Countervailing risks of prejudice
18In the present case, the first two kinds of prejudice are clear. If RSA does not obtain a stay, and is required to pay the amount of the judgment debt, there is at least the usual commercial risk that any success it enjoys in the unresolved proceedings in this Court will not be requited with satisfaction of a monetary judgment, to the extent at least of the payment made. On the other hand, if a stay is granted, VDM CCE will be kept out of the money to which, prima facie (both by virtue of the adjudication determination and by virtue of the judgment founded on it) it is entitled. But the proffer of an unconditional bank guarantee means that if a stay is granted, VDM CCE will not suffer the additional risk, to which Keane JA referred in RJ Neller and to which Einstein J referred in Taylor Projects, that if VDM CCE's position is ultimately vindicated, it will nonetheless lose because of a deterioration in the financial situation of RSA.
19Another matter to take into account is that the evidence in this case makes it clear that VDM CCE does not require the money to pay its sub-contractors or employees or suppliers. It has paid those persons. Of course, as Mr Hicks submitted, having paid them, it has at least a prima facie entitlement (subject to the terms of the contract) to be recouped.
20Since there is no evidence that VDM CCE is operative, or about to become so (and the rather optimistic submission by Mr Hicks, that one could not exclude that probability, finds no support in the evidence), there is no reason for thinking that it needs the money to fund its future operations.
21Equally, although a great volume of evidence has been put before the Court, there is nothing in that evidence - at least to the extent that I was taken to it - to suggest that VDM Group as a whole needs the money for the purposes of its on-going operations.
22It thus becomes necessary to consider whether what one might call the ordinary or everyday risk that a plaintiff in litigation is exposed to, of not recovering its judgment, is amplified in the circumstances of this case, and in particular becomes more onerous if RSA is required now to pay the amount of a judgment debt.
23In the circumstances to which I referred earlier in these reasons, the debate focused largely on the financial situation of VDM Group. Again, time does not permit a detailed analysis of that evidence; and in any event, bearing in mind the nature of the evidence, no detailed analysis could lead to anything other than interim or tentative conclusions.
24There is no doubt that VDM Group has entered into some sort of financial facility with Swiss Re. There is no doubt that it has given a charge over its assets (which means, as I understand it, all the assets of every member of the group) in support of that charge. There is no doubt that the charge is fixed in relation to land, plant and equipment, marketable securities and the like. Thus, to the extent that the assets of VDM Group include assets that fall within the class of those over which the charge is fixed, they are, at least prima facie, not likely to be available to stand behind the undertaking to the Court that has been offered.
25The charge was said to secure obligations up to $105 million. There is evidence, which came in very late in the piece, that VDM Group and Swiss Re have agreed to reduce some unspecified facility to a limit of $25 million. Whether that is the same facility as the facility in respect of which the charge was granted is not made clear by the evidence. Indeed, it is remarkable that although the offer to reduce the facility was made on 19 June and accepted on 22 June, not a word of it emerged in the affidavit evidence for VDM CCE. The only evidence of the offer is the letter conveying it and the terms sheet, which has been accepted. Whether the reduced facility is to be the only facility the subject of the guarantee is not explained. Nor is it explained how far (if at all) the parties have got along the path of negotiation and execution of the security documentation for which, clearly enough, the reduced facility limit agreement calls.
26Thus, whilst I accept that there is some evidence that the charge may end up securing substantially less than $105 million, bearing in mind that the party who could have given evidence on these matters has chosen not to do so (except by tender of the bare minimum of documentation), I do not propose to draw any inferences beyond that from the document that has been tendered.
27The debate as to the financial position of VDM Group paid attention, on the one hand, to its dismal operating performance in the past and, on the other, to what was said to be its bright prospects for success in the future. As to the past: VDM Group lost $115 million net in the 2009 financial year, $52 million net in the 2011 financial year and $46.9 million net for the six months ended 31 December 2011. There is a projected loss, announced to ASX, of about $5 million for the second half of the 2012 financial year.
28As against that, VDM Group recorded a net profit of $21.5 million for the 2010 financial year.
29That summary of the trading position of VDM Group does not inspire any great confidence in its ongoing profitability. Further, although it is apparent that VDM Group has been successful in securing fresh work, it appears to be the case that its current order book has declined substantially over the years. In other words, although VDM Group has secured ongoing work, the work on hand has declined from an adjusted figure of $362,471,000 for the 2009 financial year to an estimated figure of $170 million for the 2012 financial year.
30The other point to make is that even if one were to accept what is said on behalf of VDM Group as to its reorganisation, recapitalisation and attempts to turn its business around, the impact of all that is yet to be proved. The question is whether RSA should be exposed to the risk that a company having recorded the significant losses that VDM Group has, and having (for the reasons I will turn to in a moment) a somewhat shaky balance sheet, should be left to its rights in the future, on the expectation of some turnaround; or whether it should be protected by the grant of a stay.
31I accept that the balance sheet of VDM Group as at 31 December 2011 (the last date to which audited figures were available) showed net assets of $95.3 million. On the face of things, that is a satisfactory situation. However, of its total assets, some $15 million is ascribed to property, plant and equipment. To the extent that the property, plant and equipment may realise anything like that value, it is in any event unavailable because it is one of the assets over which the charge in favour of Swiss Re is fixed. Another significant asset is some $23.4 million of intangible assets and goodwill. There is no further or detailed description of what those assets are, but it must be doubted that they carry any significant realisable value. There are also said to be other non-current assets of $11.1 million, but again there is no way of assessing what recoverable value, if any, they may have.
32The current assets include some $42.5 million of receivables. However, as against that, there is some $42 million of trade and other current liabilities. Thus, the current asset situation is to a large extent offset by the current liability situation.
33When one gives the balance sheet anything more than the cursory scrutiny to which it was put in the submissions for VDM CCE, it is, in my view, apparent that it is not a source of any great comfort to someone in the position of RSA, who is faced with the prospect of paying over $3.3 million if no stay is granted, and having to recover that (and more) if its claim in its proceedings in this Court succeeds.
34There is, as I have said, a very substantial volume of evidence and time does not permit an analysis of all of it. One salient feature of that evidence is that, as a result of a restructuring and asset sale, VDM Group has (or as at 30 June 2012 had) a significant cash balance at bank. But again, in the absence of any detailed evidence as to the overall financial situation of VDM Group as at 30 June 2012, the significance of that cash balance is difficult to estimate. (I am not being critical in referring to "the absence of evidence" on this point. I accept that it has not been possible for VDM Group to produce audited accounts, showing a true and fair position of its financial situation, in the short time since the end of the financial year.)
35To my mind, there are very significant questions attending the ability of VDM Group to pay, if required to do so, pursuant to its undertaking to the Court that it proposes to give, the sum of $3.3 million. It may be in a position to do so. But that seems to me to be dependent entirely on a significant turnaround in its performance over the next two financial years. In other words, it requires the Court to assume, in its favour, that the recent restructure of its management and affairs is likely to produce a beneficial effect.
36One particular criticism made by VDM CCE of the evidence for RSA was that although it referred to a likely drop in revenues, it did not recognise a corresponding drop in operating costs. However, material on which VDM CCE relies shows that this is unlikely to happen (and, indeed, is recognised as a significant business risk) because VDM Group apparently maintains a standing workforce to enable it to commence work as soon as possible, and without needing to recruit labour, on any projects that it wins. That is no doubt admirable, but it rather undermines the force of the criticism. Further, to my mind, it raises at least a suspicion that VDM Group may feel compelled to take work which is, at best, marginally profitable, in order to meet those operating costs, and thus that the projected profits may not eventuate in full.
37Much of the evidence for VDM CCE focused on the probability that VDM Group would win future contracts. It did not focus at all on the likely profitability of those contracts. The matter that I have just referred to suggests that the contracts may be undertaken at least in some cases simply to defray operating expenses. Further, the past performance of VDM Group appears to suggest that it has not had a great deal of success in converting operating revenues into profit. Again, the only answer offered to this is that the new management team and restructuring of operations may effect a turnaround.