The doctor continued later:
"We know that hyperstimulation occurs in 61 per cent of women, according to the Satin study, of people who receive the sort of dose of Syntocinon that Mrs Simpson received. … 60 second contractions every two minutes that would, at the very least, be borderline hyperstimulation."
134 Dr Keogh is a staff specialist in obstetrics and gynaecology at Hornsby Hospital who lectures in those subjects at the University of Sydney. His view was that there was insufficient evidence to find that the doctor was negligent. His evidence does not really affect the present matter before the Court and we were referred to very little of his oral evidence or cross examination.
135 Dr John Pennington reported at Blue (2) 402 that in his view both the doctor and the hospital acted in accordance with proper professional standards and contemporary obstetric practices. In re-examination at Black (7) 1731, Mr Brereton put to Dr Pennington:
"Q. It was put to you that a persistence of attempts with forceps could give rise to an unremitting bradycardia and you said that was true. When you answered that question, were you addressing your mind exclusively to a bradycardia caused by a vagal mechanism, or to some other situation?
A. It doesn't matter in the sense that in the practical sense you have the bradycardia which may be due to vagal nerve stimulation but at that time there is no way that you know and nor, I submit, that you really care in the sense that in a practical sense you need to expedite the circumstances."
136 Finally, Professor Ellwood gave evidence for the hospital. Professor Ellwood is a Professor of Obstetrics and Gynaecology at the Canberra Clinical School, University of Sydney, at its Canberra Hospital branch. In his report at Blue (4) 889, Professor Ellwood said:
"… in this case the rate of Syntocinon administration was at the limits of the accepted rate and this may have caused a degree of uterine hyperstimulation as indicated by a tachysystole. Nevertheless, this does not appear to have adversely affected the foetal heart rate … .
[890] In conclusion, there is no objective evidence for an effect on foetal condition caused by uterine hyperstimulation either before midday when the partogram observations cease, or after that time and until the forceps delivery is attempted.
In contrast, there is evidence of a foetal response to the Kiellands rotation, and the possibility of a prolonged bradycardia, which continued until delivery about 25 minutes later."
137 At Black (7) 1591, Mr Brereton cross examined Professor Ellwood:
"Q. Now, I think we discussed this morning but I think you agree that the midwife's targets should be to achieve with Syntocinon something in the order of three to four contractions in 10 minutes?
A. I remember the discussion and I said that three to four, or four to five, I really wouldn't draw a distinction between that, and perhaps an optimal number is about four in 10.
Q. Certainly if the contractions were between five and six in 10 minutes that would be hyperstimulation?
A. That would be defined by some authors as tachysystole and that would be a rate of contraction above what I would consider to be optimal.
Q. And that rate of contraction is sufficient to cause such embarrassment to the foetus as to result in ultimately a profound bradycardia and permanent brain damage?
A. That depends on the condition of the foetus before the hyperstimulation begins and how long it goes on for.
…
Q. But if in an induced labour the foetus is subjected to an hour of contractions of between five and six in 10 minutes, it is quite consistent with your experience … during that period to see but subtle changes on the cardiotocograph?
A. Yes, it certainly is in my clinical experience to see those CTG changes occurring.
Q. Thereafter, even after the contractions remit a little from the five to six, to perhaps more normal limits, to see in the next hour or so some late decelerations?
A. My own clinical experience would be to see the CTG recover and return to normal once the contraction pattern becomes more normal.
Q. Can I suggest that it is within your experience, clinical or medico legal, that during the period after an hour of hyperstimulation, you might continue to see late decelerations?
A. I can't recall seeing a period of hyperstimulation of that duration, once it has been corrected, to continue to cause CTG changes.
…
Q. And after some time of that, it is within your experience, isn't it, that from the hyperstimulation, followed by that period of late decelerations, one can then have a profound terminal bradycardia?
A. The late decelerations reflect a degree of oxygen desaturation occurring with a contraction. Whether that then continues into acidemia and then the kind of terminal bradycardia you are describing, would depend on the ability of the foetus to withstand that oxygen desaturation, and whether or not the reason for the desaturation has been corrected.
Q. And if the foetus's reserves have been sapped by the period of hyperstimulation, then a period of profound bradycardia can result?
A. Yes, that's certainly possible."
138 At 1594, Mr Brereton put that the hyperstimulation can result in a profound terminal bradycardia due to a sapping of reserves. The Professor replied:
"A. The hypothetical picture that you are painting, I would agree with if the period of uterine tachysystole was sustained and there was no signs of recovery and resumption of a normal pattern of uterine contractions.
Q. And in that situation the profound terminal bradycardia can itself, in those circumstances in your experience, produce permanent brain damage or do damage to the basal ganglia?
A. It can certainly cause severe foetal hypoxia and acidemia and the condition of newborn encephalopathy. It is getting outside my area of expertise to comment on the exact nature of the brain damage.
…
(1595) Q. From that discussion I take it you agree that hyperstimulation produced by excessive Syntocinon usage can of itself result in a severe hypoxic insult to the foetus?
A. A period of uterine tachysystole, if sustained, can certainly lead to foetal hypoxia. Whether it does or whether it doesn't depends on the foetal reserve and the duration of the tachysystole."
139 There was considerable cross examination along the lines of that administered to the other medical experts as to the difference between vagal and hypoxic bradycardia. At 1606, Mr Brereton asked:
… Is this the position then, that though there may well have been a vagal element to that final terminal bradycardia in Calandre Simpson, the duration which it must have had to explain her outcome, is such that in your opinion there must have been a hypoxic as well as a vagal cause?
A. Yes, but I would qualify that by saying that the hypoxic cause, or the hypoxic element, could have been quite acute if it is related to cord occlusion.
Q. Cord occlusion is one possibility that you posit so far as a hypoxic cause is concerned?
A. Yes.
(1607) Q. And another perfectly plausible possibility is that the foetal reserves had been sapped by a period of hyperstimulation?
A. It is a possibility. I find it a less likely possibility because of the duration of the apparent period of uterine tachysystole, and in my clinical experience I would expect the foetus with normal reserve to have tolerated that period of hyperstimulation and to have recovered.
…
Q. One thing I guess is clear after the discussion we have had, that one thing we can now exclude following our discussion this afternoon, is the idea that vagal bradycardia alone, attributable to a series of five pulls with forceps, caused this terminal bradycardia?
A. The evidence that we have to support your statement is of a foetal heart rate that was heard to decelerate and recover during the second attempt with the Neville Barnes forceps and that would suggest a normal vagal response and then recovery. Because we don't have a continuous heart rate recording throughout the whole episode, I would find it hard to completely agree with your statement. I think we do have the likely possibility of recurrent vagal stimulation with the recurrent attempted forceps delivery. Whether the accumulation of that vagal stimulation has contributed to the terminal bradycardia, I think it is possible.
Q. It is not quite my question; not whether the accumulation contributed to it, but one thing we can say for certain is that vagal bradycardia alone, even the accumulation, cannot fully explain the bradycardia of 18 to 25 minutes which ensued?
A. I would find it hard to accept that it was vagal alone.
Q. And even allowing for the accumulation of five attempts on the probabilities in your opinion, there must have been a hypoxic cause as well?
A. I think there must have been a contributing cause. By the term hypoxic cause I wouldn't necessarily mean that there was foetal hypoxia before the bradycardia occurred. I don't quite understand the mechanism of bradycardia that occurs with cord occlusion. It may well be more complex than simply reducing blood flow and reducing oxygen supply, but I certainly do accept the argument that there is likely to have been some additional mechanism other than vagal stimulation and if that involves the cord, then ultimately there is a component of that which is hypoxic.
Q. And the alternative explanation for the cord is over-stimulation of the uterus and a sapping of the foetal reserves as a result?
A. That is a possible explanation. … but I find the gap between the period of apparent tachysystole and the prolonged bradycardia difficult to explain if there was prolonged hypoxia throughout that whole period of time. …".
140 At p 1614, Mr Brereton asked:
"Do you agree that although traction on the cord during rotation might cause temporary reduction in blood flow and foetal oxygenation you would expect to see a degree of recovery once that traction was released?
A. In the hypothetical situation where a rotation has caused some cord compression, I wouldn't use the word traction, traction in itself I don't think would cause the bradycardia but where it has caused some compression and if that compression is completely reversed then I would expect to see recovery.
The exception to that may be that if … there are already other factors that could lead to bradycardia such as vagal stimulation and the compression continues for a long enough period of time then the foetus may not be able to recover. There may be a combination then of hypoxia, vagal stimulation, the two things together, could lead to ongoing bradycardia.
(1622) Q. … do I understand your position to be that if there were cord involvement in this case the probable scenario is that of partial occlusion resulting from cord tension from the rotating manoeuvre?
A. I believe that's the most likely cause in this case. I can't completely exclude cord occlusion by the forcep blade impinging on a loop of cord …
(1623) Q. What are you talking about, Professor, when you speak of the most likely version of cord involvement in this case being a partial occlusion due to rotation, what do you have in your mind in terms of percentage reduction in blood flow by that?
A. Anywhere between nought and a hundred per cent.
Q. Well a hundred per cent isn't partial?
A. A hundred per cent is complete. I have no way of knowing.
Q. And nought is no occlusion at all?
A. That's why I answered with those two extremes. I have no way of knowing. The hypothetical situation we have reached is that is a mechanism whereby the cord is compressed during the rotation, I have no way of knowing what degree of compression has occurred, what degree of occlusion has occurred.
(1626) Q. Professor, if I can approach it this way, yesterday I think we agreed that as well as the vagal mechanism for this bradycardia in Calandre's case, to last as long as it did and to have the profound effects which it did, there must have been a hypoxic mechanism at work also?
A. Yes.
Q. If that hypoxic mechanism was, as you posit, cord compression attributable to the rotational manoeuvre, what I am suggesting is that it is unlikely, not impossible but unlikely, that that manoeuvre and that that cord compression to have produced a sufficient drop or a sufficient level of foetal acidosis to sustain the bradycardia before it would have remitted from its vagal cause, before the vagal aspect would have remitted?
A. I think you prefaced your question or you used early on in your question the word 'unlikely'; no, I don't believe it is unlikely. I think it's quite possible that the vagal mechanism could go on for sufficient time for the hypoxic mechanism to then continue to cause the bradycardia.
Q. Are you suggesting that the vagal mechanism could continue for five to ten minutes?
A. I am not applying the five to ten minutes time frame, what I said is I believe that the vagal mechanism could well operate for sufficient time for the hypoxic mechanism to cut in. If we are talking of a vagal mechanism that goes on for a few minutes, two, three, four minutes there could be sufficient cord occlusion to then have caused sufficient hypoxia for that mechanism to then take over.
Q. Professor, it is unlikely in the extreme, isn't it, that the vagal mechanism would continue for four or five minutes after the forceps had been removed?
A. No, it's not unlikely in the extreme. I have certainly seen bradycardias continue for that period of time. With respect I said two, three, or four, I didn't say five.
Q. That's why I was asking about five. I can accept your two, three or four?
A. I can't make a distinction between two, three, four or five in such a mechanism. I have seen vagal responses continue for quite a long period of time, up to ten minutes I have seen.
Q. With no hypoxic component?
A. Yes, with no hypoxic component.
Q. You can be quite confident there was no hypoxic component in that?
A. Yes, the baby was born with no abnormal blood gases."