Consideration
63 Although the applicant's grounds of review were framed as jurisdictional errors involving an illogical, irrational or unreasonable process of reasoning or a failure to evaluate a material integer of the applicant's representations to the Tribunal as to 'another reason' why the cancellation of his visa should be revoked, the gravamen of his complaint is that the Tribunal failed to engage with the issue of the risk of the applicant reoffending in the manner mandated by Direction 90. That is, the applicant contends that the Tribunal failed to assess the risk the applicant posed to the Australian community because it concluded that nothing turned on the actual level of that risk as a result of its view that, whatever that level of risk, any risk to the Australian community of the applicant repeating his offending conduct was unacceptable.
64 A failure to comply with the express requirements of Direction 90 as to the considerations to be brought into account and the manner in which those considerations were to be weighed in deciding whether to revoke a decision to cancel a visa may involve jurisdictional error: FHHM v Minister for Immigration, Citizenship, Migrant Services and Multicultural Affairs [2022] FCAFC 19 at [6] (and the authorities there cited). Therefore, the real question on the application is whether the Tribunal approached its task of assessing and evaluating the risk of the applicant reoffending in a manner that was not consistent with the approach Direction 90 required. In that regard, the following aspects of Direction 90 are relevant.
(1) Paragraph 5.1 of the preamble sets out the objectives of Direction 90. These include that the purpose of the Direction 'is to guide decision-makers in performing functions or exercising powers under [s 501CA] of the Act': para 5.1(4).
(2) Paragraph 5.2 of the preamble sets out the principles that 'provide the framework within which decision-makers should approach their task of deciding … whether to revoke a mandatory cancellation under section 501CA'. Further the 'factors (to the extent relevant in the particular case) that must be considered in making a decision under [s 501CA] of the Act are identified in Part 2'.
(3) The principles described under para 5.2 are as follows:
(1) Australia has a sovereign right to determine whether non-citizens who are of character concern are allowed to enter and/or remain in Australia. Being able to come to or remain in Australia is a privilege Australia confers on non-citizens in the expectation that they are, and have been, law-abiding, will respect important institutions, such as Australia's law enforcement framework, and will not cause or threaten harm to individuals or the Australian community.
(2) Non-citizens who engage or have engaged in criminal or other serious conduct should expect to be denied the privilege of coming to, or to forfeit the privilege of staying in, Australia.
(3) The Australian community expects that the Australian Government can and should refuse entry to non-citizens, or cancel their visas, if they engaged in conduct, in Australia or elsewhere, that raises serious character concerns. This expectation of the Australian community applies regardless of whether the non-citizen poses a measureable risk of causing physical harm to the Australian community.
(4) Australia has a low tolerance of any criminal or other serious conduct by visa applicants or those holding a limited stay visa, or by other noncitizens who have been participating in, and contributing to, the Australian community only for a short period of time. However, Australia may afford a higher level of tolerance of criminal or other serious conduct by noncitizens who have lived in the Australian community for most of their life, or from a very young age.
(5) Decision-makers must take into account the primary and other considerations relevant to the individual case. In some circumstances, the nature of the non-citizen's conduct, or the harm that would be caused if the conduct were to be repeated, may be so serious that even strong countervailing considerations may be insufficient to justify not cancelling or refusing the visa, or revoking a mandatory cancellation. In particular, the inherent nature of certain conduct such as family violence and the other types of conduct or suspected conduct mentioned in paragraph 8.4(2) (Expectations of the Australian Community) is so serious that even strong countervailing considerations may be insufficient in some circumstances, even if the non-citizen does not pose a measureable risk of causing physical harm to the Australian community.
(4) Section 6 provides that '[i]nformed by the principles in paragraph 5.2, a decision-maker must take into account the considerations identified in sections 8 and 9, where relevant to the decision.
(5) Section 7 provides a guide to the approach that decision-makers should take to attributing weight to relevant factors as follows:
(1) In applying the considerations (both primary and other), information and evidence from independent and authoritative sources should be given appropriate weight.
(2) Primary considerations should generally be given greater weight than the other considerations.
(3) One or more primary considerations may outweigh other primary considerations.
(6) Section 8 sets out four primary considerations: protection of the Australian community; whether the conducted engaged in constituted family violence; the best interests of minor children in Australia; and expectations of the Australian community.
(7) Paragraph 8.1 describes primary consideration 1 (protection of the Australian community) as follows:
(1) When considering protection of the Australian community, decision-makers should keep in mind that the Government is committed to protecting the Australian community from harm as a result of criminal activity or other serious conduct by non-citizens. In this respect, decision-makers should have particular regard to the principle that entering or remaining in Australia is a privilege that Australia confers on non-citizens in the expectation that they are, and have been, law abiding, will respect important institutions, and will not cause or threaten harm to individuals or the Australian community.
(2) Decision-makers should also give consideration to:
a) the nature and seriousness of the non-citizen's conduct to date; and
b) the risk to the Australian community, should the non-citizen commit further offences or engage in other serious conduct.
(8) Paragraphs 8.1.1 and 8.1.2 provide more detailed descriptions of the approach to be taken to the nature and seriousness of the conduct and the risk to the Australian community should the non-citizen commit further offences or engage in other serious conduct. Paragraph 8.1.2 provides:
8.1.2 The risk to the Australian community should the non-citizen commit further offences or engage in other serious conduct
(1) In considering the need to protect the Australian community (including individuals, groups or institutions) from harm, decision-makers should have regard to the Government's view that the Australian community's tolerance for any risk of future harm becomes lower as the seriousness of the potential harm increases. Some conduct and the harm that would be caused, if it were to be repeated, is so serious that any risk that it may be repeated may be unacceptable.
(2) In assessing the risk that may be posed by the non-citizen to the Australian community, decision-makers must have regard to, cumulatively:
a) the nature of the harm to individuals or the Australian community should the non-citizen engage in further criminal or other serious conduct; and
b) the likelihood of the non-citizen engaging in further criminal or other serious conduct, taking into account:
i) information and evidence on the risk of the noncitizen re-offending; and
ii) evidence of rehabilitation achieved by the time of the decision, giving weight to time spent in the community since their most recent offence (noting that decisions should not be delayed in order for rehabilitative courses to be undertaken).
…
(9) Paragraph 8.4 describes primary consideration 4 (expectations of the Australian community) as follows:
(1) The Australian community expects non-citizens to obey Australian laws while in Australia. Where a non-citizen has engaged in serious conduct in breach of this expectation, or where there is an unacceptable risk that they may do so, the Australian community, as a norm, expects the Government to not allow such a non-citizen to enter or remain in Australia.
(2) In addition, visa cancellation or refusal, or non-revocation of the mandatory cancellation of a visa, may be appropriate simply because the nature of the character concerns or offences is such that the Australian community would expect that the person should not be granted or continue to hold a visa. In particular, the Australian community expects that the Australian Government can and should refuse entry to non-citizens, or cancel their visas, if they raise serious character concerns through conduct, in Australia or elsewhere, of the following kind:
…
(c) commission of serious crimes against women, children or other vulnerable members of the community such as the elderly or disabled; in this context, 'serious crimes' include crimes of a violent or sexual nature, as well as other serious crimes against the elderly or other vulnerable persons in the form of fraud, extortion, financial abuse/material exploitation or neglect;
…
(3) The above expectations of the Australian community apply regardless of whether the non-citizen poses a measureable risk of causing physical harm to the Australian community.
(4) This consideration is about the expectations of the Australian community as a whole, and in this respect, decision-makers should proceed on the basis of the Government's views as articulated above, without independently assessing the community's expectations in the particular case.
(10) Section 9 sets out four other considerations: international non-refoulement obligations; the extent of impediments if removed; impact on victims; and links to the Australian community.
65 As the plurality (O'Callaghan and Colvin JJ) observed in FHHM (at [9]) (with respect to Direction 79), Direction 90 specifies considerations that must be taken into account by a decision-maker such as the Tribunal in exercising the power conferred by s 501CA(4) to revoke a visa cancellation. The direction differentiates between 'primary and other considerations'. All specified considerations must be taken into account where relevant. When it comes to weighing those considerations, Direction 90 requires that primary considerations should generally be given greater weight than the other considerations.
66 In FHHM (at [10]) the plurality said of Direction 79, which was in materially the same terms as Direction 90, that 'as a matter of proper construction of the terms of the direction, the requirement to "generally" give greater weight to the primary considerations means that there must be some matter specific to the circumstances of the case for giving one of the other considerations greater weight than any of the primary considerations before that can occur. Put another way, a decision could not be made on the basis that one of the other considerations, such as the strength, nature and duration of ties to Australia, was a matter that was inherently a matter to be given more weight than one or more of the primary consideration. Rather, there must be a reason, in the particular case, why the "other consideration" is to be given greater weight than it would usually be given (being less weight than the primary considerations)'.
67 In FHHM O'Callaghan and Colvin JJ (at [32]-[34]) (Derrington J agreeing, at [56]) also endorsed the approach Colvin J described to the evaluation and weighing of primary and other consideration in Suleiman v Minister for Immigration and Border Protection [2018] FCA 594 at [23], [28] (for the purposes of Direction 65 and Direction 79 that preceded Direction 90). The relevant point for present purposes is that these directions, including Direction 90, make clear that an evaluation is required in each case as to the weight to be given to primary and other considerations and that these are to be given 'appropriate weight'. As is also clear from FHHM, a decision-maker who undertakes the task of applying Direction 90 may, as the Tribunal has done here, evaluate each of the relevant considerations and engage in a form of ranking the relative significance of each consideration in the course of undertaking the process of weighing them and before undertaking an overall evaluation that brings together the relative views reached on each relevant individual consideration.
68 However, as the Full Court observed in CRNL v Minister for Immigration, Citizenship and Multicultural Affairs [2023] FCAFC 138 at [28], 'compliance with the Direction is not achieved by focusing upon individual considerations and attributing some form of "weight" to that consideration viewed in isolation. The real burden of the task to be undertaken by a decision-maker who must comply with the Direction is to bring together the considerations as part of single evaluation of their relative significance thereby weighing them all together. A task of that kind cannot be performed by fragmenting the consideration into an evaluation of individual consideration, attributing to each of them some form of individual abstract term purport to be a measure of their significance, and the aggregating by some form of calculus each of the individual assessments. To undertake the task in that manner is not to comply with the Direction.'
69 It is also relevant for the purposes of this application to highlight that primary consideration 1 is directed to protection of the Australian community from the risk of harm should the non-citizen commit further offences or engage in other serious conduct. That necessarily requires an enquiry into and evaluation of the nature and seriousness of any potential harm and the risk or likelihood of that harm eventuating. A decision-maker upon undertaking that enquiry may conclude that the risk to the Australian community is unacceptable even if the risk is low or very low where the nature of the potential harm is sufficiently serious. The point here is that a decision-maker must assess risk and reach a view as to the extent to which the Australian community needs to be protected from the risk of harm the former visa-holder poses. No part of that evaluative exercise involves an assessment of the level of tolerance that the Australian community 'ought to have' for a particular kind of offending or risk in the abstract. The question of protection of the Australian community and its tolerance of the risk of harm must be assessed and evaluated by reference to factors specifically relevant to the non-citizen who has requested revocation. It is not an abstract assessment and evaluation of tolerance of risk of the Australian community.
70 The expectations of the Australian community, in the abstract, are described normatively in primary consideration 4. Direction 90 does not call for a decision-maker to undertake any enquiry into those expectations. Direction 90 expresses them as a norm. A decision-maker is not entitled to equate the decision-maker's view as to the preferable exercise in the ultimate exercise of the discretion with the government's view of the expectations of the Australian community. However, ultimately, in the exercise of the overall evaluative task, a decision-maker may or may not decide to act in accordance with that expectation and refuse to revoke cancellation of a visa: FYBR v Minister for Home Affairs [2019] FCAFC 185; (2019) 272 FCR 454 at [74]-[77] (Charlesworth J), [97] (Steward J). Paragraph 5.2(3) of the principles of Direction 90 also make it clear that in the ultimate evaluation of all relevant considerations, the expectations of the Australian community set out in para 8.4 apply 'regardless of whether the non-citizen poses a measurable risk of causing physical harm to the Australian community'.
71 While it has been accepted in relation to Direction 90 (and its predecessors) that there is no prescribed way of evaluating the risk to the Australian community and it is not necessary for the decision-maker to 'evaluate the risk of harm in a particular way': Markaj v Minister for Immigration, Citizenship, Migrant Services and Multicultural Affairs [2022] FCA 120 at [86]; Ayoub v Minister for Immigration and Border Protection [2015] FCAFC 83; (2015) 231 FCR 513 at [44]; Moana v Minister for Immigration and Border Protection [2015] FCAFC 54; (2015) 230 FCR 367 at [71], para 8.1.2(2)b) directs that in assessing the risk that may be posed by the non-citizen, decision-makers must have regard to the likelihood of the non-citizen engaging in further criminal or other serious conduct. Even without that direction, the 'likelihood of a person engaging in such conduct in the future is considered' is an inherent and indispensable part of any assessment of risk to the community: Tanielu at [101].
72 In Ayoub the Full Court, in the context of a decision of the Minister personally, described the decision-maker's task of evaluating risk in the following way (at [44]-[47]):
44 Paragraphs 21 and 45 of these reasons, either by themselves or when read in the context of the surrounding reasoning process, do not expose any failure on the part of the Minister to place the "risk" of the appellant re-offending in the proper context of the offence itself and all other circumstances relevant to the present personal circumstances of the appellant. It was not necessary, with respect, for the Minister to "ascribe" any particular characterisation to the "quality of risk" and even if there were, the Minister described the risk of harm to individuals or the Australian community as "unacceptable". Nor was it necessary for the Minister to "evaluate the risk of harm in a particular way": see Moana at [71].
45 Reasons may be expressed differently by different Ministers. To the extent that be relevant, which may be doubted, a Minister may see fit to characterise a particular risk as "serious": eg, Fraser v Minister for Immigration and Border Protection [2014] FCA 1333 at [17]-[20]. And some Ministers may see fit to try and effect some form of assessment by reference to the nature of the criminal conduct which gives rise to the exercise of the power conferred by s 501(2) and (6)(a) of the Migration Act by reference to the risk that re-offending may pose to the Australian community. In some cases a failure on the part of a Minister to do more than simply refer to there being a "risk" may evidence a failure properly to take that factor into account. A mere reference in passing to the prospect of there being a "risk" may not be sufficient for a conclusion to be reached on an application for judicial review that that factor was properly taken into account, assuming that there was a legal duty to take the factor into account.
46 Mere advertence to a matter required to be taken into consideration may not be sufficient to establish that it has been properly considered: cf Bat Advocacy NSW Inc v Minister for Environment Protection, Heritage and the Arts (2011) 179 LGERA 458 at [100] per Cowdroy J. The serious consequences confronted by an individual who has had a visa cancelled pursuant to s 501 may well require, in an appropriate case, such a conclusion being reached. Even a ritualistic incantation of a risk being, for example, an "unacceptable risk" or a "grave and serious risk", may not be sufficient to clothe a statement of reasons with impunity.
47 The reasons provided in every case must each be considered by reference to the facts of each particular case and must all be construed in a practical and common-sense manner and not with "an eye keenly attuned to the perception of error": cf Minister for Immigration and Ethnic Affairs v Wu Shan Liang (1996) 185 CLR 259 at 271-272 per Brennan CJ, Toohey, McHugh and Gummow JJ.
73 Therefore what matters in the assessment of the risk to the Australian community is not how the risk of harm is assessed or evaluated but that there is an actual assessment and evaluation undertaken of that risk. That assessment and evaluation cannot be undertaken properly and in accordance with Direction 90 without the decision-maker assessing and evaluating the likelihood of the particular non-citizen engaging in further criminal or serious conduct.
74 Further, in the context of the evaluation of risk and tolerance for risk in connection with criminal behaviour the concept of 'unacceptable risk' is not without content in Australian law and has general features which can be derived from authorities on that topic. One feature is that an assessment needs to be made of the likelihood of a person engaging in conduct in the future which may cause harm: Tanielu at [102]. It is only after that risk has been assessed or evaluated that the decision-maker is then in a position to consider if the risk is acceptable or unacceptable having regard to the assessed risk to the community and other factors such as the tolerance of the community having regard to the particular circumstances of the non-citizen in question.
75 It is also important to keep in mind that a conclusion that a former visa-holder poses an unacceptable risk of harm does not mean that the decision-maker must refuse to revoke cancellation of a visa. The need to protect the Australian community from an unacceptable risk of harm is but one consideration, which must generally be given more weight than other considerations, to be taken into account in the ultimate evaluation of the relative significance of all relevant considerations. In that context, an assessment of the magnitude of the risk of harm may be of significant importance to the ultimate evaluative task. For instance, while a low (yet measurable or quantifiable) risk of serious harm may be unacceptable, that consideration may be of relatively less weight than a high or moderate risk of the same serious harm when it comes to the evaluation of all relevant considerations. Therefore, while any risk may be unacceptable, the magnitude or likelihood of that risk coming to pass may be of great significance to the overall evaluative task.
76 The Tribunal's reasons do not reveal that it has completed an assessment and evaluation of the risk to the Australian community based on the likelihood of the applicant engaging in further criminal or other serious conduct and, then, assessed and evaluated the extent to which that risk is or is not acceptable having regard to the particular circumstances of the applicant. The Tribunal concluded, without making any specific findings on the likelihood of the applicant engaging in such criminal or other conduct, that due to the nature of his offending 'the level of tolerable risk the Australian community ought to accept … is nil' (T [136]). That conclusion was reached before considering the likelihood of the applicant engaging in further criminal or other serious conduct based only on the nature and seriousness of his previous offending conduct. Having reached the conclusion, in effect, that no risk was acceptable, the Tribunal was of the view it was not necessary for it to make any specific findings as to the actual risk of the applicant reoffending (that is, a specific finding about the likelihood of the applicant engaging in further criminal or other serious conduct). The Tribunal considered even if it accepted that the risk was low, based on its earlier conclusion that no risk was tolerable, any risk was unacceptable (T [152]).
77 The effect of that process of reasoning was that the Tribunal, in substance, failed to complete an assessment and evaluation of the likelihood of the applicant engaging in further criminal or other serious conduct as it was required to do in accordance with para 8.1.2(2)b) of Direction 90. Even if the Tribunal was of the view that a low risk of reoffending was not acceptable, a finding as to the likelihood of the applicant engaging in further criminal or other serious conduct was necessary for the purpose of evaluating the relative weight to be given to the protection of the Australian community.
78 As a matter of logic, it does not necessarily follow that a low (albeit unacceptable) risk of serious harm to the Australian community should weigh very strongly against revocation. Paragraph 8.1.2(2) of Direction 90 directs decision-makers to have regard to the nature of the harm and, in effect, the likelihood of that harm taking place. These factors are ultimately to be considered within the framework of principles in para 5.2 that include a higher level of tolerance of criminal and other serious conduct by non-citizens who have lived in the Australian community for most of their life, or from a very young age and that even strong countervailing considerations may be insufficient in some circumstances even if the non-citizen does not pose a measurable risk of causing physical harm to the Australian community. The Tribunal addressed the weighing and evaluation of the primary and other considerations, relevantly, at T [238]-[240], referred to earlier in these reasons.
79 Even though the Tribunal's reasons may be read such that it reached its conclusions regarding the risk to the Australian community adopting a favourable assumption that the risk of the applicant reoffending was low and, therefore, there is no realistic possibility of a different outcome had the Tribunal not made the relevant error, the undemanding 'reasonable conjecture' threshold of materiality has been crossed in this case: Nathanson v Minister for Home Affairs [2022] HCA 26; (2022) 403 ALR 398 at [32]-[33], citing MZAPC v Minister for Immigration and Border Protection [2021] HCA 17; (2021) 273 CLR 506 at [38]. The relevant error was within the process of reasoning that resulted in the Tribunal's conclusion that the primary consideration of the risk to the Australian community should the applicant commit further offences 'weighs very strongly against revocation' (T [153]) and the 'exceptionally strong view' (emphasis original) that given the 'unacceptable risk of harm to the Australian community' and 'concerns regarding there being any risk at all' of the applicant reoffending, the protection and expectations of the Australian community 'weigh very strongly against revocation' (T [238]). Otherwise, the Tribunal considered the case to be 'very finely balanced' (T [239]). In these circumstances, a concrete finding to the effect that the likelihood of the applicant reoffending was 'low', which removed any doubt about that question, could have affected the weight to be attached to protection of the Australian community, and, thereby, tip the balance of the scales in the other direction. Therefore, the error was material.