`17. On 26 February 2002 Southcorp lodged with the ASX its interim results for the first half of the 2002 financial year... .
18. On 19 March 2002, at Southcorp's Annual Business Conference, which was attended by Southcorp's senior executive staff, including Mr Cunningham, it was estimated that the effect of the poor 2000 vintage on Southcorp's profit for 2003 could be in the order of $32 million.
19. Most significant ASX listed companies are "covered" by a number of analysts from the major investment banks and brokers. The term "consensus" refers to the average profit forecast that is estimated by the principal analysts that "follow" or analyse a listed company's shares at any given time.
20. It was Mr Cunningham's practice, twice a year following the publication of Southcorp's interim and annual results, to review reports published by the various analysts and provide the board of directors with an indication of the "consensus".
21. In early April 2002, Mr Cunningham prepared a consensus report in table format by:
(a) requesting principal analysts [eleven] to provide their profit forecasts;
(b) reviewing the forecasts and speaking with some analysts to understand their methodology; and
(c) assembling each forecast in a table.
22. Mr Cunningham sent the consensus table to each analyst by email dated 4 April 2002 and received responses to the email from 9 of the 11 analysts emailed... .
23. Mr Cunningham was examined by ASIC on 2 July 2002 and, in his examination, advised ASIC officers that he considered the responses to his email and formed the view that, at least one analyst may not have taken into account the adverse impact of the 2000 vintage.
24. At about 4:29 -4:30 pm on 18 April 2002, Mr Cunningham forwarded an email in identical form and content to the following analysts (the Analysts) who researched Southcorp and were employed by 11 separate broking firms or companies associated with those firms (the 18 April Email):
(a) David Errington of Merrill Lynch Equities (Australia) Limited;
(b) Martin Yule of Morgan Stanley Dean Witter Australia Limited;
(c) Tim Buckley of Salomon Smith Barney Australia Securities Limited;
(d) Paul Ryan of JB Were Limited;
(e) Greg Dring of Macquarie Equities (Australia) Limited;
(f) Girish Pamnani of Goldman Singapore Pte;
(g) Stuart Jackson of JP Morgan Securities Australia Limited;
(h) Larry Gandler of Credit Suisse First Boston Australia Equities Limited;
(i) David Cooke of ABN AMRO Equities Australia Limited;
(j) Raymond Gin of Deutsche Securities Australia Limited; and
(k) John Burgess of BNP Paribas Equities (Australia) Limited.
...
25. Paragraph 4 of the 18 April Email stated as follows:
"The second is the impact of the poor 2000 vintage from the sale of the super premiums (Penfolds and Wynns). As I have discussed with a number of you the Gross Profit impact on 2003 compared to this year (which will have the normal 1999 vintage flow on) is expected to be in the order of $30 million. Because of the small vintage all the 2000 vintage super premiums are expected to be sold in the 2003 year. I know some of you have taken this into account while others have not ."
26. After receipt of the 18 April Email, and before pre-open trading commenced on 19 April 2002, the following analysts issued updated reports to clients concerning Southcorp ... :
* Report issued by Merrill Lynch dated 18 April 2002;
* Report issued by Macquarie Research Equities dated 19 April 2002; and
* Report issued by Salomon Smith Barney dated 19 April 2002.
27. In the Business Review Weekly Top 500 for 2002, based on the largest Australasian companies ranked by market capitalisation, Southcorp was listed as number 17 of 500.
28. From 18 April 2002 to 22 April 2002, Southcorp's issued share capital totalled 738,720,488 shares.
29. On 18 April 2002 (open + 3 minutes), 43 trades occurred in Southcorp's shares comprising a volume of 66,172 shares being sold.
30. The last trade during normal trading in Southcorp's shares on 18 April 2002, which occurred prior to the time at which the 18 April Email had been sent to the Analysts, took place at 4.05 pm at $6.27 per share.
31. On 18 April 2002, Southcorp's shares traded at:
(a) at a volume weighted average price (VWAP) of $6.26; and
(b) a volume of 3,577,176 shares.
32. During the period 2 April to 18 April 2002 inclusive, Southcorp's shares:
(a) traded at prices varying between $6.20 and $6.67 and at VWAP of $6.42; and
(b) daily trades ranged between 514,068 and 3,577,176 with the average daily volume of those trades being 1,818,487.
33. The Opening trades at the commencement of Normal Trading in Southcorp's shares on 19 April 2002 took place at 10.09 am at $5.90 per share. Prior to the commencement of Normal Trading, there is a period referred to as the "Pre-opening phase" during which Bids and Asks can be entered into SEATS [Stock Exchange Automated Trading System] but not executed until the commencement of normal trading.
34. From 10.09 am to 10.12 am (open + 3 minutes) on 19 April 2002, 185 trades occurred in Southcorp's shares comprising a volume of 1,051,607 shares being sold. The majority of the trades (127 trades) occurred at the commencement of Normal Trading as a result of Bids and Asks entered or amended during the Pre-opening phase.
35. In the period between the close of trading on the ASX on 18 April 2002 and 10.12 am on 19 April 2002:
(a) the price of Southcorp shares fell by $0.33 or 5%; and
(b) the market capitalisation value of the shares in Southcorp fell by $243,777,761.04 ([738,720,488 x $6.27 = $4,631,777,459.76] - [738,720,488 x $5.94 = $4,387,999,698.72]).
36. At approximately 10.12 am on 19 April 2002, Bloomberg issued a release to the market. [The Bloomberg report stated that shares in Southcorp had fallen by as much as 7.5% `after the Australian winemaker told analysts to cut their fiscal 2003 earnings estimates because of a lower 2000 premium grape harvest and higher interest bill'. This statement was inaccurate. Mr Cunningham's email of 18 April 2002 had merely suggested to analysts, as the Bloomberg report itself later acknowledged, `[y]ou may wish to review your numbers...'.]
37. At or about 1.07pm on 19 April 2002 the ASX halted trading in the securities of Southcorp by placing them in pre-open at the request of Southcorp (the Trading Halt).
38. During the period 10.09am to the Trading Halt, Southcorp's shares traded at:
(a) VWAP of $5.94 and the last trade took place at 1.07pm at $5.82; and
(b) a volume of 9,149,005 shares.
39. In the period between the close of trading on the ASX on 18 April 2002 and the Trading Halt:
(a) the price of Southcorp shares fell by $0.45 or 7%;
(b) the volume of Southcorp shares traded was five times the average daily traded volume in the period 2 to 18 April 2002; and
(c) the market capitalisation value of the shares in Southcorp fell by $332,424,219.60 ([738,720,488 x $6.27 = $4,631,777,459.76] - [738,720,488 x $5.82 = $4,299,353,240.16]).
40. At approximately 5.36 pm on Friday, 19 April 2002, after discussions with David White of the ASX, Southcorp made an ASX profit clarification announcement via the ASX and subsequently issued a media release in the same form as the announcement ....
41. After the announcement referred to in paragraph 40 was made by Southcorp, the ASX agreed to the lifting of the Trading Halt and trading commenced on 22 April 2002.
42. On Monday, 22 April 2002, which was the first full day of trading after the Trading Halt, Southcorp's shares traded at:
(a) a VWAP of $5.84; and
(b) a volume of 11,551,194 shares.
43. Southcorp's issued capital was valued at:
(a) $4,631,777,459.76 as at the close of trading on 18 April 2002 (738,720,488 issued shares x $6.27 per share); and
(b) $4,314,127,649.92 as at 22 April 2002 (738,720,488 issued shares x $5.84 per share).'
(my emphasis)