73 Thirdly, there are a number of items of expenditure where the projected and actual figures are either identical or closely similar. Especially notable examples are depreciation (projected $4, actual $4, for the year ending June 2005, projected $3734, actual $3,734 for the year ending June 2006) electricity (projected $2500, actual $2487 for the year ending June 2005, $4910 projected and actual for the year ending June 2006, projected $5,254, actual $5,194 for year ending June 2007) insurance (projected $7,300, actual $7,293 for the year ending June 2005, projected $4000, actual, $4064 for the year ending June 2006, projected $3000, actual $2856 for the year ending June 2007) and stamp duty (projected $400, actual $401 for the year ending June 2005, projected $1400, actual $1402 for the year ending June 2006, projected $400, actual $401 for the year ending June 2007) and accountancy fees (projected and actual $3460 for the year ending June 2006).
74 Finally, Capricorn Business Services issued a tax invoice, dated 22 January 2008, which included, as a description of duties ""Analyse and adjust cash flows projection.""
Which Approach to Adopt?
75 Having considered the evidence by the two experts I prefer Dr Rodney Ferrier's approach although, as will be seen, my conclusions as to the sales volume and Maintainable EBIT differ.
Predicted Retail sales as at 1 January 2007.
76 Mr Gavljak's, evidence was that the industry benchmark for "days supply" per retail vehicle in second-hand car yards is 60 days. Days supply is calculated by dividing the number of sales in a month by the number of cars that the site can display for sale(including both indoor and outdoor spaces) and then dividing the quotient into 30 (being the average days in a month). If a vehicle was held for sale in a car yard for more than 90 days (Mr Gavljak refers to this as the drop-dead date) it should be sold, on a wholesale basis, to another dealer. As the development approval allows for only 17 cars to be displayed for sale at any one time, the adoption of the 60 day benchmark indicates an expectation of retail sales of 102 cars per annum. This figure was achieved in 2005. Retail sales in 2006 amounted to 100. In the months of July, August, September, and October 2006, 35 retail sales were made which is the annual equivalent of 105 sales indicating 58 days supply during this four month period.
Predicted Wholesale Sales as at 1 January 2007.
77 171 wholesale sales were transacted in 2006; 90 of the sales occurring in the second half of that year.
Conclusion - Predicted Retail and Wholesale Sales as at 1 January 2007
78 In coming to my conclusions of 105 retail sales and 171 wholesale sales per annum as an appropriate estimate for 2007 I have followed the obiter dictum of Dixon J in Commissioner of Succession Duties (South Australia) and Executor Trustee and Agency Company of South Australia Ltd and others [1947] 74 CLR 358 at 373:
""I should like, however, to add for myself that there is some difference of purpose in valuing property for revenue cases and in compensation cases. In the second the purpose is to ensure that the person to be compensated is given a full money equivalent of his loss, while in the first it is to ascertain what money value is plainly contained in the asset so as to afford a proper measure of liability to tax. While the difference cannot change the test of value, is not without effect upon a court's attitude in the application of the test. In the case of compensation doubts are resolved in favour of a more liberal estimate, in a revenue case, of a more conservative estimate"".
Predicted Retail and Wholesale Sales as at 28 December 2007.
79 In the absence of evidence of any change in either the of volume of retail and wholesale sales or the benchmark days supply in the Sydney market during 2007, I have come to the conclusion that as at the 28th of December 2007 a prospective purchaser would accept that a reasonable expectation of retail and wholesale vehicle sales for the business would be 105 and 171 per annum respectively.
Goodwill Valuation --Spreadsheet Calculations.
80 A spreadsheet, which became Ex R 18, was prepared at my request. It showed 5 scenarios. I was provided with a compact disc, which I have used as a tool for calculating goodwill. The CD included some additional information, namely, an average price per car for retail and wholesale, which I found useful for a purpose to which I will refer to later in this Judgment. These average prices broadly compare with the average prices that can be calculated from Ex R 3. Exhibit R 18 has been reduced to one Scenario showing 105 retail sales and 171 wholesale sales and now forms Appendix A to this Judgment. The spreadsheet shows my predicted sale numbers. There are consequential changes to Total Variable Expenses but otherwise all income and expenditure inputs were agreed by the experts. Salaries, wages and superannuation reflect market rates of pay.