decision of the tribunal
17 After setting out the details of Mr Wang's criminal history the Tribunal recorded its general approach as follows:
"It is almost superfluous for me to say that rape of a stranger in her own home is a hideous and appalling offence requiring the strongest possible denunciation and, notwithstanding Mr. Hughan's [counsel for Mr Wang] submissions to the contrary, I am quite unable to take the view that the applicant's sentences viewed globally were verging on the excessive. Nor can it be doubted that, without strongly ameliorating circumstances the applicant's expulsion from Australia is plainly called for."
18 The Tribunal then summarised the arguments put on behalf of Mr Wang as follows:
"The applicant submits that taking account of his youthfulness when the crimes were committed, the malign influence of his friends and confederates, his rehabilitation whilst in gaol, the low risk of his re-offending and the hardship both to himself and his family in Australia which his deportation would cause, the exercise of a fair discretion dictates that the application to review should succeed."
19 The Tribunal first considered the risk of Mr Wang re-offending. There was reference to the view of Dr Barry-Walsh, a forensic psychiatrist who provided a report to the sentencing judge in relation to the Victorian offences, that it would be "unwise and speculative" to comment on Mr Wang's risk of re-offending.
20 The Tribunal then referred to evidence and a report of David Anthony Ball, a registered psychologist and specialist in assessment and treatment of sex offenders. The Tribunal said:
"Mr. Ball is of the opinion that provided the applicant participates in, and successfully completes, treatment over a minimum period of 9 months with the CORE Sex Offender Program the applicant would present a 'low' risk of re-offending. The applicant has not been accepted into any such program to the present time and an attempt was made to explain this by reference to restrictions which had been applied to him during his various periods of imprisonment rendering him ineligible to do so. A perusal of copies of his prison records (Exhibit A5) fails to disclose that he ever made application for sex offender treatment during the periods of incarceration covered by those records, and two entries (Exhibit R5 dated 18 May 1998 and R9 undated) tend to suggest that he showed little interest in sexual rehabilitation in gaol."
21 Mr Wang convinced Mr Ball that he was genuinely willing to address his offending behaviour. But, the Tribunal recorded, Mr Ball was cautious in attempting to forecast Mr Wang's success because of his childhood experiences in China, his long period of incarceration, his low intelligence, and his limited employment skills and literacy training.
22 The Tribunal then examined the evidence given by Mr Ball to the effect that Mr Wang's sexual offending could be classified as opportunistic. The attacks, Mr Ball said, were "impulsive, typically unplanned and seen as a predatory act, controlled by more contextual factors rather than by any obvious stylised sexual fantasy". The Tribunal observed that Mr Ball may have overlooked the fact that the Victorian offences, to which Mr Wang pleaded guilty, involved entering premises with intent to commit an offence involving unlawful and indecent assault.
23 The Tribunal continued:
"More significantly however, Mr. Ball conceded under cross-examination by Ms Quayle [counsel for the Minister] that, without treatment i.e. at the present time, the applicant should be regarded as having a 'high' to 'extreme' risk of re-offending.
Whilst I am satisfied by Mr. Ball's evidence that offenders who undergo treatment in the CORE program or similar programs have a substantially reduced risk of re-offending when compared with untreated offenders, I am unpersuaded that the risk posed by the applicant whether treated or not, if released back into the Australian community is one which the female citizens of this country should be expected to accept. As I have already observed, rapes of the kind committed by the applicant are truly dreadful offences which invariable [sic] shatter the lives, and often the relationships, of the victims. He committed serial offences, moving from State to State as he did so. Such patterns of behaviour often make detection and prosecution very difficult.
Mr. Ball's opinion of the applicant's likely response to the CORE program was greatly influenced by his belief that the applicant has now shown empathy for the plight of his victims and remorse for his heinous offences. Similar expressions of contrition and regret were made to me by the applicant when he gave evidence. I have very real doubts as to this. I am sure that, despite his low IQ, the applicant has the capacity to understand that expressions of remorse may have significant bearing upon the outcome of these proceedings. Self condemnation is a step along the road to redemption, but it is also a powerful argument in a case such as the present if genuine. The trouble is that actions speak louder than words, and all we have at the moment are the applicant's words. He may well be dissimulating. I am far from satisfied that he is not. However, in the final analysis I come back again to Mr. Ball's opinion viz that at the present time, even accepting the applicant's declarations of empathy and remorse, he constitutes a high to extreme risk. I am in no doubt that the Australian community would regard the applicant as constituting an unacceptable risk whose abhorrent crimes should require his removal. To do so would be likely to constitute a general deterrent to other like minded offenders." [emphasis added]
24 The Tribunal then turned to consider whether the deportation of Mr Wang would cause undue hardship to him or to those members of his family who remain in Australia. It is not necessary to elaborate on the Tribunal's reasoning on this issue except to observe that the Tribunal considered whether Mr Wang would be punished again on his return to China for the offences committed in Australia. The Tribunal also considered whether, as a practising Muslim, Mr Wang would be discriminated against on return to China.
25 Then, the Tribunal said:
"It is perhaps worth noting that if the applicant were to apply for a protection visa as a refugee under the United Nations Convention Relating to the Status of Refugees, he would be excluded from protection by virtue of Article 33(2) and its acknowledgment that treaty obligations do not apply to offenders who have been convicted of serious crimes who may be regarded as a danger to the community. In my view the applicant falls within such a category. In my assessment even if treated successfully he poses a very real risk of recidivism. If he does re-offend, knowing as he now does that deportation would inevitably occur, he could represent a danger not only to the physical well being of his victim, but also to her very life. This represents the other side to Mr. Hughan's argument that knowledge of consequences would act as a personal deterrent to the repetition of offending conduct."
[emphasis added]
26 Then the Tribunal referred to, and dismissed, the risk of violation of Mr Wang's human rights upon return to China.