Review Ground 1
29 The first proposed substituted ground of review of the appellant is that the Federal Magistrate erred in finding that the Tribunal did not make the reviewable error of misdirecting itself as to the relevant law, in requiring the appellant to establish past persecution as an element of determining whether the appellant has a well-grounded fear of future persecution.
30 The appellant places emphasis upon the Tribunal's reasons at [66] which state:
However, due the applicant's relative wealth and the fact that he does not live among poor local South Africans, and the Tribunal has found his lack of past persecution, there is no real chance of future serious harm for reasons of him being Cameroonian. (Emphasis added).
31 The appellant submits that the Tribunal placed considerable emphasis on whether or not past persecution occurred and, having concluded that it had not, then based its finding that there was no real chance of future persecution on that conclusion. This, the appellant submits, was regarded by the Tribunal as the determining factor or "element" as it was put.
32 Indeed the Tribunal took into account its finding that the appellant had not suffered past persecution in determining that the appellant did not have a well-founded fear of future persecution. However, as found by the Federal Magistrate, this does not constitute jurisdictional error for two main reasons.
33 First, as noted by the Federal Magistrate, the authorities establish that it is appropriate to consider the absence or presence of past persecution in determining whether there is a well-founded fear of persecution: Minister for Immigration and Ethnic Affairs v Guo (1997) 191 CLR 559 and Applicant NABD of 2002 v Minister for Immigration and Citizenship (2005) 79 ALJR 1142.
34 In Minister for Immigration and Ethnic Affairs v Guo, the High Court held at 575:
In many, if not most cases, determining what is likely to occur in the future will require findings as to what has occurred in the past because what has occurred in the past is likely to be the most reliable guide as to what will happen in the future. It is therefore ordinarily an integral part of the process of making a determination concerning the chance of something occurring in the future that conclusions are formed concerning past events.
35 In Applicant NABD of 2002 v Minister for Immigration and Multicultural and Indigenous Affairs, Gleeson CJ noted at [4]:
In many, perhaps most cases, the primary basis for what is said to be a well-founded fear of persecution is an account of past persecution, usually given as the reason for leaving a country of nationality.
36 The appellant relies, in support of its submission in relation to this ground, upon Appellant S395/2002 v Minister for Immigration and Multicultural Affairs (2003) 216 CLR 473 at [74] (per Gummow and Hayne JJ) as authority for the proposition that where no past harm or persecution has been established there remains the possibility of future harm. That is correct. S395/2002 and the cases which have followed it relate primarily to whether an applicant has modified, or is likely to modify, his or her behaviour in order to avoid persecution. In the present case, the appellant claims persecution on the ground that he is Cameroonian and, on his own evidence, recognisably so. Thus, there can be no issue of the applicant modifying his behaviour in order to avoid persecution, and S395/2002 can be of no assistance to the appellant in that respect.
37 The Tribunal was entitled to take into account its finding that the appellant had not suffered past persecution in determining that he did not have a well-founded fear of future persecution. It did not, however, proceed on the basis that proof of past persecution was a requirement before a finding could be made that he had a fear of future persecution.
38 Second, that there was no evidence of past persecution was but one of the factors considered by the Tribunal in determining that the appellant did not have a well-founded fear of future persecution. The Tribunal also took into account the following factors:
(1) the country information considered by the Tribunal indicated that violent crime in South Africa is motivated by money, not race;
(2) the appellant's wealth and the location of his residence separates him from high risk areas. This factor was directly related to evidence of xenophobic violence that has occurred in South Africa. It is also related in this appeal to the appellant's second ground; and
(3) the failure of the appellant to apply for refugee status whilst in New Zealand and his delay of 3 months from the date of his arrival in applying for a protection visa in Australia.
39 The appellant submits that the following factors sourced from Country Information should have led the Tribunal to conclude that there were well-founded reasons for the appellant to fear future harm:
1. Xenophobic violence against African immigrants exists in South Africa.
2. The conditions in South Africa that led to the xenophobic violence in May 2008 remain extant and further such violence is a possibility.
3. Foreigners may be at risk from violence for, among other things, their visibility and accessibility.
4. The appellant has a genuine fear of persecution from indigenous South Africans.
40 The appellant submits that in relation to his particular social group, the Tribunal only considered this in light of a specific claim for persecution as a result of being a member of that particular social group. He then submits that what the Tribunal failed to do is to consider his membership of that group (which it accepted as a particular social group) in the broader context of whether he has a real chance of future serious harm, the basis for this consideration being that he, by his membership of the group, is readily identifiable; he was well known in the Cape Town area as he was a former professional footballer.
41 This, he submits, made him a person with "visibility" and thereby increased his chance of being the victim of xenophobic violence. I will deal with these submissions under ground 2, which as I say, is related.
42 Accordingly the Tribunal considered a range of relevant factors in determining that the appellant did not have a well-founded fear of persecution. It was entirely appropriate for the Tribunal to consider the likelihood of future persecution by reference, as in part of its overall consideration, as to whether there was evidence of any past persecution. I do not accept the appellant's submission that the Tribunal ought to have considered, in isolation from the question of past harm, whether or not the appellant had a well-founded fear of persecution due to other factors. The relevant factors, whilst they may be considered discretely, will ultimately be considered by the Tribunal as a whole. Such was the case here. The relative weight to be accorded to the lack of past persecution is a matter for the Tribunal.