(ii) the nature and content of the rezoning of the subject land in particular.
34 Mr Kettle, Town Planning Consultant, for the Applicant and Ms Slater, the Respondent's former employed Town Planner agreed that rezoning was expected by June 2005. Mr Lester, Town Planning Consultant retained by the Council (who had been commissioned to undertake the master plan preparation for the Town Centre) was of the opinion that rezoning might take three or four years from the date of compulsory acquisition (June 2004).
35 Concerning the future rezoning of the subject land Mr Kettle maintained his opinion (expressed in his original Report) that the likely rezoning would be approximately two thirds commercial and approximately one third residential 2(c) permitting flats. Ms Slater and Mr Lester maintained their original opinions that the subject land would probably have been re-zoned residential 2(b) (permitting a lesser residential density than the 2(c) zoning).
36 An additional town planning opinion on these disputed matters was given by Ms McKenzie who has been employed by the Respondent since April 2001 as its Manager Land Use Planning within the Strategic Planning Department.
37 Her opinions were proffered in the context of her providing a peer review of the evidence of Ms Slater (who because of serious illness, was not available as a witness at the hearing of the proceedings).
38 Ms McKenzie's opinion on the likely future rezoning of the subject land was expressed as follows in her written report:
In keeping with one of the primary design principles for Warnervale, the Town Centre Area was to be an integrated centre with strong links between the main street functions and the railway station/transport interchange.
Hence although the subject land was part of the land currently being investigated for the Town Centre Area, it would not have been part of the core main street retail and commercial heart of the town centre. Therefore it was anticipated that the site would be zoned for residential uses in the future, not commercial, retail or the like.
Council's masterplanning consultants, based on their professional knowledge and experience, were designing the main street area on a base length of 350-400 metres. The subject site is just outside this main street Town Centre Area.
The anticipated residential zoning would be 2(b) (Multiple Dwelling Zone) as the higher density 2(c) (Medium Density Residential Zone) would located closest to the railway station and transport interchange and densities would be stepped down as development moved away from the station and from immediately around the main street.
A 2(b) zone would be likely to yield between 20-25 dwellings per hectare but any prospective purchaser would need to engage a qualified person to fully assess the eventual yield as there are some site specific issues such as slope, access and locally significant vegetation which may constrain development yield.
39 Ms McKenzie's opinion on the likely timing of the rezoning was expressed as follows in her written report:
I disagree with Ms Slater on the issue of the timing of the rezoning of the land. At the date of acquisition, I would have advised a prospective purchaser that:
(a) Council staff wanted to progress the statutory rezoning of the town centre in parallel with the proposed date of the opening of the railway station (being early 2007). However, the detailed masterplanning of the land uses within the town centre was taking longer than expected. at the time, finalisation of a number of key consultancies and issues vital to the design of the final plan had yet to be finalised. These included but were not limited to the Traffic Movement Study, Water Cycle Management, Flora and Fauna.
(b) Any rezoning would be at least two years to two and a half years away or late 2006 at the earliest.
(c) The draft Wyong Conservation Strategy was recently rejected by Council. There was a need to perform a merit based assessment of the flora and fauna issues within and around the town centre. This was based on preliminary indications from the Department of Environment and Conservation that they were disappointed with Council's decision and each project had to be considered individually as they could not longer be confident in Council working towards a strategic solution to the issue of biodiversity within the Shire.
(d) The subject land was not currently serviced. The servicing program for the town centre was to be carried out at the same time as planning for servicing of proposed employment-generating land to the west of the town centre - Precincts 11 and 13 - was being considered.
(e) The Movement Study dealing with traffic, transport and access issues to the town centre was progressing slower than expected and was vital to the planning of the centre.
40 The parties' Counsel mutually agreed that the town planning experts were not required to be cross-examined.
41 This course adopted at the hearing was in my opinion, a perfectly reasonable course to adopt. The experts (except for Ms McKenzie who came into the case late and only because Ms Slater was unavailable at the hearing on account of serious illness) had met in conference and had produced the Joint Report, the contents of which I have summarised.
42 The differences in expert opinion on the two disputed issues concerning the likely rezoning of the subject land and the timing of that rezoning are in my opinion largely to be explained by virtue of the intrinsic nature of their evidence, namely as experts called by each of the parties in this case, essentially giving expert advice to their respective clients and mediating that advice to the Court as expert evidence.
43 So to understand the town planning evidence is to recognise the inherent limitations of that evidence on the all important question of the sale price that the hypothetical prudent parties to the hypothetical sale of the subject land would strike. This is because the determination of that price is (to adopt the words of Wells J in Brewarrana Pty Ltd v Commissioner of Highways (No 2) (1973) 6 SASR 541 at 578 cited in Brown's "Land Acquisition" 5th ed at p 122):
The judicial task is to see the combined results of the valuers' work not as another valuer would see them, but as material fit to be used in the course of applying the principle laid down in Spencer ; the two roles of buyer and seller must….finally merge in the court. I must bear in mind the conclusions of the valuers, and try to accord to each the sort of bearing and weight that would be accorded to them in the normal transaction of sale and purchase propounded by Spencer .
44 That passage from the judgment in Brewarrana is cited in support of the following passage in Brown's text at 122:
In practice the evidence of the hypothetical transaction is given by valuers who are experts. They almost have to imagine that they are acting as prudent buyers and sellers. To put it another way: they have to imagine that they are observing a prudent buyer and a prudent seller reaching an agreement on the price that other prudent buyers and sellers would also agree with. They have to estimate what sale price reasonable buyers and sellers would arrive at.
45 I would respectfully adopt that passage and apply it equally to the town planning evidence which was adopted by the valuers in this case, in their competing assumptions as to the development potentialities of the subject land.
46 When the town planning evidence, given in the present case, is tested by that criterion, it results in my firm conclusion that the hypothetical prudent parties in striking their agreed price for the hypothetical sale would not give effect to either of the competing town planning opinions concerning the development potentialities of the subject land but, cognisant of those differing opinions, would agree upon a price that recognised that the subject land within the context of the Town Centre site had greater advantages and potentialities by dint of proximity to the hub of the Town Centre over lands (which had been sold) situate in what I have described as the eastern sector of the Town Centre, while recognising that the subject land was just outside the "core" of the location within the Centre of the commercial/retail/community structural elements.
47 It follows that what I have held to be the probable basis (concerning the development potentialities of the subject land) upon which the hypothetical prudent parties would strike their bargain as to price that Mr Shaw's valuation based upon Mr Kettle's very precise and particular opinion concerning the likely rezoning of the subject land must be wholly rejected because that opinion far transcends the potentialities that the hypothetical parties would mutually recognise in their bargain.
48 Mr Shaw's valuation had assumed that Mr Kettle's prognosticated rezoning of the subject land was already in place and that the subject land was ripe for development (this assumption being qualified by his allowance of a discount of 12 ½ percent to allow carrying costs for one year being the anticipated delay in the rezoning). In assigning his value of $6 million he adopted a value reflecting a rate of $280 per square metre based upon his analysis and application of two sales of lands in the suburb of Wadalba, where the sale properties were already zoned for the respective purposes for which they were purchased - in the one case for the development of a large retail supermarket and in the other for a medium density residential development at the intensity of one dwelling per 200 square metres of site area. (In applying his analyses of the sales to the subject land he regarded the subject land as more valuable than the sale properties. As earlier noted, he discounted by 12 ½ percent the value he assigned to the subject land to reflect the carrying costs of the purchase for one year pending the anticipated rezoning).
49 If there were no alternative valuation approach to that adopted by Mr Shaw and it became necessary to employ his valuation methodology, an additional very significant discount for risk would need to be applied to Mr Shaw's valuation. But the magnitude of the required discount to cover the risk of the subject land not being rezoned according to Mr Kettle's opinion, is so high - something like 50 percent would, in my judgment, be appropriate - as to undermine the reliability of employing Mr Shaw's valuation methodology.
50 However, Mr Jones' valuation methodology of direct comparison with sales of lands situate either within the Town Centre site or within a short distance of the Town Centre site on the opposite side of Sparks Road, in my opinion, offers a more reliable basis for valuing the subject land subject to some significant upwards adjustment in favour of the subject land reflecting its higher development potentialities compared with the sales lands by virtue of the subject land's superior location in relation to the new railway station and the proposed bus/train interchange as I have earlier described those additional potentialities of the subject land.
51 Mr Jones' Valuation Report records some 13 sales of lands situate in what was to become known as the Warnervale Town Centre site commencing with sales occurring in 2000. (At that stage, the Town Centre site had not been identified, although it was in 2000 that the Respondent commissioned Woods Bagot to prepare a planning Strategy for Warnervale. It was not until 2002 that the strategy was completed by Woods Bagot and was adopted by the Council).
52 His Valuation Report provides basic details of each of these sales but notes that "the majority of this evidence is not comparable in that it is too dated for application".
53 The Report then identifies the four most recent sales (where contracts were exchanged in 2003) as being more relevant, but then proceeds to discount all but one of those sales. That was a sale of lot 8 in Deposited Plan 7738 (85 Sparks Road, situate some 300 metres to the east of the subject land) comprising 4.047 hectares (twice the size of the subject land) contracted in October 2003 at a price of $4.5 million showing an unadjusted rate of $112 per square metres. The purchaser was the Catholic Church (the owner of the adjoining lot 7 upon which was being developed the existing Church school) and the vendor was the Toukley RSL Club. The Report states "The property was sold via public tender with two adjoining owners (the Catholic Church and Stannic Securities) demonstrating strong interest". Mr Jones' Report states "subject to adjustment, this sale is considered comparable".
54 In addition to this sale Mr Jones' Report refers to four other sales of lands located outside the Town Centre site "but within the Warnervale Planning Strategy Area which are considered comparable". These four sales are referred to as sales 2, 3, 4 and 5 in the following table that is included at p 10 of Mr Jones' valuation Report:
Address Sale Date Sale Price Land Area Unadjusted Rate/ha Adjusted Rate/ha at Val. Date Comments
1. 85 Sparks Rd, Oct 2003 $4,500,000 4.047 ha $1,111,935 $940,000 Rezoning anticipated 2005 Future residential
Woongarrah
2. 36-58 Virginia Rd, Hamlyn Terrace Apr 2003 $6,000,000 6.025 ha $ 995,851 $970,000 Rezoning anticipated 2008 Future medium density
3. 139 Warnervale Rd, Jan 2003 $3,600,000 4.047 ha $ 889,548 $950,000 Rezoning anticipated 2008 Future residential
Hamlyn Terrace
4. 86 Sparks Rd, Oct 2003 $3,575,000 4.625 ha $ 772,973 $735,000 Designated school site with value agreed on a future residential basis Potential flora and fauna issues
Hamlyn Terrace
5. 90 Sparks Rd, Hamlyn Terrace Dec 2003 $1,550,000 1.844 ha $ 840,564 $800,000 Designated school site with value agreed on a future residential basis Potential flora and fauna issues