OUTLOOK - 1983 TO 1986", prepared by the Investment and
Economic Research Department of the bank, projected some
fall in the value of the United States dollar, an
appreciation of the Jananese yen against the US dollar
and an appreciation of the West German mark against the
US dollar. It concluded:
"On these assumptions, the Australian dollar
will record diverse movements against the major
currencies. Over the period to 1986 it is
expected to appreciate noticeably against a
declining US dollar and pound sterling, but to
fall substantially against the yen and Deutschmark.
Exchange rates are expected to continue to
exhibit a high degree of volatility."
The conclusion of this report provokes the comment that
it is one thing for bank officers to warn a customer of a
risk that exchange rates may move adversely; it is quite
another to say that they are expected to do so. An
expectation of volatility involves an expectation that at
unpredictable times in the future the rates will be
adverse. The loan might fall due for repayment at just
such a time. It was not suggested in the bank's evidence
in this case that Mr Quade was warned in these terms.
Nor was he told, when considering a loan in Swiss francs,
that the Australian dollar was expected to fall
substantially against the neighbouring West German mark.
Indeed, when Mr Quade, on the occasion of the first
roll-over of the loan, "requested that (the bank) arrange
forward exchange cover for the loan", which would in fact
have avoided a great part of the loss, Mr Knezevic
"advised", as the branch manager noted, "that such a move
would be madness", and Mr Quade was persuaded against his
own better judgment to leave the loan off-shore and
unhedged. In the light of the new documents, Mr
Knezevic's emphatic advice is intelligible, and only
intelligible, on the footing he really thought, to use
the expression Mr M. Staniforth attributed to one of his
colleagues, that the exchange rate "moves back" after a
fluctuation.
. An internal memorandum to the head office of the bank
from its International Division, dated 18 April 1984,
deals with the subject of "NEW PRODUCT DEVELOPMENT
MANAGEMENT OF FOREIGN CURRENCY BORROWINGS". It refers to
a stepping up of the activity of the bank's International
Division in respect of advice concerning foreign currency
lending, and notes "considerable scope exists for the
generation of a range of corporate business out of this
initiative". It says "the level of knowledge amongst the
commercial sector generally is poor." It refers to the
International Division's "initial aim ... to generate
additional foreign exchange activity for the CTB."
. A memorandum from the bank's Corporate Banking Division
dated July 1984, on the subject of simulated currency
loans, contains the statement:
"As with the management of an actual foreign
currency borrowing, the exchange risk factor
should be continuously monitored and remedial
action taken when necessary e.g. when there are
strong expectations of the exchange rate moving
against the borrower consideration should be
given by the borrower to closing out (part or
all of) the oversold forward position and at
the appropriate time re-establishing the
original position."
It is also noted:
"The forward/hedge contract should be dealt
with in terms of C/I's although it is
emphasised that the bank needs to be satisfied
(as with an actual foreign currency loan) that
the borrower has the capacity to meet any
likely foreign exchange losses that may be
incurred."
. A memorandum dated 17 July 1984, concerned with "FOREIGN
CURRENCY LOANS TO AUSTRALIAN CUSTOMERS", refers to the
bank's effort to achieve "an increase in the
smaller/higher yielding F/C/L's to Australian customers".
It indicates that from 1982 to mid 1984 foreign currency
loans by the bank grew from about $5m US to about $100m
US - a huge increase. The memorandum states its own
object as to set "some direction for the future for the
smaller category of F/C loans (non-trade)". It refers to
recent market interest in foreign currency loans and to
the bank's need of expertise in the area. It concludes
that "a reasonable CBA attitude to F/C Loans and a plan
for handling this product in the immediate future" would
include the following:
"Foreign currency loans to be available as
a product to service those customers/non-customers
of the necessary credit standing
which have foreign currency receivables or the
capacity to manage the foreign currency exposure.
F/C Loans and simulated loans should not
be aggressively marketed. Rather they should
be used to meet the genuine needs of
customers/non-customers, particularly in the
face of competition from other lenders.
Group Treasury to have responsibility for
providing information/advice to borrowers on a
regular basis to assist borrowers manage exposure."
. A further memorandum dated 7 August 1984 suggests
"(t)he main reason for the lift in awareness of
F/C/Ls by our lending staff in the branches is the
activity of our competitors. The other trading
banks and the merchants are pushing F/C/Ls in the
profitable small to medium end of the market as are
brokers and accountants. Unless we take a more
positive approach we will lose sound opportunities."
There is then a reference to doubts "about the
desirability of lending to the small end of the market",
and to the need "to ensure that the inexperienced are not
assisted or encouraged into a situation they cannot
handle". There is a comment "we were not instructed to
hold back from F/C/Ls but merely to lend judiciously."
The memorandum refers to the urgency of the need "to
familiarise staff with F/C/Ls at the present". It
comments that they "may be marketed to those clients who
it is considered may utilise them and who would have the
capacity to manage their exposures or meet exchange
losses which may occur. F/C/Ls are not a facility for
weaker clients."
. A memorandum on the Chief General Manager's letterhead,
addressed to the managers of all branches, dated 6
September 1984, refers specifically to "FOREIGN CURRENCY
RELATED FACILITIES". It mentions "a growing interest" in
foreign currency lending and aggressive marketing by
competitors. It continues:
"With this increase in interest I consider it
imperative that CBA be in a position where it
can provide facilities to customers on a
competitive and responsible basis. It is vital
that the major aspects of these facilities be
understood by managers and appropriate CBA
lending staff.
In explaining the facilities to customers care
should be taken to ensure there is no
misunderstanding as to the inherent currency
exchange risks if unhedged (uncovered) exposure
is involved. However, notwithstanding the
exchange risks that may be involved, there are
customers of sufficient standing for whom an
unhedged foreign currency related facility can
be justified. Generally these customers would
have demonstrable capacity to meet any losses
resulting from currency exchange rate movement.
It would also be necessary for the customers to
have capacity to manage that risk."
. A memorandum dated 8 October 1984, for the General
Manager International of the bank, refers to a growing
awareness of foreign currency lending, and to a plan to
conduct, as soon as practicable, seminars dealing with
foreign currency lending techniques. Notes endorsed on
it indicate a poor opinion was held of the knowledge of
bank managers concerning foreign currency lending, and
there is also the comment: "A major (fresh) push into
this business demands an improved service to borrowers
particularly at or just before rollovers/maturities. I
understand group treasury has been looking at this but is
anything concrete happening?"
. An address by the bank's senior economist delivered on 21
February 1985, just after the drawdown of the loan
involved in the present case, emphasizes the complexity
of the matters which influence movements in exchange
rates. It also says of the banking industry: "There is a
tremendous surge towards more innovative products. ...
At the same time, international expansion has become
attractive for the Australian banks due to the increased
integration of domestic and offshore markets."
. On 27 February 1985 a memorandum from the Assistant
Manager International of the bank, written some three
weeks after the loan was drawn down, refers to "the
extent of the AUD depreciation which has occurred - ...
6% over 12 months for SFR". It seems remarkable there is
no suggestion, in the present case, that depreciation of
this extent was drawn to the attention of the appellants,
who were borrowing in Swiss francs, at about the end of
that very period of 12 months.