indian and other Asian economies and the impact this has had on Australia's resources. The fact the US, UK and many other countries have experienced a relatively long period of expansion has also reinforced the demand for Australian commodities. Falling prices for electronic and other consumer goods originating from Asia and especially the competition and 'innovation' from world and Australian financial markets have also been added to the positive factors that have driven the Australian economy. Finally Federal governments have been able to benefit from the tax revenue generated by the resources boom and growth generally that has allowed surplus budgets and significant government social expenditure. 57 Mr Bennett concluded:
[T]he current economic and business situation in NSW is more uncertain than for some time.
The 2.9 per cent growth in annual employment seen in the February 2008 employment statistics shows very strong underlying demand for skilled labour and the participation rate for Australia at its historic peak at 65.2 per cent. Yet the situation could rapidly change in the light of factors identified in this report.
Average Week Ordinary Time Earnings grew 4.5 per cent in 2007. This is a level which must translate into higher prices.
In a State Wage Determination care must be taken not to create excessive wage pressures on the economy until at least there are more positive signs of a sustainable recovery from the lower growth levels of the last twelve months. Federal Budget
58 During the course of proceedings, on 13 May 2008, the Federal Treasurer delivered the Budget for 2008/09. 59 The Budget Papers provide a statement of the domestic and international economic outlook, which described the Australian economy in the following terms: The Australian economy is expected to grow by 4¼ per cent in 2007-08, compared with 3¾ per cent forecast at Budget. The upward revision reflects a broad-based strengthening in growth in the non-farm sector during the first half of 2007, which is expected to be sustained. Growth is forecast to ease to 3½ per cent in 2008-09. The farm sector is not expected to recover fully from drought over the forecast horizon. Farm GDP is forecast to grow by 14 per cent in 2007-08, which is a significantly weaker recovery than seen in previous droughts.
The forecasts have been prepared in an environment of significant turbulence in global financial markets, triggered by rising default rates on sub-prime mortgages in the US and considerable uncertainty about where the resulting losses ultimately reside. The ongoing implications of this turbulence, while uncertain, clearly introduce downside risks to the outlook. These events have occurred at a time when there has been significant momentum in the domestic and global economies.
World GDP growth is forecast to be 5 per cent in 2007 and 4¾ per cent in 2008. In comparison with Budget, the downward revision to the outlook for 2008 reflects weaker growth in the US. The US housing downturn is likely to continue to weigh on its economy during 2007 and 2008.
Australian economic growth is expected to be broadly based. Strong global demand for mineral and energy resources is continuing to support high terms of trade. Business investment is forecast to grow strongly, underpinned by strong ongoing profitability. Growth in export volumes is expected to accelerate as additional capacity comes on line.
Household consumption is forecast to be stronger than at Budget, supported by strong employment growth and solid wage growth. The forecast for employment growth has increased since Budget, in line with stronger economic conditions and rises in immigration and workforce participation. Dwelling investment growth is expected to pick-up significantly in 2008-09.
Despite some near-term strength, wage and inflation pressures are forecast to ease in 2008-09. This reflects an easing in demand pressures and increasing supply flowing from strong and sustained business investment. Moreover, stronger productivity growth is expected to put downward pressure on unit labour costs.
The risks surrounding the world economy are creating uncertainty for the domestic outlook. While strong world growth is expected to support the domestic economy over the forecast horizon, there is a risk that the slowing in US growth will be more pronounced than expected. This would have broader implications for world trade and financial markets. Tighter global credit conditions would be expected to dampen activity in the domestic economy. In addition, a significant slowdown in world growth could result in commodity price falls. Alternatively, stronger outcomes for the domestic economy are possible if turbulence in financial markets continues to unwind in a relatively benign fashion.
Dry weather conditions and low water storage levels continue to pose a downside risk to the outlook for the farm sector. The forecasts take into account the below-average rainfall over winter and the consequent deterioration in yields in cropping regions as reported in the September quarter 2007 Australian Commodities by the Australian Bureau of Agricultural and Resource Economics (ABARE). The impact of further dry conditions since the publication of the ABARE report, in particular on the New South Wales wheat crop, has also been taken into account. The usual Budget assumption of average seasonal conditions applies for the remainder of the forecast period. However, there is a significant risk to the farm sector if below-average rainfall persists in many parts of Australia.
Table 1 presents the major economic parameters used in preparing the Mid-Year Economic and Fiscal Outlook 2007-08 . The parameters for 2007-08 and 2008-09 are forecasts, while those for 2009-10 and 2010-11 are projections. The projections of economic growth are based on analysis of underlying trends in employment and productivity. As at Budget, iron ore and coal prices are assumed to return to their long-run average level over the two projection years. This is broadly consistent with aggregate non-rural commodity prices retracing almost 50 per cent of their recent gains by the end of the projection period. The projections of inflation are consistent with the medium-term inflation target band. Table 1: Major economic parameters Year-average percentage change. Conclusions regarding Australian economy
60 In 2008/09 the Australian economy is expected to grow by 3.5 per cent, which is a more moderate growth rate than the 4.25 per cent forecast for 2007/08. Yet overall Australian economic growth will remain strong. The growth is broadly based and business investment is forecast to grow strongly, underpinned by strong ongoing profitability. The resource sector is expected to continue its strong growth based on global demand. Further, infrastructure spending is expected to be high. The Federal Budget Papers forecast that household consumption would be stronger than at Budget, supported by strong employment growth and solid wage growth. The forecast for employment growth has increased in line with stronger economic conditions and rises in immigration and workforce participation. Dwelling investment growth was expected to pick up significantly in 2008/09. Despite their present strength, wage and inflation pressures were forecast to ease in 2008/09.
61 There are, nevertheless, risks: slower US growth, tighter global credit conditions, rising oil prices, the effects of continuing dry weather on the farm sector, the effect on businesses of labour shortages and the effect on households of 12 consecutive interest rate rises. There are also concerns about the economy overreaching capacity constraints. 62 Despite these risks, the outlook for the Australian economy remains broadly favourable. The risks are not of such a nature that they would preclude an increase in minimum wages at a level that would provide real assistance to the low paid in New South Wales.
63 In his assessment of the New South Wales economy the Minister submitted:
NSW economic growth softened in 2006-07, with growth in Gross State Product ('GSP') of 1.8 per cent from 2.1 per cent (revised) in 2005-06. Growth in the NSW economy should remain below the national average in 2007-08 reflecting the greater impact of higher interest rates, lower population growth than the rest of Australia, the impact of the drought and comparatively little direct exposure to the recent resource sector boom. Bearing in mind the abovementioned factors, the NSW economy lifted in the second half of 2007 with strong growth in consumer spending, business investment and public sector investment, while employment growth accelerated to a 2.3 per cent annualised pace. State Final Demand ('SFD') has been largely driven by consumer spending growth with strong contributions also from business and public investment. Dwelling investment seems to have stopped declining, though remains at historically low levels with a recovery hampered by ongoing interest rate rises. A strong labour market should continue to support consumer spending growth though some moderation is expected. SFD is expected to grow by 4.0 per cent in 2007-08 with a strong labour market continuing to support consumer spending growth, while public demand growth will be firm. The NSW consumer has thus far remained resilient to recent interest rate rises and increasing petrol prices. Consumer spending grew by a strong 3.7 per cent through the year to the December quarter 2007. Consumers have responded positively to healthy employment conditions and real wage growth, notwithstanding volatility in equity markets and rising mortgage rates. Real retail sales volumes grew by 1.7 per cent in the December 2007 quarter and at a 6.6 per cent annualised rate in the six months to the December quarter 2007.
Housing construction continues to be hampered by higher interest rates, despite underlying demand conditions being favorable. By the December quarter 2006, housing investment had declined by over 23 per cent from its peak in the March quarter 2004. Over the year to the December quarter 2007, there was virtually no growth in housing investment. With low vacancy rates, rising rental prices, renewed growth in established house prices and the recent cuts to developer infrastructure levies, recovery in the housing sector is inevitable, however, it may continue to be delayed by the recent interest rate rises.
Business investment strengthened in response to tight capacity and buoyant demand and remains at historical high levels. Business investment grew by a very strong 12.3 per cent in the year to the December quarter 2007. The recently released Private New Capital Expenditure Survey suggests that further strong growth is likely in 2008-09 (the expected level of spending in 2008-09 is 20 per cent higher in nominal terms than the expectation for spending in 2007-08). In line with the NSW State Infrastructure Strategy, public sector spending growth contributed strongly to State Final Demand. State and local government investment, including both public corporations and general government, rose by 6.0 per cent over the year to the December quarter 2007.
Exports have performed well in NSW, notwithstanding the drought, relatively little direct exposure to the resource sector boom and the appreciation of the Australian dollar, making it harder for NSW export manufacturers to compete. Exports from NSW increased by 4.2 per cent through the year to the December quarter 2007.
The NSW labour market remains in an extremely healthy state, with the unemployment rate at historic lows. In the seven months through to January 2008, the unemployment rate averaged 4.7 per cent. Employment growth has been stronger than expected with growth in the seven months through to January 2008 of 1.9 per cent compared to the same period a year earlier.
In year average terms the Sydney CPI increased by 2.7 per cent in 2006-07. However, the year average increase masked a slowing through the year, with the Sydney CPI increasing by 1.7 per cent through the year to the June quarter 2007. In more recent quarters the Sydney CPI has been trending a little higher due to higher automotive fuel prices, higher costs of financial services and higher housing costs. The Sydney CPI grew by 2.4 per cent through the year to the December quarter 2007, noticeably lower than the national average of 3.0 per cent.
In the first half of 2007-08 the NSW WPI was 3.9 per cent higher than in the corresponding period of 2006-07. National WPI growth was higher at 4.2 per cent for the same period reflecting stronger wages growth in both the public and private sectors. For 2007-08 the NSW WPI is expected to grow by around 4 per cent.
Looking forward for the New South Wales economy The view forward to 2008-09 is fraught with considerable uncertainty as the US housing downturn and credit concerns have continued unabated in recent months and are beginning to affect other sectors of the US economy as growth in incomes and spending declines.
In addition to the problems in the US, rising world oil prices are continuing to drive up inflation, reducing disposable income and lowering corporate profitability.
Further, strong growth in domestic demand and non-farm GDP at a time when capacity constraints are apparent have led to higher inflation prompting the RBA to recently raise rates further and there is an upside risk that the RBA will continue to raise interest rates in 2008.
At the time of the 2007-08 Half-Yearly Budget Review (released in December 2007), NSW Treasury forecasts for major aggregates in 2007-08 were: Table 2: NSW Treasury Forecasts for Major Aggregates in 2007-2008
Unions NSW (evidence of Dr Gelber) 64 In addressing the New South Wales economy, Dr Gelber said:
The NSW economy is Australia's largest economy. In 2006/07, NSW contributed 35 per cent towards national output and accounted for 32 per cent of national employment. Sydney alone accounted for a quarter of Australia's Gross Domestic Product. NSW's GSP per capita remains one of the highest in Australia and in 2006/07 was $46,614.
The NSW economy is fundamentally sound. While the state's aggregate output has not grown in line with the rest of Australia over recent years, the underlying fundamentals of the economy are positive. The underperformance of the NSW economy can largely be explained by boom-like conditions experienced by resource rich states (WA and QLD) - which have given a boost to Australian GDP growth rates; the severe droughts in 2003 and 2007 and the negative impact of the higher exchange rate on tradeables, in particular, the manufacturing, tourism related sectors, education and business services. Early in the decade, the important international tourism sector was affected by global shocks such as terrorism fears and the SARS virus as well. The protracted downturn in the housing market from 2004 to 2007 has also been a contributing factor to the below national average performance of the economy. Indeed, given the lack of minerals investment stimulus and the negative impact of the high Australian dollar, NSW economic growth has held up reasonably well.
Going forward, our expectation is that many of the present negatives for the NSW economy are on the wane. We expect the property market to turn around and residential building to recover. Engineering construction work done, while still in a pause, is forecast to be higher than the average of last five years. That is, investment is predicted to return to a more 'normal' level and this should drive employment and push the economic growth of NSW closer to the national average during 07/08 financial year. There is a high probability that severe drought conditions in NSW will ease, with a significant rebound predicted for the winter grain crop, dairy output, rice and cotton. The dollar is expected to gradually come off its current highs during 2008/09 although it is likely to remain higher than its historical levels. The easing in the exchange rate should assist in a recovery of the manufacturing and tourism sectors. We are of the view that the gap between the national and state growth rates will narrow substantially by the end of 2008/09 financial year, and economic growth in NSW will be stronger next decade.
65 Interest rates had suppressed housing construction, however, dwelling construction had now fallen to a level in New South Wales where not enough was being built to satisfy underlying demand for dwellings. This had resulted in a significant deficiency of residential stock. Already, the shortage of stock was leading to strong increases in rents. It was envisaged that strong demand for property over the medium term would lead to robust dwelling construction activity over the same period.
66 What this meant, according to Dr Gelber, was that in calendar 2008, the housing construction cycle should go back on the upward phase and as a result it would start making a positive contribution to New South Wales' economic growth over the next two years and beyond.
67 The slowdown in housing growth had been offset by a 23 per cent increase in other investment components, particularly plant and equipment, and ongoing construction: see Chart 1:
Chart 1: Total investment and components, New South Wales - constant 2004/05 prices
Capacity utilisation in New South Wales was in trend with the national capacity utilisation which were at historic highs: see Chart 2:
68 The New South Wales economy was expected to record moderate to strong growth over the short to medium term. After experiencing a modest growth of 1.8 per cent in 2006/07, it was predicted that the New South Wales economy would rebound strongly in 2007/08 and register its strongest pace of economic growth since 2000/01. It was forecast that Gross State Product ('GSP'), on the back of healthy investment activity, would grow by 3.1 per cent in 2007/08. The economy was expected to strengthen further in 2008/09 with continued solid consumer spending, recovery in the housing sector, significant non-dwelling building construction driving growth and a rebound in the state's farm output pushing growth in GSP to 3.9 per cent - the same as predicted for Australian GDP. 69 Dr Gelber deposed that investment would be the key driver of the New South Wales economy going forward. He said:
We are of the view that engineering construction activity over the next two years will remain close to the peak level of 2005/06 when real work done exceeded $10 billion. A host of projects aimed at upgrading infrastructure including providing for water security is expected to keep total activity at above $10 billion through to 2009. We are forecasting new public investment to grow by 3.5 per cent in 2007/08 and a further 1.3 per cent in 2008/09.
All things considered, BIS Shrapnel is predicting a turnaround in total construction activity, (measured as the sum residential, non-residential and engineering construction) which will drive private investment to a fresh peak of nearly $70 billion in 2008/09 (chart 13). This, in turn, will underpin solid growth in SFD resulting in a lifting of the GSP growth rate to that of the national average. Over the next two years, we expect the NSW economy to record its fastest pace of economic growth in eight years. 70 Employment growth was forecast to remain strong, averaging 2.3 per cent in 2007/08 and 1.9 per cent in 2008/09. 71 Dr Gelber analysed the key employment sectors. His evidence was:
White Collar: Comprising communications, finance and insurance services, property and business services, government administration and defence, grew by 2.6 per cent and constituted nearly one half of NSW employment growth in 2006/07. This was expected to ease in 2007/08, then robust transitional activity was expected to support employment growth of 2.9 per cent in this sector over 2008/09. Goods Distribution, Which included wholesale, retail, trade and accommodation, cafes and restaurants, should be underpinned by solid growth in household increases and consumer spending. Healthy business conditions and an easing Australian dollar would assist in reaching growth of 2.4 per cent in 2007/08 and 1.6 per cent in 2008/09. Tourism and Hospitality: Manufacturing Sector: Employment was forecast to increase by 4 per cent over 2007/08 and 2008/09 fuelled by a recovery in residential construction, non-residential and engineering construction. Labour Supply: The labour market was forecast to remain tight overall.
72 The New South Wales unemployment rate was expected to remain in the 4.0 to 4.6 per cent band over the next year, along with a higher participation rate. Dr Gelber said: Participation in the labour force in New South Wales remains healthy. In February 2008, the participation rate was 63.5 per cent of the civilian population aged 15 years and over. Much of the increase in the participation rate has occurred in the past couple of years in response to higher wages and a reasonably firm labour market. We expect to see further rises in the labour participation rate over the next few years while job opportunities keep growing and labour market conditions remain tight.
Labour productivity growth in New South Wales is expected to build on the 2006/07 result after plunging in the two previous years. Labour productivity growth, or growth in output per person employed is calculated using GSP and GDP to measure output for New South Wales and Australia, respectively. Chart 15 shows that labour productivity growth in New South Wales has underperformed Australia since the Asian crisis of 1997/98 with the exception of 2000/01. Chart 16 and Chart 17 shows growth in output, employment and labour productivity for Australia and New South Wales, respectively. In New South Wales, labour productivity slumped in 2005-06 primarily because employment growth was robust, particularly in the white collar sector, without a commensurate rise in output (as measured by the ABS).
Going forward, as GSP outpaces employment growth, we expect labour productivity growth for NSW to continue to build on its recent momentum and exceed its long-run average level of 1.5 per cent. Our expectation is that labour productivity in New South Wales will grow by 0.8 per cent in 2007/08 and by 1.9 per cent in 2008/09. 73 Dr Gelber supported the 4.5 per cent wage claim put by Unions NSW on the following grounds:
Unions NSW's claim for a 4.5 per cent increase in award wages for employees in the New South Wales Industrial Relations Commission's jurisdiction has a strong basis. It is justified on the following grounds:
(1) the overall health of the State economy is sound and is expected to gain strength over the next two years,
(2) the proposed wage rise is consistent with the RBA's inflation target and overall movements in national wages,
(3) changes in cost-of-living for workers covered under the proposed award have been higher - and will continue to be higher - than weighted average CPI inflation,
(4) the proposed wage rise is affordable as the markets in which the employers' operate are expected to be strong, and
(5) in the absence of a sufficient wage rise, retention of employees will become more difficult as the labour market tightens. A 4.5 per cent wage rise is consistent with the RBA's inflation target . The claim is not expected to add to pressures which will push CPI price inflation beyond the RBA's upper limit of 3 per cent.
Given long-term labour productivity growth of around 1.5 per cent per annum, wages growth of 4.5 per cent would leave unit labour costs growth at around 3 per cent per annum, i.e., close to the RBA's upper limit of its inflation target band.… Improvements in productivity growth brought about by new capacity coming on-stream from the current (and most recent) investment boom will put downward pressure on unit labour costs and, by extension, on price inflation through 2008/09.
In addition, the RBA has maintained the view that average wage movements above 4.5 per cent per annum are inconsistent with its inflation target, and would therefore require an increase in interest rates in order to ultimately weaken labour demand and reduce wages growth. Accordingly, a 4.5 per cent award wage rise, if granted, is consistent with the RBA's inflation target and macroeconomic control of the economy.
74 The evidence of Dr Gelber was that the economic environment had fundamentally changed from that of the 1990s and early this decade when the unemployment created by the 1990s recession meant that the economy was operating with excess labour. It took 15 years to claw back the unemployment rate from 11 per cent to below 5 per cent. Now, the problem was not the shortage of jobs, but the shortage of labour to fill them. 75 The pool of labour resources was diminishing at a rapid rate and a strong pent-up demand for labour remained. 76 In New South Wales, job vacancies as a proportion of persons employed in the key sectors in which the award dependent workers affected by this claim were concentrated, have been on an upward trend since the early 1990s. However, the rate of growth had been noticeably larger over the last two years. This implied that job vacancies had been growing at a faster rate than employment growth in those sectors, again reflecting the tightness of the present labour market.
Combined Employers (evidence of Mr Bennett) 77 Mr Bennett noted that gaps between New South Wales' economic progress and other States had diminished. However, it was too early to be sure this momentum would be maintained. 78 Mr Bennett observed that while any State wage increase would only apply to workers on relevant State awards, the impact on the State economy would be even more significant as it could increase wage pressures from workers not directly affected. 79 Mr Bennett stated that:
· any wage increase that exceeded the capacity of New South Wales businesses to absorb it through productivity improvements had implications for prices, profitability and other economic outcomes;
· retail, accommodation, restaurant, and to a lesser extent wholesale and transport, were particularly sensitive to a WPI at this time;
· the not-for-profit community sector generated approximately 7 per cent of New South Wales GDP. These organisations were not constitutional corporations, they employed a large number of casuals, and were not guaranteed funding to meet a wage increase. 80 In his affidavit Mr Bennett expressed the view that: [T]he world and to a lesser but significant extent Australian and NSW economies are moving into a difficult and uncertain period. It is, of course, possible that the optimism of the RBA and other economists will prove to be true for the larger corporations, the mining companies, many people in capital cities, highly skilled workers and others who are in a stronger position to cope with the predicted 'slow down'. It may well be less true for lower skilled workers employed in small businesses in industries more susceptible to any reduction in demand or cost increases beyond a capacity to pay. 81 Mr Bennett identified a number of major economic issues facing the New South Wales economy, which he contended should be taken into account by the Commission when making the State Wage Case Decision: Underutilisation of labour
· There were a significant number of employees who did not obtain all the hours of employment they would like, as well as a proportion of the 700,000 people on disability pensions who could be regarded as potential members of the workforce. Despite the skills shortage, economic issues and steadily rising national wealth, there were still many people locked out of the workforce. These included some of the self employed, many of whom closed their businesses as it became too difficult or unrewarding to operate, and those in older age groups;
· the reasons for the underutilisation of this group of approximately 1 million people were complex and included lack of skills, insufficient demand and the difficulty, risks and costs of employing labour, which were all rising.
· Noting that measures of productivity were not accurate and there was considerable debate about what had been the productivity growth in the last few years, multifactor productivity had been low or declining over time;
· research strongly indicated that adaptability and flexibility were cornerstones of the surge in productivity and economic growth in the 1990's and that future productivity growth to protect against the effect of labour cost increases becoming a major driver of inflation was uncertain.
· The economic and business environment was increasingly more worrying for many in this sector. The small business sector was less optimistic than large or medium sized firms. Despite some relief from drought, the small business sector in rural areas continued to face market difficulties. Interest rates had risen more quickly for this sector than for households; and
· labour flexibility had become easier for small business in recent years, which allowed a response to rising costs in either a planned or ad hoc way by shedding labour or not taking up new workers at the rate they came on the market.
· There were some 30,000 workers employed under the Social and Community Services Employees (State) Award in the Community Services Sector. There was a growing demand for, and diversity of services required by, the community. The financial stress in the sector arises from the following:
the direct cost of providing services had increased in excess of the CPI or Award, as increased service needs, rising employee qualifications and skills had increased the wages bill;
infrastructure costs had risen faster than funding provided for the purpose, i.e., administration, insurance, workers' compensation, operation of vehicles and equipment and similar costs have risen by 4 to 6 per cent whilst funding had increased by 3 per cent;
compliance costs described as those needing to meet regulatory requirements had risen further than funding; and
the result of this was that continuing inflation and any significant increases in wage levels could restrict the ability to provide services. The Australian Retailers Association
82 The ARA referred to the ANZ Bank Industry Report on the Retail Trade issued on 20 March 2008, the Institute of Melbourne/Westpac Consumer Sentiment Index, March 2008, and the ACCI-Westpac Survey of Industrial Trends in putting its submission that:
· the retail industry recorded a very strong performance in 2007 which was underlined by record pre-Christmas sales. Since then, the start of the new calendar year has witnessed a significant decline in retail sales, thereby giving retailers cause for concern on the unsustainable financial position they are potentially confronting;
· the combined pressures of successive RBA official interest rate increases, major banks unilateral increases in their loan rates along with the general inflationary pressures flowing through the economy create a downturn in business and consumer confidence levels;
· retail sales growth based on February 2008 and those for March 2008 indicate that the retail cycle is now in decline with the year on year growth dropping from 8% (in nominal terms) December 2007 to approximately 5.7% for March 2008;
· the trend indicates that it will approach approximately 4% year on year, by the end of the second quarter of 2008 with the likelihood that it may go below this figure with some retail categories likely to report negative growth. The Institute of Melbourne/Westpac Consumer Sentiment Index showed the lowest index figure for 15 years; and
· the Australian economy is currently in a state of paradox - record job levels, low unemployment levels and strong growth in incomes, while facing successive interest rate increases and turmoil in the financial marketplace. These factors show a severe denting consumer spending, and consumer/business confidence levels. 83 It was submitted that retail turnover rates had a history of volatility, with the most severe downturn having been suffered by the smaller retailers over the past decade. It was the smaller retailers that were affected by the present claim. The ARA submitted that the assumption by Dr Gelber of continuing high New South Wales economic growth and business confidence was not supported by the latest retail turnover and business confidence levels. Nevertheless, the ARA did not oppose a moderate increase in minimum wages targeted at the low paid, which took into account the increasing level of economic uncertainty emerging in 2008. 84 It was submitted that the Full Bench should have particular regard to the following:
· the retail industry is the single largest employment sector at 15.1 per cent of the Australian Labour Market, the majority of which, 33.8 per cent, is located in New South Wales;
· the history of employment in the retail sector demonstrates volatility, and a capability within the retail sector to rapidly adjust employment levels to match economic activity. The current economic uncertainty should provide a warning that a wage increase could result in reduced levels of employment; and
· the retail industry suffers a higher disproportionate effect in minimum wage increases than other industry due to deregulated trading hours and penalties across all retail awards. 85 The ARA submitted that retailers had been able to maintain prices to consumers as well as profit margins due to the cost of goods, principally from China, and the value of the Australian dollar compared to the US dollar. The ARA warned that this would not be sustainable into the future as the cost of goods was affected by inflation of 8 per cent in China, together with an emerging shortage of labour by Chinese manufacturers, and wages growth year-on-year of 17 per cent. Conclusions regarding the New South Wales economy
86 Undoubtedly, the New South Wales economy continues to lag behind the faster growing resource-driven economies and although there has been some degree of catch-up in recent months, we do note what Mr Bennett said, that it is too early to be sure this momentum would be maintained. 87 This degree of uncertainty about the future direction of the New South Wales economy, which is fuelled by the US housing downturn, credit concerns, a high Australian dollar affecting particularly the manufacturing sector in the State, rising world oil prices and reducing disposable income must have the effect of lowering the ceiling on what increases might be sensibly affordable. Against this, some improvement is expected by gains in the New South Wales property market and an increase in residential building. Investment levels may also relatively improve. In the result, we consider that the New South Wales economy has the capacity to sustain a moderate increase for the low paid without it impacting adversely on employment or growth. It would be ludicrous to suggest to the contrary. No party contended that a wage increase was unaffordable and it could not be otherwise, given the generally positive outlook for the Australian economy. 88 As Dr Gelber stated in his evidence, the New South Wales economy is fundamentally sound. The 2007/08 New South Wales Budget Papers indicated that economic growth was expected to strengthen from 1.5 per cent in 2006/07 to 2.5 per cent in 2007/08. State final demand growth was expected to improve from 2.5 to 3.5 per cent. Further, that:
In the year ahead the drivers of economic growth will broaden, with continued solid support from public investment and consumer demand, moderate recoveries in dwelling and business investment, and an improvement in exports. 89 The fact is, as we later point out, that the impact on the State's economy of awarding the increase sought would be negligible. Given the current state of the New South Wales economy and its forecast performance over the next 12 months it is able to comfortably sustain an increase in minimum wages struck at a level that will adequately recognise the position of low paid workers, especially given the increase in food and fuel prices, without any adverse consequences for growth or employment.
90 The Minister submitted material examining income and expenditure characteristics of low paid workers and households, emphasising the need to maintain a minimum wage at a level to avoid the development of a class of working poor. 91 In addressing the needs of low paid workers the Minister provided analyses of the income and expenditure characteristics of low paid households. The Minister submitted:
· the mean gross household income per week for those in the lowest and second lowest income quintiles is $752 and $1091 respectively, compared to $1212 for all households;
· the average weekly expenditure of households in the lowest income quintile is $438.94 and $609.39 for households in the second lowest income quintile. By contrast, expenditure across all households is $947.51, as seen in Table 3 below;
· for households in the two lowest income quintiles, meeting the costs of food and non-alcoholic beverages, housing, and transport represents more than half of these households' total expenditure on all goods and services;
· the costs of other essentials such as domestic fuel and power, and household services and operation also represent a significantly higher proportion of expenditure for households in the two lowest income quintiles than for all other households. When compared against income based on the minimum wage, currently $531.40, after expenditure on these necessities there is little left over for those in the lowest income quintiles. 92 It was submitted that the most disadvantaged were those in the bottom quartile with no housing equity, with more than half of those in this group unable to raise $2,000 in a week in the event of an emergency, with a significant proportion reporting that they could not pay a utility bill on time. In this regard it was observed that:
· non-homeowners comprised 30 per cent of all Australian households yet represented approximately three quarters of households experiencing greater financial difficulties such as going without meals, pawning or selling possessions, or seeking welfare assistance; and
· such financial stresses jeopardise household stability and formation, as well as the wellbeing of children. Raising the minimum wage helps to ameliorate the pressures low income earners face when meeting essential and emergency costs. 93 On wage dispersion and income inequality, the Minister said:
· Australians are paid wages which compare favourably with those in other advanced countries, but many Australians are low paid compared with other Australian workers;
· the incidence of low pay for wage earners has increased from 14 per cent of the labour force in the mid-1990s to 20 per cent in 2003; and
· the majority of wage earners whose main income is earned from non-traditional forms of work, such as casual, labour hire and contract work, are located in the lowest income decile. For most families living below median income, the primary wage earner is employed in non-traditional work. 94 Although the award system and annual safety net adjustments have moderated wage inequality, the Minister submitted there had been a steady decline in the minimum wage compared to median earnings and average weekly earnings, as demonstrated by Tables 4 and 5:
95 In addressing the characteristics of low paid employment, the Minister submitted:
· working arrangements impact on the well-being of individuals and society. A worker's sense of economic security and overall well-being can be affected by aspects of employment such as pay, conditions and tenure of employment, and the degree of opportunity or risk associated with the work;
· award reliant and low paid employment is concentrated in the hospitality, retail and service based industries;
· those at the lowest end of the award classifications fit most definitions of low pay; others are low paid because they are not covered by an award, or do not receive their award entitlements;
· more than half of workers earning less than $500 a week rely on awards, as do a third of those who earn between $500 and $700 per week. These are the types of workers who will benefit from an increase to award rates of pay from the 2008 State Wage Case;
· awards are the primary source of determining pay for almost a quarter of all female employees and of all female casual employees almost half are award reliant. By occupation, industry, and employment status, women are most likely to be concentrated in jobs affected by minimum wage regulation as almost a quarter of all female employees are award reliant and of all female casual employees almost one half are award reliant; and
· low skill and low paid jobs are associated with industries and occupations in which casual work is prevalent. 96 In the lower skilled clerical and labouring occupations, it was submitted that casual employment was 47 per cent and 56 per cent respectively, compared to a low incidence of casual employment in the higher skilled areas of professionals, 13 per cent, and managers, 6 per cent. 97 Churn between low paid work and unemployment was prevalent, as was churn between non-traditional forms of employment. Low paid employment did not, in general, provide upward mobility or career stepping-stones to better jobs or ongoing employment, the Minister said. 98 The Minister also submitted that:
· casual workers are most unlike ongoing employees, tending to work part-time, be young, female, less skilled, and are 6 per cent more prevalent in regional and remote areas than in cities;
· the Productivity Commission has found that the 'stepping stone model' cannot be applied generally to the groups predominantly employed in low paid and casual jobs, and in particular to women who are married, people with a disability, and those who have spent long periods out of the labour market;
· low paid workers encounter systemic and structural impediments which also reduce or limit their labour market mobility;
· at an individual level, low paid workers face proportionally higher costs in looking for, or moving to, higher paid work, such as time off and travel costs to attend interviews; and
· the concentration of certain types of workers in low paid industries and occupations is indicative of structural factors within the labour market. A reasonable increase in award rates of pay for these disadvantaged workers will help ameliorate their precarious labour market status. Vulnerable Workers 99 On vulnerable workers and low pay, the Minister submitted that:
· certain labour market groups are disproportionately represented among the low paid. Women, Indigenous, migrant, young, non-unionised workers, those employed in small firms, and workers with a disability are those most likely to be low paid; and
· low pay is generally found in jobs which are socially downgraded and/or performed by classes of workers with low labour market status and bargaining power. These devalued jobs are filled by people disadvantaged in the competition for better paid jobs. The concentration of 'women, ethnic minorities, people with low educational attainment, the young and the old' demonstrates the social valuation of jobs and their incumbents. 100 The Minister submitted that women were more likely than men to trade off wages against conditions, which helped them meet their disproportionate caring, family and household responsibilities. This, among other factors, such as unsuitable hours and difficulty finding childcare, tended to ensure these workers remained in casual and part-time work with minimal labour mobility; all of which negatively affected their individual bargaining power leaving them more reliant on award regulation. 101 It was further submitted that there was a widening diversity in the social groups taking up part-time and casual jobs. Older persons' labour market participation was now at its highest on record; mature age men's participation has risen significantly in the past five years, after more than 25 years of decline. The underlying factor affecting older people's increased participation was their employment in part-time work, it was submitted. 102 The Minister noted that in New South Wales 26.8 per cent of part-time workers sought full-time jobs in July 2005. More recent national data showed that 61 per cent of underemployed part-time workers were women. ('Underemployed' was defined as those workers who worked less than full-time hours, wanted more hours of work, and were available to work).
· young people aged 15-19 years represent a significant section of the labour market in NSW, with a participation rate of 57.2 per cent in February 2008, of whom 61 per cent were employed on a part-time basis. It is estimated there are more than 150,000 young workers under the age of 18 years employed in NSW;
· overall, children's employment is concentrated in areas and occupations subject directly to a state award, or indirectly to a 'comparable' state award through the operation of the IR (Child Employment) Act. On this basis, almost all working children in NSW will benefit from a positive adjustment to minimum wages;
· young people are generally employed in occupations which are less skilled, reflecting their lower levels of work experience and educational attainment;
· young people's concentration in these industries and occupations means they are most likely to be casual and reliant on awards for their conditions and minimum wage increases to improve their pay;
· the Young People and Work Survey, commissioned by the Office of Industrial Relations in 2005, identified a high degree of confusion among young workers as to their employment status, suggesting that they are unlikely to be able to bargain individually for improvements in their pay, making them more reliant on centralized wage setting;
· the Children at Work report, commissioned by the Commission for Children and Young People in 2005, revealed around 20 per cent of children work around school hours, which demonstrates young workers' limited capacity to increase their hours of work, should they wish or need to increase their earnings to maintain their incomes in real terms. Positive adjustment to the minimum wage assists in containing children's employment to reasonably short weekly hours;
· young people experience high job insecurity, low and underpaid wages, poor occupational health and safety, unsatisfactory working conditions and problems such as bullying and harassment;
· young workers are unlikely to hold the bargaining power to achieve conditions which assist them to balance their other responsibilities such as study, to achieve above award outcomes, or to ensure occupational health and safety training has been provided; and
· positive adjustments to award rates of pay support young workers to continue to meet cost of living increases and protect against the need for young workers to increase hours of work to maintain their income in real terms. Experience of Indigenous Workers
· Australia's Indigenous people are disproportionately represented among the low skilled, low paid and unemployed, compared to the non-Indigenous population;
· nationally, of all Indigenous persons who are employed (excluding participants in Community Development Employment Program) 38 per cent reported working part-time and 60 per cent worked in low skilled occupations. Indigenous workers are also highly concentrated in unskilled work: 25 per cent of jobs held by Indigenous people are unskilled compared to 9 per cent across the population; and
· by these measures, it is clear Indigenous workers are structurally and socially disadvantaged in competition for employment. Their concentration in unskilled and low-skill work, and their significantly lower incomes compared to the non-Indigenous population suggest weak actual and potential individual bargaining power. Migrant Workers
105 In addressing the experience of migrant workers, the Minister submitted:
· the labour market success of migrants is largely dependent on personal attributes such as English proficiency, age, educational qualifications and previous work experience. Australia's migration program has two streams: a skill stream and a family stream. The participation rate of skill stream migrants was 65.5 per cent, compared to 50.5 per cent for family stream migrants;
· family stream migrant and overseas born workers are overrepresented in sectors with low pay and limited security, in particular outwork and contract cleaning. Those most vulnerable are those with low skill levels and limited proficiency in English; and
· many migrant workers are overwhelmingly employed in non-unionised workplaces and are consequently deprived of opportunities to secure improved working conditions through enterprise bargaining. Workers with a disability
106 On workers with a disability, the Minister submitted:
· the labour market experience of people with a disability is indicative of labour market vulnerability. Just over half of all people with a disability participate in the labour force compared with four in five people without a disability. The employment rate of people with a disability was considerably lower (49 per cent) than those with no reported disability ( 77 per cent);
· people with a disability are further marginalised in the labour market in two significant ways: around 60 per cent of people with a disability have ten or less years of schooling; and many people with a disability live in regional areas where rent is cheaper, but there are fewer jobs; and
· on this basis it is evident that marginal and precarious attachment to the workforce is persistent for workers with a disability. These workers face high costs participating in work, including the cost of specialised transport arrangements and the potential loss of income from pension payments. The weak labour market position of this category of workers suggests the benefit of a real wage increase through the award system will positively assist these workers to meet their living and health needs. Unions NSW
107 As we recorded earlier, Unions NSW called evidence from a number of witnesses, some of whom were required for cross-examination. Ms McInnes
108 Ms Elaine McInnes was 62 years old. She was employed by a family partnership as a casual shop assistant in a bakery at Woolgoolga on the State's mid-North Coast. Ms McInnes had been employed in this capacity for 16 years. She was engaged pursuant to the Shop Employees (State) Award and paid the minimum rate provided by the Award, which she believed was $19.10 per hour inclusive of the 1/12th annual leave component payable in accordance with the Annual Holidays Act 1944. Ms McInnes' hours of available work varied, resulting in pre-tax average earnings for the past 12 months of $316.33 per week. 109 Ms McInnes lived with her husband and both received social security payments, which were reduced, dependent upon earnings from employment. The combined fortnightly household income was between $1400 and $1500. 110 Ms McInnes detailed fortnightly expenditure of $1252.05. Ms McInnes deposed that:
My income restricts our quality of life by providing just enough in addition to our social security payments for the necessities of life, with little left for recreation or leisure. There are many other things we would like to do that others take for granted. We simply cannot afford those things because of the limitations imposed by our income.
The increasing cost of living, particularly associated with food, groceries and petrol, is challenging for a family on a modest income. A decent wage increase will assist my husband and I to meet our daily living expenses in frugal comfort. Ms Maguire 111 Ms Helen Maguire was 62 years of age. Ms Maguire gave evidence in the 2007 State Wage Case: see [97]. 112 Ms Maguire continued in her employment as a senior hairdresser within the Northern Sydney Central Coast Health Services, working 28 hours per week over four days. Ms Maguire was engaged pursuant to the Hairdressers', &c. (State) Award. She received only those payments prescribed by the Award, resulting in a weekly wage of $586.05. 113 Ms Maguire detailed her weekly expenditure, the bulk of which was food, rates, medical and motor vehicle expenses of $566.00 per week, resulting in a surplus of income over expenditure of $20.05 per week. 114 The evidence of Ms Maguire in the 2007 State Wage Case was that she then had an income of $550.21 per week and living expenses of $494.00 per week, a surplus income over expenditure of $56.21 per week. Ms Maguire was $36.16 per week worse off after living costs in 2008 than she was in 2007. 115 Ms Maguire repeated her evidence of 2007, adding that, having regard to her age and the limited opportunity to keep up with the latest styles as a result of working entirely within the hospital system, it would be difficult for her to obtain alternative employment within the hairdressing industry, which further restricted her ability to bargain at the enterprise level. 116 Ms Maguire deposed that any wage increase she received depended entirely upon the decision of this Commission in the annual State Wage Case. Mr Bali 117 Mr Stephen Bali gave evidence in the 2007 State Wage Case: see [98]. 118 It was Mr Bali's evidence that:
The majority of employees that work in the Hairdressing and Beauty Therapy Industry are female (approximately 91%) with a large proportion being young or working mothers.
The AWU has attempted to negotiate enterprise agreements with no success. The majority of small businesses prefer to pay only the award rate. There have been many instances where the award rate and conditions have not been complied with. The Award allows for a basic bench-mark rate to be maintained.
Small businesses are unlikely to pay above the award rates due to:
· The industry is characterised by a very high level of business failures;
· Lack of good financial or administration skills of business owners;
· The transient nature of many employees due to low wages and conditions. The transient nature of employees is primarily related to two factors. Firstly, many hairdressers suffer from poor morale in the workplace due to the extended hours and the inappropriate treatment they receive from their employer; and, secondly, the current wages and working conditions are far below the average of all tradespeople.
Many hairdressers are desperately calling out for an Award increase because it is difficult to maintain a reasonable standard of living. It is difficult to enjoy a reasonable social life based on the Hairdressers or Beauticians wages. Hairdressers and beauticians are also increasingly travelling longer distances to work since they do not have the ability to pay for accommodation and maintain a reasonable standard of living near their work place.
The State Wage Case is extremely important to the vast majority of hairdressers in New South Wales. To my knowledge there is:
· no enterprise agreement in place in New South Wales;
· the ability to negotiate above award conditions only happens to limited number of employees;
· many employees lose penalty rates, overtime rates and allowances for either a fractional increase in the hourly rate or based on achieving a target to earn a bonus. Therefore, an employee could work many hours of overtime and not be paid because the target was not achieved;
· there are instances where the employer has not been paying superannuation which will impact on the hairdressers ability to retire or their standard of living in retirement.
Australian Workplace Agreements are increasingly being used with the Award being the basis of the agreement with the stripping away of penalty rates, holiday loading and security of employment by making employees become casual. 119 Mr Bali added that 9,180 people were employed as hairdressers, approximately 65 per cent of whom earned less than $500 per week; and 2,557 were employed as beauticians, approximately 60 per cent of whom earned less than $500 per week. 120 All hairdressers and beauticians employed by unincorporated businesses, which Mr Bali said accounted for approximately 25 per cent of the industry, and those employed by the Government in the Health sector, were employed pursuant to the State Award. 121 Mr Bali's evidence was that the ABS graded hairdressers and mechanical engineering tradespersons at the same skill level, though there was a significant difference in remuneration. 122 Mr Bali provided a comparison (see Tables 6 and 7 below) of award wages to demonstrate the importance of the award for hairdressers and their lack of capacity to bargain compared to metal tradespersons.
The ABS identifies that both the metal trades (mechanical engineering tradesperson) and hairdressers are classified as Skill Level 3. Based on the data produced by the ABS Employee Earnings and Hours Survey, (Australia, May 2004) indicates while 60.6% of hairdressers rely on award variations as the sole method for wage increases, only 7.4% of the metal trades rely on the Award variations.
123 Mr Bali deposed that a vast number of hairdressers relied upon the State Wage Case outcome to obtain a wage that would allow a reasonable standard of living and to retain hairdressers in the industry.
124 Mr Bali detailed a range of difficulties found by those in the industry including loss of tool allowance, need to travel long distances, as well as the lack of bargaining capacity. Mr Davies 125 Mr Kenneth Davies has been a member of the Automotive, Food, Metals, Engineering, Printing and Kindred Industries Union ('AMWU') since 1987. Mr Davies had been with his current employer for two years, engaged in the installation of air conditioning units and plant equipment in commercial buildings. 126 Mr Davies deposed that for a significant period of his working life he has been employed pursuant to agreements negotiated by the AMWU, which provided for percentage pay increases. Mr Davies was currently employed in accordance with an enterprise agreement negotiated by the AMWU, which provided for a base rate of $26.20 per hour plus allowances and a 4 per cent increase annually over each of the three years of the agreement. Mr Walker 127 Mr Brett Walker was 49 years old and had been employed as an Electrical Tradesperson since 1992. Mr Walker had been employed in his present position as a full time day worker for eight years. Mr Walker worked 36 hours per week on a 40 hour per week roster which afforded him a regular rostered day off. 128 Mr Walker was employed pursuant to the Heyday Group Sydney, ACC Major Projects Divisions, Heyday Electrics Major Projects Division Enterprise Agreement 2005 - 2008. He was paid at grade 5 (Certificate of Registration) under the enterprise agreement. Mr Walker provided a comparison of his wages pursuant to the agreement and the Electrical, Electronic and Communications Contracting Industry (State) Award. 129 The rate of pay provided by the agreement had been increased by 2 per cent each six months from December 2002 to March 2006, when a 4 per cent increase was applied, then returning to 2 per cent each six months from April 2002. 130 The agreement provided for a weekly rate of pay of $1015.92 for a 36 hour week from October 2007. The award which was varied on 28 September 2007 to incorporate the 2007 State Wage increase provided for a weekly rate of pay of $747.84 for a 38 hour week. Mr Walker was currently paid $268.08 more than the award rate for a 38 hour week. Dr Watson 131 Dr Ian Watson was an official researcher with considerable expertise in quantitative data analysis with a particular interest and expertise in labour market research, particularly in the area of low wage employment. 132 Dr Watson was a Senior Research Fellow at the Australian Centre for Industrial Relations Research and Training, University of Sydney from March 1994 to the end of 2006 when he took up his current position with Macquarie University. 133 Dr Watson was commissioned by Unions NSW to prepare a report dealing with low paid workers in NSW using the Household Income and Labour Dynamics in Australia Survey ('HILDA') initiated and funded by the Commonwealth Department of Families, Community Services and Indigenous Affairs and managed by the Melbourne Institute of Applied Economic and Social Research. 134 Dr Watson's evidence was that:
This survey is unique in Australia: it provides comprehensive longitudinal data on a large number of respondents over a five year period (from 2001 to 2006) and its sample has been carefully selected to be representative of the Australian population. As well as individual information on respondents, HILDA also provides household information on those respondents. It is thus ideally suited for the second task of examining the household circumstances of low paid employees.
The key findings and arguments made in the report include:
· there were just over 800,000 adult low paid employees in NSW in 2006. This represented about 36 per cent of the adult employee workforce. Of these, about 180,000 were on or below the Award Classification Rate, a proportion of about 8 per cent;
· women, young people and single people are over-represented in the low paid workforce, as are early school leavers;
· low paid workers are concentrated in just a few industries. Nearly one fifth in retail trade and another 14 per cent are in health and community services. About 12 per cent are in manufacturing and another 11 per cent in property and businesses services. The industry profile for those on or below the Award Classification Rate is similar, though somewhat more dispersed. Manufacturing is less significant and education is more prominent;
· low paid workers are also concentrated in small firms. Low levels of trade union membership, little participation in training and high levels of casualisation are hallmarks of the low paid workforce;
· in the case of the lowest paid workers (those on or below the Award Classification Rate) the proportion who are members of a trade union is just under 11 per cent. This makes access to collective bargaining for low paid workers considerably restricted;
· low paid jobs are associated with high levels of part-time employment. Under-employment is also more prevalent among low paid workers, particularly among those on or below the Award Classification Rate. This situation has not improved since 2001;
· lone parents are over-represented in those households where low paid workers live, but the number of children present does not vary by wage group. Low paid workers are also over-represented in the rental market and under-represented among those buying a home;
· households where low paid workers live have a greater reliance on government payments than do other households. Their disposable income falls behind other households, yet many of their expenses are comparable to these households, particularly groceries and transport. Low paid workers also face disproportionately higher housing costs; and
· about one fifth of low paid workers are in households facing 'housing stress', where more than 30 per cent of gross household income goes on housing costs. These workers are also much more likely to face episodes of financial hardship, and to face restricted access to cash and credit. CCER 135 CCER sought an order or award of the Commission in accordance with s 52 of the Act, the effect of which is to provide: ... a minimum wage for those adult employees within the Commission's jurisdiction whose employment is not currently governed by an industrial instrument as defined in s 8 of the Act. 136 CCER's application was founded upon concern for the low paid, particularly those who were not covered by an industrial instrument.
· low paid workers do not generally have the capacity to engage in negotiation of pay and conditions with their employer;
· the increase in the ARCR in the 2007 State Wage Case was higher than the general State Wage Increase in recognition of the needs of the low paid identified as women, indigenous, migrant, young, non-unionised and those with disabilities;
· the increase was necessary to allow the low paid to live with dignity and not in poverty;
· the effect of the ARCR is limited to providing a safety net for those covered by awards but it does not apply to award free employees;
· the Federal Minimum wage applies to all employees in the Federal System;
· having regard to principles of social justice, it is fair and reasonable for the Commission to implement a State Minimum Wage in the same way to ensure that full time adult employees are able to maintain a meaningful standard of living; and
· the Australian Fair Pay Commission delivered a decision in July 2007 setting the Federal Minimum wage at $522.12 per week. This amount is currently subject to review. 138 In the 1997 State Wage Case the Commission accepted the Safety Net Review decision of the Australian Industrial Relations Commission ('AIRC') as a National Decision, however in translating that decision to New South Wales the Commission accepted the agreement of all parties to those proceedings not to adopt a State Minimum Wage. The ARCR was established to address the needs of the low paid. 139 In the 1997 State Wage Case the Commission said:
The Commission accepts that the concept of a minimum wage is not one which has a legislative basis in New South Wales, as it does in the Workplace Relations Legislation. Indeed, even the New South Wales concept of the 'basic wage' which appeared in the 1940 Act, and which was retained in the 1991 Act, no longer exists in the 1996 Act. Given that legislative position and the agreed position of all parties, we accept that good reason has been established for the Commission to depart from the National decision in this respect. ... We have for those reasons determined to accept the view of all the parties that we should not adopt a minimum wage for New South Wales awards and to that extent to depart from the National decision. 140 CCER submitted that this statement did not reflect a conclusion that the Commission lacked jurisdiction. 141 CCER submitted that adequate jurisdiction for the order or award sought was to be found in s 52 and s 11(1)(a) of the Act, which was supported by the objects of the Act at s 3(a) and s 3(c); the statutory mandate to set wages that were fair and reasonable; and the public interest requirement to protect low paid and juvenile workers.
· the introduction of a NSW State Minimum Wage would be consistent with comity and harmonisation with the Federal Industrial Relations System;
· the decision of the Australian Fair Pay Commission ('AFPC') should be regarded as a National Decision for the purpose of s 50 of the Industrial Relations Act .
· in this instance a State Minimum Wage was consistent with the objects of the New South Wales Act and there were good reasons to introduce it;
· the Commission should respond with care and compassion to those who will be affected by its decisions requiring a focus on those who suffer most, which were the low paid and, even more, the low paid, award free employees;
· the public interest, common good and an ethical approach to society were of greater weight than any consideration that may have been influential in the 1997 State Wage Case;
· the Henderson Poverty Line remained an appropriate benchmark for the setting of a minimum wage; and
· in the 2007 State Wage Case the ARCR was set at $5.79 below the Henderson Poverty Line. This differential should be maintained in the present case by setting the ARCR and State Minimum Wage at the same rate, being $5.79 in excess of the general increase granted in this matter. Conclusions on Low Paid Workers
143 The challenges and difficulties faced by low paid workers as evidenced in the 2007 State Wage Case have, if anything, become even more problematic for this group. In particular, we note Dr Watson's evidence and the extensive material put forward by the Minister demonstrating the daily struggle faced by vulnerable groups of low paid workers including women, Indigenous peoples, migrants, young people, non-unionised workers, those employed in small firms, and workers with a disability. 144 The minimum wage continues to decline in relation to both median earnings for full time workers and as a percentage of Average Weekly Ordinary Time Earnings ('AWOTE').
145 We note, especially, the evidence of Ms McInnes that she was $36.16 per week worse off now than when she gave evidence in the 2007 State Wage Case. 146 The evidence supporting an adjustment in wages for the low paid was compelling. 147 In the 2007 State Wage Case the Full Bench said at [100]:
A proper case has been made out for the adjustment of wages of the low paid. As we foreshadowed, the amount of the adjustment depends on countervailing economic considerations. No case has been made out that the needs of the low paid, so starkly described in these proceedings, are being adequately addressed through any alternative mechanism. Low paid workers have little or no bargaining power and enterprise bargaining for them is simply not available in most cases. The material presented in respect of low paid workers underlines the importance of the award system in providing a fair safety net. 148 That conclusion is no less apposite in the current proceedings. On any consideration of equity and fairness, the low paid should not be left behind in the economic progress of the State or be required to bear the burden of wage restraint.
149 Unions NSW submitted that its application for a 4.5 per cent increase in award wages was consistent with trends measured by recent wage movements and forecasts for future wage movements in the economy. Measures of Wage Movements 150 Unions NSW relied upon four major indices of wage movements calculated by the ABS. Two of these were:
· average weekly earnings ('AWE') of non-farm wage and salary earners, from the ABS survey of the same name (Cat. No. 6302.0) published for all employees, and also full-time adult employees. The seasonally adjusted AWE for all employees to November 2007 increased by 3.8 per cent to $880.30 per week; and
· AWOTE, which is derived from the same AWE survey but includes only ordinary time earnings of adults working full time. For the year to November 2007, AWOTE increased by 4.9 per cent to $1,112.70.
These two indices measure the average level of wages or labour costs per employee, reflecting movements in wage rates and the compositional structure of the workforce. Changes in the relative share of full-time or part-time workers, or shifts between high paid full-time jobs and low paid part-time jobs, are examples of compositional change affecting these indices. 151 The other two indices were:
· average compensation per non-farm employee, which is published as part of the ABS Quarterly National Accounts (Cat. No. 5206.0). This index is also referred to as average earnings on a national accounts basis ('AENA'). For the year to December 2007 the AENA grew by 4.7 per cent. AENA incorporates major non-wage costs such as superannuation, redundancy payments and workers' compensation payments. AENA may move without any change in the actual or underlying rate of pay; and
· the WPI which forms part of the LPI survey (Cat. No 6345.0). The WPI increased by 4.2 per cent for the year to December 2007 on a seasonally adjusted basis. Over the same period, the WPI for New South Wales increased by 3.9 per cent. 152 The WPI is constructed to measure the cost of purchasing the same quality and quantity of labour input and is less subject to compositional change and, accordingly, is a less volatile measure of wage movements. For those reasons the WPI is the measure of wage growth throughout the economy preferred by the RBA.
153 Unions NSW relied upon the LPI for the December quarter 2007 published by the ABS (Cat. No. 6345.0). The ABS statistics show wage growth of 4.2 per cent across all sectors from the December quarter 2006 to December 2007. In commenting upon the data, ABS stated:
The seasonally adjusted increase through the year to December quarter 2007 for the private sector (4.3%) exceeded the Public sector (4.1%) for the first time in five years. The through the year change for the Private sector was the highest recorded since the series commenced in 1997.
In original terms, the state with the largest change through the year was Western Australia (5.9%), followed by South Australia (4.9%). The lowest rates of change through the year were reported for New South Wales, Victoria and the Northern Territory (all 3.9%). 154 Unions NSW submitted that in the industries predominantly affected by its application, the WPI increased by 5 per cent in retail trade, 3.5 per cent in accommodation, cafes and restaurants, and 4.3 per cent in health and community services over the year to December 2007. 155 Unions NSW relied upon the evidence of Dr Gelber that the LPI was forecast to increase by 4.5 per cent in 2008/09 and for the same period AWOTE was forecast to increase by 5.3 per cent. 156 Unions NSW further submitted that, in its 2007/08 half yearly budget review, the New South Wales Treasury forecast the WPI for the New South Wales economy to increase by 4 per cent over 2007/08. 157 In addressing wage trends in enterprise bargaining, Unions NSW relied upon the Trends in Enterprise Bargaining series, which is published quarterly by the Department of Employment and Workplace Relations ('DEWR'), and the Agreements Data Base and Monitoring Report ('ADAM'), published quarterly by the Workplace Research Centre. The main difference between the two series is that the Trends in Enterprise Bargaining reports detail the Average Annualised Wage Increase ('AAWI') per employee, whilst the Workplace Research Centre's report measures AAWI increases per agreement. The September quarter 2007 issue of Trends in Enterprise Bargaining reported that the AAWI per employee for those agreements approved in the December quarter 2007 in all sectors was 3.9 per cent. In all currently operating agreements the AAWI for the September quarter 2007 was 4.0 per cent.
Evidence of Ms Frino 158 Ms Betty Frino was employed as the Co-ordinator of the Awards and Agreements Analysis Unit of the Workplace Research Centre (formally ACIRRT) at the University of Sydney, a position she has held since January 1997. 159 Ms Frino had a particular interest in the area of wages policy, individual and collective bargaining and pay equity. Ms Frino deposed that the Workplace Research Centre was commissioned by Unions NSW to prepare a report regarding New South Wales wage movements from 1996-2007.
160 The evidence of Ms Frino regarding the report was that:
The report is based on information drawn from the centre's ADAM database. This database holds detailed information on a sample of 17,916 enterprise agreements drawn from the federal and state jurisdictions since 1993. A breakdown of the number of agreements by jurisdiction shows that 2,348 of these agreements are from the New South Wales jurisdiction, 10,548 are from the federal jurisdiction, 2,570 are from Queensland, 1,107 are from South Australia and 1,343 are from Western Australia. The compilation of movements in award rates of pay were based on the annual Safety Net Adjustments (SNAs) handed down by the New South Wales Industrial Relations Commission. 161 The key findings made in the report included:
· wage statistics from the ADAM database show that the AAWI for enterprise agreements registered during the three quarters over the year to September 2007 was 4.0%;
· for New South Wales the AAWI for enterprise agreements registered during the three quarters of the year to September 2007 was 3.5%;
· amongst currently operating agreements (as at the end of September 2007) from all jurisdictions the AAWI is 3.8%. Amongst currently operating New South Wales agreements the AAWI is 4.1%;
· the AAWI for enterprise agreements registered during the three quarters to September 2007 in all jurisdictions was 4%; and
· the AAWI in agreements registered in the NSW jurisdiction in the three quarters to September 2007 was 3.5%. Unions NSW 162 Dr Gelber deposed that a wage rise of 4.5 per cent would be consistent with other wage movements, referring to LPI data (ABS CAT 6345.0), which showed Australia-wide wage rates increasing by 4.2 per cent for ordinary time hourly rates excluding bonuses over the year to December 2007. Dr Gelber stated:
The growth in wages according to the LPI has held in a narrow range around 4 per cent since early 2005…. Meanwhile, growth in the more volatile AWOTE measure has also picked up over the past year, to 4.5 per cent for calendar 2007. 163 BIS Shrapnel forecast an upward bias in growth into 2008/09, estimating the LPI would rise by 4.5 per cent. Dr Gelber stated:
In our view, the notion that award workers may be 'pricing themselves out of the market' cannot be supported. On the contrary, the tightening labour market and a shortage of workers means there needs to be a sufficient increase in wages to attract more workers, to encourage greater participation in the workforce, and to prevent workers from going interstate for higher paid jobs, particularly in some regions of the resource-based states. In effect, the 'market' is undersupplied with workers and the price of labour needs to rise. 164 Dr Gelber's evidence was that a 4.5 per cent wage increase would also be in line with cost of living increases, noting that the bulk of award workers subject to this application would fall in the lowest and second lowest quartiles of the household income group which spent a greater proportion of their income on items that have been increasing in cost at a faster rate relative to other items in the CPI basket, such as food, petrol and rent. 165 Dr Gelber deposed that unpublished ABS data from May 2006 revealed that the main sectors in which award dependent workers affected by this claim were concentrated were retail trade (19.8 per cent of the affected award dependent workers), health and community services (16 per cent), property and business services (17.2 per cent) and accommodation, cafes and restaurants (15.7 per cent). Dr Gelber contended that the market in these sectors was expected to be strong through 2008/09 and business affordability high.
166 Dr Gelber noted that profits as a proportion of national income were at historically high levels, the converse being that wages share of national income was at historical lows.
167 Unions NSW submitted that it was important to note that the total number of agreements registered in the New South Wales jurisdiction for 2007 was 22 agreements. Of these, only 16 agreements contained a quantifiable wage increase. Because of the small sample of agreements this figure must be considered somewhat unreliable. As an alternative, it was submitted, the Workplace Research Centre examined all agreements in the New South Wales jurisdiction that were still in operation as at the end of September 2007. This produced a sample size of 170 agreements of which 150 contained a quantifiable wage increase. Drawing on this sample, the AAWI of these agreements was 4.1 per cent.
168 Mr Thistlethwaite referred to Part 1 s 3 (Objects of the Act) and s 10 of the Act (The Commission May Make Awards), which together constituted a statutory obligation on the Commission to have regard to fairness when making and adjusting awards, wages and conditions.
169 Unions NSW submitted that the Commission had an important role to play in maintaining fair award wages, and that minimum rates awards provided a safety net of wages and conditions for workers in NSW, ensuring they had a reasonable income in order to participate in society.
170 It was further submitted for the peak council that, to ensure fairness, the Commission must ensure that the wages of award-based workers in New South Wales increased at a rate comparable to the recent increases and forecast increases for other workers within the economy. In this respect, Unions NSW submitted that the WPI was the most appropriate measure of general wage movements within the economy.
171 Mr Thistlethwaite contended that award wage workers relied on the Commission to ensure a fair and reasonable safety net of wages and conditions because:
· most award wage workers lack the capacity for enterprise bargaining at their workplace,
· the majority of such workers are not members of trade unions,
· award wage increases would not reduce or eliminate incentives to bargain in the workplace,
· it would not be fair that award wage workers fall further behind other workers in the economy because they are denied a fair and reasonable increase in award wages, and
· award wage earners have needs associated with their cost of living. 172 Mr Thistlethwaite submitted that the evidence of Ms McInnes, Ms Maguire and Mr Bali demonstrated the absence of enterprise bargaining for many employees. Further, that many such workers were not union members and the lack of enterprise bargaining in a workplace primarily reflected the preference of the employer.
173 Unions NSW contended that should its claim be granted a significant gap between award wages and bargaining outcomes would still remain, and hence the incentive for employees to bargain in the workplace would not be diminished.
174 Mr Thistlethwaite submitted that the application ensured fairness by maintaining the relative and real value of award wages, whilst not discouraging business activity or enterprise bargaining.
175 The Minister contended that the economic evidence suggested that the WPI for New South Wales would grow by around 4 per cent in 2007/08. The $20.00 per week increase proposed by the Minister represented a 3.8 per cent increase for the lowest paid classification, but constrained minimum wage increases for the remaining classifications to under the expected increase in the WPI. 176 The Minister submitted that:
The WPI for all sectors excluding bonuses for NSW grew by 3.9 per cent through the year to the December quarter 2007, comprising a 3.8 per cent increase for the private sector and a 4.0 per cent increase for the public sector. The national WPI increased 4.2 per cent through the year to the December quarter 2007. Table 8 illustrates the decrease in all figures across the index in 2006-2007 financial year compared with the previous year.
The CPI over the year to the March quarter 2008 shows an increase of 4.2 per cent in the CPI for the weighted average of eight capital cities compared to an increase of 3.9 per cent for the same period for the Sydney CPI. The RBA is expecting inflation to peak in coming quarters but decline in the year ahead. In the latest Statement on Monetary Policy (issued 9 May 2008), the RBA forecasts that CPI inflation for the weighted average of eight capital cities will rise to 4¼ per cent in the June quarter 2008 and further to 4½ per cent in the December quarter 2008, before slowing markedly to 3½ per cent by the June quarter 2009.
On the basis of 3.5 per cent inflation, the proposed $20 per week increase represents real wage maintenance or increases for all classifications lower than the C12 classification under the Metal Engineering and Associated Industries (State) Award. This is an economically responsible and sustainable increase. Joint Employers 177 The Joint Employers submitted that only a modest increase was affordable:
Until recently it has been argued generally that, based on the wage-productivity-inflation arithmetic, general (wage) movements in the range 3.5%-4.5% are consistent with the RBA's inflation target and hence wage increases up to 4.5% are "affordable" in macro-economic terms.
This interpretation of the RBA's previous view on wage-inflation may not be accurate. The wage-inflation nexus has never been spelled out in terms of the relationship between (sic) the WPI. The RBA has traditionally been reluctant to be too specific about what rate of wages growth might be consistent with its inflation targets. This reluctance could arise out of not wishing to give an imprimatur to some specific level of increase. It also suggests the likelihood that what might be appropriate in one situation may change, and might need to, in another to (sic) so as to be consistent with its overall inflation target.
One significant aspect of the wage-inflation link is the uncertain contribution of productivity growth. Available evidence shows that productivity growth has slowed. The latest ABS estimates expect non-farm market sector productivity to show growth of 0.7% in the year to December 2007…. A number of factors will contribute to that slow productivity growth, but it is unsurprising that the level of productivity growth is slow when the economy is close to, or operating at, full capacity.
This is because lower skilled workers being drawn into the workforce are productively more marginal and will tend to lower average productivity. Skilled migrants taking up employment would provide some offset but overall the net effect current high employment is to lower the rate of productivity growth. Longer term government initiatives should boost productivity, but not over the immediate horizon. Non-inflationary wages growth should be premised on a continuation of low productivity growth.
In this context, and in part reflecting an implicit assumption that productivity growth cannot be expected to rise to the rescue, the RBA's views on what level of wages growth is consistent with its inflation target has appeared to become less sanguine as inflation has emerged as a steadily more serious threat. Importantly, the Bank appears to have made it increasingly clear that it does not see the current rate of growth in wages as sustainable or consistent with its inflation target. Combined Employers 178 In addressing wages, Mr Bennett said:
The last twelve months have seen AWE increase by 4.5 per cent. This significant increase in wage levels can be attributed to the shortages of skilled and indeed unskilled labour creating a willingness of employers to pay overaward wages and the fact that in the last year productivity growth has not been sufficient to ensure the increase in wages could be, in aggregate, absorbed by business but had to be passed on with higher prices. Conclusions on Wages Environment
179 Relevant indicators of wage growth demonstrate that wage movement in New South Wales during 2007/2008 was in the vicinity of 4.0 per cent. Wage increases generally are forecast to continue to be around 4.0 per cent, if not slightly above that amount, over the next 12 months.
180 The Minister submitted that the application affected employees of unincorporated businesses within the private sector in New South Wales who were reliant on awards. 181 To calculate the number of these employees, the Minister submitted that the most suitable source of data was the ABS survey of Employees Earnings and Hours 2006 ('EEH survey'). Approximately 567,000 or 16.7 per cent of employees in New South Wales were employed in unincorporated businesses in the private sector according to the EEH survey. Of this class of employees, almost 252,000 or 7.4 per cent were award reliant. 182 It was further submitted by the Minister that research undertaken by the Office of Industrial Relations estimated that approximately 24 per cent of award-reliant employees in New South Wales were employed under federal awards. Consequently, the actual number of employees who were reliant upon the State Wage Case for an increase in their weekly rates of pay was estimated to be between 187,000 and 246,000 employees. Such employees would be the direct beneficiaries of a State Wage Case increase. 183 In addition to private sector employees of unincorporated businesses, there were a number of award reliant employees who were employed by bodies which do not fall within the definition of an incorporated or unincorporated business and were most likely to be public sector employees. 184 The groups of employees in the New South Wales public sector dependent on State Wage Case adjustments for pay increases included trainees covered by the Crown Employees (Public Service Training Wage) Award 2005. The Minister submitted that around 1,500 trainees commence employment in the public sector every year. The duration of traineeships is between one and two years. There were less than 350 State Government employees paid under common rule awards who received their pay increases through the State Wage Case as well. 185 The Minister claimed that the State Wage Case would have an indirect positive impact through a flow-on effect to wages for certain groups of employees. The State Wage Case adjustment would set a benchmark for wage increases. These groups included children, non-award reliant employees working under unregistered common law agreements underpinned by awards and all award reliant employees. 186 Unions NSW agreed with the Minister in respect of the number of employees directly affected by the application, that is, employees of unincorporated businesses within the private sector of New South Wales. Unions NSW referred the Full Bench to the ABS Labour Force survey, which revealed that there were 2,451,700 people employed in New South Wales as at February 2008. The EEH survey indicated that 20.4 per cent of employees in NSW were employed by unincorporated businesses. This meant that there were 500,147 people employed by unincorporated businesses in New South Wales. Of these employees, 43.9 per cent were reliant on awards for their wages. According to the calculations of Unions NSW, 219,565 employees or 8.96 per cent of the total New South Wales workforce were the subject of this application. Unions NSW did not have any data concerning the proportion of employees who were award-reliant in the unincorporated private sector that were in either the New South Wales or the federal jurisdiction. 187 Unions NSW submitted that the majority of workers affected by any State Wage Case decision were employed on a part time basis (58.9 per cent); non-managerial (99 per cent); female (60.5 per cent); and concentrated in retail trade (19.8 per cent); health and community services (16.0 per cent); property and business services (17.2 per cent) and accommodation, cafes and restaurants (15.7 per cent) industries. 188 As we have observed, the CCER's application is specifically directed to low paid, adult employees who are subject to the jurisdiction of the Commission and whose employment is not currently subject to an industrial instrument. CCER made a further submission that only those persons who are currently paid below the ARCR would actually receive an increase if its application were to be granted. 189 According to CCER, approximately 44,000 employees in New South Wales are captured by its application. This figure was derived from the number of employees employed in unincorporated businesses in New South Wales, which was 550,000. Of those employees, the 44,000 represented 8 per cent who were on or below the ARCR. 190 The Minister disputed the figures submitted by the CCER and contended that the number of employees to whom the CCER application would apply was a much smaller section of the New South Wales labour force. The Minister opposed CCER's application on the grounds that there was an absence of specific occupations and callings that CCER claimed would be subject to the proposed order/award and, importantly, the overall unreliability of the numbers of such employees. 191 We accept the submissions of the Minister. As in State Wage Case 2007, the relevant employees affected are the private sector employees of unincorporated businesses who are award-reliant. 192 In respect of the employers who may be impacted by the claim, the Minister referred to internal research by the Office of Industrial Relations based on unpublished data supplied by the Australian Business Register, which it was submitted indicated there were approximately 500,000 private sector employing entities based in New South Wales. Of these, 200,000, or almost 40 per cent, were unincorporated and would either remain in the New South Wales industrial relations system, or move from the federal to the New South Wales industrial relations system over the next five years.
193 The industry breakdown of employers of unincorporated businesses in New South Wales is detailed in Table 9, taken from the Minister's submissions:
Cost Impact of the Claim 194 In respect of the cost of the claim, the Minister made submissions similar to those made last year. The fundamental proposition of these submissions was that a $20.00 increase was appropriate and required. The Minister submitted such an increase would directly benefit the lowest paid workers without adversely impacting on the economy, employment and productivity. It was submitted that a $20.00 weekly increase for 210,000 employees would add around $218 million to the wages bill of private sector employers in New South Wales. As the private sector wage bill in New South Wales in 2006 was in the order of $140 billion, the proposed increase would add less than 0.2 per cent to the wages bill. 195 However, it was noted that around two-thirds of workers who would benefit from the claim were not full-time employees, and accordingly the economic cost would be significantly lower. It was not possible to measure the exact number of hours worked by these employees. 196 The Minister submitted that a 0.2 per cent increase in private sector wages costs would be unlikely to have a significant impact on the State's economy. That is, the macroeconomic impact of a $20.00 per week increase was likely to be small in terms of its impact on employment. The New South Wales economy, it was submitted, had grown at modest rates in recent years, notably due to a downturn in the housing construction sector. Looking ahead, growth was expected to lift a little as a modest recovery began in the housing sector. Growth in household consumption was also expected to lift, while business spending remained at high levels. 197 It was also submitted that a $20.00 increase per week in the ARCR ($531.40) would equate to an approximate increase of 3.9 per cent. In the year to the December quarter 2007, the ABS WPI for all private sector employees in New South Wales rose by 3.8 per cent. Therefore, it was submitted on behalf of the Minister, that a 3.9 per cent increase was consistent with average wage increases. This was further supported by the ABS WPI nationally for the year to March 2008, which rose by 4.1 per cent. For New South Wales, the WPI for the same period rose by 3.7 per cent. 198 For the year to December 2007 there was a disparity in increases in the WPI with respect to various private sector industries in Australia. State based data was not available. The wage increases in areas of skills shortage such as mining, construction and utilities sectors demonstrated increases in the LPI of 6.0 per cent, 4.7 per cent and 4.8 per cent respectively. In the award reliant industries of accommodation, cafes and restaurants and the retail sector, there were increases of 2.6 per cent and 2.9 per cent respectively. 199 The Minister relied on ABS data, which indicated that the round of wage cases in 2007 before the respective state tribunals had minimal impact on the WPI and employment. In early 2007 the Index received its main seasonal impact due to the volatility of the industrial relations changes and the proximity of the effective dates of the AFPC's first and second wage review decisions. 200 The Minister stated that almost all public sector employees were covered by agreements or awards. These instruments have implemented regular wage and salary increases which were greater than the State Wage Case adjustments and such adjustments have not been applicable to those public sector employees. Previous State Wage Case increases have only had a limited impact on public sector employment. Hence, in 2008 it was expected that the cost impact of this decision on wages and salary levels in the public sector would be marginal. 201 Unions NSW submitted that its claim for a 4.5 per cent increase for all employees affected by this Case would add 0.27 per cent to total ordinary times earnings in New South Wales. This was calculated by weighting the 4.5 per cent increase for full-time, part-time, permanent, casual, adult and junior employees and multiplying it by the proportion of New South Wales private sector employees employed in unincorporated businesses which were award reliant (8.96 per cent) and dividing it by the estimated AWOTE for May 2008 to give a maximum addition to ordinary time earnings. 202 It was submitted that the claim for 4.5 per cent was consistent with the average wage increases received through enterprise bargaining throughout New South Wales and Australia. Unions NSW relied on the evidence of Dr Gelber, who deposed that the claim for 4.5 per cent was affordable and justified on the following grounds:
(1) the overall health of the State economy was sound and was expected to gain strength over the next two years,
(2) the proposed wage rise was consistent with the RBA's inflation target and overall movements in national wages,
(3) changes in cost-of-living for workers covered under the proposed award have been higher - and will continue to be higher - than weighted average CPI inflation,
(4) the proposed wage rise was affordable as the markets in which the employers operated were expected to be strong, and
(5) in the absence of a sufficient wage rise, retention of employees will become more difficult as the labour market tightens. 203 Unions NSW denied assertions from the employer parties and the Minister that the State Wage Case would establish a benchmark and have a possible flow-on effect to wages generally in New South Wales. It was submitted that there was little evidence to support this assertion and that the claim by Unions NSW was consistent with the average wage increases achieved federally and in New South Wales through enterprise bargaining. 204 The employer groups opposed the claims of Unions NSW for a 4.5 per cent increase and the proposal of the Minister for a flat $20.00 per week increase. We have already observed that the Joint Employers sought a flat $13.00 increase and the Combined Employers sought a flat $10.00 increase. It was submitted by all employers that these increases proposed by Unions NSW and the Minister were excessive in the current economic environment. It was further submitted that the outlook for the world and Australian economies was more uncertain than the past and there was a clear threat from inflation. 205 The Combined Employers made similar submissions to those made in the 2007 State Wage Case. In respect of the cost impact, it was submitted that the principal focus of the Commission should be on the impact of cost increases on the employers directly affected and the impact an increase would have on inflation. 206 The Combined Employers submitted that whilst the number of employees directly affected by wage decisions of this Commission and the estimated direct wages cost to the state economy were relatively small, this was not the complete measure of the cost of award rate increases. The Combined Employers raised the issue of the flow-on effect that these minimum wage increases would have as a benchmark and thereby have a major influence on wages throughout the economy. 207 The Commission was also asked to consider the financial state of the employers who would be directly affected by the increases sought and the vulnerability of these employers and their employees to such increases. It was submitted by the Combined Employers that, other than the public sector, the employers who employ workers reliant on awards for their wages and conditions were primarily small, unincorporated employers in the community services, retail and hospitality sectors. Such small companies could not match the levels of output and profits enjoyed by the larger retailers. These sectors were labour intensive, with wage costs representing a substantial part of total costs and were very sensitive to any increases in award rates. 208 The ARA is the peak national retail association. It supported the position of the Combined Employers. However, in separate written submissions directed specifically to the retail industry the Association referred to the ANZ Industry Report on Retail Trade issued in March 2008 as evidence of the softening of the retail market following a strong performance in 2007. Real retail sales grew by a very strong 4.8 per cent in 2007 and this was expected to fall to 2.6 per cent in 2008. The increase in sales for 2008 was considered to be a solid result "considering the significant headwinds and uncertainties facing Australian Consumers in 2008". 209 The Association had heard from its members that sales have fallen by 15-20 per cent compared to this time last year. Importantly, it was submitted, small retailers have had a lower increase in sales in 2007 than the large retailers and face a greater volatility in sales. The ANZ report predicted that:
[A]s consumers reign in their spending in 2008, smaller retailers are likely to face greater risk and volatility again, particularly those relying on more discretionary consumer purchases. 210 The Association rejected the suggestion of Dr Gelber that retailers cut margins to pay for increases in wages. It further submitted that the small to mid-sized retailers, which were the subject of this application, were unable to absorb the wage increases as well as the larger retailers as they lacked the capacity to do so. These retailers already faced pressures in higher costs for goods, successive interest rate rises and lower demand. 211 Unions NSW disputed the claims of the Association and submitted that there was an increase in employment and turnover for the retail industry in the past year. Unions NSW relied on the latest ABS reports, which indicated that turnover in the retail industry in March 2007 was $6165.7 million compared to March 2008 when the figure was $6544.0 million. There was a 6 per cent increase in this period. Further, there was an increase in full time employees in the retail industry of 7 per cent. In February 2007 there were 260,000 full time employees and this rose to 279,000 full time employees in February 2008. Impact on Employment
212 The Minister submitted that moderate, predictable increases in minimum wages would not adversely affect employment. The Minister rejected the assertion by employer groups that minimum wage increases created unemployment. Rather, it was submitted that the Australian experience proved that it was possible to have falling unemployment while experiencing wages growth. 213 The most important evidence on which the Minister relied was Australia's current economic climate of falling unemployment and strong employment growth accompanied by steady increases to the minimum wage. The Australian economy has experienced 16 years of continuous economic growth and, in terms of Australia's relative international position in living standards, there has been an improvement from nineteenth in 1990 to eighth in 2004. In February 2008 the unemployment rate was 4.0 per cent, the lowest unemployment rate for 31 years, and the participation rate had increased to a seasonally adjusted rate of 65.2 per cent. 214 There was reliance by the Minister on Graphs 1 and 2 to illustrate the growth in participation rates and fall in unemployment over the past decade. 215 The Minister submitted that if the assertions of the employers had any basis, it would be supported by the economic data. After a decade of safety net adjustments, the data revealed falling employment, strong growth and a capacity to cope with moderate increases in the minimum wage. 216 Dr Gelber examined the impact of Unions NSW's claim and its effect on employment. He undertook an examination as to whether proposed wage increases were affordable for employers. First, he examined the state of the New South Wales economy. Dr Gelber stated that the overall health of the New South Wales economy was fundamentally sound despite lower growth relative to the rest of Australia. He said many of the negative factors which plagued the economy of New South Wales were waning. Growth had accelerated in 2007 and was expected to strengthen over the next two years. The state economy was forecast to strengthen on the back of solid consumer spending, recovery in the housing sector, expected recovery in the farm sector and from significant building construction. 217 Secondly, as we earlier noted Dr Gelber proceeded to examine employers of award dependent workers. He referred to ABS data from 2006, which stated that the main sectors of award dependent workers affected by the claim were in retail (19.8 per cent), health and community services (16.0 per cent), property and business services (17.2 per cent) and accommodation, cafes and restaurants (15.7 per cent). Dr Gelber stated that the forecast for business in all these sectors was positive and, consequently, business would be able to absorb higher wages. 218 Dr Gelber observed that the profitability of businesses determined their capacity to return higher wages to their workers. Profits as a proportion of national income were at historical highs and conversely wages share of national income was at historical lows. In addition, the profit margins of Australian businesses were at historic highs for the majority of business including retail (see Chart 3 below). In New South Wales, the proportion of wages of GDP was far below the 52.0 per cent share averaged between 1989/90 and 2001/02 (see Chart 4 below). With profits at such high levels, Dr Gelber suggested that businesses should reduce margins by increasing wages to retain their employees in times of tight labour markets, as was the case today.
Chart 4: Compensation of Employees as a % of GSP/GDP
219 Thirdly, Dr Gelber examined the demand and supply of labour in Australia. He stated that the demand in the Australian labour market was extremely strong, employment growth was at 2.5 to 3.0 per cent and job vacancies were at record highs. Employers were struggling to fill vacancies. 220 In respect of the supply of labour, the unemployment rate was at a record low of 4.0 per cent and the participation rate was at the highest recorded level of 65 per cent. 221 According to Dr Gelber, there remained strong demand for labour which was unsatisfied and consequently there was an evident shortage of labour, especially skilled labour, which was not readily available from Australia's pool of unemployed. 222 In New South Wales, within the sectors in which employees affected by the claim were concentrated, job vacancies as a proportion to the numbers employed have been increasing since the 1990s. The rate of growth has been accelerating over the past two years. This shows that demand for labour is outstripping supply in these sectors (see Graphs 3, 4, 5 and 6 below).
223 With the tight labour market and shortage of workers, Dr Gelber rejected the notion that award workers were "pricing themselves out of the market". Instead, he submitted that there should be an increase in wages. This, he said, was necessary to attract more workers, discourage workers from going interstate for higher paying jobs and to entice greater participation. He argued that as the labour market was undersupplied, the price of labour needed to increase. 224 Dr Gelber gave evidence that the latest LPI data revealed wage rates in Australia had increased at 4.2 per cent over the year to December 2007. Since early 2005, the growth in wages according to the LPI has averaged around 4.0 per cent. He forecast that LPI would pick up to 4.5 per cent in 2008/09 and he expected a 4.5 per cent increase for employees affected by this application. Dr Gelber stated that wages would continue to grow due to strong employment growth combined with shortages of skilled labour. 225 The Combined Employers submitted that increasing wages for workers to the levels sought by the Minister and Unions NSW would set wages at a level beyond the productive capacity of the employees. As their employers lacked the capacity to absorb these wage increases, this would lead to a reduction in employment opportunities for these workers. The Combined Employers in their written submissions contended that:
The safety net aspect of minimum award wages can only be successfully achieved if they are seen as a contribution to a minimum income target, the other part or parts of which is/are derived from income support by Government for those in work but whose wage is below the determined minimum income level. The minimum award wage should be more finely calibrated with tax, welfare and skills training arrangements rather than acting as the sole source of a minimum income for those workers on the lowest level of wages.
There will always be a low education/low skill/low wage sector of the economy the members of which can only be attracted into the workforce if there is an adequate gap between welfare benefits and minimum award wages. However, employers will only offer jobs if wages, on-costs and output factors make economic sense. To encourage employment of the low education/low skill/low wage sector, Government should manage any gap that exists between the minimum award wage and an appropriate value of minimum household income through the social security and tax systems. 226 The Combined Employers relied on the evidence which Professor Phil Lewis gave to the Commission in the State Wage Case 2007 to submit that job growth was slower for low skilled employees working at minimum rates. Professor Lewis' evidence was as follows:
Minimum wages are about distribution. Jobs and income are redistributed away from the worst off as minimum rates rise.
The imposition of award wages affects only those in low skilled, low paid jobs. These individuals are, generally, very poor substitutes for the majority of the workforce and, therefore, award wages have little impact on the wages and employment of most workers. However, those workers earning just above the award wage are highly substitutable for those who would otherwise earn below the minimum. This is because although there is still a skill differential between them the jobs are still, relatively, unskilled.
Firms employ less of those who would have earned below the award wage and, therefore, unemployment among this group rises. However, these workers are substituted by more workers earning just above the award wage. The net effect on total employment may be difficult to detect. However, there is a large fall in employment of workers who could otherwise have earned below the award wage.
The impact of the award on total employment may be proportionately small but the impact on low skilled, low paid workers is disproportionately high. 227 In addition, the Combined Employers submitted that if employers of low skilled employees were required to pay high minimum award rates to compensate for wages increases paid elsewhere, or to increase their employees' share in prosperity unrelated to the circumstances of the business, employers would be likely to reduce the number of employees or increase prices.
228 Mr R Bennett, who gave evidence for the Combined Employers, analysed the impact of Unions NSW's application on business and employment. Unlike Dr Gelber, Mr Bennett was more cautious about the prospects for the Australian and New South Wales economies. He stated that both economies faced pressures from slower world economic growth and financial market volatility as well as tight labour markets, high interest rates and inflation build up. He cautioned against creating excessive wage pressure on the economy through a State Wage Case increase until there were more positive signs of a sustainable recovery. 229 Mr Bennett noted that there were many New South Wales industries which currently faced difficulties. He also said that retail sales growth forecast in 2008 was only half of the growth figures in 2006 and 2007. Domestic tourism was likely to fall and the manufacturing sector in New South Wales would be adversely affected by the high exchange rates. In addition, he stated that the retail, accommodation and restaurant industries were especially sensitive to wage increases at the present time. 230 The threat of inflation was the most important concern for the economy. Underlying inflation had moved above the upper tier of the RBA's target range of 3.0 per cent and was threatening to go above 4.0 per cent. Mr Bennett stated that higher inflation combined with low productivity was reducing the capacity of business to absorb growth in wages. 231 Mr Bennett acknowledged that New South Wales had experienced high employment growth and falling unemployment. However, he said, employment growth and falls in unemployment had been slower than Queensland, Western Australia and Victoria. 232 Mr Bennett's evidence was that recently there had been uncertainty in the job market in Australia. He referred to the ABS job vacancies for February 2008, which showed the first decline in vacancies since late 2005. Vacancies fell 2.5 per cent in the three months to February. He stated that this would lead to an easing in employment growth in the next three to six months. Other leading indicators, he said, also supported the evidence of moderation in jobs growth. The ANZ Job advertisement survey for New South Wales indicated that the growth of employment was slowing down. 233 Mr Bennett stated that although the employment market was healthy, as evidenced by high employment growth and participation rates, the situation could rapidly change as a consequence of the issues he had identified. 234 Mr Bennett said that the significance of any increases flowing from the State Wage Case was its flow-on impact that would create wage pressures in other areas. In cross-examination, however, Mr Bennett admitted that there was no modelling which determined the extent of the flow-on effect and there was no reliable economic forecast upon which to base that assumption.
235 The participation rate is an important factor to the health of an economy with its influence on productivity, output and employment.
236 In respect of the participation rate, the Minister submitted that to encourage higher participation rates, minimum wages should be at sufficient levels to provide a reasonable entry point into the labour market. If minimum wages did not move to attract workers dependent on award wages to participate in the workplace, they may become discouraged from looking for work and leave the job market entirely, thereby increasing the numbers of 'hidden' unemployed.
237 There was a further submission by the Minister that the maintenance of a decent and fair minimum wage that remained in line with wages generally provided an incentive for people to look for work and to participate in the labour market. There would be a disincentive to participate if there was a fall in the real minimum wage.
238 The Minister referred to data from the Productivity Commission and two charts from the ABS in respect of its submissions on participation. The data revealed that participation rates in Australia were less than optimal, especially for women. Further, participation rates in New South Wales lagged those in most other Australian states. Charts 5 and 6 were as follows: Chart 5: Labour Force participation, Australia
Chart 6: Participation Rates, Australia & New South Wales, 1978-2008
239 Finally, the Minister argued that maintaining the value of the minimum wage as a 'living wage' would create an incentive to participate in the workforce and provide a barrier against exploitation. If minimum wages were to deteriorate in real terms the unfortunate outcomes would be a growth in wage inequality and low pay and the potential to create a class of 'working poor'. 240 Dr Gelber's report was relied on by Unions NSW in its submission on this issue. It was acknowledged that the current labour market was extremely tight. Dr Gelber emphasised that "[T]he challenge is to encourage participation in the labour force in order to provide an adequate supply of labour to service demand". To solve this problem in the current labour market he recommended that there be a sufficient increase in wages. 241 The Combined Employers' view was that it was unlikely that participation rates would be affected by wage increases, particularly in light of the current high ARCR in New South Wales and without changes to tax and welfare measures. It was submitted that high minimum wages would not have a positive impact on participation. The Combined Employers submitted that increases in the minimum wage would encourage employers to substitute less productive minimum wage workers for higher skilled, more productive workers on higher wages, thereby making it more difficult for low skilled workers to be employed. 242 It was also submitted that participation rates had a direct relationship with qualifications. People with degree qualifications or above had the highest participation rate, while those with no post-school qualifications had the lowest. 243 Federally, the participation rate rose by 2.1 per cent in the past decade and increased by 3.5 per cent in the past two decades. In New South Wales the participation rate increased by 1.7 per cent over the past decade. During this period, New South Wales award minimum rates had increased by 37.0 per cent and the ARCR rose by 42.0 per cent: see Table 10:
Table 10: NSW SWC Award Classification Rate and Participation Rates
244 The Combined Employers submitted that high minimum award wages based on factors unrelated to the employers' circumstances would lead to a reduction in employment. This submission was similar to those made by the employer groups in previous State Wage decisions but which was rejected. Importantly, there was no evidence put forward by the Combined Employers in the form of studies or data which demonstrated their hypothesis. The Combined Employers relied on the economic framework of demand and supply for labour, which assumed that the labour market sets a market clearing wage and that the minimum wage is set above that rate creating unemployment. 245 The Minister refuted the employers' argument by referring to Australia's recent experience in decreasing unemployment and increasing participation rate accompanied by growth in the minimum wage. In further support of his submission, the Minister relied on the decision of the AIRC in Safety Net Review - Wages, June 2005 (2005) 142 IR 1. The Full Bench of the AIRC stated as follows at [410]:
In light of the growth in employment over the last eight years and the fact that unemployment has declined to its lowest level in 28 years, it would be difficult to accept that the Commission's safety net adjustments have been excessive even if employment was the only matter the Commission had to take into account in maintaining the safety net... 246 This Commission reached the same conclusions in the 2006 State Wage Case. Moreover, in the 2006 State Wage Case, the Commission noted at [254]:
The topic of the impact of minimum wage adjustments (and, in particular, safety net adjustments) upon employment growth (as opposed to unemployment) remains somewhat contentious. Some part of that controversy will, no doubt, be alleviated or resolved by the recent authoritative announcement by the OECD, which we have referred to in this section of our decision. The OECD study plainly indicates that there is scope for moderate minimum rate adjustments without significantly affecting employment growth in an adverse way (provided some tempering of the adjustment in wages is undertaken for particular groups such as teenage workers). 247 The Combined Employers relied on the evidence of Professor Lewis and contended that increases to minimum wages would detrimentally impact on the low skilled and low paid. Professor Lewis' evidence was that jobs and income would be redistributed away from the low skilled to those with better skills as minimum wages increased. Employers would replace the low skilled with higher skilled workers as a consequence of a higher minimum wage. However, again there were no studies or data to support this assertion. 248 The tight condition of the current labour market undermines the assertions of Professor Lewis. Both Dr Gelber and Mr Bennett stated that the employment market was very healthy, evidenced by high employment growth and high participation rates. Dr Gelber rejected the notion that low skilled award workers would be "pricing themselves out of the market". He stated that employers were struggling to fill vacancies and demand for labour still outstripped supply, especially demand for skilled labour. It would be very unlikely for employers to attract skilled labour at minimum award rates in the current economic climate. 249 All the employer groups argued that the current economic conditions did not justify minimum wage increases sought by Unions NSW and the Minister. They contended that employers faced higher interest rates, inflationary pressures, greater costs, less demand and greater uncertainties in the world economy.
250 Although the Australian economy currently faced greater concerns than in previous years, both Mr Bennett and Dr Gelber acknowledged that the employment market remained very healthy. Unemployment was at record low levels and participation was at its highest ever. Mr Bennett expressed concerns that employment growth could be slowing due to a recent fall in job vacancies. However, employment growth was at 2.5 to 3.0 per cent. Indeed, the Joint Employers noted that the employment figures for New South Wales were "positive and pleasing". 251 In response to the issue of the profits of employers paying for any wage increase, Unions NSW submitted that the profit margins for Australian businesses and profits as a proportion of national income were at historic highs. Conversely wages, as a share of national income, were at historic lows. 252 None of the employers made submissions in respect of the level of business profits. Their submissions were limited to the state of the general economy. The ARA made a submission that its members reported sales falling by 15 to 20 per cent compared to the same time last year, but did not substantiate this contention with any evidence. ABS data for retail turnover showed that year on year growth for retail sales dropped from 8.0 per cent for December 2007 to 5.7 per cent for March 2008. However, it must be noted that the latest ABS reports indicate that there was an increase in turnover and employment in the retail industry. 253 On a proper analysis of the evidence called by both the employers and Unions NSW we are satisfied that the employment market remains strong.
254 All employers submitted that minimum wage increases should be in line with improvements in productivity. They observed that productivity growth was required to ensure that rises in wages would not become the leading cause of inflation. If wage increases outstripped productivity gains, this would result in higher prices being passed on to consumers, especially in sectors in which labour costs were a high percentage of total costs. 255 Growth in productivity enabled the gains of the economy to be distributed in the form of higher profits, higher wages and lower prices. In the 1990s Australia had higher productivity growth compared to the economy at present and these gains were passed on in the form of lower prices, resulting in lower inflation. 256 The Combined Employers submitted that if wage increases outstripped productivity gains, it was likely that the employment prospects for less productive employees would be jeopardised, as employers would not pay wages that were out of step with the productive capacity of the employee. 257 Mr Bennett stated that for the year to December 2007, national labour productivity was at 0.7 per cent. Over the current productivity cycle, growth had averaged over 1.1 per cent (see Chart 8). Both figures were far lower than underlying inflation, which is at 3.6 per cent for the year to December 2007. His evidence showed that productivity growth in New South Wales was lower than that in Queensland, Victoria and Western Australia (see Chart 7). He was uncertain about the likelihood of increased productivity from current levels. Chart 7: Labour Productivity
Chart 8: GDP Per Hour Worked and Growth Cycle Averages
258 In cross-examination, Mr Bennett accepted that the low level of labour productivity in Australia was caused more by the capacity constraints in the economy rather than excessive wage increases. However, he qualified his answer by stating that low productivity was partly attributable to a lack of company investment. 259 Unions NSW referred to the evidence of Dr Gelber to counter claims by the employer groups that wage increases above the rate of inflation and not linked to productivity growth may be inflationary. Dr Gelber agreed with Mr Bennett that the recent low levels of labour productivity were related to the capacity constraints in the economy. He predicted that labour productivity growth in New South Wales would improve due to new capacity coming online from the current investment boom. Dr Gelber anticipated productivity to increase by 0.8 per cent in 2007/08 and 1.9 per cent in 2008/09. 260 Dr Gelber stated that the application by Unions NSW for a wage increase of 4.5 per cent was acceptable when taken into consideration with the long-term labour productivity growth of 1.5 per cent. This would leave labour costs growth at about 3.0 per cent per year, which was at the upper end of the RBA's inflation target range. 261 Unions NSW submitted that the majority of employees the subject of its claim did not have the choice or the capacity to undertake productivity-based bargaining. References were made to the evidence of Ms Helen Maguire and Mr Stephen Bali to support this contention.
262 The Minister agreed with Unions NSW that award reliant, minimum wage employees in service industries, which formed the majority of those captured under this application, had limited power to bargain, especially for productivity-based increases. 263 The Minister submitted that these employees should not be penalised for working in these industries for a number of reasons. First, productivity gains in high award reliant industries such as accommodation, hospitality, retail and the community services sector were difficult to measure. Traditional measurements of physical output against hours worked may not be suitable or relevant. What needed to be measured was delivery of service and not physical output of goods. 264 Secondly, service industries did not have the same scope for productivity increases as existed in the mining or manufacturing industries, where growth was often driven by technology advances and increased investment in capital equipment. Such drivers were not prevalent in the service industries. 265 The Minister submitted that productivity would be stifled under an industrial relations system which suppressed labour costs. The Minister argued that lower labour costs would discourage business to invest in capital and improve their business in other ways. It allowed some employers to remain artificially competitive solely on the basis of low pay. 266 Businesses would be encouraged to seek productivity gains and other methods to improve their competitiveness rather than rely on low wages if reasonable minimum wage levels were preserved. 267 Finally, the Minister relied on the decision in Safety Net Review - Wages - 2003 (2003) 121 IR 367, a decision of the Full Bench of the AIRC, to submit that there was no relationship between affordable and modest minimum wage increases and adverse impacts on overall productivity. The Full Bench stated at [184]:
... the strong productivity growth enjoyed over recent years does not suggest to us that safety net increases have been detrimental to aggregate productivity growth. In our view the safety net adjustments awarded since 1997 will not constrain productivity growth. Conclusions regarding the impact of the claim
268 The direct impact of the claim by Unions NSW for a 4.5 per cent increase or, alternatively, a flat $20.00 increase proposed by the Minister, on the wages bill and the economy of New South Wales would be negligible. It would only affect between 187,000 and 246,000 employees, two-thirds of whom were not full time employees, and thus further mitigating the impact of the claim. The claim by Unions NSW was estimated to add 0.27 per cent to the ordinary times earnings in New South Wales and the $20.00 proposed by the Minister was to have increased the private sector wages bill in New South Wales by 0.2 per cent. 269 The Combined Employers and the Joint Employers submitted that the Commission should not examine the impact of the claim in the context of its impact on the overall state economy but rather have regard to:
(a) the impact on those employers and employees who were directly affected; and
(b) the inflationary wage pressures generated by the claim.
These considerations were to be examined in light of the current state of the economy, which all the employers submitted was uncertain and precarious. 270 It was submitted by the Combined Employers that this application primarily affected smaller employers in retail and hospitality who were unable to absorb wage increases in the face of pressures and uncertainty in the economy. The Combined Employers also submitted that the increases proposed by the Minister and Unions NSW would have a detrimental impact on low skilled and low paid workers. With soaring labour costs, the Combined Employers argued that workers with higher skills would replace low skilled labour. 271 There was little evidence to suggest that employers lacked the capacity to pay for wage increases. Profit margins for businesses and the percentage of profits in relation to national income were at record highs. In the retail sector, although sales growth had slowed, turnover in March 2008 was in excess of turnover in March 2007. Evidence was put forward by the Australian Retailers Association, which forecast that smaller retailers faced greater risk and volatility in 2008. We accept this is so and it will have a moderating effect on the view we take about the size of the increase given the retail sector is one of those most affected by any decision as to minimum wages. However, we do note there was no evidence to suggest that the relative profit levels to date of the smaller retailers have been lower than larger employers. Further, individual employers would continue to have access to the Incapacity to Pay Principle under the Commission's Wage Fixing Principles. 272 As stated previously, the current labour market is strong, with unemployment at record lows and participation rates at their highest. Employment growth was strong and there was surplus demand for labour, especially for skilled labour. In these market conditions, it would be highly unlikely that even with the increase sought, minimum award wages would attract skilled employees and thereby displace less skilled workers. 273 Another contention by the Combined Employers was that granting the claim would have a flow-on effect, which would add to the existing inflationary pressures in the economy. It was observed by the Combined Employers and other employer groups that unless minimum wage increases were in line with productivity improvements, wage increases would be the leading cause of inflation. The Combined Employers submitted that the minimum wage increases set by this decision would be the benchmark for wage increases throughout the economy. Reliance was placed on the evidence of Mr Bennett. 274 ABS data contradicted this contention. The data indicated that the round of state wage cases in 2007 had a minimal impact on the WPI. There was no evidence put forward by the Combined Employers to suggest that there would be such a flow-on effect on this occasion. In cross-examination, Mr Bennett admitted that there was no modelling that determined the extent of the flow-on effect and there was no reliable economic forecast upon which to base that assumption. 275 As we earlier noted, Mr Bennett also admitted in cross-examination that the low level of labour productivity in Australia was caused by capacity constraints in the economy rather than excessive wage increases. 276 Furthermore, we must stress that any increase that we decide upon in these proceedings is based on the peculiar considerations relevant to the position of low paid workers and the particular challenges and hardship they face in a period of escalating prices in such basic things as food and transport. There can be no justification for using an increase that we might determine as a benchmark for increases for the general body of employees in an industry or enterprise in the private sector or in the public sector.
277 On 16 April 2008 Walton J, Vice-President, directed Unions NSW to file and serve a document outlining its view in respect of lagging awards by the close of business on 23 April 2008. 278 In compliance with this direction, Unions NSW filed a document with a table showing nine lagging awards with outstanding State Wage Case increases. However, it did not make any written submissions in respect of how lagging awards should be treated. 279 The Combined Employers supported the proposal of lagging awards being updated in respect of past state wage adjustments on the basis that there be an appropriate phasing-in period. The Combined Employers contended in their written submissions that an appropriate phasing-in period would be six months between wage increases and for cases where the most recent increase was during 2006, a twelve month interval between the 2006 and 2007 increase. The Joint Employers agreed with the Combined Employers' submissions. 280 Subsequently, during oral submissions, Unions NSW tendered a schedule prepared by the New South Wales Office of Industrial Relations, which showed 47 lagging awards. Unions NSW acknowledged the number of lagging awards was far more extensive than what was anticipated by the parties. Unions NSW opposed any delay in the receipt of wage increases flowing from previous State Wage Cases. 281 However, both the Combined Employers and Unions NSW accepted a proposal from the Full Bench that the methodology employed in previous Special Case Benches and/or State Wage Cases for resolving the problem of large numbers of lagging awards again be utilised. The Combined Employers expressed the reservation that the procedure had to meet the "concern of a timetabling approach to the introduction for the bringing up to currency of a lagging award". Mr Warren said that the Combined Employers were prepared to participate in the process provided that it led to phasing-in of wage adjustments over a reasonable time span for any lagging award. It was acknowledged that the Combined Employers had carriage for most of the lagging awards. 282 The methodology referred to by the Bench was that found in the Professional Engineers & Professional Scientists (Private Industry) (State) Award [2005] NSWIRComm 402 at [12] - [18]. 283 Having reviewed the approach set out by his Honour the Commission has determined to take two steps. The first is that at all future State Wage Case hearings the parties will be required to identify any awards which have not been varied to give effect to increases available under the previous State Wage Case so that the situation as to such awards can be considered and addressed. 284 The second is that we have decided, consistent with the approach adopted in the State Wage Case August 1997, that outstanding increases available under State Wage Cases should be phased in by agreement or, in the absence of agreement, by decision of a single member of the Commission. The requirement that increases available from this decision not be made available in an award until 12 months after the award has been varied for the 2008 increase will not strictly apply to these awards, but will be a matter to be dealt with either by agreement of the parties or by decision of the Commission. The aim is to make available, at the appropriate time, wage increases to which employees are entitled, but without affecting employment or business viability. We would expect all such applications for variation, and particularly those referred to us in the present proceedings, to be filed and served within 28 days of the date of this decision, and in this respect Unions NSW should perform a role in co-ordinating such arrangements.
FLAT OR PERCENTAGE INCREASE 285 In the 2006 State Wage Case decision, the Full Bench stated at [272] - [273]:
There is substance in Unions NSW's submission supporting a percentage increase in award rates. Over the past decade, overwhelmingly any increase to award rates in State Wage cases has been by way of a flat increase. This has had the effect of compressing relativities within and between awards, adversely affecting the integrity of skill based career structures. By way of example, the rate of pay for a C13 classification in the Metal Engineering and Associated Industries (State) Award in 1997 was 83.36 per cent of the benchmark C10 rate. In 2005 it was 86.66 per cent.
We expect that in a number of industries the problem of compressed relativities can be overcome at the enterprise level through overaward payments or enterprise agreements. But we are concerned that if flat increases are to continue as the method of adjusting wage rates in State Wage cases, the question of award based relativities may develop into an industrial issue in some industries. 286 In the 2007 State Wage Case decision, the Full Bench stated at [184]:
On this occasion, we would have been inclined to grant a percentage increase had it not been for our concern to avoid placing undue pressure on the State's economy if it were not to meet expectations in 2007-08. Such an eventuality, whilst unlikely, remains a possibility. That consideration, and the fact that all parties except Unions NSW supported a flat dollar increase, has tipped the balance in favour of a flat increase in 2007, but we do emphasise that the question of a flat versus percentage increase remains a live issue. A lessening in the economic performance difficulties in New South Wales next year may well create a proper environment to commence reviewing wage relativities in awards. 287 Mr Thistlethwaite submitted that whilst flat dollar increases in wage rates may be appropriate in some circumstances, continually awarding such increases did not amount to the setting of fair and reasonable conditions of employment in New South Wales awards. This was because most workers in the rest of the economy who received wage increases through enterprise bargaining have had such increases awarded on the basis of percentage rather than flat dollar increases. 288 Mr Thistlethwaite illustrated his contention that the gap between those that relied on awards for their wages and those that enjoyed access to enterprise bargaining was ever-expanding, by pointing to the evidence of Ms Helen Maguire, a hairdresser, whose hourly rate of pay was $18.69 per hour and the evidence of Mr Kenneth Davies, whose classification was C10 under the Metal Engineering and Associated Industries (State) Award classification structure. Both employees were tradespersons. Ms Maguire relied on this Commission for award based increases to ensure her income increased on a regular basis. Mr Davies, however, was employed pursuant to the provisions of an enterprise agreement and for a significant period of his working life received percentage increases through enterprise bargaining. His hourly rate was $26.20. 289 This evidence led Mr Thistlethwaite to submit:
[T]hat the effect of continued dollar based increases in this jurisdiction, [is] that the gap continues to get wider and wider and in our submission, that has an implication for the Commission's role in this particular decision because, of course, one of the objects of the Industrial Relations Act in New South Wales is for the Commission to ensure equal remuneration for men and women doing work of equal or comparable value. 290 Furthermore, Mr Thistlethwaite submitted that given that most award based employees covered by this application were women, a continued dollar based approach to award wage increases was also inconsistent with s 3(f) of the Act, which provides that it is an object of the Act:
to prevent and eliminate discrimination in the workplace and in particular to ensure equal remuneration for men and women doing work of equal or comparable value. 291 Mr Thistlethwaite concluded his submissions in respect of this aspect by submitting:
[T]hat should the Commission award a further flat dollar increase to award wages, further compression of skilled relativities in the classification structures in awards will occur, subsequently undermining the properly established skill based career structures within awards. Unions New South Wales submits that it is incumbent on the Commission to ensure the continued relevance of awards by maintaining the relative value of award wages associated with various classification structures in those awards. We submit that it would be unfair to award another flat dollar increase and further compress the skill relativities in classification structures in awards. 292 All employer groups opposed departing from awarding a flat money amount as did the Minister. The Combined Employers observed that the Minister's submissions recognised that, in supporting a significant $20.00 per week flat increase, such a flat increase would have the effect of increasing the minimum wage at a slightly faster rate for lower paid workers than workers in higher skilled classifications. The Minister also recognised that lower paid workers were usually those with lesser skills and had less bargaining power and were less likely to be able to negotiate overaward increases than employees with higher skills. The Combined Employers recognised the bargaining power, or lack of it, of lower paid workers as one of the elements to be considered. However, a critical consideration, it was submitted, was that a large proportion of lower paid workers and their employers were in the retail and hospitality industries and it was in these industries where the capacity to pay wage increases was limited. 293 In our view, no party has advanced a convincing argument why the position of Unions NSW should not prevail. In the previous two State Wage Case decisions the Commission has voiced its concern about the effect on award relativities of flat dollar increases, which have now been awarded consistently in the last ten State Wage Cases. The response of the Minister and employers has been the same as that put on this occasion. Whilst it has been consistently recognised by the Minister and employers that flat dollar increases have had a distorting effect on wage relativities and that at some time in the future the problem will need to be addressed, the Commission has not been provided with any assistance as to when or how that should occur. The only answer has been, "not this time". 294 We consider that Mr Thistlethwaite makes a significant point in his comparison between Mr Davies and Ms Maguire. As he submitted, both are tradespersons and whilst there may be other factors to be taken into account the fact is that if Mr Davies, a male tradesperson, continues to receive percentage adjustments and Ms Maguire, a female tradesperson who is not in a position to engage in enterprise bargaining with her employer, continues to receive only flat dollar increases the wage gap will continue to widen. 295 To illustrate his point about deteriorating wage relativities Mr Thistlethwaite also referred to the Metals, Engineering and Associated Industries (State) Award and noted that whereas in 1997 the rate for the C14 classification was 79.65 per cent of the C10 rate, by 2007 flat dollar increases had closed the gap to the point where the C14 rate was 85.95 per cent of the C10 rate. 296 The original wage relativities in the Metals, Engineering and Associated Industries (State) Award did not occur by accident but were derived from the parent federal award to which the State award is a counterpart. The relativities in the federal award were determined after an extensive restructuring of the classifications in that award in order to provide for a skills based career path. To allow the relativities to be further compressed will destroy the integrity of the skills based career path. 297 It was submitted that a flat increase would benefit lower paid workers more than higher paid workers in higher skilled classifications who, it was contended, were better placed in the labour market to negotiate higher wages because of their skills. That may well be so in some industry sectors but it is not altogether evident in those sectors with which we are mainly concerned in these proceedings: see the example of Ms Maguire.
298 Accordingly, we have decided that the increase in these proceedings shall be a percentage increase. AMOUNT OF INCREASE 299 In these proceedings, four proposals were put forward as to what should be the outcome in terms of any increase to the minimum award wage. First, was a claim by Unions NSW for an increase of 4.5 per cent. The second was the Minister's proposed flat dollar increase of $20.00. The Joint Employers proposed an increase of $13.00 and the Combined Employers an increase of $10.00. CCER proposed that the ARCR rate should be increased by $5.79 (being the difference between its claim of $32.79 made in the 2007 State Wage Case and $27.00, which was awarded by the Full Bench), together with any general State Wage increase. CCER contended this was the most appropriate outcome to balance the needs of the low paid and that of employers, without impacting adversely on the New South Wales economy. No party argued that there should be no increase. 300 In the proceedings, the parties and intervenors proposing a flat dollar increase were invited to advise the Full Bench of what the increase should be in percentage terms if that is what the Full Bench decided. None of the parties or intervenors took up the invitation. Such a response was quite unsatisfactory. We would observe that parties and those who represent them before this Commission have an obligation to assist it in its deliberations. In the result, having decided to award a percentage increase we have done so in the absence of any assistance from the Minister and employers as to what that percentage adjustment should be. 301 As we earlier stated, a strong case has been made out for an increase in minimum award wages for the low paid. Their precarious financial circumstances, their lack of bargaining power, the evident inequality that exists between general community wage levels and the wages of low paid, and the obligation upon the Commission to provide fair and reasonable employment conditions, are matters that weigh heavily in favour of an increase that is pitched at a level that will provide real assistance to such employees, but which at the same time is economically responsible, having regard to the requirements of s 51 and s 146(2) of the Act. 302 We note the following matters in particular:
(i) there is little about the Australian economy that would require an overly cautious approach in determining an adjustment in minimum wage rates;
(ii) the CPI over the year to the March quarter 2008 shows an increase of 4.2 per cent for the weighted average of eight capital cities, compared to an increase of 3.9 per cent for the same period for the Sydney CPI;
(iii) the March quarter LPI data shows that the March quarter 2007 to March quarter 2008 percentage change in the WPI was 4.1 per cent for Australia and 3.7 per cent for New South Wales;
(iv) the overall health of the New South Wales economy was fundamentally sound despite lower growth relative to the rest of Australia. The 2007-08 New South Wales Budget Papers indicated that economic growth was expected to strengthen from 1.5 per cent in 2006-07 to 2.5 per cent in 2007-08. State final demand growth was expected to improve from 2.5 to 3.5 per cent. Further, that:
In the year ahead the drivers of economic growth will broaden, with continued solid support from public investment and consumer demand, moderate recoveries in dwelling and business investment, and an improvement in exports.
(v) profits as a proportion of national income were at historical highs and conversely wages share of national income was at historical lows. In addition, the profit margins of Australian businesses were at historic highs for the majority of business including retail;
(vi) the current labour market was strong, with unemployment at record lows and participation rates at their highest. Employment growth was strong and there was surplus demand for labour, especially for skilled labour. In these market conditions, it would be highly unlikely that even with the increase sought that minimum award wages would attract skilled employees and thereby displace less skilled workers;
(vii) the claim by Unions NSW was estimated to add 0.27 per cent to the ordinary times earnings in New South Wales and the $20.00 proposed by the Minister was to have increased the private sector wages bill in New South Wales by 0.2 per cent. Extension of a minimum wage to employees whose employment is not subject to coverage by an industrial instrument would only marginally increase these estimates;
(viii) there is, nevertheless, a degree of uncertainty about the future direction of the New South Wales economy, which is fuelled by the US housing downturn, credit concerns, a stubbornly high Australian dollar affecting particularly the manufacturing sector in the State, rising world oil prices and reducing disposable income. This has contributed to the view that we have formed that it would not be appropriate to award the full extent of the claim for a 4.5 per cent;
(ix) smaller retailers faced greater risk and volatility in 2008. This has had a moderating effect on the view we take about the size of the increase, given the retail sector is one of those most affected by any decision as to minimum wages; and
(x) whilst it is not appropriate to award the full extent of the claim, on any consideration of equity and fairness, the low paid should not be left behind or be required to bear the burden of wage restraint. 303 In arriving at a determination as to what is an appropriate outcome in these proceedings, it is necessary that we strike a proper balance between the needs of the low paid and the capacity of the economy of New South Wales to sustain the increase. We consider the proper balance between economic considerations and the needs of the low paid and the capacity of the economy of New South Wales to sustain an increase results in an overwhelming case to increase minimum award wages by 4.0 per cent. Relevant allowances shall be increased by a similar percentage increase.
AWARD REVIEW CLASSIFICATION RATE 304 There was an application by CCER to set an ARCR above the level proposed by the other parties. We do not consider that CCER made out a sufficient case to warrant granting an additional $5.79 and so we intend to increase the ARCR by 4.0 per cent, which produces a new ARCR of $552.70 per week. We do, however, propose to deal with one aspect of CCER's submission regarding the low paid by addressing its application for a minimum wage to apply to employees whose employment is not covered by an industrial instrument.
CCER APPLICATION: A MINIMUM WAGE 305 In a supplementary submission filed on 21 April 2008, CCER sought that an order or an award be made in accordance with s 52 of the Act. The effect of the order or award was to provide:
a minimum wage for those adult employees within the Commission's jurisdiction whose employment is not currently governed by an industrial instrument as defined in s 8 of the Act. 306 In substance, CCER sought that the Commission establish a minimum wage for those adult employees within the Commission's jurisdiction whose employment was not currently governed by an industrial instrument. 307 We have decided that CCER has established an overwhelming case on merit for the establishment of a minimum wage, and that there is no jurisdictional impediment to granting its application in that respect. 308 We do not, however, consider it is appropriate to make an award. We accept the submission by Unions NSW that to do so at this juncture may have consequences for the system of awards that are not entirely predictable. In any event, the proposed award lacks essential provisions such as the dispute resolution provision as required by s 14 of the Act. Further, to introduce a NSW Minimum Rates (State) Award of such limited scope may preclude more comprehensive prospective award applications by award free occupations in the future. 309 We are satisfied that we should make an order providing for a minimum wage for the class of employee referred to in the CCER application fixed at the same quantum as the ARCR. We are satisfied that the Commission has jurisdiction to make such an order under s 52 of the Act. Jurisdiction to make such an order 310 The power of the Commission to make the order sought derives from its power to make State decisions under s 51 of the Act. 311 The outcome of these proceedings will be a State decision as defined in s 49. That section provides:
A "State decision" is a decision of a Full Bench of the Commission that generally affects, or is likely to generally affect, the conditions of employment of employees in New South Wales who are subject to its jurisdiction. 312 Even though the application by CCER would, in practical terms, only impact upon a small number of employees and employers in the State of New South Wales this does not limit, in our view, the Commission's jurisdiction to make a State decision substantially for the reasons given in State Wage Case (No 6) (2006) 153 IR 268 (at 272 [5]) which are as follows:
This submission is fundamentally misconceived. The application is not an application for a general order for a 4 per cent wage increase; it is an application for general wage-fixing principles in accordance with which wages may be varied under the relevant statutory provision. The Commission is specifically empowered to set such principles by virtue of ss 51(1) and 51(4), which by their very nature apply to every employee subject to the Commission's jurisdiction. Although the practical effect of these principles will vary (depending upon different applications and the different circumstances of various groups of employees), there is no doubt that the general principles will apply to every employee. Thus, whilst it is correct to note that the combined operation of the principles may (upon further application) result in a wage increase of 4 per cent for a proportion of the employees only within the Commission's jurisdiction (predominantly those employees working under awards in unincorporated private businesses: 40 per cent on Mr McDonald' s analysis, but an even lesser percentage if one included Crown employees, as one should), the limited operative scope of one facet of the general principles cannot form the basis to restrict the Commission's jurisdiction. In contrast, the Special Case Principle will apply to all employees (governmental and otherwise) within the Commission's jurisdiction. 313 It is apparent that the making of the order sought by CCER would apply generally, or would be likely to generally affect the conditions of employment of employees in New South Wales who are subject to the Commission's jurisdiction. The order itself is a catch-all of general scope applying, or likely to apply, to any employee who finds himself or herself outside award employment or not employed by a constitutional corporation. The fact that, practically, the minimum rate of pay would only have limited scope from time to time, as it would only apply to a small proportion of employees presently not covered by awards or agreements made or approved under the Act in this State, does not preclude its general application or likely general application to conditions of employment of employees in New South Wales in circumstances where employees may potentially lack award or agreement coverage. In this respect, it may be seen that the proposed decision and order is within the meaning of a State decision as defined in s 49 of the Act. 314 It is clear from s 51(1) that in a State decision the Commission has the jurisdiction to go beyond the mere making of "principles" to making decisions which have the effect of setting conditions by award or order, see State Wage Case - August 1997 (1997) 73 IR 200. 315 Secondly, s 52 of the Act provides:
A Full Bench of the Commission may, when adopting the principles or provisions of a national decision of making a State decision, make or vary award, or make other orders, to the extent necessary to give effect to its decision. 316 By s 52 the Commission has the power to make orders that would give effect to the State decision by the establishment of rates of pay or conditions of employment. As a matter of construction the expression "other orders" is not co-extensive with the expression "award". In our view, the reference to "orders" recognises that the Commission may alter the terms of employment of those in its jurisdiction other than by the making or varying of an award. This would ordinarily arise where the Commission has been minded to make a general order varying all awards, but nothing in the language of the section indicates that the Commission's powers are to be confined to an order of that character. 317 Further, the term "order" is not defined in the Act, and it is implicit in the definition of "award" in the dictionary to the Act that there is power to make an order that sets conditions of employment as distinct from a power to make or vary an award. To make an order setting a minimum rate as determined in the State decision is, therefore, valid and the order as submitted by the CCER is allowed by s 52 of the Act. 318 It is appropriate to deal shortly with particular arguments posited against the Commission having jurisdiction to make an order of this type. 319 We have already disposed in paragraphs [312] to [314] above of the contention that the Commission lacks jurisdiction to make an order because the matter does not fall within the requirement of s 49 of the Act. 320 One of the other submissions in opposing the order was that the CCER application had incorrectly relied upon ss 51 and 52 of the Act in that its application for an order or a new award was not an application that gave effect to the making of a State decision sought by Unions NSW, as required by s 52; nor was it an application of a State peak council or on the Commission's own initiative as required by s 51(2).
321 These contentions must, in our view, fail for the following reasons:
(i) there is an application by a State peak council which has moved the Commission in this matter. In order to make good the jurisdictional objection it must be established that the Commission is confined, in dealing with the application, to the scope of the application filed and may not grant such relief as it considers appropriate in the light of the application so made. This proposition is wrong in principle. We consider that the application before us by Unions NSW provides an ample jurisdictional basis to consider the CCER application to create a minimum rate for award free employees. Applications are not pleadings and the Commission is not confined in the relief it may give. The position is that a respondent to the proceedings has sought, in effect, an extension of the orders sought by Unions NSW and having done so has brought the matter within the Commission's purview. In such circumstances, there is no proper basis for the Commission to decline to exercise its arbitral powers in respect of the orders sought by CCER;
(ii) further, Unions NSW does not oppose that part of the CCER application which concerns the making of an order as to minimum wages. Indeed, it supported the application. It would be extremely artificial in that light to conclude that there was not properly before us an application by a State peak council sufficiently wide to enable the Commission as a matter of power to deal with the question of minimum wages. This is more so the case where the Commission is being otherwise asked to set not only increases in minimum rates in common rule awards but also to fix an Award Review Classification Rate which will determine the minimum wage payable to employees caught by the terms of those awards; and
(iii) in any event, we are of the view that there is ample material and argument before the Full Bench so as to enable us to act on our own initiative if we formed the view, which we have, that on the merits of the case there is a proper basis for making an order or award for minimum wages for employees not caught by an industrial instrument.
322 It was also submitted in opposition that an order for a minimum wage in a State decision would not be consistent with the Act generally, particularly ss 3(e) and 406(1). This was because, it was submitted, minimum entitlements for employees needed to be set by industrial instruments as defined in s 8 of the Act. An order of the type sought (that specified the minimum weekly rate of pay for employees not covered by an industrial instrument) would be contrary to the intent and purpose of s 406(1) that the conditions of employment set by an industrial instrument are the minimum entitlements of employees. This proposition was extended to one that the Commission did not have the power to set minimum wages other than in accordance with established award making powers in ss 10-13 of the Act. That is, it was contended, minimum wages were specifically restricted to the scope of awards. 323 It is correct that s 406 and ss 10-13 only relate to awards and provide that awards set minimum entitlements. However, those sections do not constrain the Commission's power to make minimum conditions by an order. As we have already mentioned, the Act expressly contemplates that conditions of employment may be set by orders. The definition of "award" in the dictionary makes this clear. Section 52 is a classic example where the Commission may be required to establish or vary conditions of employment on a general basis where an order is appropriate. Indeed, the essential nature of the section deals with matters of a general character. The fact that the Commission has historically used orders under s 52 to deal generally with awards does not limit the true scope of that provision. Section 52 provides the Commission with ample power to establish and vary the terms of employment within the context of making of a State decision by award or order. 324 For the aforementioned reasons the Commission has jurisdiction to make the proposed order. Merit: Minimum Wage
325 It is undeniable that there are employees within the New South Wales industrial system who are not currently covered by awards or any other industrial instrument. Nor are they caught by the minimum entitlements set by the AFPC under the Workplace Relations Act 1996 because these are limited to employees of constitutional corporations. The employees with whom we are concerned comprise a relatively small, though significant, group of workers because they are not regulated by the respective industrial systems, so as to provide for minimal entitlements. 326 A major point of issue for parties opposing the making of an order on the merits was that the number of award free employees in New South Wales was indeterminate and the CCER figures in this respect were incorrect. The submissions by CCER in support of an order contained only broad references to certain industries and occupations which might be subject to such an order and the types of activities performed by such employees. From this it was said that the failure to identify specific workers who might be subject to such an order made the potential scope of the order difficult to discern. 327 Whilst we agree that the CCER submission lacked precision in the identification of the type and number of workers affected, we do not think that it was so vague as to be fatal to the application. 328 CCER demonstrated that there was a group of employees who fell within the subject category. No party appearing in these proceedings suggested otherwise. Any imprecision relates only to the identification of the industries and occupations in which workers were engaged and the precise number of those employees working in New South Wales. 329 Nonetheless, CCER did succeed in identifying that the subject workers fell generally across construction, retail, accommodation, property and business services, education, health and community services. Further, it made reference to the commissioned report by Dr Ian Watson, which stated that of those paid at or below the ARCR: nearly 90 per cent were not members of an industrial union; 45 per cent were men and 55 per cent were women; over half were aged between 25 and 44; 60 per cent were in a married or de facto relationship; over half had high school as their highest level educational qualification; and a third had not completed Year 12. Further, the evidence of Dr Watson revealed: most were labourers, or performed clerical sales or service duties; nearly three-quarters did not receive work related training; 51 per cent were full time employees, and 49 percent were part time employees; over half of the workers were in a family with 38 per cent being in a couple family with dependent children and 20 per cent being in a group household or multi family. These findings presented a general picture of the disadvantaged circumstances of those paid at or below the ARCR (of which a proportion are not covered by an industrial instrument under the Act).
330 In its final submission CCER considered the submission of the Minister and put the figure of employees that may be affected by the order it sought at between 13,206 and 29,803 employees. This is a wide range but at its lowest it is still a most significant group of employees. 331 As to the merits of establishing a minimum wage by order, we consider the case is overwhelming. The evidence showed that workers subject to the order we will make are at or below the ARCR (the minimum rate payable to any employee covered by an award) and are at a considerable disadvantage. Such a situation, in the Commission's view, is untenable and contrary to the Commission's charter to ensure that the framework of industrial relations in this State is fair and just. There is a clear case for those workers who are within an unregulated void in the labour market to be entitled to a minimum rate of pay consistent with the lowest rate available to award workers. 332 In making the order the Commission recognises that the application arises out of an overriding concern for the low paid and considers the following factors:
i) a minimum wage would ensure that full time adult employees can be paid a minimum wage level so as to put them in a position to maintain a meaningful standard of living regardless of whether they are employed under an industrial instrument;
ii) the ARCR was introduced in 1997 to address the needs of the low paid and it is now timely and necessary to extend the benefit of a standardised minimum wage as found in the ARCR to those low paid employees who are not employed under industrial instruments within the jurisdiction of the Commission (or for that matter the minimum wage established under the Workplace Relations Act );
iii) there is a real prospect that some of the employees affected by our decision in this respect receive monies which place them below the Henderson Poverty Line;
iv) non-award employees currently fail to receive any annual increase awarded through State Wage Cases and, therefore, suffer more than award workers;
v) low paid workers do not generally have the capacity to engage in negotiating pay and conditions with their employer; and
vi) the Federal Parliament has taken steps to create and maintain a federal minimum wage and protect the wages of all employees in the federal industrial relations system regardless of whether they are covered by an industrial instrument. 333 It was also put that there may be interests affected by the application that were not heard in these proceedings and that this constituted a basis for the Commission to refrain from the making of a minimum wage by order. We do not agree. First, there was no indication by any party as to who might be notified or affected. Rather, it was merely suggested that some general notice might attract such an interest. Secondly, it must be remembered that the interests appearing before us represent an extremely wide section of those employers and employees in the State and have responsibility not only for the giving of specific industrial advice and assistance but this extends to more general matters concerning the State economy and the regulation of employment within it. Also, we note, no party identified a particular problem that might arise from the grant of the application. Thirdly, the submission strains credulity in that it implies that there may be a proper basis for the payment of a wage below what is considered to be a fair and reasonable minimum as fixed by the ARCR and for that matter the minimum rate federally (as distinct from cases where employers may be exempted from the order).
334 Nonetheless, we intend to limit the operation of the order. We intend to make the order operative for six months and hold the proceedings over for full hearing, at the end of that time. We will take appropriate steps to re-list the matter to hear any person, body or organisation affected after the issuing of an appropriate notice. In the interim, we give liberty to apply to any interest to raise any particular issue arising from the order we have made. 335 The Commission will order that the full time minimum weekly rate of pay to all adult employees shall be equal to the ARCR and the minimum part-time hourly rate of pay to all adult employees shall be equal to the ARCR part-time hourly rate of pay.
(1) Pursuant to s 51(1) of the Act the Full Bench of the Industrial Relations Commission of New South Wales orders that the Commission's Wage Fixing Principles shall be as set out in Appendix A to this decision.
(2) Pursuant to s 52 of the Act, the Commission orders that awards which do not contain wage increases awarded since 29 May 1991, other than safety net, State Wage Case and minimum rates adjustments, may be varied in accordance with the Commission's Wage Fixing Principles upon application to include a Stage Wage Case adjustment of 4.0 per cent per week. At the hearing of any such application, the Commission may, in its discretion, award the whole or part of the amounts referred to in the Principles or determine that no amount should be awarded.
(3) Pursuant to s 52 of the Act, the Commission orders that the following rates may be increased by 4.0 per cent upon application in accordance with the Commission's Wage Fixing Principles.
(i) Existing allowances which relate to work or conditions which have not changed, including shift allowances expressed as monetary amounts are service increments; and
(4) Pursuant to s 52 of the Act, the ARCR is increased by $21.30 from $531.40 to $552.70.
(5) A party to the proceedings in the State Wage Case 2008 shall have liberty to apply on reasonable notice in the event that any decision made by the AFPC in 2008 has adverse implications for more than one New South Wales award. Adverse implications shall not include the mere fact that the AFPC has granted an increase in the Federal Minimum Wage that is different to the increases awarded in this decision.
(6) Orders (1), (2), (3), (4) and (5) shall operate on and from today until further order of the Commission.
(7) Pursuant to s 52 of the Act, the Commission orders that:
(i) The minimum weekly rate of pay payable to an adult employee (as defined in s 5 of the Act) engaged on a full time basis whose employment is not subject to the terms of an industrial instrument (as defined in s 8 of the Act) shall be an amount of pay equal to the Award Review Classification Rate, as varied from time to time by the Commission;
(ii) The minimum hourly rate of pay payable to an adult employee (as defined in s 5 of the Act) engaged on a part-time basis whose employment is not subject to the terms of an industrial instrument (as defined in s 8 of the Act) shall be an amount of pay equal to the Award Review Classification Rate, as varied from time to time by the Commission divided by 38;
(iii) The Orders in paragraph (7) will not apply to those employees who are trainees, apprentices and employees on a supported wage or those employees employed on annual remuneration which is greater than the amount specified in regulation 12.3 of Chapter 2 of the Workplace Relations Regulations 2006 of the Commonwealth from time to time or that amount as indexed from time to time in accordance with regulation 12.6 of Chapter 2 of those Regulations;
(iv) With respect to the Orders in paragraph (7), any party or intervenor in these proceedings or any other person, body or organisation affected by the Orders is given liberty to apply to the Commission so that it might be heard; and
(v) These Orders will take effect on and from the date of this decision and shall be in force for a period of six months. _____________________________________
ANNEXURE A INDUSTRIAL RELATIONS COMMISSION OF NEW SOUTH WALES STATE WAGE CASE 2008 WAGE FIXING PRINCIPLES 1. Preamble
These principles have been developed with the aim of providing for their period of operation, a framework under which all concerned - employers, workers and their unions, governments and tribunals - can co-operate to ensure that measures to meet the competitive requirements of enterprises and industry are positively examined and implemented in the interests of management, workers and, ultimately, Australian and New South Wales society.
In exercising its powers and obligations under the Act, the Commission will continue to apply structural efficiency considerations including minimum rates adjustment provisions.
Movements in wages and conditions must fall within the following principles. 2. When an Award may be Varied or Another Award Made Without the Claim Requiring Consideration as a Special Case
In the following circumstances an award may, on application, be varied or another award made without the application requiring consideration as a special case:
(a) to include previous State Wage Case increases in accordance with Principle 3;
(b) to incorporate test case standards in accordance with Principle 4;
(c) to adjust allowances and service increments in accordance with Principle 5;
(d) to adjust wages pursuant to work value changes in accordance with Principle 6;
(e) where the application is consented to by the parties it will be dealt with in terms of the Act;
(f) to adjust wages for the State Wage Case 2008 in accordance with Principle 8;
(g) to approve of an enterprise arrangement reached in accordance with Principle 11; and
(h) to adjust wages pursuant to an application claiming that work has been undervalued on a gender basis in accordance with Principle 14. 3. Previous State Wage Case Increases
Applications for increases available under previous State Wage Case decisions will be determined in accordance with the relevant principles contained in those decisions. 4. Test Case Standards
Test case standards established and/or revised by a Full Bench of the Commission may be incorporated into an award in accordance with the Act. Where disagreement exists as to whether a claim involves a test case standard, those asserting that it does must make an application for a special case. 5. Adjustment of Allowances and Service Increments
(a) Existing allowances which constitute a reimbursement of expenses incurred may be adjusted from time to time where appropriate to reflect relevant changes in the level of such expenses.
(b) Existing allowances which relate to work or conditions which have not changed, including shift allowances expressed as monetary amounts and service increments, may be increased by 4.0 per cent for the State Wage Case 2008 adjustment.
(c) Existing allowances for which an increase is claimed because of changes in the work or conditions will be determined in accordance with the relevant provisions of the Work Value Changes principle of these principles.
(d) New allowances to compensate for the reimbursement of expenses incurred may be awarded where appropriate having regard to such expenses.
(e) Where changes in the work have occurred or new work and conditions have arisen, the question of a new allowance, if any, will be determined in accordance with the relevant principles of these principles. The relevant principles in this context may be Work Value Changes or First Award and Extension to an Existing Award.
(f) New service increments may only be awarded to compensate for changes in the work and/or conditions and will be determined in accordance with the relevant provisions of the Work Value Changes principle of these principles. 6. Work Value Changes
(a) Changes in work value may arise from changes in the nature of the work, skill and responsibility required or the conditions under which work is performed. Changes in work by themselves may not lead to a change in wage rates. The strict test for an alteration in wage rates is that the change in the nature of the work should constitute such a significant net addition to work requirements as to warrant the creation of a new classification or upgrading to a higher classification.
In addition to meeting this test a party making a work value application will need to justify any change to wage relativities that might result not only within the relevant internal award structure but also against external classification to which that structure is related. There must be no likelihood of wage leapfrogging arising out of changes in relative position.
These are the only circumstances in which rates may be altered on the ground of work value and the altered rates may be applied only to employees whose work has changed in accordance with this principle.
(b) In applying the Work Value Changes principle, the Commission will have regard to the need for any alterations to wage relativities between awards to be based on skill, responsibility and the conditions under which work is performed. (c) Where new or changed work justifying a higher rate is performed only from time to time by persons covered by a particular classification, or where it is performed only by some of the persons covered by the classification, such new or changed work should be compensated by a special allowance which is payable only when the new or changed work is performed by a particular employee and not by increasing the rate for the classification as a whole. (d) The time from which work value changes in an award should be measured is the date of operation of the second structural efficiency adjustment allowable under the State Wage Case 1989 , (1989) 30 IR 107. (e) Care should be exercised to ensure that changes which were or should have been taken into account in any previous work value adjustments or in a structural efficiency exercise are not included in any work evaluation under this Principle. (f) Where the tests specified in (a) are met, an assessment will have to be made as to how that alteration should be measured in money terms. Such assessment will normally be based on the previous work requirements, the wage previously fixed for the work and the nature and extent of the change in work. (g) The expression 'the conditions under which the work is performed' relates to the environment in which the work is done. (h) The Commission will guard against contrived classifications and overclassification of jobs. (i) Any changes in the nature of the work, skill and responsibility required or the conditions under which the work is performed, taken into account in assessing an increase under any other principle of these principles, will not be taken into account under this principle.
(j) In arbitrating an application made under this Principle, the Commission is required to determine whether or not future State Wage Case general increases will apply to the award. 7. Standard Hours
In approving any application to reduce the standard hours to 38 per week, the Commission will satisfy itself that the cost impact is minimised. Claims for reduction in standard weekly hours below 38 will not be allowed. 8. State Wage Case Adjustments
In accordance with the State Wage Case 2008 decision awards may, on application, be varied to include a State Wage Case adjustment of 4.0 per cent, subject to the following:
(a) The operative date will be no earlier than the date of the variation to the award.
(b) That at least twelve months have elapsed since the rates in the award were increased in accordance with the State Wage Case 2007 decision except in accordance with principle 8(h).
(c) In awards where the variation for a safety net adjustment arising from the 2001, 2002, 2003, 2004, 2005, 2006, 2007 or 2008 State Wage Case decisions is by consent and does not result in an increase in the wage rates actually paid to employees or increase the wage costs for any employer, any applicable 12 months' delay between variations may be waived.
(d) At the time when the award is to be varied to insert the State Wage Case adjustment (or a proportionate amount in the cases of part-time and casual employees, juniors, trainees, apprentices, employees on a probationary rate, employees on a supported wage or with permits under s125 of the Act), each union party to the award will be required to give a specific commitment as to the absorption of the increase. In particular, the union commitments will involve the acceptance of absorption of the adjustment to the extent of:
(ii) award wage increases since 29 May 1991 other than safety net, State Wage Case, and minimum rates adjustments.
(e) The following clause must be inserted in the award:
'The rates of pay in this award include the adjustments payable under the State Wage Case 2008. These adjustments may be offset against:
(ii) award wage increases since 29 May 1991 other than safety net, State Wage Case, and minimum rates adjustments.'
The above clause will replace the offsetting clause inserted into awards pursuant to the Principles determined in the State Wage Case 2007 decision.
(f) By consent of all parties to an award, where the minimum rates adjustment has been completed, award rates may be expressed as hourly rates as well as weekly rates. In the absence of consent, a claim that award rates be so expressed may be determined by arbitration.
(g) The State Wage Case adjustment will only be available where the rates in the award have not been increased, other than by safety net or State Wage Case adjustments, or as a result of the application of the Minimum Rates Adjustment principle, since 29 May 1991.
(h) The State Wage Case adjustment may apply where the rates in an award have increased under the Work Value and/or Equal Remuneration Principles in accordance with the Commission's Decision as set out in Principles 6(j) and 14(p) respectively. 9. Award Review Classification Rate
The ARCR of $552.70 shall be the rate below which no full-time adult employee (excluding trainees, apprentices and employees on a supported wage or on a probationary rate) should be paid under the relevant award.
Where a classification in an award is below the ARCR the following process will apply on application:
(a) The award will be listed for a mention at which the parties will report as to:
The Commission may direct the parties to confer in order to set a program for an updating of the award to reflect the ARCR.
(b) If the parties to the award do not appear at this mention, the Commission shall request the parties to the award to show cause why the award should not be considered obsolete, and rescinded under s 17(3) of the Act.
(c) Where no agreement is reached with respect to (a) above, the Commission shall re-list the matter in order to conciliate the issues in dispute.
(d) If the attempt at conciliation is unsuccessful the Commission shall arbitrate any outstanding issue. 9A. Minimum Wage
(a) The Minimum Wage shall apply to those adult employees who are employed in the jurisdiction of the Commission and whose employment is not subject to the terms of an industrial instrument.
(b) The minimum weekly rate of pay payable to an adult employee (as defined in s 5 of the Act) engaged on a full time basis whose employment is not subject to the terms of an industrial instrument (as defined in s 8 of the Act) shall be an amount of pay equal to the Award Review Classification Rate, as varied from time to time by the Commission.
(c) The minimum hourly rate of pay payable to an adult employee (as defined in s 5 of the Act) engaged on a part-time basis whose employment is not subject to the terms of an industrial instrument (as defined in s 8 of the Act) shall be an amount of pay equal to the Award Review Classification Rate, as varied from time to time by the Commission divided by 38.
(d) The Minimum Wage will not apply to those employees who are trainees, apprentices and employees on a supported wage or those employees employed on annual remuneration which is greater than the amount specified in regulation 12.3 of Chapter 2 of the Workplace Relations Regulations 2006 of the Commonwealth from time to time or that amount as indexed from time to time in accordance with regulation 12.6 of Chapter 2 of those Regulations.
(e) Any person, body or organisation affected by the introduction of the Minimum Wage is given liberty to apply to the Commission so that it may be heard.
(f) The operation of the Minimum Wage shall be reviewable by the Commission after six months. 10. Special Case Except for the flow on of test case provisions, any claim for increases in wages and salaries, or changes in conditions in awards, other than those allowed elsewhere in the principles, will be processed as a special case before a Full Bench of the Commission, unless otherwise allocated by the President.
This principle does not apply to applications for awards consented to by the parties, which will be dealt with in the terms of the Act, or to enterprise arrangements, which will be dealt with in accordance with the Enterprise Arrangements principle. 11. Enterprise Arrangements (a) The Commission may approve of enterprise arrangements reached in accordance with this principle and the provisions of the Act.
(b) Industrial unions of employees and industrial unions of employers, or industrial unions of employees and employers, or employees and employers may negotiate enterprise arrangements which, subject to the following provisions, shall prevail over the provision of any award or order of the Commission that deals with the same matters in so far as they purport to apply to parties bound by the arrangements, provided that where the arrangement is between employees and an employer a majority of employees affected by the arrangement genuinely agree.
(c) An enterprise arrangement shall be an agreed arrangement for an enterprise, or discrete section of an enterprise, being a business, undertaking or project, involving parties set out in paragraph (b).
(d) Enterprise arrangements shall be for a fixed term and there shall be no further adjustments of wages or other conditions of employment during this term other than where contained in the arrangement itself. Subject to the terms of the arrangement, however, such arrangement shall continue in force until varied or rescinded in accordance with the Act.
(e) For the purposes of seeking the approval of the Commission, and in accordance with the provisions of the Act, a party shall file with the Industrial Registrar an application to the Commission to either:
(f) On a hearing for the approval of an enterprise arrangement, the Commission will consider in addition to the industrial merits of the case under the State Wage Case principles:
(i) ensuring the arrangement does not involve a reduction in ordinary time earnings and does not depart from Commission standards of hours of work, annual leave with pay or long service leave with pay; and
(ii) whether the proposed award or variation is consistent with the continuing implementation at enterprise level of structural efficiency considerations.
(g) The Commission is available to assist the parties in negotiations for an enterprise arrangement by means of conciliation and, in accordance with these principles and the Act, by means of arbitration. If any party to such negotiations seeks arbitration of a matter relating to an enterprise arrangement such arbitration shall be as a last resort.
(h) Enterprise arrangements entered into directly between employees and employers shall be processed as follows, subject to the Commission being satisfied in a particular case that departure from these requirements is justified:
(i) All employees will be provided with the current prescriptions (e.g. award, industrial agreement or enterprise agreement) that apply at the place of work.
(ii) The arrangement shall be committed to writing and signed by the employer, or the employer's duly authorised representative, with whom agreement was reached.
(iii) Before any arrangement is signed and processed in accordance with this principle, details of such arrangement shall be forwarded in writing to the union or unions with members in that enterprise affected by the changes and the employer association, if any, of which the employer is a member.
(iv) A union or employer association may, within 14 days thereof, notify the employer in writing of any objection to the proposed arrangements, including the reasons for such objection and in such circumstances the parties are to confer in an effort to resolve the issue.
(v) Where an arrangement is objected to by a union or employer association and the objection is not resolved, an employer may make application to the Commission to vary an award or create a new award to give effect to the arrangement.
(vi) A union and/or employer association shall not unreasonably withhold consent to the arrangements agreed upon by the parties.
(vii) If no party objects to the arrangement, then a consent application shall be made to the Commission to have the matter approved in accordance with paragraph (e) of this principle.
(viii) Such arrangement once approved shall be displayed on a notice board at each enterprise affected. 12. Superannuation
(a) An application to make or to vary a minimum rates or paid rates award which: (i) seeks a greater quantum of employer contributions than required by the Superannuation Guarantee (Administration) Act 1992 (Cth) ('the SGA Act'); or
(ii) seeks employer contributions to be paid in respect of a category of employee in respect of which the SGA Act does not require contributions to be paid;
shall be referred to a Full Bench for consideration as a special case, unless otherwise allocated by the President. Exceptions to this process are applications which fall within the Enterprise Arrangements and First Awards and Extensions to Existing Awards principles.
(b) If an application is made that does not fall within paragraph (a), the Commission will, subject to paragraph (c):
(i) make or vary an award by inserting a clause stating:
'Superannuation Legislation - The subject of superannuation is dealt with extensively by federal legislation including the Superannuation Guarantee (Administration) Act 1992 (Cth), the Superannuation Industry (Supervision) Act 1993 (Cth); the Superannuation (Resolution of Complaints) Act 1993 (Cth) and s 124 of the Act. This legislation, as varied from time to time, governs the superannuation rights and obligations of the parties';
(ii) if appropriate, ensure that the award contains specification of an employee's earnings (e.g. 'ordinary time earnings') which, for the purposes of the SGA Act, will operate to provide a 'notional earnings base'; and
(iii) if the award is to continue to prescribe a 'flat dollar' amount of employer contribution, ensure that appropriate amounts are inserted so as to give effect to the levels of contribution required from time to time under the SGA Act.
(c) The Commission may award provisions which differ from those in paragraph (b):
(ii) in the absence of consent, by arbitration, provided the Commission is satisfied that there are particular factors warranting the awarding of different provisions. Such factors may include:
(B) the nature of the particular industry or enterprise;
(D) relevant decisions of the Commission establishing superannuation principles; and
(d) Before any different provisions are awarded under paragraph (c), either by consent or arbitration, the Commission must be satisfied, on expert evidence, that the award to be made will not contain requirements that would result in an employer not meeting the requirements imposed by the SGA Act.
(e) Subject to s 124 of the Act, any specification of a fund will carry with it the obligation for an employer to pay contributions at such intervals as are required by the fund.
(f) In determining applications as to specification of fund, the Commission will, as appropriate:
(i) ensure that any fund specified by it is one into which payment will meet the employer's obligations under the SGA Act;
(ii) have regard to the Superannuation Industry (Supervision) Act 1993 (Cth) ('the Supervision Act') which provides for the prudent management of certain superannuation funds and for their supervision by the Insurance and Superannuation Commissioner. In particular, the requirement with respect to equal representation of employers and members on what are called 'standard employer-sponsored funds' (Pt 9 of the Supervision Act) should be noted;
(iii) have regard to previous decisions of the Commission with respect to the specification of a fund or funds; and
(g) Due to the variety of existing award superannuation provisions and the impact and complexity of the SGA Act, all applications to the Commission may not be capable of being dealt with in accordance with the approach set out above. In any such case it may be appropriate for the application to be dealt with as a special case. 13. First Award and Extension to an Existing Award
Any first award or an extension to an existing award must be consistent with the Commission's obligations under Part 1 Chapter 2 of the Act.
In determining the content of a first award the Commission will have particular regard to:
(a) relevant wage rates in other awards, provided the rates have been adjusted for previous State Wage Case decisions and are consistent with the decision of the State Wage Case 1989;
(b) the need for any alterations to wage relativities between awards to be based on skill, responsibility and the conditions under which the work is performed;
(c) for conditions of employment, other than wage rates, prima facie the existing conditions of employment; and
(d) that the award would comply with the requirements of section 19 of the Act. 14. Equal Remuneration and Other Conditions
(a) Claims may be made in accordance with the requirements of this principle for an alteration in wage rates or other conditions of employment on the basis that the work, skill and responsibility required, or the conditions under which the work is performed, have been undervalued on a gender basis.
(b) The assessment of the work, skill and responsibility required under this principle is to be approached on a gender neutral basis and in the absence of assumptions based on gender.
(c) Where the under-valuations is sought to be demonstrated by reference to any comparator awards or classifications, the assessment is not to have regard to factors incorporated in the rates of such other awards which do not reflect the value of work, such as labour market attraction or retention rates or productivity factors.
(d) The application of any formula, which is inconsistent with proper consideration of the value of the work performed, is inappropriate to the implementation of this principle.
(e) The assessment of wage rates and other conditions of employment under this principle is to have regard to the history of the award concerned.
(f) Any change in wage relativities which may result from any adjustments under this principle, not only within the award in question but also against external classifications to which the award structure is related, must occur in such a way as to ensure there is no likelihood of wage leapfrogging arising out of changes in relative positions.
(g) In applying this principle, the Commission will ensure that any alternation to wage relativities is based upon the work, skill and responsibility required, including the conditions under which the work is performed.
(h) Where the requirements of this principle have been satisfied, an assessment shall be made as to how the undervaluation should be addressed in money terms or by other changes in conditions of employment, such as reclassification of the work, establishment of new career paths or changes in incremental scales. Such assessments will reflect the wages and conditions of employment previously fixed for the work and the nature and extent of the undervaluation established.
(i) Any changes made to the award as the result of this assessment may be phased in and any increase in wages may be absorbed in individual employees' overaward payments.
(j) Care should be taken to ensure that work, skill and responsibility which have been taken into account in any previous work value adjustments or structural efficiency exercises are not again considered under this principle, except to the extent of any undervaluation established.
(k) Where undervaluation is established only in respect of some persons covered by a particular classification, the undervaluation may be addressed by the creation of a new classification and not by increasing the rates for the classification as a whole.
(l) The expression 'the conditions under which the work is performed' has the same meaning as in Principle 6, Work Value Change.
(m) The Commission will guard against contrived classification and over classification of jobs. It will also consider:
(i) the state of the economy of New South Wales and the likely effect of its decision on the economy;
(ii) the likely effect of its decision on the industry and/or the employers affected by the decision; and
(iii) the likely effect of its decision on employment.
(n) Claims under this principle will be processed before a Full Bench of the Commission, unless otherwise allocated by the President.
(o) Equal remuneration shall not be achieved by reducing any current wage rates or other conditions of employment.
(p) In arbitrating an application made under this Principle, the Commission is required to determine whether or not future State Wage Case general increases will apply to the award. 15. Economic incapacity Any employer or group of employers bound by an award may apply to, temporarily or otherwise, reduce, postpone and/or phase-in the application of any increase in labour costs determined under the principles on the ground of very serious or extreme economic adversity. The merit of such application shall be determined in the light of the particular circumstances of each case and any material relating thereto shall be vigorously tested. Significant unemployment or other serious consequences for the employees and employers concerned are significant factors to be taken into account in assessing the merit of any application.
Such an application shall be processed according to the Special Case principle.
Any decision to temporarily reduce or postpone an increase will be subject to a further review, the date of which will be determined by the Commission at the time it decides any application under this principle. 16. Duration Subject to Principle 9A(f), these principles will operate until further order of the Commission.
DISCLAIMER - Every effort has been made to comply with suppression orders or statutory provisions prohibiting publication that may apply to this judgment or decision. The onus remains on any person using material in the judgment or decision to ensure that the intended use of that material does not breach any such order or provision. Further enquiries may be directed to the Registry of the Court or Tribunal in which it was generated.
(2003) 121 IR 367
(2005) 142 IR 1
(1997) 73 IR 200
(2006) 153 IR 268
(2007) 163 IR 253
(1989) 30 IR 107