Ground 3: The adoption of a buffer for past and future economic loss
46Allianz relies upon the provisions of s 126 of the Act. Section 126 qualifies the assessment of future economic loss in a motor vehicle accident claim and is in the following terms:
" 126 Future economic loss-claimant's prospects and adjustments
(1) A court cannot make an award of damages for future economic loss unless the claimant first satisfies the court that the assumptions about future earning capacity or other events on which the award is to be based accord with the claimant's most likely future circumstances but for the injury.
(2) When a court determines the amount of any such award of damages it is required to adjust the amount of damages for future economic loss that would have been sustained on those assumptions by reference to the percentage possibility that the events concerned might have occurred but for the injury.
(3) If the court makes an award for future economic loss, it is required to state the assumptions on which the award was based and the relevant percentage by which damages were adjusted."
47In Nominal Defendant v Livaja [2011] NSWCA 121, Basten JA, Campbell JA and Rothman J gave a description of the assessment of future economic loss under s 126 of the Act. The Court said:
"[39] The assessment of future economic loss involves an hypothetical calculation, with the need to balance a number of variables: see the recent discussion in Amoud v Al Batat [2009] NSWCA 333 at [22]-[28]. One purpose of s 126 is to require a structured approach to such a calculation. Subsection (1) is expressed in terms which emphasise the need for the plaintiff to satisfy the Court as to certain "assumptions" in respect of future earning capacity. The Court must only act upon such assumptions as are established to its satisfaction on the balance of probabilities. Those assumptions must accord with the plaintiff's "most likely future circumstances" on the basis that the injury for which he or she seeks compensation had not occurred. There is nothing obscure about the nature of the findings so required: they must be sufficient to establish a baseline of earning capacity, extending into the future, from which diminution caused by the injury may be calculated: see State of New South Wales (NSW Police) v Nominal Defendant [2009] NSWCA 225 at [83]-[84] (Beazley JA, Allsop P and Macfarlan JA agreeing). Further, the assumptions must be stated and there is authority for the proposition that failure to do so would render the judgment invalid: sub-s (3); Zahra v Brown [2006] NSWCA 162 at [71] (Beazley JA, Santow JA agreeing).
[40] The purpose of sub-s (2) is less clear. There is a missing step between sub-ss (1) and (2). An essential part of the calculation is the assessment of the consequences for the claimant's earning capacity as a result of the injury. Subsection (2) requires adjustment of the amount of damages "by reference to the percentage possibility" that "the events concerned might have occurred but for the injury". Reference in sub-s (2) to "those assumptions" must be a reference to the assumptions about future earning capacity, absent the injury, referred to in sub-s (1). Subsection (1) refers to both assumptions and "other events": it might appear that the reference in sub-s (2) to "the events concerned" was intended to mirror the reference in sub-s (1) to "other events", although the language is somewhat obscure.
...
[42] Each of these factors is liable to variation, depending upon the circumstances of the case. For example, the likelihood of improved earning capacity for a skilled or professional person, who was at the beginning of a career when the accident occurred, may be high. The possibility of unemployment for periods may be low in some occupations and higher in others. It is common under the general law to allow a reduction in the order of 15% (depending on the circumstances) for "vicissitudes", to allow for the possibility that some event other than the injury would have adversely affected earning capacity. Assuming that length and continuity of employment are treated as "events concerned", for the purposes of sub-s (2), that provision may be seen as allowing for variation for such vicissitudes."
48The provisions of s 126 of the Act are in identical terms to s 13 of the Civil Liability Act 2002 and the provisions, for different kinds of injuries, serve the same ultimate purpose. The terms of these provisions have been the subject of much authority. The authority, binding on the Court as presently constituted, makes clear that s 126 of the Act (or s 13 of the Civil Liability Act ) does not prevent a court awarding damages by way of a buffer in an appropriate case.
49With respect to the operation of s 13 of the Civil Liability Act , the Court of Appeal in Pollard v Baulderstone Hornibrook Engineering Pty Ltd [2008] NSWCA 99 at [84] said:
"[84] As to the future economic loss, it is appropriate to award damages by way of a buffer, including in a case such as this where damages are to be determined pursuant to the Civil Liability Act, when the impact of the injury upon the economic benefit from exercising earning capacity after injury is difficult to determine. In such a case, the Court still undertakes a comparison between the economic benefits the plaintiff derived from exercising earning capacity before injury and the economic benefit derived from exercising earning capacity after injury, although the difference cannot be determined otherwise than by the broad approach of a buffer: Penrith City Council v Parks [2004] NSWCA 201 (at [3] - [5]) per Giles JA; applied K'mart Australia Ltd v McCann [2004] NSWCA 283 (at [62]) per Pearlman AJA (Handley and Ipp JJA agreeing); see also Hornsby Shire Council v King [2005] NSWCA 67 (at [23]) per Ipp JA (Mason P and Brownie AJA agreeing); Leichhardt Municipal Council v Montgomery [2005] NSWCA 432 (at [33]) per Hodgson JA (McColl JA agreeing). In the latter case Mason P (at [2]) opined that 'a buffer or cushion award is usually reserved to the situation where there is a smallish risk that otherwise secure employment prospects may come to an end, in consequence of the tort-related injury, at some distant time in the future', but, with respect, the accepted wisdom appears to be that a buffer can be deployed in circumstances such as the present."
50Section 126 of the Act was the subject of discussion by Hislop J in Allianz Australia Insurance Limited v Kerr [2011] NSWSC 347 at [19] and following. Hislop J said:
"[22] The claims assessor found that by the time of the accident the first defendant had educated herself very well and had been working for years, apparently successfully, as a community nurse. She appeared to have succeeded in becoming qualified as an assistant in nursing working full-time. There was no evidence to suggest that she was having time off work prior to the accident. The assessor noted that she did want to move to a higher level of nursing assistant by taking a 12 month TAFE course but this was not completed prior to the accident. The assessor concluded 'In my view she has satisfied me that but for the accident she would have had continual work, albeit that from time to time she would have needed to change jobs and have time off work. Thus she has satisfied s 126 of the Act'.
[23] The claims assessor found that the first defendant's neck injuries obviously compromised her ability to work and to deal with the other issues in her life particularly depression; she was currently employed in a job in which she no longer finds satisfaction or enjoyment and there seemed to be a real possibility that this job will soon be lost to her.
[24] The first defendant's counsel submitted to the claims assessor that he should allow a weekly loss of $900.00 until the first defendant was 70 years of age and then make a discount of 30% for vicissitudes rather than the usual 15% because of pre-existing psychological factors. This would give rise to a claim of over $600,000.00.
[25] The claims assessor concluded, in respect of the claim for future economic loss:
'...I accept the insurer's submission that it should be by way of a buffer rather than a concise calculation, given the claimant's concession of pre-existing psychological issues, her pre-existing work history and her current capacity for work. An amount of $20,000.00 as submitted by the insurer is clearly inappropriate. I believe the sum of $200,000.00 is the appropriate sum. Again I have allowed a further $22,000.00 on the basis of future superannuation loss.'
[26] In my opinion, the claims assessor has adequately complied with the requirements of s 126. As Giles JA observed in Parks :
'The occasion for a buffer is when the impact of the injury upon the economic benefit from exercising earning capacity after injury is difficult to determine.'"
51In Kerr , supra, Hislop J held that the claims assessor had adequately complied with the requirements of s 126 in finding that future economic loss should be calculated by way of a buffer, as opposed to a precise arithmetic calculation. The claims assessor considered the claimant's concession of pre-existing psychological issues, her pre-existing work history and her current capacity for work in awarding a buffer in the sum of $200,000. There was no error disclosed in the approach of the claims assessor, according to Hislop J.
52The matter was also the subject of discussion by this Court (Hoeben J) in Williams v Twynam Agricultural Group Pty Ltd & Anor [2011] NSWSC 1098. His Honour, at [213], referred to the judgment of the Court of Appeal in State of New South Wales v Moss [2000] NSWCA 133, (2000) 54 NSWLR 536 at [65] and [87]. In Moss , supra, Heydon JA, at [87], with whom Mason P and Handley JA agreed, said:
"[87] In short, where earning capacity has unquestionably been reduced but its extent is difficult to assess, even though no precise evidence of relevant earning rates is tendered, it is not open to the court to abandon the task and the want of evidence does not necessarily result in non-recovery of damages. Statements to the contrary such as those made in Allen v Loadsman [1975] 2 NSWLR 787 at 792 are not correct: Baird v Roberts [1977] 2 NSWLR 389 at 397-8 per Mahoney JA; J K Keally v Jones [1979] 1 NSWLR 723 at 732-735 per Moffitt P; Yammine v Kalwy [1979] 2 NSWLR 151 at 154-5 and 156-7 per Reynolds JA and Mahoney JA; Thiess Properties Pty Ltd v Page (1980) 31 ALR 430; see also Radakovic v R G Cram & Sons Pty Ltd [1975] 2 NSWLR 751 at 761 where Samuels JA criticised the 'meagre facts' provided but did not say it was not open to the jury to find a substantial sum for diminished earning capacity by the 'application of their own knowledge and experience'. The task of the trier of fact is to form a discretionary judgment by reference to not wholly determinate criteria within fairly wide parameters. Though the trier of fact in arriving at the discretionary judgment must achieve satisfaction that a fair award is being made, since what is involved is not the finding of historical facts on a balance of probabilities, but the assessment of the value of a chance, it is appropriate to take into account a range of possible outcomes even though the likelihood of any particular outcome being achieved may be no more than a real possibility. The trial judge in substance explained these aspects of the jury's task satisfactorily."
53In Williams , supra, Hoeben J (after referring to the High Court in Husher v Husher (1999) HCA 47, (1999) 197 CLR 138 at [6]-[7]; which in turn referred to Graham v Baker [1961] HCA 48; (1961) 106 CLR 340; MacArthur Districts Motor Cycle Sportsmen Inc & v Ardizzone [2004] NSWCA 145; (2004) 41 MVR 235; Penrith City Council v Parks [2004] NSWCA 201; Nominal Defendant v Lane [2004] NSWCA 405 and Burton v Brooks [2011] NSWCA 175) summarised the principles in the following passage:
"(1) The Court must assess the 'most likely' of the possible future economic circumstances facing the plaintiff but for the accident (including type of employment, duration of employment and remuneration);
(2) Assess the plaintiff's economic prospects as a consequence of the accident;
(3) Compensate the claimant for the difference between (1) and (2) including, where appropriate, through the use of a buffer;
(4) Adjust (3) by an appropriate percentage for vicissitudes, to reflect the possibility that the plaintiff may not have achieved one even had the accident not occurred;
(5) Include a statement of the assumptions made as the plaintiff's most likely future circumstances for the appropriate percentage adjustment."
With great respect to Hoeben J, I adopt this summary, although, in the case of the use of a buffer, sometimes a nil adjustment will be used, or implied, for step 4 above: see Parks , supra.
54The relevant extracts of the reasons for assessment of future economic loss are summarised in the course of Allianz's grounds of review recited therein at paragraph 27(f) and otherwise the cost assessor's reasons are relevantly recited at [22]. The submissions made on behalf of Allianz do not suggest that a buffer is not an appropriate means of awarding damage for future (or past) economic loss. Rather, Allianz submits that the amount of the buffer is inordinately high and brings it to a point where a buffer is no longer appropriate and that the reasons disclose insufficient transparency to enable an understanding of the basis upon which the buffer has been awarded or calculated.
55As earlier stated and repeated the claims assessor was extremely impressed by Dr Cervantes. She was an extremely high achiever with extraordinary pre-accident accomplishments that were described by the claims officer as "outstanding". She was a person who was highly motivated, very intelligent and a high achiever.
56The claims assessor, as previously recited, was satisfied that, but for the injuries, Dr Cervantes would have opened her own Nephrology practice and would have earned significantly higher income than she can earn as a consequence of the injuries.
57Dr Cervantes, even without that higher income, is an extremely high-income earner by average standards. Yet, the claims assessor determined that Dr Cervantes would be unable to work the very long hours necessary to run a successful private practice as a Nephrologist and to maximise her income as a full-time hospital specialist. As a consequence, it was necessary for the claims assessor to compensate Dr Cervantes for the possibility, which the claims assessor considered was the most probable adverse effect, of the loss of future income that was difficult, if not impossible, to measure.
58As already stated, the reasons for determination of a claims assessor are required to be brief. Once each head of damage has been identified and the amount associated with it stated, all that is necessary is for the claims assessor to identify how the number attributed to each head of damage has been calculated. Calculations were provided for past care and future care (see page 10 of the assessor's reasons). The claims assessor accepted the claimant's evidence for past out of pocket medical expenses. All other figures were calculated in terms of a 'buffer' and therefore, did not require precise arithmetic calculation.
59The claims assessor has identified that the buffer awarded (for both past and future economic loss) was occasioned by the effect of the injury in denying Dr Cervantes the capacity to establish a profitable private practice and the significant potential earnings that have been lost as a consequence thereof. Necessarily a buffer is an estimate to account for uncertainties, usually of circumstance that will give rise to greater (or lesser) losses. In this case, it has been used to overcome the inability to assess, with precision, the loss in question, together with the possibility (however remote) that Dr Cervantes could, ultimately, engage in a lucrative private practice.
60Unlike some cases, there are no figures that disclose the earnings of comparable employees or practitioners to Dr Cervantes other than the general estimate of Dr Cervantes herself. That is not surprising considering that reliable information of that kind may be extremely difficult to obtain. Further, there is a need to understand the benefits arising from tax deductible expenses associated with the carrying on of a business, as distinct from employment, and the degree to which "business expenses" include expenditures that, were it an employment situation, would not be tax deductible.
61The evidence before the claims assessor (recited at p 5 of the reasons for determination) was that Dr Cervantes was earning $2,500 per week ($130,000 per annum), whereas a successful Nephrologist in private practice could earn more than $500,000 per annum (at least according to Dr Cervantes). Even assuming, conservatively, that the $500,000 estimate included income as a staff specialist (which I doubt), on the evidence available to the claims assessor, there was a loss of $370,000 per annum (less expenses).
62As earlier stated, the assessment of the claims assessor occurred on 11 January 2011. Dr Cervantes qualified as a Nephrologist in early 2009. Assuming, as I must, that the estimated earnings for a Nephrologist in private practice would not commence immediately upon qualification, the award of $75,000 as a buffer for the loss of private practice income for the two years between the date of qualification and the assessment is still an extremely conservative assessment or buffer for the uncertainties associated with the loss of that income. Further, each buffer includes superannuation losses.
63I reiterate that the claims assessor made clear that the income of that kind was a loss occasioned by the injury sustained.
64Given that at the time of assessment Dr Cervantes was 46 years of age and, on the findings of the claims assessor, Dr Cervantes would work to the age of 65, the buffer of $400,000 for future economic loss (including superannuation) associated with the inability to earn income in private practice is extremely conservative, and not significantly more than the difference in estimated income for one year.
65It is not suggested that there was evidence before the claims assessor that was inconsistent with the estimate of private income given by Dr Cervantes. While in ordinary circumstances a buffer of $400,000, inclusive of loss of superannuation, is more than is usually associated with an amount by way of "buffer", given the level of earnings and potential earnings of Dr Cervantes, the buffer is not excessive.
66The claims assessor has recited a number of findings including the nature of the injuries and the fact that the injury has caused Dr Cervantes to be unable to operate as a private practitioner.
67Further, the claims assessor has reiterated the difficulty of assessing with precision the degree to which practice as a private practitioner will continue to be unavailable. He indicates the only estimates available for earnings in a private practice (albeit which amounts include operating expenses) and provides a buffer for the inability to calculate precisely the past losses and future losses from that income source precisely.
68The claims assessor has not failed to identify the head of damage that has been awarded and how he has arrived at the number for each head of damage. Further, the claims assessor has not failed to make the findings of fact necessary to arrive at the conclusion that the buffer that has been awarded for each of past and future economic loss is a buffer that is well within the range available in the circumstances of this case. This ground of review is also rejected.
69Alternatively, one may ask what else could the claims assessor have done. He considered there had been past loss and there would be future economic loss occasioned by the inability to operate a private clinic. This was attributable to the accident. If he were to have refused to award damages for either head, there would have been error of law and probably jurisdictional error that, at least theoretically, could have been remedied by mandamus. On the other hand, the claims assessor could not (with any degree of precision), have calculated losses based on the $500,000 estimate. In those circumstances, a buffer of some significance was required and was awarded.