Ground 1
45 Despite the manner in which the ground was drafted, the applicant submitted that the appropriate formulation of the alleged error for both grounds is that the Tribunal's formation of its state of mind or satisfaction for the purpose of s 501CA(4)(b)(ii) was vitiated because the formation of that opinion was illogical or irrational. The application proceeded on that basis.
46 In doing so the applicant cited Ali v Minister for Home Affairs [2020] FCAFC 109; (2020) 278 FCR 627 at [43]; and EHF17 v Minister for Immigration and Border Protection [2019] FCA 1681; (2019) 272 FCR 409 at [58], [70].
47 The proper construction of s 501CA(4) has been the subject of some debate in the cases, particularly as to whether it involves a two-stage decision-making process. The weight of authority is to the contrary: Minister for Home Affairs v Buadromo [2018] FCAFC 151; (2018) 267 FCR 320 at [21]; BCR16 v Minister for Immigration and Border Protection [2017] FCAFC 96; (2017) 248 FCR 456 at [22]; Guclukol v Minister for Home Affairs [2020] FCAFC 148; (2020) 279 FCR 611; and Tohi v Minister for Immigration, Citizenship, Migrant Services and Multicultural Affairs [2021] FCAFC 125; (2021) 285 FCR 187 at [1]-[6] (Katzmann J, expressing disagreement with Derrington J on this point). I would follow the prevailing approach.
48 However, this issue of construction does not arise in a way which bears upon the outcome of this review application, because it was apparent from the manner in which the application proceeded that the applicant's criticism was not as to the exercise of any residual discretion but as to the evaluative process involved in the Tribunal's assessment of its state of satisfaction as to whether or not there is another reason not to revoke the cancellation decision. The criticism was that there were irrational or illogical findings of fact made on the way to the Tribunal's final conclusion that there was not another reason to revoke the cancellation decision.
49 There may be circumstances where illogicality or irrationality in the decision-making process may constitute or justify a finding of an underlying jurisdictional error. In CQG15 v Minister for Immigration and Border Protection [2016] FCAFC 146; (2016) 253 FCR 496 at [60], the Full Court endorsed Wigney J's collection of relevant principles in Minister for Immigration and Border Protection v SZUXN [2016] FCA 516, including the following paragraphs from SZUXN:
[52] As Robertson J put it in Minister for Immigration and Citizenship v SZRKT (2013) 212 FCR 99 at 137 [148], for a decision to be vitiated for jurisdictional error based on illogical or irrational findings of fact or reasoning, 'extreme' illogicality or irrationality must be shown, 'measured against the standard that it is not enough for the question of fact to be one on which reasonable minds may come to different conclusions'. And as McKerracher J (with whom Reeves J agreed) emphasised in SZOOR v Minister for Immigration & Citizenship (2012) 202 FCR 1 (at 22-23 [84]), a decision cannot be said by a reviewing court to be illogical, irrational or unreasonable simply because one conclusion has been preferred to another possible conclusion.
…
[54] … The judgment of Crennan and Bell JJ in SZMDS reveals that jurisdictional error may be able to be established on the basis of illogical reasoning or illogical or irrational findings 'on the way' to the final conclusion (see 648 [132]): see also SZRKT at 137-138 [151]-[153]; SZWCO v Minister for Immigration and Border Protection [2016] FCA 51 at [61]-[62].
[55] Nevertheless, allegations of illogical or irrational reasoning or findings of fact must be considered against the framework of the inquiry being whether or not there has been jurisdictional error on the part of the Tribunal: SZRKT at 137 [148]. The overarching question is whether the Tribunal's decision was affected by jurisdictional error: SZRKT at 137-138 [151]. Even if an aspect of reasoning, or a particular factual finding, is shown to be irrational or illogical, jurisdictional error will generally not be established if that reasoning or finding of fact was immaterial, or not critical to, the ultimate conclusion or end result: Minister for Immigration and Citizenship v SZOCT (2010) 189 FCR 577 at 598-599 [83]-[84] (Nicholas J); SZNKO v Minister for Immigration and Citizenship [2013] FCA 123 at [113]. Where the impugned finding is but one of a number of findings that independently may have led to the Tribunal's ultimate conclusion, jurisdictional error will generally not be made out: SZRLQ v Minister for Immigration and Citizenship (2013) 135 ALD 276 at 291[66]; SZWCO at [64]-[67].
[56] An irrational or illogical finding, or irrational or illogical reasoning leading to a finding, by the Tribunal that the review applicant was not a credible or honest witness may in some circumstances lead to a finding of jurisdictional error. That would particularly be the case where the adverse credibility finding was critical to the Tribunal's decision that it was not satisfied that the applicant met the criteria for the grant of a visa. Whilst it is frequently said that findings as to credit are entirely matters for the Tribunal, such findings do not shield the Tribunal's decision-making processes from scrutiny: SZSHV v Minister for Immigration and Border Protection [2014] FCA 253 at [31]. Considerable caution must, however, be exercised before too readily acceding to a proposition that adverse findings as to credit expose jurisdictional error: SZVAP v Minister for Immigration and Border Protection (2015) 233 FCR 451 at 455-456 [14]-[15]. That is because assertions of illogicality and irrationality can all too readily be used to conceal what is in truth simply an attack on the merits of the Tribunal's findings and decision. In SZMDS, Crennan and Bell JJ (at 636 [96]) made it plain that the deployment of illogicality or irrationality to achieve merits review should not be sanctioned.
50 The reasons of Crennan and Bell JJ in Minister for Immigration and Citizenship v SZMDS [2010] HCA 16; (2010) 240 CLR 611 at [130]-[132] (as referenced in part by Wigney J) were referred to by the Minister in this case as authority for the proposition that, notwithstanding the difficulties in doing so, it is possible for illogicality regarding critical findings of fact on the way to a decision-maker's ultimate conclusion to amount to jurisdictional error.
51 Further, as the High Court (Keane, Gordon, Edelman, Steward and Gleeson JJ) recently said in Minister for Immigration, Citizenship, Migrant Services and Multicultural Affairs v Viane [2021] HCA 41:
[17] If the Minister exercises the power conferred by s 501CA(4) [a provision in the Act concerning the Minister's power to revoke the cancellation of a visa] and in giving reasons makes a finding of fact, the Minister must do so based on some evidence or other supporting material, rather than no evidence or no material, unless the finding is made in accordance with the Minister's personal or specialised knowledge or by reference to that which is commonly known. By 'no evidence' this has traditionally meant 'not a skerrick of evidence'.
52 It is in the context of those principles that the applicant's grounds arise for consideration.
53 The applicant's arguments distil generally to the following:
(a) there was no expert evidence as to the likelihood that the applicant will reoffend;
(b) against that absence of expert evidence, there was evidence which suggested a low probability of re-offending: being the applicant's evidence that he was drug and alcohol free at the time of the hearing before the Tribunal; that he had expressed remorse for his conduct; that he had not committed any further offences while in prison and immigration detention; and that he had support from his family and members of the Liberian community;
(c) the Tribunal did not indicate that it rejected or disbelieved any of that evidence or was inclined to afford it little weight, but rejected it on the basis of unsupported or irrelevant assertions;
(d) there was no evidence that the applicant would reoffend if his criminal history was reconciled with such evidence;
(e) there was no basis to assume the applicant would consume alcohol or drugs; and
(f) there was no basis to assume that community supports would not be effective.
54 Nothing turns on the absence of expert evidence as to reoffending. There is no question that expert evidence that seeks to predict reoffending may be relevant: Assistant Minister for Immigration and Border Protection v Splendido [2019] FCAFC 132; (2019) 271 FCR 595 at [72] (Mortimer J). However the applicant did not seek to adduce any expert evidence as to the prospect of his reoffending and it was not incumbent on the Minister to obtain such evidence.
55 It is important to recall that the Tribunal is obliged to undertake an assessment of risk of reoffending for the purpose of cl 13.1.2. The notion of risk involves possibility in the future: Minister for Immigration, Citizenship, Migrant Services and Multicultural Affairs v EYR19 [2021] FCAFC 133 at [81]; and Leota v Minister for Immigration, Citizenship, Migrant Services and Multicultural Affairs [2020] FCA 1120 at [63]. The Tribunal is not obliged to make a finding as to whether or not the applicant will reoffend. The contextual background and circumstances of past offending are relevant to a rational and reasonably based assessment of the likelihood of the applicant being at risk of engaging in the kind of offending conduct that he had been involved in previously.
56 In Splendido Mortimer J explained:
[77] The bare recitation of what a person has done in the past, if used as a basis for a positive finding about what she or he may do in the future, is a reasoning process which is rejected by the judicial process in relation to fact-finding about legal responsibility for past events. More than the bare recitation of the past offending is required, and what is required for such evidence to be considered is strictly controlled by reference to the nature and circumstances of the offending, as Hughes and the authorities before it demonstrate. In the sentencing context, or in a context of any further exercise of power to detain a person, where a court is required to address a person's risk of re-offending in the future, the complexity of that analytical process and the difficulty of judges undertaking that task themselves is judicially acknowledged, as the observations in RJE demonstrate.
[78] The nature and circumstances of past offending are integral to any assessment of the risk, or likelihood, of future offending. Also of relevance are a range of other factors about the present circumstances of an individual which may bear on a risk of whether past offending conduct might or might not be repeated. It is these matters, and not the mere specification of a criminal record, which provide the probative basis for an assessment about the nature and extent of any risk of further offending. In these processes, a court acts on more than the bare historical fact of when and where a person committed offences and the legal description of those offences. Otherwise, the prejudicial and impermissible kind of reasoning to which Gageler J referred in Hughes is what can dominate any reasoning process.
[79] Although the Assistant Minister's task in s 501CA is conducted within a statutory process which is procedurally and substantively distinct from the criminal contexts I have discussed above, as this case demonstrates, a person's criminal history may nonetheless be a significant factor influencing the exercise of that discretionary power. When that is the case, the flaws which have been identified in reasoning processes about past offending are just as likely to arise in the use of a person's criminal record in the exercise of the s 501CA discretion.
57 Splendido was a case where the Minister did not have before him materials such as sentencing remarks or police summaries of the offending conduct, and where significant reliance was seemingly placed upon only a National Police Certificate.
58 That is not this case. The Tribunal in this case had before it a National Police Certificate but also agreed summaries of facts, sentencing remarks, the Queensland Police Service Court Brief for the 12 October 2017 conviction for a domestic violence offence, facts which were admitted by the applicant before the Tribunal and a number of other Queensland Police Service Court Briefs relevant to the offending, also referred to in the reasons. The criminal history referred to breaches of bail and breaches of domestic violence conditions. It was also the case that the applicant had acknowledged receipt of the 20 August 2014 notice which contained the warning as to future offending.
59 It was appropriate for the evaluative task to have regard to the time period since the last offending, and the Tribunal did so. The applicant asserts in his grounds that the Tribunal failed to give any weight to the absence of offending for the four years prior to the decision. That is not so. The Tribunal had regard to the absence of offending over that period but noted that during that period the applicant had been in detention (since 2016) and that further, some of his violent offending had taken place in a domestic context. The recognition of the relevance of those matters as part of the assessment of risk was rational. The Tribunal reasoned that the importance to be placed on the absence of offending during that period was affected by those circumstances.
60 The Tribunal's statement that the applicant did not appear to have been deterred by the sentences he had received is not to be read in isolation. The Tribunal was (at para 79) commenting on the number of occasions when the applicant was sentenced to terms of imprisonment. The fact that the applicant had offended again despite his prior convictions and sentences was a matter which the Tribunal was entitled to take into account as part of the assessment of risk of reoffending. It was not a statement made without basis: it had an evidentiary basis in the multiple sentences of imprisonment but also in the nature of the offending. For example, the evidence disclosed offending that occurred in breach of bail and domestic violence orders, and after the warning that the applicant had received as to the risk of the revocation of his visa.
61 However, the Tribunal also considered whether the applicant might be exposed upon his release into the community to the circumstantial factors that may have precipitated previous offending. It is in this context that the applicant complains about the Tribunal's reference to access to drugs and alcohol and asserts that the Tribunal wrongly assumed he would have such access and wrongly discounted his evidence that he was drug and alcohol free.
62 The Tribunal said that it took into account that the applicant had attended 'approximately three' rehabilitation sessions related to drug and alcohol rehabilitation. The Tribunal noted that the applicant's evidence was that he had been drug and alcohol free since being imprisoned in September 2016. Importantly, the Tribunal did not dismiss the significance of his present abstinence on the basis it was untested because of his imprisonment or detention. Rather, the Tribunal was prepared to accept that the applicant may have had some access to drugs and alcohol in prison or detention and had abstained. But it clearly assumed that the potential for access would be increased in the community, and it was open as a matter of common sense for the Tribunal to make that assumption. Certainly it was not illogical to do so.
63 It is apparent that the Tribunal reasoned that one of the circumstantial factors of some of his offending (drugs and alcohol) would be accessible to him upon his release from prison. It was not illogical to observe that, despite the applicant's evidence that in his present circumstances he was drug and alcohol free, the circumstantial factor of access to drugs and alcohol would be present upon being released into the community. It was not illogical to take that into account as part of the risk assessment process, particularly where it was accepted by the applicant that drugs and alcohol had played some part in some of his offending. At some points in the submissions the applicant seemed to suggest the Tribunal assumed or found without foundation that the applicant will consume alcohol or drugs in the community. The reasons do not support that submission. The Tribunal was undertaking an evaluative process and acknowledgement of the potential for the applicant to access drugs and alcohol in the community was not illogical in that context.
64 Similarly, the applicant has not persuaded me that the Tribunal erred in the manner by which it considered the circumstantial factor of support that might have been available to the applicant in the community at the time of his offending as compared with the support that might be available to him upon his release into the community. The Tribunal found that although there was evidence of support that would be available after his release, it had to be tempered by the fact that the applicant had previously had support in the community but had continued to offend. Notably, the Tribunal did not dismiss the relevance of promised future support but said in effect that its value is to be tempered. The applicant's contention is that there was 'no evidence' for the finding that there was any previous support. However the Tribunal refers, for example, to the applicant's close relationship with his sister that existed prior to 2016. He would spend most weekends with his son at his sister's house with her four children. Accordingly, there was some evidence as to his relationship with his sister and her support and evidence that such support coincided with the period when he continued to offend. Further, the evidence of support from the representative of the Liberian Association of Queensland (letter dated 3 September 2018) indicated that the representative had known the applicant for some 10 years, so also during the period of the offending.
65 The Minister submits that having regard to the threshold requirement referred to in SZMDS of only a 'skerrick of evidence', there was an evidentiary basis for the Tribunal's reference to prior community support as a circumstantial factor in play at the time of the prior offending. I accept that submission. It was therefore open to the Tribunal to find that it was appropriate to temper the weight it might give the evidence of promised community support post release in assessing the risk of reoffending. That reasoning process is not impugned.
66 Nor can it be said that the Tribunal failed to take into account the applicant's expression of remorse for his conduct, when the Tribunal expressly stated that it did so. The Tribunal was not obliged to assume from that expression of remorse that the applicant would not reoffend despite his prior history. Such an assumption does not follow logically. The Tribunal was entitled to have regard to the claimed remorse as one of the factors to be considered as part of its assessment for the purpose of cl 13.1.2 of the Direction. The reasons do not suggest it was disregarded or overlooked.
67 The applicant seeks to separate out and impugn various findings about the circumstantial factors of the offending and the applicant's circumstances at the time of the hearing, when as its reasons reveal, the Tribunal appropriately had regard to the totality of the circumstances, including evidence that favoured the applicant, in evaluating the risk of reoffending. There was no illogicality or irrationality revealed in the decision-making process. There was no formulaic checklist or mechanistic approach. An evaluative approach was undertaken. Simply because the applicant contends that there were other conclusions available does not disclose illogicality or irrationality. The conclusions reached by the Tribunal were reasoned and an evidentiary basis was disclosed. Once so much is understood with respect to matters such as evaluating potential access to drugs and alcohol, the limits on the value that might be accorded expressions of remorse, the valid questioning of the practical value of the proffered community support as a preventative measure and the risks associated with future access to Partner B in the context of domestic violence offences against her, it is apparent that there has been no illogical or irrational finding 'along the way' to the evaluation of the risk of reoffending.
68 Ground 1 must fail.