The evidence
35 In his primary evidence - most of which is not challenged as to its narrative aspects, but is challenged as to the question of the relevance of the price schedules to the valuation opinions he formed in preparing the two Egan valuations for the Bank - Mr Smith explained that on 16 April 2008, Mr Jonny Sheldrick of Ibex Capital telephoned him about providing a valuation for the resort development for mortgage security purposes and that he then met with Mr Sheldrick and Mr Robertson on 21 April 2008. That was the only meeting he could recall with either man prior to completing the 1 June 2008 Egan valuation. There were other communications, however, by email or telephone.
36 Soon after this, Ms Kylie Gilbey of the Bank formally instructed Mr Smith and Egan Valuers (together, the valuers) to conduct the valuation for mortgage security purposes and the report was to become and remain the property of the Bank, and to be kept confidential. This evidence, which I accept, means that the Bank, not the Ibex companies, were Egan Valuers' client.
37 Soon after, by email dated 5 June 2008, Mr Sheldrick provided Mr Smith with materials including the strata plan, the typical Bay Beach (Ocean View) and Grove (Resort) Villa plans, the Shire of Busselton development application approval, the land purchase contract, a villa price list and sale schedule, and a list of third party sales.
38 Mr Sheldrick advised Mr Smith in an email that the Bank's lawyers were reviewing the sales contract documentation and that Ibex would forward the sales contract to him once any amendments had been made, and that the construction pricing and contract terms were still being finalised but that information would be forwarded to him when it was finalised. As explained below, there is no contest that such information was relevant to the valuation task, as was the material referred to in the preceding paragraph.
39 By about 9 July 2008, when he had not had received these additional materials, Mr Smith emailed Mr Sheldrick and, in particular, asked whether the sales contract had been completed yet, and that if the documents that he sought were not available he would need to make comment in his report.
40 Later that day he received from Mr Sheldrick a range of other documents, but not the sales contract he had asked for. That same day he also received some other information about the main pool costings, a third party sales schedule and the builder's schedule of costings. He was told that the final sales contract was being "updated/amended" and should be completed by the end of that week.
41 On 11 July 2008, Mr Sheldrick emailed Mr Smith a copy of a proforma contract of sale by offer and acceptance and power of attorney.
42 On 13 July 2008, Mr Smith requested details of the costs of tennis courts, plunge pools, the fit out and window treatments.
43 Following further exchanges, on 15 July 2008, Mr Smith emailed Mr Sheldrick to ask whether Australian Securities and Investments Commission (ASIC) had provided confirmation that the project was not a managed investment scheme (MIS). He made this inquiry, he said, because he wanted to ensure that a particular exclusion clause in Egan Valuers' professional indemnity insurance was not enlivened. He was advised the same day that the syndicate was not considered by Ibex to be a MIS.
44 Mr Smith worked on the Egan valuation during May and June 2008, and into July 2008.
45 He said he obtained title searches for the property, visited and inspected the property and made handwritten notes and sketches. He also took photographs of it, which he later attached to his valuation report. He also believes he carried out some internet searches to obtain publicly available information about the property, which revealed that Ibex Capital had purchased the land in April 2007 for $9,483,663.
46 He said he reviewed the planning consent and did not consider any of the conditions of the development to be particularly onerous, in the sense that they would either delay the development or be very expensive to meet.
47 He did not consider the short-stay condition would impact adversely on the value of the villas to be constructed.
48 He considered all conditions could be satisfied within four months.
49 He reviewed the construction costings, planning materials and other documentation which had been provided to him by the Ibex companies.
50 He said he reviewed the proforma contract of sale and power of attorney documentation for the project, which had been sent to him, and understood that individual purchasers would be required to settle the land component of the acquisition upon the availability of titles and the individual purchasers would appoint Aqua Resort (the developer) to enter into a building contract for a fixed lump sum on their behalf to construct and furnish the villas, and complete the common area infrastructure and improvements.
51 He understood the balance of the contracted purchase price of the individual villas would be payable within seven days of practical completion of the construction contract.
52 He also understood that Aqua Resort Management Pty Ltd (the property manager) would be responsible for letting the individual beach villas once completed.
53 He said the contract of sale outlined the substance of the power of attorney and the proposed terms and conditions of the letting agreement and the property management agreement, and he understood purchasers would be required to enter into them as a condition of entry into the contract of sale.
54 Mr Smith said he researched and considered recent sales activity involving similar properties in the region, comprising both vacant land suitable for development and short-stay tourist accommodation. He said his analysis was set out at Pt 11 of the 1 June 2008 Egan valuation at p 24 and onwards. He said that in order to identify recent comparative sales, he accessed Landgate sales data, which he produced in evidence.
55 He said that when undertaking the valuation process in June 2008, he also had access to listings of properties that were on the market at that time, but not sold. He said it was, and is, his practice to review the websites of real estate agencies to access information relating to current listings.
56 He was not, however, he said, aware of and was not provided with the agreements that governed the relationship between syndicate members and the Ibex companies. He said he did not ask for any such agreements as he did not consider them relevant to the market valuation assessment.
57 He also said that at the time he did the 1 June 2008 Egan valuation, he held the view that any limitations on the investors' rights to dispose of or deal with their villas were irrelevant, as the purpose of the valuation was for the Bank to ascertain how much it could realise if it had to take possession. Accordingly, he said he valued the resort property on the assumption that there were 42 unencumbered survey strata titles in accordance with the draft survey strata plan annexed to his valuation, and that the nature of any rights that the Ibex companies held was irrelevant.
58 Having had regard to the details of the proposed resort development, Mr Smith said that in June 2008 he had recently performed valuations of the Vasse residential development in Newtown and the Provence industrial development in East Busselton, and was aware of the state of the market at that time and outlined his views as to the state of the market at pp 21 and 22 of the 1 June 2008 Egan valuation. He said that, while he appreciated the market had slowed, he had no way of estimating the extent to which the market may slow or fall beyond the date of the valuation. He said the number of property transactions at the time had reduced significantly, which meant the sales evidence that was available was relatively limited and made it difficult to predict the extent of any market movements. He was of the view that the project would be successful in the sense that the developers would be able to sell the villas. Significantly, in my view, that was because he understood from the information provided to him that the majority had been presold, leaving only 15 villas to be sold. He said that given the time it would take to construct the resort, the developers had a window of 12 to 18 months to sell the remaining lots, which he considered sufficient time.
59 Ultimately, he said, having regard to comparable sales evidence, he formed the opinion that the land commanded a market value in the order of $480 per square metre to $500 per square metre and that this was well supported given the beachfront position, extensive presales and planning consent received by that time. That yielded a total value of $16,796,160 to $17,496,000 and so he arrived at an estimate of $17.2 million inclusive of GST ($16,498,515 exclusive of GST). His view concerning the "extensive presales" should be noted.
60 He said that, in addition to the direct comparison method, he used two other methods - the static valuation analysis and a discounted cash flow analysis - as a "checking mechanism" to test the veracity of his preliminary opinion. Both methods are based on an assessment of potential gross realisation from the sale of the developed villas. Each involved the preparation of a "reverse feasibility". In his evidence he explained the methodology involved. It is not particularly contentious, in my view.
61 In order to consider the potential revenue that could be derived from the sale of the proposed villas in the resort, he took into account sales evidence from within local tourist accommodation resorts, permanent residential areas and satellite towns, including Eagle Bay and Bunker Bay. He came to the view that the proposed Bay Beach Villas at Ibex's asking price of some $3 million to $3.2 million were priced at the upper end of the market. However, given what he considered to be their absolute beachfront position, he thought the price range was within market parameters. He also took into account instructions that four of the seven Bay Beach Villas had already been sold, which indicated a reasonable level of demand, even though they were sales to parties associated with the development.
62 He noted that the asking price of the Grove Beach Villas, inclusive of all costs, was $1,058,000 to $1,708,500, depending on proximity to the beachfront. He took into account the longer than average development timeframe and the length of time that would be available to sell the villas, and provided for a risk allowance of 25%. The results of each of the static valuation analysis and the discounted cash flow analysis, in the region of $16.5 million, he said, gave him "comfort". I accept that it did. The estimated value he had arrived at using a direct comparison approach, he concluded, represented a fair market value of the land on an "as is" basis.
63 He further valued the vacant survey strata lots at $32,268,000 (GST inclusive) or $30,196,697 (GST exclusive).
64 In accordance with the Bank's instructions, he also provided an "in one line" value for the resort on an "as if complete" basis of $55,660,000 nett of GST by applying a discount of 20.32% on gross realisation inclusive of GST, and 17.89% of gross realisation excluding GST.
65 As to the presales that he referred to in the valuation, Mr Smith said it was, and is, his practice to sight copies of any presale contracts. He said the level of presales before development impacts upon value because it provides some guidance as to demand and confirms acceptance in the marketplace, and so reduces the risk to the developer.
66 He noted in his evidence that, under cover of an email dated 5 June 2008, Mr Sheldrick sent him various materials including a document entitled "Aqua-Villas Price List", which he referred to in his evidence as the "presale schedule".
67 He said he noted that the presale schedule listed various villas that would be developed, the size of each and the price, broken down into land and building components. He noted the column which indicated whether a villa was "Available" or "Sold". Of the 41 villas, he observed 28 were described as "Sold". He said he understood from that, that 23 had been sold to syndicate members, two to the Ibex companies or associated entities, and three to third parties (two of which, being villas 18 and 21, were Bay Beach Villas).
68 He added that based on his review of the contract of sale, the power of attorney, the presale schedule, and the third party sale schedule he had received, he understood that syndicate members and third parties were to purchase villas on the terms set out in the contract of sale. These purchases, he considered, provided the revenue for the development that he assumed for the purpose of his reverse feasibility alternative valuations.
69 He said that, having requested a copy of each of the presale contracts, but not having received any, he indicated in his 1 June 2008 Egan valuation, statements to the Bank that he had not had access to them and had not been able to verify them. I note that the statements read:
12. We have assumed that the 25 existing investors have entered into presale contracts for the purchase of vacant survey strata lots and construction of the proposed beach houses.
13. Liability for the valuation is extended to St George Bank Limited for lending purposes subject to the bank sighting the additional contracts and being satisfied that the 25 presales are legitimate market transactions with reasonable deposits or investment funds forwarded to and held by the developer.
70 In relation to the later, confirmatory 30 October 2008 Egan valuation, Mr Smith explained that on 28 October 2008, Ms Gilbey of the Bank sent him an email advising that the Bank had approved a facility for the resort development and requesting an updated valuation from him or, alternatively, an extension of the date of the 1 June 2008 Egan valuation so the Bank could rely on it for an additional three months.
71 I note that in the email, Ms Gilbey asked Mr Smith, amongst other things, to "confirm the current level of presales". As to this, in her email Ms Gilbey told him that she would get Mr Robertson ("Charlie") to confirm the current level of presales with him. Accordingly, Mr Smith said, he did not understand the Bank required him personally to verify the presales. On the face of it, I accept Mr Smith's understanding was not unreasonable. Later, he received an email from Mr Sheldrick saying he understood the Bank had forwarded instructions and confirmed the Bank had requested that Ibex Capital provide him with confirmation of the level of presales. Mr Sheldrick then annexed an updated schedule of presales.
72 Mr Smith said he inspected the property on 30 October 2008 and took photographs. He then reviewed the 1 June 2008 Egan valuation, considered Ibex Capital's confirmation of presales and the updated schedule of presales, which included a further sale since June to another third party, and considered "data on the state of the market at that time, including recent comparable sales and listings".
73 He then prepared an updated report dated 3 November 2008 (the 30 October 2008 Egan valuation) and emailed it to the Bank. In it, he confirmed that he had received the updated presales schedule that indicated a further villa had been sold. He did not detail the "data" he said he had also considered.
74 In a covering letter dated 3 November 2008, Mr Smith again cautioned the Bank to obtain copies of the presale contracts to confirm their authenticity, as liability for the valuation was extended subject to them being confirmed as acceptable to the Bank. The letter contained the following statement:
We have been provided with an updated presale schedule from Ibex Capital (copy attached) indicating one further sale since our original valuation. Proposed Lot 1 has been sold at list price however, as with our original assessment, a copy of the contract has not been provided. We recommend that St George Bank obtain copies of the presale contracts to confirm their authenticity as liability for our valuation is extended subject to these contracts being confirmed as arm's length.
(Emphasis as in original.)
75 Very soon after this, Ms Gilbey, by email dated 4 November 2008, informed Mr Smith:
We also note that 25 of the pre-sales are not arms length as they are syndicate members involved in this deal and one is to the builder so, could you please confirm the valuation on this basis.
76 Mr Smith then amended the earlier 3 November 2008 covering letter as follows:
We have been provided with an updated presale schedule from Ibex Capital (copy attached) indicating one further sale since our original valuation. Proposed Lot 1 has been sold at list price however, as with our original assessment, a copy of the contract has not been provided. We recommend that St George Bank obtain copies of the presale contracts to confirm their authenticity as liability for our valuation is extended subject to these contracts being confirmed as acceptable to the Bank.
(Emphasis as in original.)
77 In other words, the Bank's advice that the investors' transactions were not arm's length did not affect the substance of the valuation, but Mr Smith remained concerned to ensure the contracts existed, and left it to the Bank to be so satisfied.
78 He said he used bold type when making the last statement as it was a matter of importance. He wanted to ensure the Bank understood he had not sighted any of the contracts. I accept his explanation.
79 As to the value in November, Mr Smith said that when he reviewed the 1 June 2008 Egan valuation he appreciated that market activity remained slow. He said the slowdown limited the amount of direct sales evidence that was available. For that reason, he said, it was not until the first three to six months of 2009 that the extent of the downturn in the market started to become apparent. He said that at the time he prepared the 30 October 2008 Egan valuation, however, he did not appreciate the extent to which the market would fall over the coming months.
80 In cross-examination by senior counsel for the applicants, Mr Smith confirmed that he assumed that the 25 existing investors had entered into presale contracts for the purposes of vacant survey strata lots and construction of the proposed beach houses, and that they existed. He also confirmed that he had assumed that the presale contracts would reach settlement at the contracted prices within a two month timeframe from the completion of the civil works and issue of individual certificates of title.
81 When asked, by reference to the Aqua villa price list schedule he had received, whether he had considered it appropriate to adopt what the developer had put forward as to the land value of the investor villas, Mr Smith answered, "Yes", adding: "The market evidence I considered supported the pricelist".
82 A little later, in relation to fitout costs, when asked whether his evidence was that he took the list price and made adjustments and was content with the list price, Mr Smith answered "No. They were contract prices as far as I was concerned".
83 He further added that, where it said "Sold" on that schedule, he accepted that as a fact, and confirmed that what he did was he took the proforma contracts and made adjustments based on the assumption that the structure applied across the board - that is, to the "sales" of all villas.
84 When asked whether he was satisfied, given all of the work he did to consider the market, that it all worked out that the developers had got it exactly right, including GST, in the price list, Mr Smith responded:
Valuation is not an exact thing. If you - there's a range and if the - if the contract price falls within what the evidence says is reasonable, then there's no reason why the contract price can't be adopted. After all, it is a negotiation between two parties.
(transcript p 818).
85 This evidence, in my view, is of some significance, as explained further below, in the circumstances of this valuation.
86 When further pressed by counsel about the value of, say, lot 2 as disclosed on the schedule, whether he had made a calculation to reach $1,096,500 as though there was a contract, when there was not one, he said, "No" and that the value was based on the evidence that he had market evidence, and also the presale contracts which he considered provided "reasonable evidence and a reasonable guide". This latter evidence, as explained below, I also consider significant.
87 Senior counsel for the applicants cross-examined Mr Smith as to the comparable evidence that Mr Smith said he had relied upon in coming to his initial valuation, within which he said the prices were comparable, including unit 14, 77 Gifford Road, Dunsborough, which was "for sale" in May 2008. Mr Smith explained that, once sold, a valuer has conclusive evidence as to what the property would have achieved.
88 Mr Smith was further cross-examined by senior counsel for the applicants concerning his statement that, at the time he made the valuation, he could not have foreseen the downturn in the market, by reference to the Commonwealth Treasury and other material. I should say here that I do not consider that Mr Smith should have come to some different view to that which he did about the downturn in the market any earlier than he did by reference to those materials.
89 Cross-examination also dealt with the question of the 30 October 2008 Egan valuation and the question of whether Mr Smith in fact considered any "recent comparable sales and listings" when he renewed the 1 June 2008 Egan valuation. When asked what data he had taken into account and whether he had checked whether the Gifford Road property, which had been advertised for sale in May 2008 for $2.8 million, had been sold, he said that he had, and recalled it had sold for $2.45 million.
90 When further pressed as to how that sale would be comparable to a Bay Beach Villa, as at 31 October 2008, Mr Smith considered that sale was "within the basket of evidence". He was pressed as to how it would justify a value for a Bay Beach Villa in the resort at a figure of more than $3 million as at 31 October 2008. In my view, his attempts to do so lacked cogency.
91 Mr Smith did not accept, as Mr John Martin had in his expert report and evidence when earlier called by the applicants, that prices had peaked in the Western Australian property market in 2007. He did accept, however, that the Regency Beach Club sales to which Mr Martin had referred, were comparable and to be taken into account. He accepted it was one of the "few pieces of evidence" to which one could actually draw a comparison.
92 When cross-examined by senior counsel for Mr Paganin, Mr Smith acknowledged that he inferred at material times that all the units, other than lots 18, 21 and 27 were not third party sales, but rejected the suggestion that they were not "arm's length sales". He stated that he was more than comfortable that they were arm's length sales - at least in June 2008.
93 He confirmed that he took into account two of the resort development third party sales. When he was asked whether he had included the syndicate member lots, he answered "no", but then indicated he did not see a "great distinction" between a third party sale and a syndicate member sale and confirmed they were not "in there" - meaning, not mentioned in the valuation. When challenged that there was a reason for that, Mr Smith replied: "The reasons would be - no, I don't see a big distinction; but then I …".
94 When he was then asked:
And they don't form any part of your assessment of the comparable sales evidence. For the comparable sales method of deriving … the total revenue from the developed lots being sold; that's the case?
95 He replied:
They're not - yes. No. They're not in the basket of evidence.
96 When pressed again by senior counsel for Mr Paganin as to whether the reason he had stated in his report that a total of 27 units "may be considered" presold was because he understood that for the syndicate members they were not arm's length transactions, he responded that his understanding was that the syndicate members would enter into a contract similar to any outside purchaser and that they would then enter into a contract or a construction contract through a power of attorney (transcript p 838). He thus did not contradict his earlier evidence on this question and did not, in my view, accept the premise of the question that, at material times in June, he did not consider the investor "sales" to be arm's length.
97 When asked if he had not had the price list information, would he not have undertaken the same exercise of taking that price list and seeing how the comparable sales in the market aligned to it, he answered, "yes". And he said he would have come to the same conclusion because the price list met with the market evidence, thereby suggesting the prices were not material to his valuation.
98 As to the warning to the Bank, concerning not having sighted the presale contracts, in the 30 October 2008 Egan valuation, and the change in wording from the warning given in the 1 June 2008 Egan valuation, he was asked whether the reason for the change was because he now had to modify the assumptions and treat the syndicate members transactions as not arm's length transactions, and had to assume that for the purposes of the valuation, he answered, yes. But it must be said that up until that point, Mr Smith plainly assumed the investor transactions were arm's length.
99 In re-examination, Mr Smith added that he not only had regard to the Regency Beach Club as providing a reasonable guide for comparable analysis purposes, but also Smith's Beach, Bunker Bay and Caves Ridge Development. He said there was nothing along the Broadwater area (near the project site) because the development was unique in that location. He said he also considered Gifford Road, Halcyon, Dunsborough Beach Cottages and Geographe Bay Resort Cove.
100 He said he did not agree with Mr Martin's proposition that rarely will costs equate to value, although in some cases it does.
101 When he was asked again about the use he had made of the presales to syndicate members information, he answered that he considered that:
Because there were 23 sales, they couldn't be ignored. It's not a huge market and so if those syndicate members were the types of buyer that would buy in that type of development in that location then they should be taken into consideration as market evidence.
This answer, I consider to be of some significance, as explained below.
102 Mr Martin gave valuation evidence on behalf of the applicants before Mr Smith gave his. It is appropriate now to consider his opinion about value and methodology in the light of Mr Smith's evidence. Mr Martin considered that, without any regard to the 23 syndicate members' lots, the highest value that could be placed on the resort, as at 1 June 2008, was $45,550,000.
103 Mr Martin, an experienced valuer with Australian Property Consultants (APC), prepared what he described as a "retrospective report and valuation" of the Aqua resort. He was asked to provide his opinion as to what the valuation of that property was at 1 June 2008 and 30 October 2008 on an "As If Complete" fully constructed, gross realisation GST exclusive market value of the whole of the resort basis. At that same date, he was also asked to provide the market value of the land only, being a single englobo site; and as to the market value of each individual survey strata lot. He later made a supplementary report, which I will come to, which had regard to the two Egan valuations.
104 Mr Martin acknowledged at the outset of his report and in his oral evidence that, in preparing a retrospective valuation, with the benefit of hindsight he may have had a different perspective on market and economic conditions and future trends than those prevailing as at the retrospective dates of valuation: the physical characteristics of the property may have changed; and in conducting a retrospective assessment, there can be a greater degree of subjectivity and possible "margin of error" in comparison to current valuations - especially when the timeframe between the dates of inspection and valuation are significant due to the difficulty in accessing and confirming factual data applicable as at the retrospective date of valuation.
105 For his first report, Mr Martin was provided with the certificate of title and other documents most, if not all of which, Mr Smith originally had. He was not, however, initially provided with the villa price list that Mr Sheldrick had passed on to Mr Smith prior to the completion of the 1 June 2008 Egan valuation.
106 Mr Martin observed in his report, however, that it was prudent to comment that prior to undertaking the valuation in 2008, he would have sought a copy of detailed working drawings and specifications, costings, price lists, and contracts of sale to be able to complete the valuation. Instead, he said, he had to rely on information as provided, which appeared "incomplete". It follows from these observations that Mr Martin would indeed, as a matter of standard practice in conducting the valuations in 2008, have regarded the Ibex price lists with which Mr Smith was supplied.
107 As to prevailing market conditions up to 1 June 2008, Mr Martin explained that because the dates of valuation were some six years before he did his report, it was necessary to access archival information and disregard material facts subsequent to 1 June 2008 and 30 October 2008, or thereabouts. He considered that in June 2008 the property market was experiencing a slow down as uncertainty about the impacts of the global financial markets on the economy began to gain momentum. He considered that the upward movement in interest rates implemented by the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) evidenced an overheated market where the RBA was trying to reign in consumer spending and control inflation. He noted that as the market began to slow and concerns about global financial stability impacting on consumer confidence grew, the RBA held interest rates at 7.25%. He said that unlike the stock market, there is a much longer time lag before reliable real estate trends emerge, particularly in a downward adjusting market where transactions are fewer. He noted that three months prior to the relevant date, the RBA had increased interest rates to 7.25%; the fourth 25 basis point increase in five months. He also noted statements issued by the Governor of the RBA between November 2006 and June 2008. In summary, he considered the evidence indicated a slowing economy and increased uncertainty due to global markets.
108 Mr Martin also had regard to a snapshot of articles in the property section of The West Australian newspaper in the first half of 2008. He considered, in summary, the sample of headings provided in his report reflected a slowing property market primarily influenced by the US financial crisis and emerging problems in the banking sector in Europe.
109 He also had regard to quarterly reports provided by the Real Estate Institute of Western Australia (REIWA) between December 2007 and September 2008, and noted that in June 2008 it stated that regional Western Australian markets had not been immune to the economic uncertainties that had shaken the Perth market. He considered the negative picture was very widespread in a significant number of regions, particularly those with discretionary holiday home markets. Following [18.65] of his report, Mr Martin provided a chart list of what he considered to provide a reasonable snapshot of market trends. He said that the trends shown (which were generally downward) supported the view that, after values escalated during 2006/2007, the Perth metropolitan market reflected a falling demand trend emerging; and an increasing number of properties available for sale which, coupled with consecutive interest rate rises in early 2008, resulted in softening conditions, including extended selling periods. It showed the movement in median house prices in Perth. He considered similar trends were evident for Busselton, Dunsborough and Broadwater.
110 He expressed the opinion that the data to which he referred and the commentary supported the fact that, in the first half of 2008, the market was in decline as external factors began to emerge. He noted that from late 2007 to late 2008, the Australian dollar went from around 85 cents to close to $1 against the US dollar. He said that in 2008 increasing concerns about global financial issues were beginning to surface. He considered this resulted in a withdrawal of Perth investors in the South West as concerns grew about the impact of global financial markets on the stock market, particularly high net worth individuals.
111 Mr Martin, after showing a graph of the Australian Stock Exchange (ASX) All Ordinaries Index 10 year chart from 2003 to 2013, observed that in a rising interest rate environment, coupled with a falling stock market, investment properties (discretionary spending) suffer as debt consolidation occurs.
112 In particular, he considered the increase in supply in the South West property market provided prospective purchasers with alternative purchase options and that, in summary, the market in 2008 was characterised by oversupply and poor demand.
113 He noted that unit 14, a six bed, four bath, dual key beachfront villa at Regency Beach Club was reported available for sale around mid-2008 in the sum of $2.8 million.
114 Having said all of that, by way of general comment, Mr Martin again noted that the requirement to go back six years and provide an accurate commentary on the prevailing market conditions specific to the proposed development "is difficult". He said that mid-2008 was a particularly difficult period to gauge accurately what was occurring locally in the knowledge of the emerging Global Financial Crisis (GFC).
115 Nonetheless, he expressed the view that there was nothing extraordinary happening in the Busselton area to suggest that the town was experiencing significantly differing residential property market conditions than the Perth metropolitan area.
116 However, he also noted there was no doubt that between 2004 and 2008 there had been a number of tourist holiday oriented short-stay developments reflecting the popularity of the South West as a tourist/holiday destination.
117 In that regard, he said of the Investment Memorandum issued in 2006 to investors that it would appear to be based on the very buoyant, strong property market conditions prevailing at the time and the belief that a very high quality, exclusive development unlike any other in the region would be highly sought after. He observed that there was no doubt that the proposed development was a pioneer and somewhat unique in nature, which would have added to its appeal and saleability.
118 Mr Martin also added, at [21.8] of his report, that his recollection of the market around 1 June 2008 was that interest rate rises impacted on the lower end of the market but had less effect on the higher end of the market, until after the full extent of the GFC was evident. He added that in mid-June 2008, while the GFC was well known, its impacts on the WA property market were not fully understood or known, but in such a market, "it would in my mind been prudent to adopt a conservative approach to likely future trends, where prices peaked in 2007".
119 With that introduction, Mr Martin, like Mr Smith, adopted a sales comparison approach for the purpose of valuation, but also noted the other approaches available, being hypothetical development feasibility and summation.
120 In dealing with the comparative sales approach, he regarded the Regency Beach Club at 77 Gifford Road because of the short-stay lots/units comparison. He also considered Halcyon Bay at 89 Gifford Road and the Geographe Cove Resort at 83 Gifford Road. He also took into account Smith's Beach at Lot 2 Smiths Beach Road, Yallingup and Caves Ridge in Yallingup Beach Road. Finally, he had regard to the Bunker Bay Resort and the Injidup Retreat in Cape Clairault Road, Yallingup. Most, if not all of these, Mr Smith regarded at material times. Additionally, Mr Martin noted traditional residential property sales along the coast between Dunsborough and Busselton, acknowledging that short-stay accommodation is not directly comparable to it.
121 In his sales summary, at [25.0] of his report, Mr Martin reflected on the attributes and limitations of the comparable sales data that he considered of primary relevance. He concluded that the Regency Beach Club provided the best evidence of "water influenced short stay accommodation property". He noted that none of the Resort or Grove Villa lots afforded ocean views. He considered they were all very similar and cost the same. The main difference was distance to the ocean/communal pool, ancillary buildings and the highway. He considered ocean proximity was more desirable than highway proximity. Mr Martin expressed the view that a likely selling price range for Grove Villas would be between $400,000 on the highway end and $550,000 on the ocean end.
122 He considered the Ocean View (Bay Beach) Villas lots were considerably smaller than the Regency Beach Club lots, that the lots overlooking a common area pool would command a slightly lesser value than the lots west of the walkway access due to increased noise and privacy issues, and that the Ocean View Villa lots were setback and views were not panoramic due to the retention of trees.
123 Based on the sales evidence, he concluded that the likely vacant survey strata lot selling price range in the case of the Ocean View Villas would be between $1 million and $1.2 million, and in the case of the Resort Villas between $400,000 and $550,000.
124 For the purpose of making an englobo valuation of vacant land, Mr Martin conducted an additional comparative sales analysis by reference to two caravan park sites at Gnarabup and Binningup, a residential subdivision site at Halls Head and another property at Falcon. In this regard, Mr Martin concluded that the negotiated land purchase price fitted the definition of market value, that is, $9.5 million as a single landholding suitable for a tourism development. He said while there may have been uplift in values since the contract was entered into in 2007, he was not convinced by the sales considered and a slowing market that in 2008 there was a significant change in the price paid for the site.
125 In relation to the improved property value of the lots, Mr Martin considered the sales at Halcyon Bay, Geographe Cove Resort and Dunsborough Beach Cottages provided the best guide for pricing of the Resort or Grove Villas with no ocean views.
126 He considered the basket of evidence provided a wide range of values, not unusual given the individual unique characteristics each property provided. He reiterated that while no existing development was directly comparable to the subject land, the sales from Regency Beach Club provided a reasonable guide to what price levels were likely to have provided prospective purchases seeking a high quality modern short-stay accommodation with prime beach and ocean frontage in the region.
127 He noted, however, that the euphoria of a very buoyant property market in 2006 and 2007 was in decline by early to mid-2008. However, he considered there remained a reasonable level of confidence in the local economy, albeit uncertainty surrounding global financial markets was evident.
128 Mr Martin also noted the three contracts of sale with which he had been provided, in relation to lots 18, 27 and 21 of the resort development.
129 He also noted his understanding that there were presales of both the Resort or Grove Villas and the Ocean View or Bay Beach Villas. He assumed that in June 2008 and October 2008, a valuer would have sighted asking price/marketing brochures and all sales contracts. He stated that the contract prices would form part of the basket of evidence, mindful they were negotiated in a stronger market.
130 Noting an article from The West Australian newspaper from 13 February 2008, concerning the sale of a South West Bay Beach Villa fetching up to $2.8 million, Mr Martin said that the article also referred to the price levels being at the upper end of expectations.
131 He considered that the question was what weighting a valuer would have placed on presales and asking prices set by the developer. He noted that the prices according to the Investment Memorandum statements were based on advice from local real estate agents at the time.
132 Mr Martin expressed the opinion that reliance or weighting on presale contracts within a proposed development had been a contentious issue for many years. In this instance, he considered, the contract arrangement and process was somewhat complicated when compared to the majority of other similar style, strata title, short-stay accommodation property transactions in the South West.
133 He considered that given the existence of these sales contracts, in which seven purchasers (two related parties) were prepared to pay the asking price for the Ocean View or Bay Beach Villas, he would have wanted to sight all contracts and make contact with the purchasers to check the bona fide nature of negotiations, that is, that the purchaser had acted knowledgeably, prudently and without compulsion. For him, the question would be whether the level of pricing or presales was supported by other evidence.
134 He noted that the Investment Memorandum estimated average selling prices for the 13 Resort or Grove Villas to be sold to the public was between $950,000 and $1.1 million.
135 He concluded in his report, at [26.15], that while presale contracts form part of the basket of evidence, the three contract prices provided seemed high in comparison to sales evidence, the majority of which were transacted in a more buoyant market. However, he considered it could not be ignored completely, provided they were bona fide arm's length transactions that met the market value definition.
136 In the result, he concluded that the following price parameters were applicable, as at 1 June 2008:
Ocean View (or Bay Beach) Villas $2.1 million to $2.3 million
Resort (or Grove) Villas $800,000 to $950,000
137 He then set out his opinion of the individual survey strata lot values and the "As If Complete" values of the Resort or Grove and Ocean View or Bay Beach Villas as at 1 June 2008, the former equating to a gross realisation or aggregate of the market values, being the sum of $23.9 million GST exclusive.
138 As to the June 2008 villas "As If Complete" value, he considered a gross realisation value of $45,550,000 GST exclusive was almost the same as the estimated total development gross end value.
139 In relation to the 30 October 2008 valuation date, Mr Martin approached the question by reference to data available during that period. In particular, he considered that in October 2008 the Western Australian economy and property market were showing signs of a slowdown and, subsequently, there was a significant change in economic and property conditions as a result of the GFC. He said that while the full impact of the crisis was not expected to be known until 2009, there was evidence of a cut in discretionary spending as consumers adjusted to rising unemployment trends.
140 After referring to other economic and market factors, he said that in the absence of any comparable sales the correction in values was difficult to quantify, but added there was no doubt that property values were in decline in 2008, particularly the last half. What was unclear was the level of downward correction in values.
141 He expressed the opinion that, on the basis that he was back in October 2008 with no certainty as to what would happen in 2009 and beyond, he would have taken a conservative approach and likely to have adjusted the 1 June 2008 opinions of value downwards by between 10% and 20%, adopting 15% as a guide. I should state at this point that I do not consider Mr Smith can be said to have made any significant error as to his opinion, at the time, that there had been no appreciable downward movement in the market between June and October 2008.
142 As a result of his view, however, Mr Martin would have adjusted the values of the individual vacant survey strata lots from the June 2008 valuation, which he equated to a gross realisation or aggregate of the market values of $20,275,000 GST exclusive. He considered that the October 2008 villas "As If Complete" equated to a gross realisation or aggregate of the market values of $38,675,000 GST exclusive, rounded to $39 million. Again, he stated that he had relied predominately on the sales comparison approach as the prime method. He added that he considered it prudent to comment that securing finance without significant pre-commitments or equity would have been highly unlikely in October 2008.
143 Mr Martin also supplied a supplementary report. For this report, he was provided with a number of documents, including the 1 June 2008 Egan valuation and the 30 October 2008 Egan valuation. In relation to those two valuations he was asked whether the contents had any impact on the views expressed in his initial retrospective report and valuation.
144 In his comments he noted that the Egan valuations were predicated on there being 28 presale contracts available at the time. As he said earlier, the reliance on presale contracts has always been a contentious issue where the weighting of this evidence is dependent on its comparability with the broader market sales evidence. He said that, usually, where the nominated sale price is below or above the analysis of sales evidence parameters, the weighting of presale contracts requires closer forensic examination of the circumstances surrounding the sale/negotiation. He considered this was particularly relevant in the case of a property which is somewhat unique or pioneer in nature and is sold off the plan, where there are no comparable properties or sales other than the subject one.
145 On the basis that there were 28 presale contracts in this case, equating to approximately 68% of the total development of 41 villas, he considered the presales evidence could not be ignored in 2008, as these contracts would have formed part of the basket of evidence for analysis by a valuer.
146 He noted that the 1 June 2008 Egan valuation commented that the prices stated in the price list were at the higher end of the evidence analysed, but Mr Martin added that "clearly their opinion of end selling prices was influenced by the pre-sale prices".
147 That comment was followed by a reference to [10.2] of the Egan valuation, which commented that the market activity in all sectors had slowed and, further, the market had contracted with only 39 unit sales in the previous 12 months. The sale of the five tourist holiday units at prices ranging from $1.65 million to $3.25 million in the last 12 months, he considered, "influenced their opinion of the value of the subject beachfront units".
148 Mr Martin noted that the Egan valuation had commented that the:
proposed Bay Beach houses, at a total cost of $3 million to $3,200,000 are at the upper end of market value range for tourist accommodation dwellings, however, the beachfront position and the small number of units available suggests that the price range is within market parameters. We also note four of the seven dwellings have pre-sold indicating a reasonable level of demand, albeit some coming from syndicate members.
The price range for Grove Beach houses inclusive of all costs is $1,058,000 to $1,708,500 with price variance depending on proximity to the beachfront. Given the accommodation provided, the twin key [quay] proposal and the Resort communal facilities, this price range is well supported by the market evidence.
149 Mr Martin further noted that, in the knowledge that 68% of the development was under executed contracts, this evidence could not be ignored and would have influenced the assessment of the "As If Complete" value of the individual units at the time. He observed that the presales provided evidence of Bay Beach Villas "Sold" at $2,795,000 and the Grove Beach Villas ranging from $1,048,000 to $1,473,000. He said that the evidence of fully executed presale contracts at these price levels would have supported the adoption of higher levels of value than that evidence offered by the cross-section of broadly comparable sales relied upon in his earlier report. In Mr Martin's opinion, the "As If Complete" individual unit values would be revised upwards on the basis there were 28 arm's length enforceable contracts in place, although he would have been unlikely to adopt the price list.
150 He then expressed the final view that, based on his reading of the valuation, the "As If Complete" individual unit values were influenced by the purported existence of the presale contracts for 28 or thereabouts units at the list prices.
151 Mr Martin importantly concluded his view by saying that the most significant point of difference between the opinions he had expressed and those expressed in the Egan valuations, was the reliance by Egan Valuers on the large number of presale contracts.
152 In cross-examination, first by senior counsel for the valuers, Mr Martin accepted the proposition that where a valuer was told there were presale contracts and asked to see them, but, having been given reasonable explanation did not receive them, it would be appropriate for them to note that in their valuation report. Mr Martin was pressed about the extent to which the formation of a valuation opinion involved subjectivities.
153 Mr Martin rejected the proposition that what was happening in the world economy or in the Australian economy did not necessarily reflect what was happening in the Western Australian economy.
154 He agreed that undertaking a retrospective valuation was a difficult task. He accepted, for example, that some market information available now was not available until some months later at the time, but that certain figures produced by REIWA would have been available later. For example, at the time of the 30 October 2008 Egan valuation, results of the September quarter would not have been available.
155 Mr Martin was taken to the Regency Beach Club 2008 sale of $2.45 million. He agreed that its subsequent sale would not have been part of the basket of evidence of settled sales at as June. He appeared to consider it would have been available, however, for the November valuation.
156 More generally, Mr Martin accepted, in relation to the conduct of a retrospective valuation, that one actually looks at a broader cross-section of the evidence and some will have a better weighting than others, and some of the information may not have been available at the time of the relevant date.
157 Mr Martin was taken to a number of transactions including Caves Ridge Yallingup, Smiths Beach, Injidup Retreat, as well as the Regency Beach Club. The latter he considered superior to the subject property. He confirmed that that was because he considered Dunsborough was a better location than the Aqua Resort.
158 He was challenged as to the extent of real differences, ocean views and the like with those comparative properties.
159 Mr Martin confirmed that he considered the sales at Halcyon Bay, Geographe Cove Resorts and Dunsborough Beach Cottages to be the best guide to pricing the Aqua villas with no ocean views.
160 He agreed that if there were comparable sales transacted in February and March 2008, he would not regard them to have been the subject of transactions in a materially different market.
161 He also explained what he considered to be a legitimate arm's length transaction; one not involving the related parties.
162 Senior counsel for the valuers continued to cross-examine Mr Martin about a number of the detailed attributes or otherwise of the resort with a view to distinguishing its superior valuation features.
163 He was specifically then asked, if he were told as a valuer that 23 members of the public had agreed to participate in the syndicate and pay a contracted price for a unit, whether that would fall into the basket of evidence. He said that they would be part of one's survey of available presale information or sale information, but it would be necessary to know if they were at arm's length. He added that the broader question was to ensure that they actually fitted within the other evidence that a valuer has analysed and whether they are within the parameters of the broader market evidence that one is looking at in terms of style of property.
164 Mr Martin was also cross-examined as to the assumptions he had made about what features the villas would have, including plunge pools and other fit out aspects.
165 When further challenged about the extent to which he was able to exclude hindsight from his mind in conducting the retrospective valuation, Mr Martin said that hopefully he was professional enough to be able to do so by focussing on the things that were happening and not taking into account things that happened later. He tried to place himself in the shoes of the valuer at the time and to make a judgement as to what was reasonably known at the valuation date. He added that it "becomes cloudy". He acknowledged that it was a difficult process. He also acknowledged that, in relation to the 30 October 2008 Egan valuation, what he had done was use the 1 June 2008 Egan valuation figures and discount them by a percentage.
166 He again confirmed that a very significant matter was the different assumptions he and Mr Smith made as to the existence of presales. He only considered three sale contracts as part of the total basket of evidence in doing his first report.
167 When asked whether he accepted that the nature of the valuation exercise is such that. had another valuer competently undertaken a valuation, even using his assumptions, another valuer could have arrived at a different result, Mr Martin answered that it is generally accepted that there is a probably 10% to 20% tolerance in difference of opinions between valuers.
168 He also confirmed his view that the uplift on the $9.5 million paid for the caravan park site in 2006 was effectively negligible over the intervening period to 2008.
169 When cross-examined by senior counsel for Mr Paganin, Mr Martin confirmed a number of the same propositions put to him in earlier cross-examination, including that conducting a retrospective survey was a difficult task.
170 When the question of "price list" was raised with him and he was asked whether he would have regarded price lists as relevant evidence to go into the basket of evidence, Mr Martin answered: "No … the pricelists would have given me was the expectations of the selling party". He said they would be relevant to the valuation exercise, but explained it was more the nature of "information" than "evidence". He explained that evidence constitutes properties that are transacted. Information is everything else.
171 He was also pressed on comparative features of the resort property and other properties in comparative categories. He did not consider the beachfront of the resort was unique, but accepted that what made it unique was low density, on the beach, and high quality. He was pressed into comparing the subject property with the Regency Beach Club in those respects. He was then taken to information about the state of the market and ultimately accepted that, at the very least, a valuer forming a view of the market at the relevant time without the benefit of hindsight, could well have taken a different view of the state of the market from the one which he now took.
172 He did not necessarily agree, however, that he was taking a hindsight view in relation to the impacts of the GFC on the Western Australian property market at material times.
173 In respect of the presales, Mr Martin confirmed that, having regard to the Egan report, he formed the view that the valuation was influenced by the presale prices. He agreed with senior counsel that whether that was a correct inference or not was for Mr Smith to say. This, of course, is only partly true, as ultimately it is for the Court to say.
174 He made it clear, however, that he did not assess the value on the basis that there were 28 presales. He confirmed he would be unlikely to adopt the list.