The IMR's findings and reasons
11 In his reasons the IMR noted (at [64]) that the first respondent's underlying claim was that he would face persecution as an Hazara and as a Shia because Hazaras and Shias are generally persecuted by the Taliban. He also noted that the first respondent claimed that he would face persecution by Pashtuns generally.
12 The IMR found, however, that the first respondent did not face persecution simply as an Hazara and a Shia on the basis of his contention that Hazaras and Shias are generally persecuted in Afghanistan: see at [75]. In reaching that finding the IMR considered a range of material, which he identified and discussed in his reasons.
13 Specifically for present purposes, the IMR referred to and quoted from an article entitled "Afghanistan's Apocalypse Now" that had been written by Professor Amin Saikal and published in the Forum section of The Canberra Times on 22 January 2011. The IMR referred to this article as "relevant to any consideration of the present general situation of Hazaras in Afghanistan": see at [72]. This article had been provided to the first respondent's advisers by the IMR on 11 March 2011: see at [30].
14 The substance of the quotation made by the IMR from the article was that changing circumstances had resulted in "enormous empowerment of this traditionally deprived group" (that is, Hazaras) who "today wield a share in the power structure and economic life of Afghanistan well beyond their numerical strength". The article noted that, in the September 2010 parliamentary elections, Hazaras won 59 of the 249 seats in the Lower House. Professor Saikal said that "(t)hey have succeeded in securing not only constitutional and legal rights pertinent exclusively to protecting their ethnic and sectarian identity, but also a strong presence in the executive leadership and legislature". Professor Saikal referred to "their expanding ownership of many businesses" which had "transformed them into a powerful group in the country". He quoted "one perceptive observer" as saying that "they have now the strength and solidarity to take over Kabul if they wanted to do so".
15 In the submission sent on 11 May 2011 the first respondent's advisers had referred to this article and had criticised Professor Saikal in the following terms:
We note the article titled [Afghanistan's Apocalypse Now] was written by Mr. Amin Saikal who comes from a Tajik and a Muslim Sunni background. His family has affiliations with the Afghani Government, and the Hazara community regard him as a person who has always promoted the idea that Afghanistan is safe despite continued violence towards Hazaras.
In contrast, Professor William Maley, director of the Asia-Pacific College of Diplomacy at the Australian National University and an independent observer, has recently published an article outlining the dangers associated with refouling Afghani Refugees. …
16 It is clear that, by this submission, the first respondent sought to challenge the reliability and soundness of Professor Saikal's views generally in relation to the situation of Hazaras in Afghanistan, and specifically as portrayed in this article.
17 In his reasons the IMR dealt with that challenge (at [74]) in the following way:
The post-interview submission of April [sic] 2011 by the claimant's agent appears to impugn the opinions of Professor Saikal on the basis of his ethnicity, religion and imputed political opinion. This reviewer hesitates to reject expert testimony on the basis of ethnicity or religion when no specific bias or inaccuracy has been asserted or demonstrated (while noting that some of the more colourful reporting comes from the various Hazara websites, as amply demonstrated in relation to the report discussed below under 'Kuchis', that the police / army have massacred Hazaras in Kabul). As for imputed political opinion, the reviewer notes that the overall tenor of Professor Saikal's article is very far from uncritical of the Karzai Government, and nor does it suggest in any way that Afghanistan is safe. One might as well dismiss Professor Maley as an "independent observer" on the basis of his Vice-Presidency of refugee advocacy and services umbrella organisation, the Refugee Council of Australia (RCOA).
[Emphasis added]
18 I have quoted this passage (with emphasis) because it is relevant to one of the grounds of review raised in the Federal Magistrates Court that remains of significance to the present appeal.
19 In the end result, the IMR was not satisfied that the first respondent's application was one that should be considered by reference to a "group determination" where each member of the group (here, Hazara Shias) is regarded, prima facie, as a refugee. In those circumstances he went on to consider the first respondent's individual circumstances.
20 In that connection, the IMR (at [81]-[86]) found:
(a) There is a good deal of evidence that the Taliban are not strong within Jaghori district, although they have a presence on its borders.
(b) The Taliban may have capacity to strike at specific targets with a significant profile in local areas not distant from district borders (perhaps including Anghori, near where the first respondent was born) but the first respondent had no individual profile.
(c) There is a relatively safe route regularly used from Jaghori through Nawur and Jaghatu (both Hazara districts) to Ghazni city.
(d) In any event, not all interdiction of roads by the Taliban necessarily amounts to persecution for a Convention reason.
21 The IMR concluded (at [87]) that he was not satisfied that there was a real chance that, in the particular circumstances, the first respondent would be targeted should he return to his home village or local area in Jaghori, which district the IMR found to be "Hazara-controlled".
22 The IMR then turned to consider the first respondent's claim that, if the Taliban should find out that he had travelled to Australia, "they will hang him because they will think he has become a Christian". The IMR considered this claim to be unsupported by authoritative evidence. He found that there was no credible evidence that persons returning or returned from Western countries as failed asylum seekers were, for that reason, "suspected of apostasy" and for that reason targeted by the Taliban or others: see at [92].
23 The IMR therefore concluded that the first respondent "would not face a real chance of persecution in relation to his absence overseas or return to Afghanistan from the West or having sought asylum in Australia or because he would therefore be believed to have become a Christian": see at [93].
24 Finally, the IMR considered a claim made by the first respondent in his first interview in which he referred to difficulties with Kuchis in his home area prior to 1998. In that connection the IMR noted that the first respondent did not claim that, for this reason, he had a well-founded fear of harm in the future. Moreover, the IMR found that the circumstances referred to by the first respondent were not likely to arise in the future because the first respondent no longer had any land: see at [94].
25 The IMR noted that in the submission sent on 11 May 2011 the first respondent's advisers had referred to Kuchi-Hazara clashes in Behsud in Nangarhar province and in Bamyan province as well as clashes in Kabul in August 2010. This submission was made, however, in the context of the first respondent's possible relocation to Kabul. The IMR noted that "(n)o information or claims were provided in relation to any Kuchi activity or incidents in Ghazni province, and the reviewer is aware of no reports in recent years of any incidents with Kuchi in Jaghori district": see at [95]. The IMR was thus satisfied that the first respondent did not have a well-founded fear of persecution by Kuchi nomads should he be returned to his home district of Jaghori.
26 In relation to Kuchi-Hazara clashes in Kabul, the first respondent had drawn the IMR's attention to a particular article dealing with police handling of large-scale Hazara rioting following Kuchi-Hazara clashes in August 2010. The IMR concluded that this article painted "a highly coloured picture" and that non-Hazara sources "paint a very different picture". In that connection the IMR referred to and summarised three articles on which it is clear he had placed significant reliance. It is common ground that these articles were not raised with or put before the first respondent for comment, although the IMR had placed other material before the first respondent for comment. The IMR concluded (at [100]), at least in part based on this material, that, amongst other things, "(t)he Hazara press or website reports present a very partial picture …".
27 The IMR noted in any event (at [101]) that, as he was not satisfied that the first respondent faced a real chance of persecution for a Convention reason, the question of the reasonableness of his relocation to Kabul did not arise.