Consideration
31 In my view, the Minister's submission that the constitutional limit explained in NZYQ was not clearly engaged in respect of the Applicant, must be accepted.
32 In NZYQ, the parties agreed, as at 30 May 2023, various facts. One such fact was that there was "then no real prospect of the plaintiff being removed from Australia in the reasonably foreseeable future": NZYQ at [63]. Evidence was also adduced in the High Court concerning enquiries that had recently been made of the four other "Five Eyes" countries as to the potential for the plaintiff to be removed to those countries. Three of the four countries in question quickly responded in the negative. The United States Department of State said it would consider the matter but, despite frequent follow-up contact, provided no further substantive response before the High Court heard the plaintiff's application: NZYQ at [65]-[66]. The High Court had affidavit evidence concerning what an officer of the Department of Home Affairs made of the response of the United States. Neither party submitted that the position at the end of the hearing differed from that agreed as at 30 May 2023: NZYQ at [69].
33 The final position was that although removal to the United States remained a possibility, "the evidence failed to establish that the prospect of removal to the United States occurring in the foreseeable future was realistic". There being "no real prospect of the removal of the plaintiff from Australia becoming practicable in the reasonably foreseeable future", ss 189(1) and 196(1) of the Act did not validly apply to authorise his continued detention: NZYQ at [70].
34 The circumstances before the Tribunal were different. The concessions made by the Minister are to be understood having regard to the context in which they were made. First, that context included the factual reality that NZYQ had not yet been handed down, and so the concessions cannot be construed as pre-figuring characterisations of fact that the High Court had yet to make. Secondly, the Applicant had not yet exhausted his domestic review and appeal rights. Accordingly, and as the Minister submitted, the occasion had not yet arrived to make enquiries and see whether he could be removed to a third country, or what timeframes would be involved. All the Tribunal had to go on were the Minister's concessions (coupled with its assessment of the potential that the Applicant would, notwithstanding his protestations to the contrary, return voluntarily to South Sudan). Thirdly, and relatedly, the Minister's concessions were made in the context of the Tribunal having to consider the legal consequences of the decision under review. The effect of the concessions was to identify, as a legal consequence of the decision, the prospect of indefinite detention and the impact of such detention on the Applicant.
35 The terms in which the concessions were recorded by the Tribunal were not couched in terms that clearly engaged the constitutional limit identified in NZYQ. To concede - in the abstract, and in the absence of the moment having arrived at which enquiries might be made of third countries - that the prospects of finding another country willing to receive the Applicant as "poor" is not to say that it has been established, on the evidence or by admission, that there was "no real prosect of the removal of the [Applicant] from Australia becoming practicable in the reasonably foreseeable future". As explained in detail above, the High Court drew attention to the fact that the terms in which the constitutional limitation was cast were selected with careful deliberation, and were used precisely. The decision in NZYQ does not invite the ready use of pragmatism or analogy so as to render concessions, framed as the Minister's concessions were, constitutional facts resulting in the application of ss 186(1) and 196(1) to the Applicant being unconstitutional, and thereby founding a conclusion that, by operation of s 3A of the Act, those provisions did not authorise his detention.
36 Similarly, to the extent that the Tribunal went beyond the Minister's concessions and identified that the Applicant was to have his application determined on the "hypothesis" that he would be indefinitely detained (T [127]) and identified that the "likelihood is" that the Applicant would remain in "indefinite detention without any clear prospect for release" (T [128]), those findings do not constitute findings of the constitutional facts necessary to engage NZYQ. In WKMX v Minister for Immigration, Citizenship, Migrant Services and Multicultural Affairs (2021) 285 FCR 463; [2021] FCAFC 55, Kenny J and Mortimer J (as the Chief Justice then was) cautioned that close attention must be paid to what is meant by "indefinite" when one speaks of "indefinite" detention. The Tribunal's findings do not enable a conclusion that the Tribunal was using "indefinite detention" in the requisite sense (being that the subject of Al-Kateb v Godwin (2004) 219 CLR 562; [2004] HCA 37) as distinct from referring to detention without a pre-determined end point. The Tribunal's reference to detention "without any clear prospect for release" suggests the latter, which is not sufficient to engage the constitutional limitation.
37 These points are sufficient to dispose of ground 3, but I will address some further matters that were raised in argument.
38 On the question of materiality, it might, at first glance, be thought that the question was to be approached on the basis that, had the Tribunal recognised that the Applicant could not be held in immigration detention (as the Applicant says it should have), it would not have treated the "legal consequences of the decision" as a consideration that weighed heavily in the Applicant's favour. In other words, the Applicant would not have had the benefit of a finding that weighed heavily in his favour and so any error could not be seen to be material on the basis that it deprived the Applicant of a realistic chance of a more favourable outcome. It is, of course, clear that an Applicant only needs to establish that, had the decision-maker not engaged in the reviewable error, it "could realistically" have made a different decision (Minister for Immigration and Border Protection v SZMTA (2019) 264 CLR 421; [2019] HCA 3 at [45] (Bell, Gageler and Keane JJ); see also MZAPC v Minister for Immigration and Border Protection (2021) 273 CLR 506; [2021] HCA 17 at [38] (Kiefel CJ, Gageler, Keane and Gleeson JJ)). It should also be recalled that, as Kiefel CJ, Keane and Gleeson JJ said in Nathanson v Minister for Home Affairs (2022) 276 CLR 80; [2022] HCA 26 at [33], materiality represents an "undemanding" standard.
39 The third element of the Applicant's argument seeks to meet this potential difficulty with materiality by contending that, had the Tribunal not erred, it would have conducted an altogether different comparison, the course and results of which could (on the undemanding standard) have been more favourable to the Applicant.
40 The Applicant's principal argument on this part of the case sets up a false comparison, or at least one that assumes that the Tribunal ought to have reasoned by pre-empting the strict measures the Government of the day would impose on non-citizens released following the NZYQ decision and the fact that failing to abide by those conditions would itself be a criminal offence. That would go well beyond assessing whether the Tribunal erred in law by reference to the law as correctly revealed by NZYQ, by expecting the Tribunal to have pre-empted Government policy decisions as to temporary visa conditions which were not even the subject of evidence before this Court.
41 The Applicant's alternate position on this point was that the comparison would have been between releasing the Applicant on his prior (and restored) permanent visa, or releasing him on a temporary visa. The Applicant relied on Kennett J's observations, in dicta, on materiality in AJN23 and suggested that it was realistically possible that the Tribunal would then have reasoned that it would have considered permanence to present a better option for the community and the Applicant. The Minister criticised this argument on the basis that it strayed into the realm of "conjecture", which Kiefel CJ, Gageler and Keane JJ rejected in Hossain v Minister for Immigration and Border Protection (2018) 264 CLR 123; [2018] HCA 34 (Hossain) at [36].
42 Of course, this point in the analysis is only reached on the counterfactual that the Tribunal had concluded that the Act did not apply to authorise the ongoing detention of the Applicant (and I have concluded that the Tribunal did not engage in any relevant error in failing to so find). Nevertheless, had the Tribunal so concluded, it could not have been expected to speculate as to the nature of the visa on which the Applicant would be released.
43 I would not, however, have rejected Ground 3 on the basis that the Applicant's alternative materiality argument depended on conjecture of the kind disapproved in Hossain. The specific course of events that the High Court regarded as involving conjecture in Hossain, are unlike the very straightforward prediction that the Applicant would have been released, on some basis, if the Act did not lawfully apply to continue to hold him in detention. That being the case, the Tribunal would have been presented with a different set of circumstances to assess, different potential outcomes to compare, and could have reached a different decision.
44 The Minister also contended that any error would not be jurisdictional as any error would, in substance, have been a factual error in forecasting the practical consequences of an adverse decision. While it is not necessary finally to determine the question, I am not persuaded by the Minister's argument. At the relevant point in its analysis, the Tribunal was considering the legal consequences of the decision not to revoke the cancellation of the Applicant's visa. At one level, such consequences can be described in factual terms: the Applicant would have remained in detention (as the Tribunal in fact reasoned) or the Applicant would have to have been released. While the latter conclusion may be stated as a "fact", it is a factual conclusion driven by the application of the law to the facts concerning the Applicant and the prospect of his removal from Australia, on the basis that that exercise engaged the constitutional limits such that the Act did not apply to authorise the Applicant's ongoing detention.
45 Stepping back from the facts of this particular case, a "wrong" conclusion about whether a non-citizen would remain in detention if a cancellation decision is not revoked might be reached either because the decision-maker mistook the facts concerning the prospects of removal, or because the decision-maker mistook the law concerning the circumstances in which indefinite detention is, and is not, affected by the constitutional limitation. In other words, an error of law may drive an erroneous conclusion even if that conclusion may be stated in terms that present it as a "fact". In AJN23, Kennett J said (in dicta), of an error of law that might have been contended for, that it was a complex question whether an error of law of that kind goes to jurisdiction and that question was "best not embarked upon in the absence of detailed argument" (at [40]). While the point was raised in the Minister's written submissions, it occupied two sentences and was not the subject of detailed argument. It is undesirable that I say more, beyond noting that I have some reservations about the sympathy for the view, taken by Kennett J in AJN23, that an error of the kind is "in substance factual". At the very least, the conclusion to that question may be affected by the interplay between considerations of fact and law.
46 I am also not persuaded that, by requiring that regard be had to the consequences flowing from the non-operation of the Act, the Applicant's argument was flawed on the basis that it departed from existing authority, which requires that regard be had to the legal consequences flowing from the operation of the Act (cf its non-operation). In NBMZ, a Full Court of this Court held that the Minister was required to, but failed to, take into account a legal consequence of the decision, which in that case was that the non-citizen faced indefinite detention. In Taulahi v Minister for Immigration and Border Protection (2016) 246 FCR 146; [2016] FCAFC 177 (Taulahi), another Full Court, referring to NBMZ, referred to the need to take into account and consider the "direct and immediate statutory consequences" of the decision: Taulahi at [84] and [88] (Kenny, Flick and Griffiths JJ). The Minister also relied on Bromberg J's explanation in DLJ18 v Minister for Home Affairs (2019) 273 FCR 66; [2019] FCAFC 236 where his Honour explained that what is required is an assessment of the "particular legal consequence" flowing from the statutory framework (at [27]).
47 While the Minister is correct to observe that it is not the task of an administrative decision-maker to embark on enquiries that may expose a constitutional limitation resulting in the non-application of the Act (or specific provisions of it), that is not to say that the Tribunal can in all circumstances, or must always, proceed on the basis that ss 186(1) and 196(1) of the Act will necessarily apply without s 3A of the Act being engaged to limit their application. However, as I have concluded that the concessions made before, and facts found by, the Tribunal did not engage the constitutional limitation explained in NZYQ, it is not necessary to determine whether the effect of NBMZ, Taulahi and other cases in that line of authority, is that, in considering the legal consequences of the decision, the Tribunal should have assumed all provisions of the Act, including ss 186(1) and 196(1), would operate and apply according their terms. In another case, concessions made, or facts found, concerning ongoing detention or the prospects of removal might make that proposition look rather fragile, if not wrong.