Determination
34 It is convenient to return to the primary judge's finding at [52] that:
…[the Minister's] argument did not deal with the possibility that a reviewer may have found the priest's letter more compelling and accepted that the version given by the priest was the appropriate version. Whilst, given that the balance of the evidence is against such a scenario, as a likely outcome, it is impossible to predict what the IAA's decision would have been had it had all of the evidence before it.
(Emphasis added.)
35 The Minister's primary submission is that the primary judge thereby found that jurisdictional error arose because it was impossible for the Court to be satisfied as to whether the failure to give the Authority the Priest Letter affected its decision. The Minister accepts, however, that it is also open to understand the primary judge as finding that he was satisfied that the failure to give the Authority the letter could have made a difference to its decision. For his part CPA16 argues that the reasons at [50]-[51] show that the primary judge understood that not all breaches of s 473CB(1) will rise to the level of jurisdictional error, and [52] shows that in the circumstances of the present case his Honour considered that the breach rose to that level. CPA16 seeks to rely on the remarks of Gleeson CJ in Re Refugee Review Tribunal; Ex parte Aala (2000) 204 CLR 82; [2000] HCA 57 (Aala) at [4] where his Honour found jurisdictional error notwithstanding his conclusion that "no one can be sure" whether the decision-maker's ultimate conclusion would have been the same.
36 It should be kept in mind that the primary judge's decision was handed down before the decision of the majority in SZMTA, and his Honour was writing without the benefit of the High Court's clarification regarding the necessary findings as to materiality. We also note that, as a matter of logic, the Minister's preferred interpretation of his Honour's finding at [52] is arguably not open. His Honour was assessing whether the failure to provide the Authority with the Priest Letter could have resulted in it making a different decision. Where the only change to the review material before the Authority would be the addition of the Priest Letter, the primary judge's conclusion that the outcome is impossible to predict can only be because that letter could have resulted in the Authority making a different decision. If the letter could not have made a difference the outcome would not change and therefore would be able to be predicted.
37 But in our respectful view the primary judge's finding is unclear and we respectfully consider his Honour erred by failing to make an express finding as to whether the Priest Letter could realistically have made a difference to the Authority's decision. Further, the primary judge's task was not, as his Honour indicated, to "predict" what the Authority's decision would have been if it had been given the Priest Letter. The primary judge was required to decide whether the failure to give that letter to the Authority deprived CPA16 of the realistic possibility of a successful outcome. The stated impossibility of predicting the outcome was not central to that task. Relatedly, the primary judge made an error of the type identified in SZMTA at [68] and [69], by engaging in speculation about the likely effect of the Priest Letter on the Authority's decision but failing to take the necessary step of deciding whether there was a realistic possibility that the outcome could have been different and explaining the basis for that decision. If the primary judge considered the letter could realistically have resulted in the Authority making a different decision, his Honour was also required to explain that conclusion.
38 Even so, while the primary judge did not go far enough in his finding at [52], we concur with his Honour's conclusion that in the circumstances of the present case the non-compliance with s 473CB(1) constitutes jurisdictional error. For the reasons we now explain, having regard to CPA16's claims and the evidence as a whole and in light of the Authority's course of reasoning, we are satisfied on the balance of probabilities that provision of the Priest Letter could realistically have resulted in the Authority making a different decision. CPA16 was deprived of a realistic possibility of a successful outcome. It follows that the Minister's appeal must be dismissed.
39 We commence by noting that, in a case such as the present, where the Authority found that CPA16's documentary evidence relating to his employment at the TV station was not cogent and it made adverse credibility findings about CPA16's claims, the task of deciding whether an omitted document is material is not without difficulty. As Gleeson CJ said in Aala (at [4]) "[d]ecisions as to credibility are often based upon matters of impression, and an unfavourable view taken upon an otherwise minor issue may be decisive." Credibility findings are often non-linear in nature: VAAD v Minister for Immigration and Multicultural Affairs [2005] FCAFC 117 at [79] (Hill, Sundberg and Stone JJ); SZTFQ v Minister for Immigration and Border Protection [2017] FCA 562 at [44]-[45] (Lee J). We respectfully agree with Kirby J's observations in Applicant NAAF of 2002 v Minister for Immigration and Multicultural and Indigenous Affairs (2004) 221 CLR 1; [2004] HCA 62 at [81] where his Honour said:
…decision-making is a complex mental process. Disbelief of a litigant or witness on one point might carry over to affect the decision-maker's disbelief of the same person on other points. Contrary-wise, establishing that an initial disbelief of a person's credibility on one matter was erroneous might convince a decision-maker of the need to revisit other conclusions and to look at the person's entire evidence in a new light.
40 There can be no question that CPA16's claim to have worked for a pro-Tamil TV station is central to his claim for protection. He claims that the TV station was closed down by the authorities because, with his assistance, it had broadcast a program criticising the government for deliberately flooding Tamil villages, and that the program led to his being detained by the police and assaulted at the behest of a government minister. His claim to have worked for the TV station is also significant to his claim that the minister's men accused him of handing a video clip of the 2012 Muslim protest to the police, which led to some of the protesters being arrested and to the minister's men coming to his house to abduct or harm him. He claims that triggered his decision to flee the country.
41 The Authority rejected CPA16's claim to have worked at the TV station and said that "it follows" that it also rejected his claims: (a) to have taken up that job because of his pro-Tamil sympathies; (b) that he was detained or assaulted by the police as a result of his working at the TV station; and (c) to have moved away from a career in TV because he was fearful that investigations that might arise as a result would reveal his past role as an LTTE informer. The Authority found that CPA16 had fabricated the claim to have worked at the TV station in an attempt to create a background which would assist him to obtain a protection visa, which undermined his claims more generally. The Authority's rejection of CPA16's claim to have worked at the TV station also played into its finding that it was implausible that the minister would consider CPA16 responsible for providing a video clip of footage of the 2012 Muslim protest to the police, which the Authority in turn relied on to reject his account of the minister's men coming to his house in search of him.
42 On its face, the Priest Letter is a copy of a letter on the letterhead of a Roman Catholic church in CPA16's village. The letterhead includes the address of the church and its telephone number, and the letter bears the name, signature and stamp of the parish priest. It states (without correction):
To whom it may Concern
This is to certify that [CPA16] of [town name] is known to me well. I understand that he is now away from country.
He hails from my parish and a respected Roman Catholic family. He was a regional media officer for [the TV station] (a private TV channel) through which the Tamil people were bringing their day today problem and the government's harassments to the light. But unfortunately the channel was banned by the police and they were searching for the people who were working in that field. Three months back the police surrounded the house of [CPA16] but fortunately he escaped and fled from the country for the survival of the life. But the police men are still searching for the hide out through the police intelligence.
After the above incident his wife [name redacted] with the small child is mentally affected and is living in quandary.
Under this circumstance [CPA16] contemplated that his life would be jeopardized in Sri Lanka and had to leave for abroad to protect his life.
As far as my knowledge goes it is very dangerous for the life of [CPA16] to come back to Sri Lanka.
On its face the letter is relevant and corroborative of CPA16's claim that he worked for the TV station.
43 We do not accept the Minister's contention that because the Priest Letter is undated, is addressed "to whom it may concern", and is expressed in a generalised fashion, there is no realistic possibility that the Authority could have found it to be relevant or cogent. The absence of a date on a letter intended for use at an unspecified time in the future is not as significant as the Minister argues. The fact the letter is addressed "to whom it may concern" is equally unsurprising when its author is unlikely to have known to whom it was to be supplied. Nor is the letter as general as the Minister contends. It broadly corroborates CPA16's key claim to have worked for a pro-Tamil TV station and his claim that the minister's men came to his house with the intent of abducting or harming him. It includes specific personal information about CPA16 including the name of his wife and the fact they have a small child.
44 Nor do we accept that the inconsistencies in the review material as to the role in which CPA16 was employed at the TV station are so significant that there is no realistic prospect that the Authority could have accepted the Priest Letter as corroborative. The Authority could realistically have considered the Priest Letter to be corroborative and cogent evidence of CPA16's principal claim to have worked at a pro-Tamil TV station, without reference to the particular role which he performed. We also note that CPA16 provided some explanation for the different roles in his statement to the Authority. He said "I identify myself as a journalist during my time with [the TV station]. I was both a technician and producer." The different descriptions of CPA16's role may not have been as significant to the Authority as the Minister says.
45 Similarly, while there is an inconsistency between the account in the Priest Letter - that the police came to CPA16's house but he fortunately escaped - and CPA16's statement that the minister's men came to his house while he was away in another village, the essential claim is that the minister's men came to his house with the intent of abducting or harming him. That the Priest Letter differed in this aspect from CPA16's account does not mean that there was no realistic possibility that the Authority would have given credence to the letter. The Priest Letter did not purport to be an eyewitness account and this difference in the account of what occurred may not have been as important to the Authority as the Minister suggests. In our view the Authority could realistically have considered the letter to be corroborative and cogent evidence of CPA16's two principal claims about working at the TV station and that the minister and/or his men came to harm him.
46 Whether the Authority could have considered the Priest Letter to be non-genuine or fraudulent is, of course, relevant to whether the letter could realistically have resulted in it making a different decision. The Minister contends that CPA16 was not deprived of the realistic possibility of a successful outcome because the Authority could not have seen the letter as genuine or cogent, it being a copy, it revealing (indeed contributing to) some inconsistencies in CPA16's evidence, and it being almost identical in content to the MP Letter which was from someone else and about someone else.
47 We take a different view. Leaving aside the alleged inconsistencies, with which we have dealt above, the balance of the Minister's contention is largely based on the proposition that the MP Letter and the Priest Letter are equivalent, and the Authority could not realistically find the Priest Letter to be genuine. We disagree. In our view it is unwarranted to assume that the Authority would consider the Priest Letter to be equivalent to the MP Letter.
48 On our inspection the MP Letter appears to have been created through the alteration of another document; by substituting N's name at paragraphs one, two, four and five for whatever other name was there, and by substituting the word "mother" and N's mother's name at paragraph 3 for what was there previously. That seems apparent from the different typeface and font of the altered words. These observations do not apply to the Priest Letter. Thus, while it is no part of our role to decide the credibility of the evidence, and we do not do so, on its face the MP Letter does not appear to be genuine.
49 For this reason there is a prospect that the Authority would not treat the MP Letter as equivalent to the Priest Letter. The Authority could realistically consider the Priest Letter to be more reliable and cogent than the MP Letter and it could realistically lead to the Authority making a different decision.
50 Another flaw in the Minister's argument is that notwithstanding the obvious deficiencies in the MP Letter, the Authority did not go as far as to expressly find that it was not genuine. The Authority said only that it gave the MP Letter "lesser weight", in part because of a Department of Foreign Affairs and Trade report about the prevalence of fraudulent documents in Sri Lanka.
51 We also note for completeness that CPA16 has stated in an affidavit that he did not give the MP Letter to his migration agent or lawyer, nor did he himself lodge it with Department. Essentially, he states that he knows nothing of the provenance of the MP Letter. He provided this information in the Federal Circuit Court proceeding and should not be criticised for leaving the explanation until that time when: (a) he did not know the MP Letter had been lodged with the delegate; and (b) the delegate does not appear to have noticed that the MP Letter had the deficiencies we have noted nor to have enquired of him as to why a reference letter relating to someone else's claim was lodged in purported support of his claim.
52 Finally, it is worth noting that in SZMTA the conclusion that the relevant document could not realistically have made any difference to the decision-maker's evaluation of the visa applicant's credibility concerned quite different circumstances to those in the present case. The majority said (at [71]) that the decision-maker had been provided numerous documents and general letters of support including from senior identified members of the Buddhist community in Australia, and the decision-maker had given those documents little weight. The particular letter of support which the decision-maker did not take into account was of the same nature. The majority described it as a single paragraph letter to a Senator from a member of the Buddhist community in Australia referring generally to the adverse treatment of religious minorities in Bangladesh and urging "on the grounds of humanity and compassion" that the visa applicant and his family be given asylum in Australia. The Priest Letter is quite different and on its face it is corroborative of specific and central claims made by CPA16.
53 The appeal must be dismissed. Given our finding on the appeal it is unnecessary to deal with CPA16's notice of contention.
54 We are not aware of any reason why costs should not follow the event and we have made an order that the Minister pay the costs of the appeal.
I certify that the preceding fifty-four (54) numbered paragraphs are a true copy of the Reasons for Judgment herein of the Honourable Justices Yates, Murphy and Moshinsky.