I round that down to $440,000.00 and I also allow $48,400.00 for past superannuation foregone. I note the disclaimer contained in paragraph 3.3 of the Furzer Crestani report as to financial documents that were not available for their consideration. That material apparently was not available to Furzer Crestani when preparing their supplementary report as it is not referred to in that report. It is unfortunate that up-to-date financial data was not provided. It may have enabled a more accurate assessment of past economic loss. Nothing contained in the Supplementary Report causes me to alter the findings that I have made.
DETERMINATION OF ISSUE 5 / FUTURE ECONOMIC LOSS
24. Mr Mulcahy relies on the Furzer Crestani forensic accountants report dated 29 August 2016 for the formulation of his future of his economic loss claim. As with past economic loss, the authors of that report provide two estimates of the Claimant's future economic loss, namely $749,208.00 and $898,536.00, as set out in Schedules M & N to that report. Those two scenarios are calculated from 1 September 2016. Those two scenarios are based upon the same, or similar, assumptions as informed the calculation of past economic loss. Mr Maxwell submitted that I should disregard the Insurer's forensic accountant's report and allow the average of the two scenarios proposed by Furzer Crestani. On that basis, Mr Mulcahy claims the average of these two scenarios less 15% for vicissitudes plus superannuation.
25. The Insurer submits that future economic loss should be allowed as a buffer. It doesn't challenge Mr Mulcahy's intention to work until age 70 years but says that there would have been a tapering off in his work activities as he grew older. It says that likelihood should be factored into the calculation of future economic loss. It seems to me that Is only one factor to which I must have regard in performing the exercise prescribed by section 136 [sic, 126] of the Act.
Having considered all of the evidence, I am satisfied that, absent the motor accident, his most likely future course is that he would have continued working in his business until aged 70 years, with a gradual winding back of his business and professional activities, as he grows older, and his financial need to work reduced, as his grandchildren increased.
26. It is trite law that an award for future economic loss can be made only if I am persuaded that Mr Mulcahy has a reduction in his earning capacity, as a result of the motor accident, which is likely to be productive of financial loss. I am so satisfied because of the degree, extent and nature of his permanent impairments, which flow from the motor accident. In quantifying that loss, I am mindful of what has been said in the Court of Appeal about the desirability of Claims Assessors adopting an arithmetic approach, instead of a buffer, in the calculation of future economic loss. See Allianz v Cervantes (2012) NSWCA 224, Allianz v Sprod (2012) NSWCA 281 and Allianz v Shamoun (2013) NSWCA 579. In the present case, Mr Maxwell submits that I should adopt an arithmetic approach, whereas Ms Allan contends for a buffer.
27. Having considered the contending forensic accountant's reports, I think that I should adopt the Furzer Crestani scenario 1 as my base line for calculation. I note that Furzer Crestani have used an incorrect multiplier (258.1) which should be 271.4 (5% for 6 years). I adjust the figure for future economic loss in the same manner as I adjusted the claim for past-economic
loss. The calculation is as follows:
$2,496.08 x 271.4 x 91.84% (adjustment to Furzer Crestani) x 85% (for vicissitudes) = $528,833.73.
As that award is based upon a mathematical calculation, rather than a buffer, I allow an additional $69,806.05 for future superannuation, calculated at 13.2% of the net loss.
[Emphasis added to identify the matters particularly germane to the insurer's challenge.]