9 With regard to the whole tree, I consider that it has entered a stage where it presents an unpredictable risk that large trunks may collapse in windy conditions even though they have not shown signs of sagging. Such collapse is however, in my opinion, not likely to occur and cause damage to the O'Briens' property in the near future. On that basis I find that the whole tree does not meet the third test in s 10(2) (a) of the Act.
Likelihood of injury
10 I have described the unpredictable risk of collapse of large trunks now that the tree has entered senescence. For injury, the test in s 10(2) (b) of the Act is not restricted to the near future, it only need be likely, and may be injury to any person not only a person on the O'Briens' property. As a large trunk may fall onto the O'Brien or Butler property, or onto the public footpath and street, possibly bringing down the mains powerlines, I find that injury is likely and the test in s 10(2) (b) of the Act is met.
Considerations
11 Before determining the application I am required to consider matters in s 12 of the Act.