(3) As at 15 March 2005, the processes of negotiation and discussion mandated by Cabinet had not yielded any result.
(a) The DMR opposed the transfer of any part of the claimed land and the "Broadwater NP Additions" generally. Despite the DMR's invitation on 4 April 2003 to NPWS to discuss any matters if necessary and a letter from NPWS on 14 May 2003 requesting a meeting, nothing further occurred with the DMR before the date of the claim or, indeed, until 2006. The DMR's silence in the face of the NPWS letter of 14 May 2003 discloses its position of maintaining its objection. At 15 March 2005, there was no real chance that the DMR would lift its objection and enable this land to be transferred to date. When further steps were taken in 2006, the Minister's approval related the area of 28 hectares only, being the northern part of lot 503.
(b) The Department of Lands opposed the transfer of any part of the "Broadwater NP Additions" from 1998 until May 2003. By May 2003, the Department's agreement to transfer was limited to the northern part of lot 503, but even that was not irreversible. It maintained its opposition to any transfer of the balance. Mr Carey's memorandum of 18 May 2006 confirmed the existence of that opposition at the claim date and the foresight of that opposition continuing. As late as 5 June 2006 the Minister for Lands was asserting in the proceedings that the claimed land was needed for residential purposes. This confirms the existence of unresolved competing uses that remains to this day.
(4) Delay is relevant to the assessment of the likelihood of things coming to pass ( Minister v Deerubbin LALC (1998) 43 NSWLR 249 at 254F and Minister v Deerubbin LALC [No. 2] (2001) 50 NSWLR 665 at [76]). The inactivity of NPWS (then DEC) from May 2003 to 2006 indicates that the only available foresight was continuing opposition to transfer. Relying on subsequent documents relating to the DMR involves impermissible hindsight. What was the likelihood of this isolated part of the "Broadwater NP Additions" land being transferred to DEC on its own? There was no real chance of that occurring having regard to Mr Shanahan and Ms Braithwaite's evidence.
89 The Minister submitted that at the relevant time, 15 March 2005, the Court would very comfortably conclude that the claimed land was likely to be needed for the essential public purpose of nature conservation (national park). The primary elements supporting this submission were as follows:
(1) Cabinet established a process. By 2002 the whole of the claimed land was part of that process. The process involved negotiations between three departments. At all times NPWS (DEC) urged the whole of the claimed land to be included in its estate. Taking the applicant's case at its highest, the negotiations had reached and remained at an impasse by the claim date. Faced with such an impasse, it is relevant to ask, "what was going to give"? Clearly there was a real or not remote chance, in fact a good chance, of the objections of the DMR and Department of Lands being overcome at the claim date.
(a) The threshold of "likely" (a real or not remote chance) is low.
(b) Up to the claim date there had been a consultative process where departments expressed views, negotiations continued and outcomes were achieved. NPWS's position was not a mere aspiration. The land was part of the process established by Cabinet.
(c) Delay and inactivity are relevant, but Ms Braithwaite had not simply downed tools. The area involved was substantial. NPWS was subject to a major restructure in 2004. The available resources were reduced and the remaining resources reallocated until the 9000 hectares was reserved in December 2005. That part of the process involved significant work. Accordingly, there was activity throughout this period as part of the process, albeit directed at other lands. But the "Broadwater NP Additions" land never exited the process. The NPWS (DEC) had never given up with respect to these lands. It was not put to Ms Braithwaite that it had. It was always her position that she would return to this land when she had the resources to devote to it. The delay is thus readily explicable.
(d) The DMR's position in April 2003 was not irrevocable, as the terms of its response and the NPWS's letter of 14 May 2003 disclose. Nor was the position of the Department of Lands, which was said to be "subject to assessment".
(2) The evidence of Mr Barnes and Mr Ricketts of the DMR is relevant absent any impermissible hindsight. First, the evidence shows the process by which the DMR reached its global objection in April 2003. The cogency of the DMR's position is probative of the likelihood of its objection ultimately being sustained. The DMR's global objection was based on a quick assessment and not a site inspection, as was necessary given the magnitude of the task. It was an objection based on weak grounds. Given that NPWS had not given up, it was likely at the claim date that the DMR's objection would be removed. Secondly, the evidence shows the objection did dissolve on closer review, which is relevant by way of confirming a foresight. Moreover, the objectives dissolved very quickly in 2006 (in the space of days), confirming its weakness when first formulated.
(3) The references to 28 hectares in the 2006 negotiations with the DMR do not sustain the applicant's submissions. At best, the references introduce some ambiguity. In fact, the discussion between the departments was based on diagrams not numbers of hectares. The maps and diagrams all showed the whole of the "Broadwater NP Additions" land. Those diagrams were included in the correspondence recording the agreement.
(4) The Department of Land's objection was modified in May 2003 when it agreed to transfer of the northern part of lot 503. Its objection to lot 534 was expressed to be "subject to assessment for council needs". This land claim under the ALR Act on 15 March 2005 explains the absence of further assessment by the Department of Lands. Mr Carey obviously had access to limited information only. He was wrong about the Department's agreement to transfer the northern part of lot 503. He knew nothing of the DMR's position. He did not have any apparent expertise with respect to the conservation value of the claimed land. Mr Carey's memorandum expressed his opinion well after the claim date.
F. Findings
90 The 1992 national forest policy statement, the 1997 nationally agreed JANIS criteria, the comprehensive regional assessment process and the forest agreements under the Forestry and National Park Estate Act 1998 set the context of the Cabinet's decisions in 1998 and 2002. The context is clear:
(1) The NSW government agreed to the objective of achieving a comprehensive, adequate and representative reserve system focusing on Crown land in the first instance.