Wednesday 20 December 2006
MURRAY V SHILLINGSWORTH
Judgment
1 HODGSON JA: I agree with the orders proposed by Einstein J, and subject to what I say below, I agree substantially with his reasons. I would add some comments of my own.
2 In relation to the first ground of appeal, I would comment that where a court is faced with a number of competing hypotheses as to the cause of an injury, it may not always be a correct approach to proceed by rejecting in turn all but two of the hypotheses, and then selecting the more probable of those two.
3 Although I do not suggest that a court should assign mathematical probabilities to the hypotheses it is considering, the point can best be illustrated in terms of mathematical probabilities. If there are five hypotheses, and three have only 0.1 (10%) probability each, the more probable of the remaining two may have only a little over 0.35 (35%) probability: cf. G v. H (1994) 181 CLR 387, and my article "The Scales of Justice: Probability and Proof in Legal Fact-finding" (1995) 69 ALJ 731 at 744-746.
4 However, this point was not taken below or on appeal. In any event, in the present case the procedure adopted was I believe favourable to the appellant, because the least unlikely of the hypotheses thus disregarded would have supported the respondent's case that his injury was work-related; and in my opinion, in this case, if there were two hypotheses supporting the respondent's case, the respondent could have relied on the combined probability of both of them, without having to establish which one was correct: cf. 69 ALJ at 748-750.
5 On the basis on which the case was fought below and on appeal, there was a rational basis for the primary judge to accept the evidence of the treating specialist Dr. Stening, and the primary judge gave adequate reasons for doing so.
6 In relation to the grounds of appeal concerning s.9A of the Workers' Compensation Act 1987, there were two significant points argued. First, it was said that the reasons of the primary judge disclosed error, in that he drew an untenable distinction between the application of s.9A to an injury simpliciter, and its application to an aggravation of a pre-existing condition; and second, it was said that, having regard to the respondent's evidence that when he got hot he would have a drink of the water he took with him, the respondent's evidence could not establish that the employment contributed substantially to the dehydration which (on the primary judge's finding) triggered the injury.
7 As to the first point, I think there may be cases where the question of whether the employment was a substantial contributing factor is affected by whether one considers the work occurrence as an injury simpliciter or as an aggravation of a pre-existing condition. In some cases at least, where an injury simpliciter can be considered as having been contributed to by a pre-existing condition, the employment contribution to that injury could be diluted to that extent. However, if the same event can also be regarded as an aggravation of that pre-existing condition, then the employment contribution to the aggravation may not be diluted by the pre-existing condition (although the compensation would then be strictly limited to the effect of the aggravation). This seems to have been the view taken by the primary judge, and in my opinion he was not wrong in taking that view.
8 In my opinion however, even the aggravation in this case can be seen as contributed to by dehydration resulting from the previous day's consumption of alcohol, which I would not regard as part of the respondent's pre-existing condition. The question remains whether the primary judge was in error in holding that the work-related dehydration was a substantial contributing factor. In my opinion, the primary judge was correct to disregard the long history of smoking used by Dr. Stoodley to dilute the employment contribution, because that long history was part of what gave rise to the pre-existing condition. The evidence that the respondent would drink when he got hot did not, in my opinion, preclude an inference that the work described by the respondent increased his dehydration, and in my opinion the primary judge was justified in those circumstances in relying on the evidence of Dr. Stening and on that basis finding that the employment was a substantial contributing factor.
9 SANTOW JA: I agree with Einstein J and the additional observations of Hodgson JA.
10 As to Einstein J's observation about whether the trial judge impermissibly acted on his own "intuitive" reasoning, it should not be overlooked that inferences can legitimately be drawn which depend in part, at least, on intuition; cf Rich ACJ in Adelaide Stevedoring Co Ltd v Forst (1940) 64 CLR 538 cited by Einstein J. What is impermissible is to proceed by intuitive reasoning only in such a way as to render the conclusion merely speculative or idiosyncratic. This, I agree, the trial judge did not do. Even rigorous scientific reasoning may, however, contain an element of intuitive inference still awaiting scientific confirmation though with promising indications, such as in the acceptance of a particular assumption.
11 EINSTEIN J: