I round that down to $440,000.00 and I also allow $48,400.00 for past superannuation foregone. I note the disclaimer contained in paragraph 3.3 of the Furzer Crestani report as to financial documents that were not available for their consideration. That material apparently was not available to Furzer Crestani when preparing their supplementary report as it is not referred to in that report. It is unfortunate that up-to-date financial data was not provided. It may have enabled a more accurate assessment of past economic loss. Nothing contained in the Supplementary Report causes me to alter the findings that I have made.
DETERMINATION OF ISSUE 5 / FUTURE ECONOMIC LOSS
24. Mr Mulcahy relies on the Furzer Crestani forensic accountants report dated 29 August 2016 for the formulation of his future of his economic loss claim. As with past economic loss, the authors of that report provide two estimates of the Claimant's future economic loss, namely $749,208.00 and $898,536.00, as set out in Schedules M & N to that report. Those two scenarios are calculated from 1 September 2016. Those two scenarios are based upon the same, or similar, assumptions as informed the calculation of past economic loss. Mr Maxwell submitted that I should disregard the Insurer's forensic accountant's report and allow the average of the two scenarios proposed by Furzer Crestani. On that basis, Mr Mulcahy claims the average of these two scenarios less 15% for vicissitudes plus superannuation.
25. The Insurer submits that future economic loss should be allowed as a buffer. It doesn't challenge Mr Mulcahy's intention to work until age 70 years but says that there would have been a tapering off in his work activities as he grew older. It says that likelihood should be factored into the calculation of future economic loss. It seems to me that Is only one factor to which I must have regard in performing the exercise prescribed by section 136 [sic, 126] of the Act.
Having considered all of the evidence, I am satisfied that, absent the motor accident, his most likely future course is that he would have continued working in his business until aged 70 years, with a gradual winding back of his business and professional activities, as he grows older, and his financial need to work reduced, as his grandchildren increased.
26. It is trite law that an award for future economic loss can be made only if I am persuaded that Mr Mulcahy has a reduction in his earning capacity, as a result of the motor accident, which is likely to be productive of financial loss. I am so satisfied because of the degree, extent and nature of his permanent impairments, which flow from the motor accident. In quantifying that loss, I am mindful of what has been said in the Court of Appeal about the desirability of Claims Assessors adopting an arithmetic approach, instead of a buffer, in the calculation of future economic loss. See Allianz v Cervantes (2012) NSWCA 224, Allianz v Sprod (2012) NSWCA 281 and Allianz v Shamoun (2013) NSWCA 579. In the present case, Mr Maxwell submits that I should adopt an arithmetic approach, whereas Ms Allan contends for a buffer.
27. Having considered the contending forensic accountant's reports, I think that I should adopt the Furzer Crestani scenario 1 as my base line for calculation. I note that Furzer Crestani have used an incorrect multiplier (258.1) which should be 271.4 (5% for 6 years). I adjust the figure for future economic loss in the same manner as I adjusted the claim for past-economic loss. The calculation is as follows:
$2,496.08 x 271.4 x 91.84% (adjustment to Furzer Crestani) x 85% (for vicissitudes) = $528,833.73.
As that award is based upon a mathematical calculation, rather than a buffer, I allow an additional $69,806.05 for future superannuation, calculated at 13.2% of the net loss." (Underlining added.)
- If one has regard only to the passage set out above without consideration of the material which it adopts, the primary judge is correct in saying that it is not possible to identify how the figure for lost future income of $2,496.08 per week was arrived at.
- However, the assessor said that he adopted the "Furzer Crestani scenario 1 as my baseline for calculation". Scenario 1 was set out in Schedules K and M to the Furzer Crestani report. Schedule K in turn referred to Schedule J (relevantly Schedule J-1). The body of the report identified assumptions on which the calculations in scenario 1 were based (paras 5.1, 5.3.2 and 5.4.2). (A copy of Schedules J-1, K and M is appended to these reasons.) Other schedules provided a breakdown of the reported financial results of the business of Keiran Mulcahy and Associates Pty Ltd from which the figures in Schedules J-1, K and M were derived. When regard is had to schedules K and M of the Furzer Crestani report which are headed "Past loss of income - scenario 1" and "Future loss of income - scenario 1" respectively, then the derivation of the figure of $2,496.08 and the reason for the difference from the figure of $1,893.72 used for calculating past economic loss is clear. (There is some confusion due to an evident typographical error in the box in para 23 of the reasons. The reference to 1 July 2010 should be to 1 July 2012 as is apparent from Schedule K.)
- Schedule K calculated past loss of income (on scenario 1) for the period from 1 July 2012 to 31 August 2016. The loss of income was calculated to be a total of $410,938 as found by the assessor. There were 217.57 weeks in that period (as appears on Schedule K). The figure of $1,893.72 is $410,938 divided by 217. By necessary inference there has been a rounding of the denominator to reach the weekly figure (the numerator is $410,938) to be applied in the calculation of past economic loss from the date of Schedule K to the date of the assessment. There is no challenge to the finding that there were sufficient reasons for the determination of past economic loss.
- The basis for the calculation of future economic loss appears from the second column of Schedule M. The estimated weekly loss of income of $2,496.08 was the difference between the estimated weekly income after tax of $2,979.74 and estimated actual weekly earnings of $483.66. The latter reflected Mr Mulcahy's residual earning capacity. The explanation for that table is also found in Schedule K as supplemented by Schedule J-1 and explained at paras 5.1 (scenario 1), 5.3.2 and 5.4.2 of the report.
- As appears from Schedule K, Furzer Crestani estimated that but for the injury Mr Mulcahy would have earned an annual net business income of $243,453 from 1 July 2015 based on a new average hourly rate of charge of $205 per hour. That same figure was used to estimate the income he would have earned from 1 July 2017 to 7 August 2023 (when he would have turned 70). This yields the future net weekly income after tax of $2,979.74. Furzer Crestani then assessed his residual earning capacity at $483.66 per week based upon anticipated actual annual income of $27,006 before tax. That is the figure determined for actual income for the period from 1 July 2014 to 30 June 2015 as appears at Schedule K and as further explained in Schedule J. Schedule J-1 shows how the figure of $27,006 was made up. Paragraph 5.4.2(b)(2) of the report states that Furzer Crestani were instructed to assume that Mr Mulcahy had a residual earning capacity based on the actual Annual Net Business Income ("ANBI") in the year ended 30 June 2015 being $27,006 per Schedule J. They reported on the basis of that assumption. The assessor adopted it and adopted the calculations in scenario 1.