21The outcome of that is that I then need to turn to comparable sales at the commencement of my analysis.
22First, I turn to setting out the reasons why in the course of the site inspection I suggested to the parties that several sales that had initially been relied upon were not relevant. They comprised sales at 315 Bunnerong Road, in excess of some two kilometres to the north of the site in an island development, and that at 554 Bunnerong Road, somewhat to the south and separated from the main portion of the ribbon shopping centre by Perry Street. Neither of those in my view was truly comparable.
23In the final analysis, both valuers agreed, in the witness box, that the sale and re-sale of 508 Bunnerong Road in April 2008 and November 2009 respectively provided the appropriate sale contexts for a comparative analysis by adjustment for the two sites that are subject of these appeals. I am satisfied consistent with what the High Court has said in Maurici that it is an appropriate basis to do so.
24I was helpfully provided by Ms Carpenter with a copy of a plan (Exhibit 6) that shows the relationship between the three relevant sites. A copy of that plan is reproduced below.
25The above plan shows that 488 Bunnerong Road is a little to the north of 508 Bunnerong Road. It is opposite Daunt Avenue intersection with Bunnerong Road, and importantly it is in the vicinity of a proposed Woolworths supermarket. Whether that is to be a full service supermarket or some lesser species of supermarket is not in my view a matter of particular import in these proceedings. It simply means that it is a more attractive location than 508 Bunnerong Road. 508 and 506 Bunnerong Road are adjacent.
26Mr Hyam took the sale of 508 Bunnerong Road and made a number of adjustments to it. He proposed downward adjustments from the 2009 sale price of $1.38 million for 508 Bunnerong Road of twenty per cent for the development approval, nine per cent for time and nine per cent for area, and then added back in a demolition cost of $50,000 giving an analysed value of $905,000. He then proceeded to move to step two. Mr Glitsos, on the other hand, indicated that he did not make any allowance for the development consent and suggested that the time and area adjustments should be 3.3% and 5% respectively with a demolition allowance of $100,000.
27I am satisfied that Mr Hyam's calculations are generally to be preferred but that in some respects his analysis and adjustment factors are too generous. I have reached this conclusion for several reasons. The first is that a strict application of the totality of his calculations to the period between the initial sale in April 2008 and the second sale in November 2009 leaves an unexplained discrepancy of $44,000, something which I do not believe is appropriate to set aside merely as a statistical aberration (given that Mr Hyam is an expert in this area of considerable experience, having written one of the standard texts in the area, and who was provided in the witness box with appropriate time to consider and reflect upon the particular adjustment factors upon which he relied).
28As a consequence, I am satisfied that these adjustment factors are too generous and that the appropriate factors to adopt would be 15% for the development application and 4% for time, being an adjustment of a total not of 38% but of 28% as a consequence. I also adopt Mr Hyam's allowance for demolition, because I am satisfied that a larger allowance for demolition as proposed by Mr Glitsos would be significantly out of kilter with the known cost of demolition of the property at 469 Bunnerong Road, slightly to the north of the Daunt Street intersection, which was a cost of $25,000 to demolish a brick residence on the site whilst the demolition of the structures that are on the relevant sites here may be more complex because of adjacent properties and the need to ensure that support remained for them. As a result, I am not persuaded that that cost is likely to be increased by a factor of four. Mr Hyam has allowed a factor of two and I consider that that is appropriate.
29Rather than endeavouring to turn to the analysis of the development yield and working out what might be the increase in value for each of the subsets within that development yield, I have simply taken the position that looking at the adjustment that Mr Hyam has proposed together with my corrections to it would require an upward adjustment of ten point eight per cent to his initial figure and that will be reflected, as will be obvious when we reach it, in the orders that I propose for 506 Bunnerong Road.
30I now turn to apply the same process to 588 Bunnerong Road.
31I am satisfied that the time and development approval percentage adjustments that were made to 508 Bunnerong Road need similarly obviously to be carried forward to 488 Bunnerong Road. Mr Hyam also proposed an adjustment for location reflecting the closeness to Daunt Avenue and to the Woolworths supermarket. I accept that that is appropriate.
32Mr Hyam also proposed a further adjustment of 9% based on the width of the frontage, that being something that he says should be taken into account on the development appeal basis. I do not accept that this is appropriate because it is already comprehended in the calculations that arise from the application of Mr Juradowich's development yield formula, and in my opinion to permit it as an adjustment earlier would constitute double dipping.
33Similarly, I note that 488 Bunnerong Road also has a frontage of a width that attracts bonus development potential consistent with that that is attracted by 508 Bunnerong Road. When I do that I arrive at a position where the total adjustments should be 24% in lieu of that adopted by Mr Hyam and that there should be a similar demolition allowance of $50,000.
34Prima facie, having taken through those calculations, it would seem to me that, at least at the first instance, the applicant has discharged the onus of engaging my consideration as to whether there should be a variation to the statutory values as the numbers that are derived from Mr Hyam's evidence will result in substituting $760,000 for $777,000, and substituting $761,000 for $866,000 - thus crossing that statutory burden threshold.
35It is therefore finally necessary for me to turn to the fact that Mr Glitsos has also undertaken in each of his statements of evidence an analysis of what would be the appropriate value on a basis of the yield by Mr Juradowich. He has adopted the calculations contained therein but applied his analysed values for that purpose. I have carefully considered whether I should set aside the conclusions that I have reached following Mr Hyam's process of reasoning by adopting those that are put by Mr Glitsos concerning the valuations on that basis. I note, for example, that with respect to 488 Bunnerong Road, Mr Glitsos applying the various rates that he has adopted for each of the classifications of development yield would reach a value on that basis of $1.25 million.
36Having accepted the appropriate adjustment factors that Mr Hyam has set out as being the basis upon which the sale of 508 Bunnerong Road should be analysed, it is clear to me that Mr Glitsos's analysis on a Juradowich basis is a little akin to the story of Paddy approaching Seamus at the intersection in Ireland where there were no signposts, and asking "How do I get to Dublin from here?" and being given the reply, "If I was going to Dublin, I wouldn't start from here."
37I am satisfied that Mr Glitsos's application of the Juradowich formulae starts from an inappropriate and unacceptable starting base and therefore warrants being set aside. As a consequence, I have resolved to adopt what I have calculated to be the outcome of the Hyam adjustments as I have indicated it is appropriate for them to be varied.
38As a consequence the orders of the Court will be that, in matter 30782 of 2010, the appeal will upheld and in lieu of the statutory valuation of $777,000 as at the base date of 1 July 2009, a valuation of $760,000 will be substituted and in matter 30662 of 2010, the appeal will be upheld; and in lieu of the statutory valuation of $866,000 as at the base date of 1 July 2009, a valuation of $761,000 will be substituted.
39However, in deriving these proposed orders, I have set out what I consider to be the proper calculation basis for deriving figures but I am not confident, given the fact that I had to reconstruct the formulae in the spreadsheet that those precise numbers are accurate, and indeed in the first matter, Matter No 30782, given the closeness of the derived answer to the statutory valuation, it may be that if I have applied an incorrect mathematical approach in the process of doing the calculation, not in describing the foundation upon which it should occur, it is possible that that appeal should be dismissed.
40I expect that the parties will confer on the mathematics of the outcome and I leave it on this basis, that I am going to grant leave to re-list the matter to deal with mathematical matters if it is necessary to correct them under the slip rule. If it is not necessary to do so and the parties agree on the terms of the outcome based on the calculations that I have proposed, then the parties can file an agreed set of Short Minutes of Orders for me to make in each of the proceedings.
41If re-listing before me (and that can be done on one day's notice at 9 o'clock in the morning) does not occur or if there is no agreed set of calculations filed by the close of business on Thursday 14 April, I will make orders in chambers in the terms that I have announced.
Tim Moore
Senior Commissioner
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Decision last updated: 21 July 2011