34 It is, with respect, a little unclear what the judge had in mind in her reference to an "unexplained event". The accident and its mechanics were established on the evidence. What was in issue was the probable impact of the defendant's breach. This is always "unexplained" in the sense that the court is involved in a hypothetical inquiry as to what the particular plaintiff would have done had things been otherwise. I infer that her Honour was making the point that the case differed from the factual starkness of the cases cited in that there was a significant body of material that provided assistance in determining whether the persuasive onus was established in the particular case. Bell J did not suggest that this precluded resort to the reasoning process discussed in the authorities she cited. Her point was that the evidence, which supported the defendant's position, made it "difficult" for the plaintiff to prove the ultimate causation issue.
35 Recognition of the matter referred to in the preceding paragraph does not persuade me that the decision as to causation was wrong in its conclusion.
36 A second cluster of suggested legal issues was raised in grounds 3 and 12.
37 In these grounds the appellant advances two related propositions. First, he submits that the judge erred in treating the case as analogous to a medical warning case such as Rogers v Whittaker (1992) 175 CLR 479. The causation issue involved where a doctor negligently fails to warn or give advice as to the possible impact of a procedure involves inquiry as to the probable response of the particular patient had the particular information been conveyed. By contrast, in the present case, it would be wrong to have considered no more than this plaintiff's likely response to the prohibitions/warnings contained within the signs at the pool if this occurred in isolation from his attitude engendered by the whole pattern of tepid reinforcement involved in the finding of breach made by her Honour. I entirely agree, but part company with the appellant at the point where it is suggested that her Honour may have fallen into this error. I have already indicated why her Honour's causation reasoning does not involve this suggested fallacy. Nor does it contain the particular variant of it suggested in these grounds of appeal.
38 Her Honour's reference to a passage in McHugh J's judgment in Chappel (at J213) was in the context of acceptance that there will be some cases in which an evidentiary onus rests on a defendant to point to evidence suggesting the absence of a causal connection.
39 The appellant is wrong to suggest that the causation inquiry in the present case did not involve any assumed hypothesis (Written submissions at s181). The hypothesis that had to be assumed was that the Council had performed its duty of care and not breached it, as established.
40 Secondly, it was submitted that the judge erred in law by elevating a mere speculative possibility (ie that in the absence of the defendant's breach of duty, the plaintiff would still have dived into the shallow end of the pool in precisely the same manner causing the same injuries) into a probability, when such reasoning and conclusion was not warranted on the evidence. This is really a complaint about the facts dressed up as one suggesting error or law.
41 In Chappel, McHugh J stated some general propositions concerning the onus of proving causation in a case involving a defendant's negligent failure to warn of a risk of injury. The passage confirms that the persuasive onus rests throughout upon the plaintiff, while recognising that the defendant may bear an evidentiary onus in some circumstances. His Honour said (at 247[34]):
[O]nce the plaintiff proves that the defendant breached a duty to warn of a risk and that the risk eventuated and caused harm to the plaintiff, the plaintiff has made out a prima facie case of causal connection. An evidentiary onus then rests on the defendant to point to other evidence suggesting that no causal connection exists. Examples of such evidence are: evidence which indicates that the plaintiff would not have acted on the warning because of lack of choice or personal inclination… Once the defendant points to such evidence, the onus lies on the plaintiff to prove that in all the circumstances a causal connection existed between the failure to warn and the injury suffered by the plaintiff.
42 McHugh J was in dissent in Chappel, but not on the issue addressed in this passage.
43 The passage directly supports the primary judge's approach to the factual inquiry involved in the causation question. The matters considered by her Honour included the appellant's behaviour at the pool, his compliance with rules generally and the rules concerning running and diving at the pool in particular (see J104-110, 216-7). These were properly treated as relevant to the ultimate issue. They were part of the evidentiary material adduced by the Council pursuant to the evidentiary onus referred by McHugh J in Chappel and the other cases in the Betts line.
44 In MacCabe v Westlock Roman Catholic Separate School District No 110 [2002] 1 WWR 610 the plaintiff was rendered quadriplegic following an accident in a gymnastics class. The trial judge found that the teacher who supervised the class did not provide adequate instructions or clear prohibitions on relevant conduct, which negligence was found to have contributed to the accident. The causation finding was unsuccessfully challenged in the Alberta Court of Appeal. It was there pointed out that a plaintiff did not have to establish that the School's negligence was the sole cause of the injury. The negligence in that case was analogous to that found in the present case, in that several matters combined both to establish negligence and arguably to induce the plaintiff to perform the manoeuvre in which she was injured. In MacCabe, this included provision of crash mats creating a false sense of security, lack of instructions, failure to forbid the particular manoeuvre, lack of supervision, failure to stop students from attempting the manoeuvre and instructions to students to be "creative" in their gymnastics. Speaking for the Court of Appeal, Wittmann JA approved the following statement by the trial judge on the causation issue (at 276-7):
The presence of any one of the breaches as noted above was itself sufficient to have caused the accident. However, these breaches appear to have combined in a synergistic manner such that each of the breaches augmented the others and this synergistic interaction in my view placed the Plaintiff at risk. For example, although the presence of the crash mat at the box horse station and Romanuik's failure to take students through their proper progressions were each breaches of the standard of care, when these two factors were combined, they worked together to increase the degree of risk of injury. Add a third factor, the environment Romanuik created by instructing the students to be creative and that they would be graded on this creativity, enhancing their already competitive spirit, the risk is augmented yet again. Therefore, although I find that any one of the identified breaches would clearly reach a causal threshold beyond a balance of probabilities, if one further considered the straight additive effect of the breaches, it is taken well beyond that threshold.