The applicants' contentions
27 The applicants' amended application for review dated 7 December 1998 contained three grounds, but grounds two and three were abandoned by counsel for the applicants, Mr Appudurai, at the commencement of the hearing before me. These grounds, which pertained to an alleged failure by the RRT to act in accordance with the substantial justice and merits of the case, were discarded in light of the decision of the High Court in Eshetu v Minister for Immigration and Ethnic Affairs (1999) 162 ALR 577.
28 The remaining ground on which the applicants sought to have the decision of the RRT set aside was ground one. It was set out in the amended application for review as follows:
"The decision involved an error of law, within s476(1)(e) of the Migration Act 1958 ("the Act"), in that the RRT incorrectly interpreted, and applied, the applicable law.
Particulars
The RRT incorrectly interpreted, and applied, the test of "well-founded fear" of persecution in that, in the particular circumstances of the first applicant's case:
(a) it failed to identify the nature and characteristics of the 'subjective fear' claimed by the first applicant, prior to embarking upon an assessment of the objective foundation for such fear;
(b) it misconstrued, and misapplied, the proper scope and meaning of the term 'persecution';
(c) it misconstrued, and misapplied, the proper scope and meaning of the Convention ground of '(imputed) political opinion';
(d) it misconstrued, and misapplied, the proper scope and meaning of the Convention ground of 'membership of a particular social group';
(e) it misconstrued, and misapplied, the proper approach to the assessment of the claims made by the first applicant as to what had already happened;
(f) it failed to engage in the requisite speculation critical to the proper assessment of the first applicant's case as to the objective foundation of her claimed fear of persecution."
29 Mr Appudurai also sought leave at the commencement of the hearing to add a new ground of appeal, based on ss 476(1)(a) and (e) of the Act, that the RRT failed to comply with s 430 of the Act by reason of its failure to give adequate reasons. More particularly, his submission was that the RRT failed to set out in its reasons for decision its findings on material questions of fact and failed to refer to evidence or any other material on which those findings of fact were based. He submitted that the matters to which he would refer in support of the new ground would be covered under ground one of the amended application in any event, and that the respondent would not, therefore, be prejudiced by the late addition of the new ground.
30 I allowed Mr Appudurai to present argument on the proposed second ground and reserved my decision on the question of whether the amendment would be allowed. I will return to this matter later.
31 Mr Appudurai referred to the applicants' written contentions filed on 15 February 1999 and noted that, just as he had had to abandon two grounds of appeal in light of the High Court's decision in Eshetu, the High Court's decision in Abebe v The Commonwealth (1999) 162 ALR 1 required him to depart from those written contentions in making his submissions. In particular, he submitted that, in the light of Abebe, he would not be asking the Court to review any of the RRT's findings of fact.
32 The crux of the applicants' submissions was that in dealing with the first applicant's claims to have a well-founded fear of being persecuted, the RRT had not decided that the threats alleged by her did not occur. Therefore, the RRT was bound to consider whether the threats were made for a Convention related reason on the assumption that the threats did occur as alleged. This course was required, it was submitted, by the "what if I am wrong?" test set out by Kirby J in Minister for Immigration and Ethnic Affairs v Wu Shan Liang (1996) 185 CLR 259 at 291 -3. Kirby J in Wu's case at 293 said:
"…the decision maker must not, by a process of factual findings on particular elements of the material which is provided, foreclose reasonable speculation upon the chances of persecution emerging from a consideration of the whole of the material. Evaluation of chance, as required by Chan cannot be reduced to scientific precision. That is why it is necessary, notwithstanding particular findings, for the decision-maker in the end to return to the question: "What if I am wrong?". Otherwise, by eliminating facts on the way to the final conclusion, based upon what seems "likely" or "entitled to greater weight", the decision-maker may be left with nothing upon which to conduct the speculation necessary to the evaluation of the facts taken as a whole, in so far as they are said to give rise to a "real chance" of persecution."
33 Mr Appudurai submitted that the approach taken by the majority of the High Court in Minister for Immigration and Ethnic Affairs v Guo (1997) 191 CLR 559 was not inconsistent with Kirby J's approach and that the references in Guo to the strength of a tribunal's findings and a tribunal's apparent confidence in its conclusions could not be taken as referring only to the "tenor of the expression" (Applicants' Submissions page 10) used by the RRT. Rather, in determining whether a tribunal should consider whether its findings "might be wrong", Mr Appudurai submitted that the Court must also consider the reasons and bases upon which any such "confident" conclusions had been made.
34 Having accepted that the first applicant received threats not to pursue her husband's abductors in 1990, the RRT stated that the first applicant's claims to have been threatened after giving evidence to the Presidential Commission, in April 1995 and 1996, did not "seem credible to the Tribunal". The RRT also described the first applicant's claims of having been threatened after she gave evidence to the Presidential Commission as "problematic" and "strange".
35 Mr Appudurai relied on the fact that the RRT did not in terms state that it disbelieved the first applicant or that it did not accept that the threats she alleged had in fact been made. He submitted that it was within the role of a reviewing court to undertake an assessment as to whether the "what if I am wrong?" test should have been applied. Where the RRT had purported to apply the test, a reviewing court was also entitled to consider whether the test had been applied properly.
36 In addition, Mr Appudurai submitted that in going on to consider whether the threats, if made, were made for a Convention related reason, the RRT made errors of law by failing to construe properly the Convention categories of persecution motivated by political opinion and membership of a particular social group.
37 It was submitted that the RRT had failed to recognise that although the first applicant's motivation in giving evidence to the Presidential Commission was to find out what had happened to her husband, the important inquiry for the purposes of the Convention test was whether her "would-be persecutors" imputed to her a political opinion, whether held by her or not, which motivated them to threaten her. It was submitted that the RRT had not considered the question of imputed political opinion correctly, although it did identify imputed political opinions as being relevant. In deciding that the threats, if made, were made by reason of the first applicant's status as a potential witness in a criminal prosecution of her persecutors, the RRT had failed to consider the broader political context in which the Presidential Commission had functioned, and the fact that the motivations of the would-be persecutors were, to some degree, political.
38 Mr Appudurai submitted that the RRT had misconstrued and misapplied the proper scope and meaning of the Convention ground - "particular social group". He submitted that the RRT was incorrect when it characterised that social group to which the first applicant claimed to belong as being "those of JVP background and sympathies who have pursued justice and appeared before the commission". The submission put to the RRT was that the linking characteristics of the group were:
"i the JVP background of the victims' widows and relatives (and the JVP sympathies ascribed to them);
· their common pursuit of answers and justice;
· their appearances before the Commissions, (commonly to either name UNP-aligned perpetrators or to suggest such an explanation for the disappearance of their loved one);"
39 Mr Appudurai submitted that the RRT had not addressed the characterisation submitted to it, that a social group as defined in the applicants' submission to the RRT did exist in Sri Lankan society; that the group was not defined by reference to the persecution suffered by its members; and that the persecution feared by the first applicant was motivated by her membership of that social group.
40 Finally, the applicants submitted that the RRT had improperly assumed that state protection had been available to the applicants and would be available in the event of their return to Sri Lanka. In failing to assess the effectiveness of state protection in the circumstances of the applicants' case, the RRT failed to engage in the speculation which was required by the "what if I am wrong?" test and which was critical to a proper assessment of the objective foundation for the first applicant's claimed fear of persecution.
41 The RRT's focus on past events, based upon its flawed assessment of what had already happened, its restricted view of the scope of the Presidential Commission and its reliance upon the presumption of state protection resulted, according to the applicants, in an incorrect application of the "well-founded fear" test in so far as that test required the RRT to consider what might happen in the future.