Conclusions
47 Having considered the evidence, submissions and undertaken a view, I do not consider this application merits consent, primarily because there is no fail-safe evacuation plan in place to provide a reasonable level of security and safety to any future residents of the new dwelling.
48 Even though the land is in the Zone 1 and it has a dwelling entitlement, nevertheless it is situated in the floodplain and liable to significant flooding. Accordingly the planning controls basically restrict the granting of consent to the development of land where the safety of persons on the land, or land in the vicinity, may be imperilled in the event of floodwaters inundating the land.
49 The extent of these restrictions is dependent on a number of factors, which relevantly includes the availability of a fail-safe, evacuation plan for residents in a flooding situation. It is helpful to some extent that a detailed flooding investigation and assessment has been undertaken to facilitate the adoption of a flood plain management plan for this local area. Based on the adopted levels from the 1974 flood, which is taken as the design flood event, the subject site would be inundated to depth of 1.4 m (approximately), which in my opinion necessitates the provision of a satisfactory evacuation plan for new residential type development.
50 Accordingly an evacuation of the site would be warranted prior to a major flood event. Under the current arrangements, flood warnings for the area are monitored, with particular reference to the flood level at the Gumly levee. When it is anticipated this levee is to be over-topped, evacuation is triggered and this relates to a flood event in the order of 10yr ARI. The floodwaters would take some further time to reach the subject property (possibly in the order of 12-24 hours). When they do, this then represents a 20 yr ARI event.
51 Consequently, it seems to me that a proper evacuation plan for this area would identify the designated evacuation route, considering the two existing roads available, with differing levels of risk depending on the flooding characteristics. In this situation, the shortest route is via Pioneer Avenue, but there is a natural watercourse traversing this road, which is estimated to be carrying a depth of 600-700 mm of water, travelling at approximately 0.3 m/s. In my assessment, it does not seem acceptable, or safe practice to direct evacuees, under emergency conditions, to travel into paths of deeper, faster flowing waters to seek higher ground.
52 Alternatively, the longer evacuation route via Gumly Road results in some 400 mm depth of water over the Road, travelling at 0.4m/s.
53 Under these circumstances, I consider Mr Opper's concern that an "island effect" should be given serious consideration and avoided wherever possible. This could occur where there may be little apparent awareness of potential flooding at the site and reluctance to leave, but at the same time the " low-level" evacuation routes have effectively become impassable. In my assessment, this clearly does not form part of a fail-safe evacuation arrangement and in this regard I rely on Mr Opper's opinion, which is a significant deficiency that contributes to the failure of the application.
54 Furthermore, in my assessment of the evidence it is reasonable to assess the evacuation arrangements within the overall Wagga Wagga flooding context. In a major flood event, approximately 1000 people may need to be evacuated from the nearby North Wagga Wagga residential area and it is likely that this could be required before Gumly Gumly. Under these circumstances, where the SES resources would be strained in a major flood event, I do not consider it orderly planning to allow the development of an additional house in the nearby residential area, which will place further demand on limited resources, particularly in the absence of a fail-safe evacuation plan.
55 From the evidence, it is apparent that there are a number of deficiencies in the current flood warning and evacuation arrangements. Hopefully these will be addressed in Floodplain Risk Management Plan. But reference to s 6.5.3 of this plan, which deals with evacuation planning, appears to contain scant details and provide little reassurance of any formal evacuation arrangements being formulated.
56 Insofar as I do not accept the residents' current evacuation plan as being adequate, I note the following unresolved matters raised by Mr Simmington in his submissions regarding matters to be included in a fail-safe evacuation plan:
+ it should be notified and adopted by all residents;
+ it should deal with all the relevant contingencies in relation to notifying residents of the need to evacuate;
+ deal with the relevant contingencies in relation to physically evacuating the frail or elderly;
+ specify a feasible process of checking which persons have evacuated and which have not;
+ contain a mechanism for updating the plan;
+ contain a process for updating the list of persons covered by the plan including contact details ;
+ provides for evacuation drills from time to time to ensure that all persons are familiar with the requirements of the plan.