3.2 Did the IAA fail to consider the police and CID extortion claims?
13 The appellant submits that whilst the IAA addressed one incident of extortion by the police, namely the bus incident summarised in paragraph (m), it did not consider the more general police and CID extortion claims. The Minister contends otherwise, and emphasises the passages set out in bold.
14 I disagree with the Minister. At best the summary in [11] is ambiguous on the point. Plainly, paragraph (p) makes reference to fears on the part of the appellant that he will be "targeted" by the authorities, but that reference would appear to be directed to the concern identified in (m) that the appellant would be accused of being an LTTE cadre. The final sentence in (p) concerns ongoing demands, but most naturally refers to demands made by the paramilitary groups which are thoroughly addressed in earlier paragraphs.
15 The IAA next proceeded to make factual findings in [12] to [27]. At [24] to [26] it considered the claim concerning the bus incident and, having regard to various inconsistencies in the information provided by the appellant, it rejected that the incident occurred. The other factual findings of the IAA made no reference to the police and CID extortion claims, or any of the factual matters underpinning those claims.
16 Next, the IAA considered whether the appellant has a well-founded fear of persecution. In this context the appellant contends that no mention is made of, or consideration given to, the police and CID extortion claims. The Minster draws attention to following paragraphs of the decision of the IAA to contend otherwise (footnotes omitted, emphasis added):
[41] I accept as plausible that the applicant was harassed and threatened by paramilitaries when working as a driver for his uncle and at the mill. I accept he has a subjective fear of ongoing harm from paramilitary groups in Sri Lanka. The applicant's claim to have been the victim of harassment and extortion threats is plausible and country information indicates that paramilitary groups have resorted to criminal activities and extortion to raise funds. Reporting in 2010, the Danish Immigration Service noted the high crime rate in Jaffna and that it was assumed that paramilitary groups were the cause and are "engaged in criminal activities, including kidnappings and abductions for ransom." The same report stated that "abductions now take place at a very reduced scale. Today there are groups targeting local business people, but it is unknown which groups are behind [this]."
[42] The independent country information before me reports widely on extortion rings operated by various paramilitary groups, including the EPDP. However, I find that there has been a significant change in Sri Lanka since the applicant departed in 2012 and I am not satisfied that his fear of facing serious harm from paramilitary groups on return is well-founded.
[43] I place significant weight on the improved security situation since 2012. There are indications the paramilitary groups have renounced their paramilitary activities although DFAT are aware of credible reports that these groups continue to be active in criminal activity. The US Department of State, Overseas Security Advisory Council advises that "kidnappings occur infrequently and ... the motive is usually political or business-related". Country information indicates that the police are pursuing criminals and paramilitary groups involved in extortion.
[44] The EPDP is increasingly becoming part of the mainstream and won a parliamentary seat at the 2015 general election. The authorities are taking steps to prosecute members of paramilitary groups for past crimes and the indications are that the police are pursuing crimes of extortion and related threats and kidnappings. I note the credible reports that paramilitary groups are involved in criminal activities and I accept that extortion continues to happen. However, the weakening of the paramilitary groups and their renunciation of paramilitary activities, their move into the mainstream and the prosecution of past members for violent crimes leads me to conclude that the chance the applicant would face instances of extortion amounting to serious harm, or violence or other harm, is remote. I find there would not be a real chance that the applicant would suffer serious harm on return to Sri Lanka.
17 The Minister accepts that in these passages the IAA does not expressly refer to the police and CID extortion claims, but submits that they were impliedly considered in the bold passages in [42], [43] and [44]. He submits that these findings indicate that the position in Sri Lanka had changed since the appellant's departure for Australia in 2012 such that there did not, and would not on his return to Sri Lanka, exist a real chance of the authorities being the agents of harm. The Minister submits that in circumstances where the IAA had identified the police and CID extortion claims earlier in its reasons, the Court should be slow to infer that the claims were overlooked from the absence of an express finding that dealt with it in [41] to [44], citing Applicant WAEE v Minister for Immigration and Multicultural and Indigenous Affairs [2003] FCAFC 184; 236 FCR 593 at [47] (French, Sackville and Hely JJ).
18 In considering the present case I am conscious of the cited passage in Applicant WAEE, which is set out below:
[46] It is plainly not necessary for the Tribunal to refer to every piece of evidence and every contention made by an applicant in its written reasons. It may be that some evidence is irrelevant to the criteria and some contentions misconceived. Moreover, there is a distinction between the Tribunal failing to advert to evidence which, if accepted, might have led it to make a different finding of fact (cf Minister for Immigration and Multicultural Affairs v Yusuf (2001) 206 CLR 323 at [87]-[97]) and a failure by the Tribunal to address a contention which, if accepted, might establish that the applicant had a well-founded fear of persecution for a Convention reason. The Tribunal is not a court. It is an administrative body operating in an environment which requires the expeditious determination of a high volume of applications. Each of the applications it decides is, of course, of great importance. Some of its decisions may literally be life and death decisions for the applicant. Nevertheless, it is an administrative body and not a court and its reasons are not to be scrutinised 'with an eye keenly attuned to error'. Nor is it necessarily required to provide reasons of the kind that might be expected of a court of law.
[47] The inference that the Tribunal has failed to consider an issue may be drawn from its failure to expressly deal with that issue in its reasons. But that is an inference not too readily to be drawn where the reasons are otherwise comprehensive and the issue has at least been identified at some point. It may be that it is unnecessary to make a finding on a particular matter because it is subsumed in findings of greater generality or because there is a factual premise upon which a contention rests which has been rejected. Where however there is an issue raised by the evidence advanced on behalf of an applicant and contentions made by the applicant and that issue, if resolved one way, would be dispositive of the Tribunal's review of the delegate's decision, a failure to deal with it in the published reasons may raise a strong inference that it has been overlooked.
19 I do not accept that it may be inferred from paragraphs [41] to [44], or the decision of the IAA as a whole, that the IAA considered and determined the police and CID extortion claims. In my view, on a fair reading of the entirety of the decision of the IAA it is apparent that it failed to consider it.
20 First, no clear reference is made in the summary of the appellant's claims at [11] to the police and CID extortion claims.
21 Secondly, no finding of fact is made in relation to the police and CID extortion claims in [12] to [27]. One would have expected that had the IAA turned its mind to the claims, then reference would have been made to them. As the appellant points out, determining whether there is a real chance that something will occur requires an estimation of the likelihood that one or more events will give rise to the occurrence of that thing. In many, if not most cases, determining what is likely to occur in the future will require findings as to what has occurred in the past, because what has occurred in the past is likely to be the most reliable guide as to what will happen in the future: Minister for Immigration and Ethnic Affairs v Guo [1997] HCA 22; 191 CLR 559 at 575 (Brennan CJ, Dawson, Toohey, Gaudron, McHugh and Gummow JJ). Despite there being some detail attending to the claims of extortion advanced by the appellant before the IAA (as to which see [12] above as an example), no mention is made of the police and CID extortion claims in this section.
22 Thirdly, it is plain that [41] to [44] of the IAA's reasons focus on and make findings on the basis of the claims advanced that the appellant was harassed and threatened by paramilitaries. The references to the "authorities" and the "police" in these paragraphs are incidental only and in the context of actions taken to address the conduct of the paramilitary organisations.
23 Fourthly, the Minister places particular emphasis on the final sentence of [43]: "Country information indicates that the police are pursuing criminals and paramilitary groups involved in extortion". He submits that it may be inferred that because the police are pursuing criminals and paramilitary groups that are engaged in corrupt activities, they cannot themselves be engaged in corruption. In my view that is a non sequitur; corrupt police may nonetheless pursue criminals engaged in corrupt activities. The final sentence in [43] says nothing about whether or not investigations are being made to limit or curtail police or CID corruption. The same may be said of the bold passages in [44], which the Minister also emphasised.
24 The Minister in oral submissions contended that the delegate made no finding that the police and CID are engaged in extortion. That, however, tends to distract rather than assist. The relevant question is whether the IAA considered the issue, not what the delegate did.
25 I am conscious that one does not too readily draw an inference from a failure expressly to deal with an issue that the IAA has not considered a claim, but in my view in this instance it did so fail.