The results of any other assessment prepared by a qualified psychiatrist, registered psychologist or registered medical practitioner as to the likelihood of the defendant committing a further serious offence, the willingness of the defendant to participate in any such assessment, and the level of the defendant's participation in any such assessment (s 9(3)(c))
- As part of the 2022 ESO proceedings, two court-appointed experts provided reports for the final hearing in July 2022: Dr Calum Smith, Forensic Psychiatrist and Patrick Sheehan, Forensic Psychologist. Both assessed the defendant at the time as posing a risk of committing a further serious sex offence which could be managed in the community under and ESO.
- Both reports were substantially consistent with the reports of Dr Youssef and Dr Rodriguez. Dr Smith opined that his concern that the defendant's insight into circumstances which might trigger offending behaviour was "somewhat lacking". Dr Sheehan described a persistent history of mental and emotional instability, substance abuse and personality disturbance. Dr Sheehan noted that the (then) absence of stable residence was the most immediate consideration, but "more broadly there is in my view a substantial risk of [the defendant] deteriorating and making poor decisions that would elevate his risk of sexual offending."
- The most recent Risk Assessment Report is by psychologist Holly Cieplucha, dated 20 March 2024. As summarised by Sweeney J in the recent ISO judgment at [17]-[29] (omitting some portions):
"Ms Cieplucha said [the defendant] has previously been diagnosed with borderline personality disorder and substance use disorder. A diagnosis of hebephilia has previously been considered. More recently he has presented with depression and anxiety.
She said [the defendant] has completed the EQUIPS [Explore, Question, Understand, Investigate, Practise to Succeed] Foundation and Real Understanding of Self Help (RUSH) Programs and the High Intensity Sex Offender Program to address his sexual offending. She said while in the community he has participated in community based sex offender programs/group maintenance and individual risk management intervention sessions, engaged with community based psychologists and he has access to professional supports through the NDIS.
She said [the defendant's] response to supervision under his ESO had been mixed: he has demonstrated a propensity for aggressive outbursts towards his supervising officers and has disregarded formal directions, he has struggled to maintain housing stability, has not secured employment and lacks a stable routine; he has limited social support network and has a tendency to seek out friendships with vulnerable women with cognitive impairments who have children.
Using risk assessment tools, his risk of sexual reoffending has been assessed as in the well above average risk range.
She said if the defendant were subject to a further ESO, the mitigation of future risk may be enhanced by intensive community supervision and strict monitoring to prevent his opportunity for victim access, and he would remain eligible to participate in group maintenance sessions with community based sex offender programs or individual risk management sessions with a Corrective Services Senior Psychologist.
[…] Ms Cieplucha said when discussing his Victorian offences the defendant made admissions of arousal towards 13 to 14 year old girls.
Ms Cieplucha said:
'[The defendant] has a history of sexual offending against post-pubescent females and has continued to make admissions of arousal towards 13 to 14 year old girls. Despite his reports of lowered sex drive at present, this remains of relevance to future risk management.'
[…] Ms Cieplucha said although [the defendant] does not appear to have engaged in substance abuse over the duration of the order he has demonstrated impulsive behaviour, particularly in relation to financial instability and gambling, housing stability and general emotional control.
Ms Cieplucha said:
'Based on his most recent sexual offending, [the defendant's] most likely scenario for future sexual offending would involve non-contact sexual offences. It is likely that he would form a relationship with a younger female either in person or online in a chat room and engage the victim in sexualised conversations that could involve transmission of sexually explicit material. Victims would most likely be females around the age of 13 or 14. He is unlikely to use physical coercion to facilitate an offence but would likely encourage secrecy about their interactions. He may also attempt to meet the victim to commit a contact offence. This would most likely involve kissing and sexual touching, however, could progress to penetrative sexual acts. The likely motivation for his behaviour would be for sexual gratification to cope during periods of loneliness, or when he experiences an emotional collapse… He may report experiencing low self-esteem, feeling lonely or be insecure in a relationship and be fearful of rejection. His risk of sexual offending would escalate in the context of illicit drug use when his sexual arousal is increased, and his decision making capacity and judgment are impaired.'
[…]
Despite being subject to an Extended Supervision Order since 2022, he continues to present with a high density of criminogenic needs. His response to supervision has been mixed… although he has not perpetrated any acts of sexual violence, based on his history and outstanding needs, it is possible that he could commit a future 'serious sexual offence' as defined in [the Act].
[…]
'The goal of any ongoing case management would be to encourage the development and maintenance of a stable and sustainable lifestyle, so that newly formed habits can be maintained even when Mr Shields is not under any form of legal restraint.'"