5.1 Ground One: The appellant's subjective fear of harm
31 By ground one of the notice of appeal, the appellant contends that the Authority failed to consider whether he has a subjective fear of harm. I agree with the primary judge that this contention fails at a factual level. As the primary judge held and the Minister's counsel submitted, the Authority considered, and in fact accepted, that the appellant had a subjective fear of harm. The Authority did not overlook this part of the appellant's claims.
32 The Authority's consideration of the appellant's subjective fear of harm is apparent from the various findings it made, including that:
the appellant's mental health suffered as a result of his past experiences (at [13]);
the appellant may have been asked and even possibly pressured to join militia or political groups in the past (at [15]);
the appellant's cousins may have been targeted previously (at [16]);
the appellant's neighbour was shot and killed, and that the appellant witnessed this killing (at [17]); and
the appellant's older brother was injured while driving as a victim of generalised violence (at [18]).
33 The Authority also expressly accepted that the "applicant fears harm and forcible recruitment" by certain political and militia groups (at [26]). As such, this was not a case in which the appellant's credibility was impugned.
34 Whilst ultimately rejecting the applicant's argument on other grounds, those reasons disclose that the Authority did in fact consider and accept the appellant's subjective fear of harm if returned to Iraq, as the primary judge held. It follows that the primary judge correctly rejected this aspect of ground one.
35 The appellant's first ground of appeal also appears to raise a second issue: that is, whether the Authority had erred in focusing on whether the appellant had or had not been "personally targeted" in his home country. The primary judge held, and I agree, that the Authority was not in error for considering that matter.
36 In the course of its reasons, the Authority (at [14]) found that the appellant was not "personally targeted" while working for an international company in 2013. That finding arose in the context of the appellant's claim that, as a result of his work for a particular international company, "he was threatened by militia or political groups and pressured to join them" (at [10]).
37 I agree with the primary judge that this reasoning discloses no error. In determining a protection visa application, s 5J of the Act requires, amongst other things, for a decision-maker to determine if a person would be persecuted for reasons of race, religion, nationality or membership of a particular social group or political opinion. As I have stated, that question is forward-looking. Nonetheless, in assessing whether there is a real chance of persecution in the context of the refugee criterion, it is well established that past events may assist in assessing what is likely to occur in the future. As the joint judgment held in Guo, "[p]ast events are not a certain guide to the future, but in many areas of life proof that events have occurred often provides a reliable basis for determining the probability - high or low - of their recurrence.": at 574 (Brennan CJ, Dawson, Toohey, Gaudron, McHugh and Gummow JJ). Thus, in the context of applying the definition of a refugee in the Convention relating to the Status of Refugees, opened for signature 28 July 1951, 189 UNTS 137 (entered into force 22 April 1954), the joint judgment in Guo held (at 575) that:
Determining whether there is a real chance that something will occur requires an estimation of the likelihood that one or more events will give rise to the occurrence of that thing. In many, if not most cases, determining what is likely to occur in the future will require findings as to what has occurred in the past because what has occurred in the past is likely to be the most reliable guide as to what will happen in the future. It is therefore ordinarily an integral part of the process of making a determination concerning the chance of something occurring in the future that conclusions are formed concerning past events.
38 It follows, as the primary judge held, that the forward-looking inquiry required by the refugee criterion (and equally the complementary protection criterion) can be informed by an applicant's past experiences. For example, in this case, the lack of past personal targeting was plainly relevant to the appellant's claim that he feared forcible recruitment from militia or political groups if returned to Iraq.
39 This is not to say that past experiences are necessarily determinative of whether an applicant's fear of harm is well-founded. Rather, it is to state that there was no error made by the Authority in considering the appellant's past experiences as one of the factors informing its decision.
40 In this regard, the Authority did not focus exclusively upon the appellant's past experiences in reaching the view that his fear of harm if returned was not well-founded. To the contrary, the Authority expressly considered (at [24]-[26]) whether the appellant's profile meant that he faced a real chance of harm if returned and found that he did not based upon its assessment of the country information. As I have explained, it is not open to this Court to revisit that factual assessment. Nor was it open to the Federal Circuit Court to do so. The merits of the appellant's claims were ultimately for the Authority and the Authority alone to determine.
41 Ground one of the notice of appeal must therefore be dismissed.