Error in Not Relying on 3% Discount Tables?
43 The Appellants submit that the judge should have calculated the lump sum by using the 3% discount tables. Their submission on that topic is:
In the recent decision of Ward J in Stern v Sekers; Sekers v Sekers [2010] NSWSC 59 her Honour at paras 355-365 considered the authorities relevant to the application of the discount tables in the calculation of capital sums and concluded at para 365 that the application of the 3% tables represented a conservative approach which the community would expect in an application for provision by a severely disabled daughter. This approach was adopted by White J in Mayfield v Lloyd - Williams [[2004] NSWSC 419]. For the reasons enunciated by Ward J in Stern , ibid, it is this approach that the trial judge should have adopted. In the interests of comity and certainty, the courts ought adopt a common approach. This will not affect or diminish the exercise of a judge's discretion when determining what provision is, in any case, adequate for the proper maintenance of an applicant. Apart from providing more certainty in decisions, such an approach would assist practitioners to advise about the settlement of claims. Had the primary judge adopted this approach he would have awarded the respondent a capital sum of $888,000."
44 It is not as though the judge ignored the figure yielded by the 3% discount tables - he specifically said (at [30]) that he had regard to it. The substance of the submission of the Appellants is that he should have adopted that figure to the exclusion of all else. The benefits that the Appellants urge from adoption of the 3% discount tables, namely certainty of prediction of outcome, would not be achieved even by giving the 3% discount tables even a predominant weighting amongst other factors that the judge took into account.
45 Any appellate review of the quantum of an award under the Family Provision Act can succeed only if the appellant persuades the court that the standards for appellate review of a discretionary decision are met: Singer v Berghouse (1994) 181 CLR 201 at 211. I am not persuaded that the judge's failure to derive the lump sum using only the 3% discount tables was an error of principle on his part, capable of correction in accordance with the standards governing appellate review of discretionary decisions: House v The King (1936) 55 CLR 499 at 504-5.
46 Evaluation of the Appellants' submission calls for some consideration of why the 3% discount tables came to have (at least before section 14 Civil Liability Act 2002 required the adoption of a 5% discount rate in certain circumstances) the significant role that they had in assessing lump sums of damages. That in turn requires consideration of what Todorovic v Waller (1981) 150 CLR 402 decided.
47 It was a case about assessment of damages in tort for personal injuries. Its particular concern was how to assess the quantum of a lump sum that would provide compensation for the loss of earning capacity that an injured plaintiff had sustained in consequence of the tort, and the quantum of a lump sum that would enable the plaintiff to purchase the goods and services that would be needed from time to time to deal with the consequences of the injury. It proceeded on the basis that compensation required a lump sum that (in so far as it related to loss of earning capacity) would be sufficient to replace the loss of income that the plaintiff would be likely to sustain for the rest of his or her working life, but that would be likely to be depleted by the end of the plaintiff's working life, and a lump sum that (in so far as it related to the cost of future goods and services) would be sufficient to pay for those goods and services, at the time as they were likely to be needed for the rest of the plaintiff's life, but be depleted by the time of the plaintiff ceasing to need those goods and services.
48 There is a mathematically certain way of ascertaining the sum of money paid now that, invested at x%, would enable a payment of $Y per week to be made (using both the income, and ultimately the capital of the fund) for a period of z years. Actuarial tables of the results of such calculations have been available for many years. They are called "discount tables", and the assumed rate of earning of the fund, the x%, is referred to as the "discount rate". The "3% discount tables" that the Appellants submit should as a matter of principle be adopted in Family Provision Act cases are tables that show that calculation, where x% is 3%.
49 In assessing a lump sum to be paid as damages for loss of earning capacity or to provide for the cost of future goods and services, there had been a diversity of opinion amongst judges before Todorovic about some aspects of the calculation. One contentious aspect had been how to attribute a rate of earnings to the lump sum (and thus what discount rate to apply, if rate of earnings were the only relevant matter). Another had been whether, and if so how, to take into account inflation. Inflation of earnings was likely to increase the earnings that the plaintiff would have received over the rest of his or her working life if he or she had not been injured, while inflation of costs was likely to increase the cost of the relevant goods and services from time to time, and the rate of increase in relevant wages would not necessarily be the same as the rate of increase in cost of relevant goods and services. Another contentious aspect had been whether, and if so how, to take into account that if a lump sum were invested the income earned by the lump sum would be liable to income tax.
50 In light of the very great difficulties in making any accurate predictions about the future rate of inflation, future scales of taxation, and future taxation rebates and deductions, the majority in Todorovic (Gibbs CJ, Mason, Aickin, Wilson and Brennan JJ) decided that the preferable approach to adopt was to discount the future payments at a rate that itself took into account the rate of income assumed to be earned by the fund, and also made allowance for notional tax on fund income and the effect of future inflation of wages and prices. Those factors were taken into account in quite a broad-brush way, as follows. If the rate of return likely to be earned on the lump sum was x% per annum, part of the income so earned would be absorbed by taxation. The effect of inflation is that if the income that a lump sum earns at x% this year is adequate to compensate for loss of wages at this year's rates of pay or to buy goods or services at this year's rates of charge, that same income will not be enough to perform those functions in future years. Each of these factors provides a reason for reducing the discount rate to something less than x%.
51 The rate that the majority in Todorovic fixed upon as the appropriate discount rate was 3%. That particular figure was chosen in the light of evidence and judicial notice about historical and then available rates of return on investments, taxation rates and inflation rates, and the manner in which those factors interacted. The majority decided that the 3% rate should be used, regardless of the individual tax situation of the particular plaintiff (see Todorovic at 424, 449, 460, 477).
52 When Todorovic decided on the 3% figure in 1981 interest rates of "at least 15%" were obtainable on secure investments (at 415), and the then expected inflation rate was 10% (at 445), though there had been inflation rates of 16-17% in 1974-1975 (at 446). Achievable interest rates on secure investments, and actual and expected inflation, are now quite different. There have also been some significant changes since 1981 in the income tax law that affects individuals.
53 The task of a court in assessing damages at common law is to provide fair compensation for a legal wrong. That measure of compensation must be fair to the defendant, as well as to the plaintiff. The task of a court in assessing the amount of provision that should be made for an "eligible person" under the Family Provision Act is to ascertain "such provision … as in the opinion of the court, ought, having regard to the circumstances at the time the order is made, to be made for the maintenance, education or advancement in life of the eligible person" (section 7). Some factors that the court must in some circumstances take into account, and others that it may take into account, are listed in section 9. However, the quantum of the provision is a matter for exercise of a judicial discretion, exercised bearing in mind the circumstances of the particular claimant. The principles on which the two types of award are made are not the same. Thus the method for calculating common law damages is not necessarily the method to use in arriving at a Family Provision Act award.
54 There are insurmountable difficulties in carrying out an accurate calculation of the amount that will make proper provision for certain needs of a person for the rest of their life. As well as the unpredictability of future inflation rates and taxation regimes that Todorovic allows for in an extremely broad-brush way, Family Provision Act claims concerning a claimant who is to be provided for for the rest of his or her life have an additional complexity arising from the uncertainty of the length of that person's life. That dimension of uncertainty does not appear with quite the same acuteness in calculation of damages for personal injury, because the calculation for loss of earning capacity is made for a determinate period of time, up to the ordinary date of retirement of the plaintiff in question, with the prospect of earlier death being allowed for as one matter that goes into the deduction that is made for contingencies of life. In an estate that is large enough to satisfy all the claims upon it, it would be a significant detraction from the adequacy of the provision made for a widow that it left her at risk of not being properly provided for if she were to live for longer than the statistical average for a woman of her age.
55 Depending on the evidence and submissions made in a particular case, it can be part of the task for a judge fixing the quantum of a Family Provision Act award to make a judgment about whether, and if so to what extent, any discount table is of assistance in assessing the proper provision for the eligible person. At least until such time as a court has the benefit of argument that seeks to narrow the range of discount tables that might be used for that purpose, there is no reason of principle why the 3% tables should be treated as the bottom of the range of discount tables that are considered. In Todorovic, in the different economic conditions that then prevailed, Stephen and Murphy JJ were of the view that a nil discount should be applied in calculations of common law damages, and Mason J would have preferred to use the 2% tables, but agreed with use of the 3% tables for the sake of comity. Likewise it is part of the judge's task to decide (if asked) whether, and if so to what extent, any actuarial calculations that are tailored to the individual circumstances of that claimant are helpful. In my view, there is no principle requiring that the 3% discount table always be used.
56 There is a world of difference between it perhaps sometimes being appropriate to calculate a lump sum for the purposes of the Family Provision Act by using the 3% discount tables, and it always being required as a matter of principle. Just as the nature and quantum of the provision that is made for an applicant under the Family Provision Act involves an exercise of judicial discretion, that is exercised in the light of the facts of the particular case and the evidence and submissions in the particular case, so the choice of the appropriate methodology to use in arriving at the quantum is a matter of judicial discretion, that is likewise exercised in the light of the facts of the particular case and the evidence and submissions in the particular case. In my view the Appellant's submission that adoption of the 3% discount tables as a common approach "will not affect or diminish the exercise of a judge's discretion when determining what provision is, in any case, adequate for the proper maintenance of an applicant" is wrong. In the present case it was within the scope of the discretion open to him for the judge to have regard (as he did) to the 3% tables, as one factor taken into account, but also within the scope of his discretion to award a sum different to that obtained from the use of the 3% tables.
57 There is another reason, more closely tied to the circumstances of the present case, why the judge made no error in failing to award the sum obtained from the 3% discount tables. The expert evidence in the present case proceeded on a different basis to that which Todorovic had decided was appropriate for the purpose of assessing lump sums in personal injuries litigation. In the present case, the experts had made assumptions about what the rate of increase of wages and prices would be, (matters said by two judges in Todorovic at 420 to be "unverifiable surmise and inadmissible") and had made calculations of the effect of income tax that were specific to the position of the Respondent. Those calculations were admitted without objection. In those circumstances, fundamental reasons why the majority in Todorovic had favoured the use of the 3% tables were absent.
58 The Appellant also relies on the decision of Ward J in Stern v Sekers [2010] NSWSC 59 at [355]-[365]. Those paragraphs in her Honour's judgment include a helpful collection of previous decisions in which judges have adopted the 3% discount tables as the means of fixing a lump sum. Some of those cases are ones under the Family Provision Act. Her Honour noted, at [361] that in Mayfield v Lloyd-Williams [2004] NSWSC 419, the parties had agreed that it was appropriate to use a 3% discount rate, and that there was no suggestion, when the matter was determined on appeal by the Court of Appeal that this was inappropriate (Lloyd-Williams v Mayfield [2005] NSWCA 189; (2005) 63 NSWLR 1 at [23].) (White J records the parties' agreement to use the 3% tables in Mayfield v Lloyd-Williams [2004] NSWSC 419 at [136].) Those are less than compelling reasons for using the 3% discount tables in cases where the parties do not agree it is appropriate to do so.
59 The particular choice that Ward J was required to make in Stern v Sekers was between the use of the 3% discount tables and the 5% discount tables for the purpose of calculating a lump sum appropriate to be awarded as provision for the needs of a severely disabled daughter. Her Honour decided to adopt the 3% tables, because "the community would expect a conservative approach to be taken in a case where the testator is looking at the proper provision for a severely disabled daughter". Her Honour was not purporting to make any decision of principle, applicable to cases under the Family Provision Act generally, about the appropriateness of the 3% tables - she was resolving the particular choice between two discount tables that was presented to her by the evidence and submissions in the case she was deciding. I can find no "reasons enunciated by Ward J in Stern" that show that the trial judge in the present case made an error of principle in failing to apply the 3% discount tables.
60 Ward J's review of previous authority left her "unable to find authority which would be conclusive on the issue as to which of the tables is most appropriate in the present circumstances." The Appellant did not direct our attention to any authority that Ward J had not found, which decided that a particular discount table should be used in Family Provision Act cases. The effect of the submissions of the Appellants is that this case ought to provide such authority. I decline to do so.