Provident's present financial position
45 I think it is realistic to accept that until recently Provident has been able successfully to meet its obligations to persons who have lent it money and that the current difficulties with which it is confronted in its FTI portfolio loan book have arisen through no fault of its own, as the evidence of PPB makes clear. I also accept that Provident is managing the arrangements for realising the properties in an appropriate way. However, it is entirely unsatisfactory that Provident has no identifiable yardstick, in terms of a written policy or otherwise, beyond Mr O'Sullivan's discretion, to write-off or identify impaired asset write-downs, particularly against its non-performing FTI portfolio loan book. As these reductions impact directly upon the profit and loss account, as well as the balance sheet, it is not readily or objectively ascertainable how or why Provident made any decisions to write-down certain values.
46 Mr O'Sullivan maintained an optimistic view of the ability of Provident to work its way out of these financial difficulties. He contended that an "as is" valuation of the Queensland property would not reflect its intrinsic value or an appropriate realisation strategy. In my opinion that is correct. The two valuations by Mr Robertson and Mr Jarden in respect of the "as if" completed value, assume that the property will not be affected adversely by geotechnical, zoning or other matters that would impact on its value. There is no reason to think that those assumptions are not well-founded. Both valuers assumed a similar cost to complete the outstanding work on stage one and stage two to the point of the property being ready for sale on an "as completed" basis.
47 Mr Robertson assumed, for reasons which he did not state, that, first, there would be a higher quality finish for the townhouses in stage two than in stage one, and, secondly, there would be a pool built, which assumptions were not in the current plans or specifications. Neither he nor Mr Jarden had seen any specifications. Thus their valuations were, to some extent, impaired by the assumption they had to make as to the cost of completion.
48 Nonetheless, I am satisfied that those valuations provide an upper and lower range of what it would be reasonable to expect the property to realise if completed. It is clear from those valuations that unless the assumptions on which they are based turn out to be materially incorrect, the practicable and sensible course for the realisation of the Queensland property for the benefit of the estate of the debenture holders, will be to allow it to be built and completed.
49 I am not satisfied that Mr Robertson's value is one which I should accept for the purposes of the present application. His reasons for critiquing Mr Jarden's valuations themselves reveal a lack of reliability on his part. Provident has been a mortgagee in possession of the Queensland property since September 2008. Mr Jarden selected a number of other properties as comparable sales, some of which were themselves mortgagee sales. Mr Robertson criticised him for doing so suggesting that the use of mortgagee sales led to the reduced value at which Mr Jarden arrived. In my opinion, that was not a sensible or realistic criticism of a valuation of the expected realisation of a property that has been in the possession of its mortgagee for some years and will be when the development is sold.
50 Mr Robertson also criticised Mr Jarden for proceeding upon alternative assumptions in some of his other valuations. Those were prepared by Mr Jarden on other stated hypotheses. Mr Robertson asserted that Mr Jarden should not have made those assumptions without first finding the factual basis upon which such assumptions could be made. However, Mr Robertson himself had made assumptions that, as I accept, were appropriate. Those assumptions were important to Mr Robertson. Yet, he had no evidence, such as evidence about the geotechnical issues, to justify his making them. He did this in circumstances where a zoning report suggested that there may be such issues that might affect this particular site. All that Mr Jarden did was to explore the possibility that, if the bases upon which his best case valuation proceeded were wrong, other values might need to be considered, so that the trustee could consider its position in an informed way.
51 Moreover, Mr Jarden reviewed a large number of comparable sales of various properties. Each of the features which he identified as to comparability, including those properties he said were inferior or superior, were matters to which Mr Robertson directed his criticisms by simply emphatically agreeing, without acknowledging that he was doing so, with Mr Jarden's ascriptions of inferiority or superiority.
52 On the whole, I am inclined, for the purposes of the present application, to take the view that if the Queensland property were completed, it would realise in the order of somewhere between 25% and 50% of the difference between the two valuations done on an "as if completed" basis, that is, a value in excess of Mr Jarden's valuation but below Mr Robertson's. It is not desirable in a judgment such as the present to go into detail as to these matters, particularly given the need to realise the Queensland property for the benefit of the estate of the debenture holders. What I have said will be sufficient to disclose to the parties the approach to valuation of that property that I have taken.
53 There were two other FTI portfolio security properties which PPB relied on as requiring further provision for impairment in Provident's books. Those two were cross-collateralised and one of them was affected by a mining development. It was a condition of the development consent that the mine operator acquire any property that was either identified land within the development consent or was land affected by noise greater than the noise control levels or dust greater than certain dust emission controls in the consent. One of the two cross-collateralised properties, or at least a portion of it, was affected by what its owners claimed were the effects of noise. Counsel experienced in the area of such work advised Provident that, on the assumption that the mine owner were obliged to acquire the property affected by the noise from the mine, acquisition compensation would be payable under the terms of the development consent for the mine in a sum that exceeded the amount secured for both of the cross-collateralised properties, having regard to a valuation that the PPB obtained for that property.
54 On the other hand, if the mine operator were not required to acquire all that land or a substantial portion of it, the alternate valuations reveal that there will be a need to make a further material reduction in the book value for those two properties, based on what they would be likely to realise. Those alternate valuations assumed that the affected land owner would not be able to compel the mine owner to acquire its land.
55 It is difficult to say with certainty what the position is. In my opinion, there is some probability that the mine owner's obligations will be triggered. But, I do not think that it is possible, on the present state of the evidence, to conclude that there is any certainty as to the outcome. It is necessary to allow, on a contingency basis, for the fact that the carrying value in Provident's books for these two cross-collateralised properties is greater than what they are likely to realise.
56 Provident also valued the potential to recover the residue of loans, where the security property had been sold for less than the amount secured, based on evidence that satisfied me that these rights have a substantive value. Again, I am not prepared to accept in full PPB's assessment that those claims are worthless. However, I consider that they too should not be valued at the full amount that Provident has asserted. This is because the matters are contingent and depend upon Provident's own assessments of what its solicitors' advices of reasonable prospects of success might mean. Having regard to the unsatisfactory view I have formed of Mr O'Sullivan's evidence, I am not prepared to rely on that evidence completely. It is likely that those claims will realise at least 50% of Provident's value, leading to a further diminution in its net assets.
57 On these findings Provident would be likely to have a deficiency of net assets, albeit of a small amount. That, in turn, would trigger the unavailability of the contingent asset of a tax benefit which would only be available were Provident solvent, thus increasing the deficiency materially.