Therefore it can be seen that not only is the model being used for a different purpose to the Penrith modelling exercise but the rainfall input data is truly representative of the rainfall to be expected over the catchment area for a particular ARI event.
24 In my view, this is an effective rebuttal of the fourth respondent's contention concerning alleged inaccuracy of the DRAINS model. Mr Lawrence and Mr Wall were unshaken in cross-examination.
25 In the opinion of the experts in this case, which I accept, the DRAINS model results provide the best estimate based on available data.
ALLEGED LOGICAL INCONSISTENCIES OF MIXING 20 YEAR AND 50 YEAR STANDARDS
26 The fourth respondent criticised Mr Wall's initial approach of applying a 20 year ARI standard for the trunk line design and a 50 year ARI standard for the development site, submitting that it was anomalous. The fourth respondent's submission was that if there is a 50 year storm event, there may be no capacity in the existing public drainage system for any discharge into the public drainage system from the development site, without overland surcharges.
27 Mr Wall and Mr Lawrence had rationalised using the 20 year ARI storm event because that was in accordance with the council's DCP 47 requirement for its trunk drain. It could also be rationalised by reason of the applicant's undertaking at the mediation on 1 March 2007, whereby the applicant undertook to design an on-site detention system to provide sufficient detention capacity to ensure that no spillage from the system occurred during the 50 year ARI storm event. In any event, Mr Wall did later model a 50 year ARI storm event with which Mr Lawrence agreed (as explained above). It showed that the trunk drainage system had the capacity to accept the anticipated runoff from the proposed development.
28 To put the matter into perspective, the DRAINS model indicates that the critical storm duration varies from section to section of pipe but is generated by a storm duration not exceeding two hours. The 20 year ARI storm can be expected to occur, on average, five times in 100 years. If the catchment flows exactly match the pipe capacity, then the cumulative time that the pipe flows full is ten hours in 100 years.
ALLEGED ERRORS IN INPUT DATA
29 The input data for the computer model used to estimate flows within the pipeline upstream of and within the development site, consisted of rainfall intensity frequency data supplied by council, survey data supplied by a registered surveyor, hydraulic characteristics of pipe/inlet pipe systems, and assumptions regarding the local soil characteristics. In Mr Lawrence's opinion, there is no basis on which to challenge the first and second inputs and the third and fourth inputs would be accepted by all experienced practitioners. After consideration of the respondent's submissions referred to below, I accept his opinion.
30 The fourth respondent submitted that there were input data errors by Mr Wall in two respects: first, in relation to pervious (ie non-paved) areas in the Everton Street catchment area; and, secondly, in relation to rainfall data.
31 As regards the first point, which concerns the volume of water inflow into the upstream Everton Street pits, Mr Lawrence concluded that the Everton Street catchment area was 47 percent pervious and Mr Wall initially concluded that it was 40 percent pervious. The fourth respondent submitted that photographic evidence would indicate to a reasonable person that it was closer to 90 percent impervious. Mr Wall responded that the catchment of the Everton Street pits included the streetscape as well as the development between Everton Street and the Pacific Highway. He considered Mr Lawrence's estimate of 47 percent pervious to be acceptable. Mr Lawrence's response in his report of 27 April 2007 was that whether the value of 40 or 47 percent for pervious areas is adopted makes no significant difference to the model results. His reason was that during a more severe storm event or a greater ARI, the rainfall intensity increases and the differences between rates of runoff from pervious and impervious areas decrease due to the fact that infiltration capacity of the soil is very limited.
32 Secondly, as regards the erroneous input rainfall data allegation, the fourth respondent said that council data had been taken from Australian Rainfall and Runoff (AR&R). He assumed that the bulk of the data was from weather stations such as Observatory Hill, given (he said) that short duration rainfall data is not available from the closest Bureau of Meteorology station at Turramurra. He then submitted that rainfall at Turramurra is historically higher than at Observatory Hill. It appears that he was submitting that data derived from AR&R should be rejected in favour of a local rainfall station.
33 Mr Wall responded that storm characteristics were sourced from council's DCP 47 appendix 10 - Ku-ring-gai Rainfall Intensity Frequency Duration data and was therefore valid for the Pymble area. He said the particular local rainfall station data is generally used by the Bureau of Meteorology to assist councils to develop such rainfall data for their council area. Mr Lawrence responded that rainfall data from one local daily read rainfall station is of no assistance to the matter in issue, which involves critical storm durations varying from 25 to 120 minutes. He referred to and supported the following quotation from AR&R: "Analysis of data from single stations is often unreliable, it is not temporally or spatially consistent and should generally not be used for design purposes".
34 Mr Lawrence and Mr Wall were unshaken in cross-examination. I accept their views and do not accept the fourth respondent's submissions concerning alleged errors in input data.
DOWNSTREAM PROPERTIES
35 As the fourth and tenth respondents own properties downstream from the development site, they are concerned about any risk of water inundation to their properties caused by the development. This is notwithstanding, as I have noted earlier, that the pipeflow from the proposed development site to the trunk drain will be substantially reduced following development.
36 The plan included in this judgment shows closed pits along the trunk drain. The oral evidence of Mr Wall indicates that there is a pipe from the fourth respondent's property to Pit F, a 225 millimetre pipe to Pit G and two 110 millimetre pipes to Pit J. These pipes were observed by Mr Wall to be clean, indicating water passed through them. Therefore, it appears that they drain paved areas, although their catchment areas are unknown. Mr Wall's judgment was that, even taking them into account in a 50 year ARI event, the trunk drain still has capacity to accommodate these downstream flows.