REASONING
23 In relation to the existence of a hypothesis it should be borne in mind that the hypothesis sought to be raised need not be the sole possible scenario for the death, but it must be a possible explanation. It does not have to be the correct one on any balancing of the evidence. The hypothesis raised must be examined to see whether it is in fact an available hypothesis on the whole of the material in the sense that it is pointed to or raised by the facts even if an assumption needs to be made. There must be facts which point to the hypothesis rather than leaving the matter at large or open. The existence of another inconsistent hypothesis or of inconsistent material does not necessarily mean that there is no available hypothesis.
24 As a matter of possibility, in my view, the material before the AAT considered as a whole is consistent with the circumstances advanced as a possible explanation or hypothesis as to what occurred. It is possible, for example, on the material that the veteran may have become aware of the falling rock and sought to escape but was unable to move sufficiently swiftly as a consequence of a back injury received during the war. The evidence of the applicant that the veteran did not suffer any problems with his back prior to the war, coupled with the medical records as to complaints of his back injury during the war and the applicant's evidence of back problems after the war, when considered together with the other material as to the circumstances of the accident, in my view at least raises the hypothesis. To the extent that the AAT decided that there was no hypothesis raised I consider that the it erred in applying too high a standard in respect of what is a low threshold of proof.
25 The next question is whether that hypothesis can be described as a "reasonable hypothesis" within the meaning of s 120(3) of the Act. In my view it is not correct to say that, apart from the 1946 X-Rays and the evidence of Dr Seaton, there is no other evidence of any other back condition having arisen out of or being attributable to the veteran's eligible war service. The evidence of the widow referred to earlier together with the reference in the records to an injury to the back and to tenderness being experienced in the lumbar sacro region support the conclusion that there was a back condition arising from war service. There are also references to nausea and to pain in the lumbar sacral area in 1943 together with a reference to the veteran lifting "ammo" boxes which lend further support for this conclusion. Although this latter statement relates to a torn chest muscle it also indicates the nature of the activities engaged in by the veteran. True it is that there was other material, including a medical examination record prior to the veteran's discharge of 14 June 1946, in which there is no reference is made to any ailments, pain or distress in relation to the plaintiff's back, nor any lack of mobility. In reaching its conclusion on this aspect of the hypothesis I consider that the AAT erred because it failed to look at the whole of the material in relation to the veteran's back condition.
26 The second and, as I read it, independent ground on which it was considered that the hypothesis was unreasonable was that the AAT considered that the nexus between the death and any war injury was too tenuous. This was said to be because the material fell far short of pointing to the sequence of events which occurred. Mr Jones, one of the workmates of the veteran at the time of the accident, said:
"… At the direction of the deceased I had commenced cutting a track in through some heavy lantana growth so as to get the tractor in through some felled trees. With the deceased I was brushing this undergrowth down hill from the heads of the two felled trees and the deceased was cutting the limbs and heads from these two felled trees when I heard Neil McDougall call out ' Look out this tree is cracking'.
After deceased and I went on another few minutes with our work I heard McDougall again call out 'This tree is cracking again, look out.' He would then be seventy or eighty yards away. Both deceased and I looked towards where McDougall was cutting the tree and which was directly above us up a particularly steep hill and up, from where the two fallen trees came from and which had shot down the mountain side to where we were and this made me rather wary.
After having a good look I went on brushing the lantana and the deceased continued trimming the heads of the trees just near where I was working and then I heard McDougall call out a warning the third time and in a loud voice he said 'Look out there this tree is ready to go.'
I looked up and in a very shot (sic) space of time I saw the tree commence to fall and it appeared to be falling out slightly to our left towards the face of the ridge the deceased and I being in the gully. The deceased called out to me 'Get clear Jack and watch she does not shoot.' Just before the tree commenced to fall the deceased called out to McDougall 'Let her go Neil'.
As the tree was falling it appeared that it may come towards us and shoot into the gully as the other two did. I have had many years experience in the bush and apart from the deceased calling out to me to get clear I could see that we were in danger if we did not act quickly and I jumped over a big log nearby in the undergrowth and lyed (sic) flat alongside a log and the head of the falling tree fell all around me and when it came to rest I could not see the deceased.
Just as I run (sic) to jump over the log which was only ten or twelve feet way the deceased was near me with an axe in one hand, I am not sure which hand, and I noticed that he turned to go in the opposite direction to me and that was the last time I saw him alive and on his feet …
… I noticed that just below where deceased was lying and directly beneath him about thirty feet away was a very large rock weighing about half a ton stationary amongst the lantana and which had only just recently come to rest there and showed signs of having rolled down with force from up the hill at the same time as the last tree had fallen. This stone would have come down the hill past where I last saw the deceased alive. Deceased would be down the hill some twenty feet from where I last saw him. Just before the tree was falled (sic) deceased was in his normal good health and in good spirits …
… Because of my bush experience I believed deceased would be keenly watching the falling tree and would not notice any rolling rocks that may be coming down the hill just off the course of the falling tree." (Emphasis added)
27 The statement of Mr McDougall, an employee of the veteran, stated in respect of the accident:
"… I could then see the deceased and Jack Jones near thenheads (sic) of the two trees first felled. They appeared to be about eighty yards away. They did not appear to be in a safe place and it (sic) was why I was anxious to give them so much warning. I kept on cutting and there was a space of about another four or five minutes or perhaps more and the tree appeared to be just about ready to fall so I called out again 'This trees is ready to let go'.
I then heard the deceased say 'Watch out it might shoot'. I knew he was warning his men. I then saw Jack Jones get over a log and disappear in the undergrowth away from the line the tree would fall on. I also saw the deceased go in the opposite direction and I heard him sing out to me 'Right, let her go'. I then made another few cuts and the tree fell down the hill towards where deceased and Jones were. I heard the tree hit the ground which was then out of sight because as soon as the tree started to fall I quickly went away a few feet from the stump for safety.
At the same time as I heard the tree hit the ground I heard a noise like a large rock rolling down the mountain in the diection (sic) the falling tree went. This rolling rock sound made me suspicious as regards a danger to deceased and his men so I hurried down the hill after the fallen tree and saw the large rock disappear at the bottom of the gully into some lantana directly on the course where I saw Jones and deceased just before the tree fell …"
28 In relation to the circumstances of the death the AAT summarised the evidence in this way:
" 64… There is material in the statements of Mr Jones and Mr McDougall that points to Mr McLean's being aware of the tree's being felled and the likely paths it would take in its fall. Those same statements contain material pointing to Mr McLean's being aware of the need to move himself out of the path of the tree and to warn Mr Jones to do the same. The statements of Mr Jones and Mr McDougall point to the third tree taking the same path as the earlier two trees.
65 There is no material pointing to Mr McLean's having seen the rock let alone having been unable to get out of its way because of his limited mobility. Mr Jones did not see the rock come down and was not aware of it until after he had found Mr McLean. After the tree had commenced its descent, Mr McDougall heard a noise that was like a large rock and, after hurrying down the cliff, saw a rock disappear at the bottom of the gulley into some lantana. It had taken a course directly over where he had earlier seen Mr McLean and Mr Jones. Mr McDougall's evidence does not point to what Mr McLean did after the time that Mr Jones last saw him and before he was hit by the rock."
29 In my view, the conclusion reached by the AAT that the hypothesis was too tenuous, and so was unreasonable, was open to it. There are critical gaps in the material before the AAT, in the form of the observations of the parties present as to the circumstances of the veteran in relation to the dislodgment of the rock and path taken by it and in respect of the position of the veteran at the time of the impact which caused his death. There were no observations as to the restrictions in his movement, or as to his lack of movement at the time immediately before he was struck by the rock. In particular there is no indication that he was aware of the dislodgment of the rock or as to what course of action he adopted. No one observed him at the critical time. There is nothing to point to the fact that the mobility or lack of mobility of the veteran played any role in the death. The position might be otherwise if there had been some material as to impaired mobility of the deceased at the time, but there is no such material. The situation was one of great urgency and immediately impending danger which was perceived to be the felling of the tree. The dislodgment of the rock was a very random act and there is no indication that it was or could have been anticipated or as to what pattern of movement might have flowed if a warning was given as to the path of the rock. There is simply a lack of material on this central element on the hypothesis.
30 Whether a hypothesis is reasonable is a question for the AAT and, in my view, no error of law has been demonstrated. I note the applicant's reference to Byrnes and Repatriation Commission v Stares (1996) 41 ALD 212to the effect that a hypothesis may be reasonable even though each element is not supported by material before the AAT. However, in this case the "gap" in the material related to a large, critical part of the hypothesis. In my view the AAT member correctly described it as a "vital part of the hypothesis" and her finding that the hypothesis was unreasonable contains no error of law.
31 Nor, in my view, did the AAT engage in a fact finding exercise or place any onus on the applicant. Its conclusion was reached on the whole of the material and did not depend on an evaluation of conflicting evidence or discounting the force of evidence. It is true that the AAT identified particular pieces of evidence and their relationship to the hypothesis. However, this discloses no error and is in accordance with the approach taken by the Full Court in Delidio (at 91) that "[i]n determining whether the hypothesis is reasonable the decision-maker must identify the facts said to point to it."
32 The AAT's decision is simply a determination as to whether on any reasonable view of the material read as a whole a sufficient nexus had been shown between the veteran's war injuries and his death. This is simply a question of fact and degree.
33 In these circumstances, in my view, the AAT did not err in reaching its conclusion that the hypothesis was not reasonable. Although I consider that the AAT has erred in the respects referred to earlier, I consider that on the critical question as to the reasonableness of the hypothesis, the conclusion which it reached was open to it. The appeal should be dismissed with costs.
I certify that the preceding thirty-three (33) numbered paragraphs are a true copy of the Reasons for Judgment herein of the Honourable Justice Tamberlin J.