The Federal CIrcuit Court
10 The appellant's amended application to the Federal Circuit Court raised two grounds of appeal as follows:
1. The Authority made a jurisdictional error by failing to apply the real chance test of serious harm and / or real risk of significant hmm.
Particulars
a. The Authority found that, if the Applicant were to return to Iraq and were to engage in hairdressing in a conservative area like Karbala, he would not be harmed if he did not breach perceived Islamic norms and standards, but refrained from performing Western style hairdressing.
b. The Authority's approach to the question of the Applicant facing harm in this respect involved an assumption of modified conduct by the Applicant.
c. The Authority failed to have regard to the fact that the Applicant, by modifying his conduct in this way, faced serious and / or significant harm. The Applicant, by having so to act in order to avoid harm, necessarily suffered harm in accordance with Minister for Immigration and Border Protection v BBS16 [2017] FCAFC 176 at [82]-[83] per Kenny, Tracey and Griffiths JJ and authority cited there.
2. The Authority made a jurisdictional error by making findings of fact which were legally unreasonable.
Particulars
a. The Authority found that the Mahdi Army did not intend to harm the Applicant so long as he ceased engaging in Western-style hairdressing;
b. The Authority failed to conclude, in accordance with long-standing legal principle and common sense, that a conditional threat of harm involves an apprehension of harm notwithstanding the condition (Turberville v Savage (1669) 86 ER 684);
c. The Authority found that the Applicant had made an inconsistent statement when he indicated, on one occasion, that he had booked a flight on the same day as he had received a threat from the Mahdi Army and, on the other, that he departed Iraq approximately two weeks after receiving the threat. There was no necessary inconsistency between the two statements.
11 The appellant, who was represented by Counsel experienced in the field, abandoned ground 2 and raised two arguments at the hearing, the first of which did not appear in the application. The Federal Circuit Court explained at J[12]:
In his written submissions, and orally at the hearing today, the applicant raised two arguments, the first of which does not appear from the application. Both arguments focus upon [17] of the Authority's reasons. The first argument is that the Authority erred by relying solely on the occurrence of a past event in determining what might happen in the future without evaluating anything further to determine the possibility of harm. That was said to be an error of the type identified by the High Court in Minister for Immigration & Ethnic Affairs v Guo Wei Rong (1997) 191 CLR 559. The second error is that the Authority erred by making a finding that the applicant would avoid certain conduct, or modify his conduct, without asking why such modification would occur.
12 The Federal Circuit Court rejected both arguments.
13 As to the first argument, the Federal Circuit Court reasoned in substance as follows:
(1) the Authority rejected that the appellant had performed "western style cuts or beard trims" in the past: J[15];
(2) the Authority had concluded that the appellant might return to hairdressing activities, even though he had not expressly stated that he would: J[14];
(3) it was implicit in the Authority's reasons that the appellant would not perform "western style cuts or beard trims" if he returned to hairdressing, because he had not performed them in the past and there was nothing else to suggest that he would change his conduct to commence performing such activities in the future: J[13], [14], [15];
(4) the Authority applied a forward-looking test by considering what the appellant "would" do in the future, when he returned: J[14];
(5) where there was nothing in the material upon which to base a consideration as to future events except past events, it was not erroneous to make a finding about what might occur in the future by reference solely to those past events.
14 As to the fifth proposition above, the Federal Circuit Court stated at J[16]:
It is not the case, as appears to be submitted by the applicant, that in every case it is wrong for a decision-maker considering a future possibility of harm to base its conclusion solely on what had occurred in the past. Where, as was the case here, there was nothing else upon which to base its consideration, it is, in my view, proper for the Authority to base its conclusion solely on what the applicant had not done in the past. That is because the Authority is constrained by implication in its powers of review to act reasonably, meaning that it must act upon findings of fact which are based upon material before it and upon logical inferences drawn from other findings; it cannot simply engage in pure speculation. I say "pure" because, of course, any finding about the possibility of future events entails, itself, some level of speculation; my point is simply that the speculation required is not one that can be undertaken in the absence of any evidence whatsoever: see CPE15 v Minister for Immigration & Border Protection [2017] FCA 591 at [60].
15 As to the appellant's second argument, the Federal Circuit Court reasoned that:
(1) there was no finding by the Authority that the appellant could avoid harm by acting in a particular way or modifying his conduct (not performing western style cuts), which might then require the Authority to ask why such modification would occur;
(2) therefore, reliance on Minister for Immigration & Border Protection v SZSCA (2014) 254 CLR 317, Appellant S395/2002 v Minister for Immigration and Multicultural Affairs (2003) 216 CLR 473 and Minister for Immigration & Border Protection v BBS16 (2017) 257 FCR 111was misplaced: J[24].
16 His Honour stated:
24. In my view, the reliance on SZSCA, S395 and BBS16 are misplaced. There was no finding in the Authority's decision that the applicant could avoid harm by acting in a particular way. There was no finding that the applicant would modify his conduct in any way. This was more a case like the applicant in NABD v Minister for Immigration & Multicultural & Indigenous Affairs (2005) 79 ALJR 1142 where the Tribunal found that the visa applicant would act in a particular way and if he did so then he faced no real chance of persecution. Here, on the basis that the applicant had not in the past engaged in undertaking western style cuts or beard trims, the Authority found that he would not do so in the future. It was nothing to do with the fact that he might avoid persecution for that reason. Indeed, there was nothing to suggest that he had failed to do so in the past in order to avoid persecution.
17 His Honour also concluded that the principle in S395 only applied to the situation where a person would or could be expected to hide or change behaviour that is the manifestation of a Convention characteristic and that there was nothing before the Authority to suggest that the appellant undertook hairdressing, let alone hairdressing in a western style, for any reason other than financial reward: J[26], [27].