Application of applicable principles
97 The only question, then, is whether the Tribunal's major premise was within the textual scope of the relevant statutory materials. The answer to that question is "yes", for the following reasons.
98 First, Direction 79 sets out principles which were to inform the Tribunal's decision (Direction 79, [6.3], 7). One of those principles is that "the Australian Government can and should refuse entry to non-citizens, or cancel their visas, if they commit serious crimes in Australia …" (Direction 79, 6.3; emphasis added). Another is that a "non-citizen who has committed a serious crime … particularly against … vulnerable members of the community … should generally expect to … forfeit the privilege of staying in … Australia (Direction 79, 6.3; emphasis added). The Tribunal's consideration of the seriousness of the Applicant's offending and its effect on vulnerable members of the community was therefore directly referable to the express terms of Direction 79. It was open to the Tribunal to have regard to those factors.
99 Second, the starting point for the Tribunal was that, if the Applicant's offending was responsive to the words "serious crime" in Direction 79 (and it does not appear that such a position was challenged in the Tribunal), without more, the Applicant should have "generally expect[ed] to … forfeit the privilege of staying in … Australia".
100 Third, the Tribunal was required to "have regard to" the "likelihood of the non-citizen engaging in further criminal or other serious conduct", taking into account "available information" (Direction 79, cl 13.1.2(1)(b)). In this respect, it appears to have been unchallenged that the Applicant's capacity to manage certain pressures outside of a prison or detention environment was untested. That was "available information" as that term is used in Direction 79 and, as a result, the Tribunal could take it into account.
101 In light of the statutory guidance in Direction 79, consideration of this matter was not akin to a mere reliance on a "bare recitation" of what the Applicant had "done in the past" (Assistant Minister for Immigration and Border Protection v Splendido [2019] FCAFC 132; 271 FCR 595 (Splendido) at [77] per Mortimer J; Moshinsky J agreeing). It should not be placed into the category of the perhaps less sophisticated logic of "[the Applicant] did it before; he has a propensity to do this sort of thing; the likelihood is that he [might do it again]" (Hughes v The Queen [2017] HCA 20; 344 ALR 187 at [70]-[72] (per Gageler J)).
102 Four matters will suffice to illustrate why that is so. First, the Tribunal's assessment of these pressures was directly referable to the "circumstances of past offending" which are "integral to any assessment of the risk, or likelihood, of future offending" (Splendido at [81] per Mortimer J; Moshinsky J agreeing). (It was accepted that certain pressures contributed to the Applicant's relevant offending: see Tribunal's Reasons at [40-[43].) Second, the context for the Tribunal's consideration of these circumstances was that the offending was serious and it followed that, without more, it was to be expected that the Applicant would "forfeit the privilege of staying in … Australia" (Direction 79, cl 6.3(3)). Third, the Tribunal acknowledged that the Applicant's risk of reoffending was low, but the Applicant's capacity to effectively manage the relevant pressures could not wholly discount the risk of reoffending because any developed capacity had not yet confronted any pressures which might arise outside of the prison or detention environment (see Tribunal's Reasons, [46]-[47]) and, as a result, the Tribunal could not reason away the relevant risk. Fourth, the Tribunal then had to confront the principle that "any risk" of similar offending "in the future [can be] unacceptable" (Direction 79, cl. 6.3(4); emphasis added). Faced with that principle, it was open to the Tribunal to, and the Tribunal did, find that the even low risk of reoffending posed by the Applicant was "unacceptable" and, as a result, the Tribunal could not (consistently with Direction 79) revoke the relevant decision.
103 In short, the Tribunal reasoned that the Applicant's offending was serious, the starting point was that the Applicant should not expect the Tribunal to revoke the relevant decision, there were pressures which contributed to the Applicant's offending and, while those pressures were said to be no longer present, it was not possible to say whether they would re-emerge outside of a prison or detention environment given that the matter was untested and, if they do emerge in that manner, there was no basis upon which to assess how the Applicant would address them. Such considerations and the Tribunal's treatment of them fell well within the area of discretion marked out by the text of Direction 79. It cannot be accepted in these circumstances that no decision-maker could reason in that manner.
104 Moreover, the Tribunal reasoned that, where the relevant offending is very serious and "has the potential to have a devastating impact on individuals and families, as well as very serious consequences for the broader community", any risk of reoffending of that kind "is unacceptable" (Tribunal's Reasons, [47]). (I have referred to this generally above as the Unacceptable Risk Conclusion. It can be fairly understood as there being an unacceptable risk of reoffending which, as a result, poses an unacceptable risk of potential harm to the community.) The Tribunal found that the Applicant's offending satisfied these criteria. And, again, for the reasons stated above, the Applicant does not challenge those factual findings which relevantly underpin this conclusion (that is, there was no challenge to the contention that the offence was serious or that it affected vulnerable members of the community).
105 As a result, the question becomes whether the major premise of the Unacceptable Risk Conclusion falls within the terms of Direction 79. The answer to that question is "yes" given the Tribunal's major premise essentially reproduces the express terms of the principle in Direction 79 that, "[i]n some circumstances, criminal offending or other conduct, and the harm that would be caused if it were to be repeated, may be so serious, that any risk of similar conduct in the future is unacceptable" (Direction 79, cl 6.3(4); emphasis added). In these circumstances, given the Tribunal had found that the relevant offending was serious (a finding that was unchallenged), that any reoffending would affect vulnerable members of the community (a matter that was unchallenged), and that there was some risk of reoffending, in circumstances where Direction 79 expressly recognises that there are occasions where any identified risk of "similar conduct" "is unacceptable", the Tribunal was well within the scope of its powers (expressed in Direction 79) in making the finding that it did. It should not be accepted in these circumstances that no reasonable or rational decision-maker could reason in the manner in which the Tribunal did.
106 There is then the question as to whether the Balancing Conclusion is affected by jurisdictional error. The Applicant in this regard says that a good deal of the matters referred to in Direction 79 were found in his favour, save for the Reoffending Risk Conclusion, the Unacceptable Risk Conclusion and the Community Expectations Conclusion. However, this is essentially a submission that the Tribunal should have weighed the evidence differently - eg that it should have given greater weight to the Favourable Matters Conclusion and, in the balancing exercise that the Tribunal evidently conducted, found that the Favourable Matters Conclusion outweighed other matters such that the relevant decision should have been revoked.
107 This position cannot be accepted. This is so for at least two reasons.
108 First, in taking relevant considerations into account, cl 8(5) of Direction 79 expressly directs the Tribunal that "[o]ne or more primary considerations may outweigh other primary considerations" (emphasis added). As a result, Direction 79 permits the Tribunal to assess which considerations outweigh others and provides that "one" primary consideration "may" outweigh others. That is, Direction 79 expressly contemplates that one primary consideration can be determinative even in the light of other primary considerations.
109 Second, even if Direction 79 did not furnish this statutory identification (which it has), it is "generally for the decision-maker and not the court to determine the appropriate weight to be given to the matters which are required to be taken into account in exercising the statutory power": Minister for Aboriginal Affairs v Peko-Wallsend Ltd (1986) 162 CLR 24 at 41 per Mason J (Gibbs CJ agreeing generally; Dawson J agreeing). In addition, a decision being "against the evidence" or "against the weight of the evidence" belong "to appeals from courts of law and have particular application to jury verdicts" (Collins v Minister for Immigration & Ethnic Affairs (1981) 4 ALD 198 at 201; 36 ALR 598 (per Fox, Deane and Morling JJ) (Collins)). Even in that context, "they do not involve questions of law" (ibid). They "have no place when the appeal, or review, is of proceedings of an administrative tribunal which is not bound by the rules of evidence and which, subject to the obligation to observe the requirements of natural justice, can inform itself as it chooses" (ibid).
110 In these circumstances, the Balancing Conclusion was not unreasonable, illogical or irrational such that it involved jurisdictional error.