The results of any other assessment prepared by a qualified psychiatrist, registered psychologist or registered medical practitioner as to the likelihood of the offender committing a further serious offence, the willingness of the offender to participate in any such assessment, and the level of the offender's participation in any such assessment - s 9(3)(c)
- The risk assessment report prepared by Dr Kobylinska referred to above also includes the following so far as the defendant's attitude to the assessment and level of participation in its process:
1. The defendant consented to being interviewed. He was polite. His memory appeared intact. He communicated clearly and presented with an average range of intelligence. There were no indications of psychotic illness.
2. He reported running his own businesses continuously for about 25 to 30 years, including electrical contracting, installation of security systems and real estate. He has had four significant relationships. His last reported relationship lasted about two months before his incarceration.
3. The defendant denied having a romantic relationship with the mother of the T children, who was employed as a house cleaner for about four to five years. This is despite his report to Ms De Santa Brigida in September 2018 that they were previously in a relationship. Records show she visited him in prison approximately once a month.
4. The defendant denied the index offence stating the victim (RD) falsely accused him of sexual misconduct for financial motives. He also appeared to minimise his failure to comply with his reporting obligations under the CPOR Act blaming a detective who was "out to get him" as distinct from a failure to appreciate his obligations were or an attitude of defiance to his obligations for other reasons. He did not demonstrate an understanding of the factors that led to the contraventions of the COPR Act.
5. The areas of clinical concern were identified as cooperation with supervision, capacity for relationship stability (which I take to be a reference to intimate relationship stability given that social stability was recognised as a protective factor), deviant sexual preference and negative emotionality. The reference to "deviant sexual preference" was based upon "two adolescent" female victims aged 14 years old (the 1997 charges) and 15 years old (the index offending).
- On that analysis, Dr Koblyinska considered the most likely scenario for future serious sexual offending would involve contact with younger adolescent girls aged between 13 to 17. She described the risk scenario as follows:
[The] offending is likely to be planned and involve a degree of manipulation / seducing of the victim by offering something appearing attractive to the potential victim - help with homework, a car lift, alcohol, gifts, verbal compliments, etc. A potential victim would probably be known to [the defendant] and he would befriend her before sexual offending. The likely motivation would be a sexual gratification.
- In Ms McGee's submission, the clinical concerns identified in (e) above fail to take into account that the defendant's compliance with his supervision under parole for the index offence (which, it must be acknowledged, expired over five years ago) substantially improved over the parole period and without breach. Subject only to a failure to report to police (cf reporting for parole supervision) his release to parole in January 2019 following the sentence for the breaches of the reporting obligations under the CPOR Act was also without incident. He has been on parole since his re-release in September 2019 without incident. (This is also a factor to be considered under s 9(3)(f).)
- Ms McGee also queried, and in my view with some justification, how two marriages of 19 and 7 years duration respectively, with no allegation of sexual or violent behaviour in either, evinces "a lack of capacity for relationship stability" (also in (e) above) or how his relationship history has any bearing at all upon the assessment of risk with which the Court is concerned.
- Ms McGee also observed that the defendant's "negative emotionality" in (e) above as a clinical concern (one of the dynamic risk factors used in clinical risk assessment under STABLE-2007 to describe states of mood or thinking on presentation in the assessment process) is not further elaborated upon in the risk assessment report as a risk factor with which the Court should be concerned. For my part, I query how the defendant's "feelings" about treatment by police or his "feelings" about his time in custody for breaches of his reporting obligations, accompanied by "feelings" of anger and frustration, have any relevant bearing on the risk assessment in which I am engaged, in particular, where the defendant has no history of mental health problems or treatment for any mental health condition such that his "feelings" might have an underlying pathology.
- As regards the clinical risk factor described in (e) above as "deviant sexual preference", and the identification of a likely risk scenario involving the seduction and manipulation of adolescent girls, again with some justification, Ms McGee queried the basis for those findings where they each depend heavily upon a presumption that the alleged offending the subject of the discontinued 1997 charges actually occurred, and on the further assumption that the index offending occurred in a context where the adolescent complainant was seduced or groomed in advance of being assaulted, where there was no evidence that had occurred.
- Ms McGee submitted that the proven history of the defendant's sexual offending reveals that it is unplanned, without any evidence of manipulation or grooming of the victim and, even in respect of the index offending, there was some doubt as to the circumstances in which alcohol was involved in the offences, that is, whether it was by the defendant offering it or whether the complainant had consumed alcohol of her own volition before the assault.
- Additionally, and more concerning in my view, is that the appointment of the likely risk scenario in the risk assessment report appears to proceed upon an erroneous description by Dr Kobylinska of the breaches of the defendant's reporting obligations under the CPOR Act being "committed in relation to sexual offending". That is not only entirely contrary to the case the State advances but unsupported by any evidence.
- In those circumstances, what is relied upon by the State in the risk assessment report as "a likely risk scenario" in support of the application by the State for an ESO and an ISO at the interim stage of proceedings, must be very heavily qualified by the fact that it is a scenario that is both unsupported by reliable evidence of previous sex offending (the 1997 charges) and positively contradicted by other evidence of what is wrongly understood to be offending in the context of sexual offending (the CPOR charges). For those reasons, I do not attribute to that aspect of the risk assessment any weight in the case advanced by the State in support of the orders sought at the preliminary hearing.