Appeal grounds 4 and 5 - assertion primary judge erred in finding the Tribunal had properly assessed the evidence and country information concerning unregistered churches in China
8 Appeal grounds 4 and 5, relate to judicial review ground 2 before the primary judge. The issue on appeal concerns the adequacy of the Tribunal's assessment of the evidence and country information before it that related to the claim made by the appellant's father on the appellant's behalf that he and his wife would practice Catholicism in an unregistered church in China. The appellant contends that her Honour erred in finding at paragraph 38 that this material had been assessed in detail, and should instead have found that the Tribunal failed to assess, in a "real and active way" as required to complete the exercise of its jurisdiction:
(1) "evidence and submissions to the effect that there was a progressive tightening of restrictions affecting free religious worship and religious education", with reference to the new laws due to come into effect in February 2018, a month before the Tribunal's decision; and
(2) evidence obtained under s 424 of the Migration Act 1958 (Cth).
9 The appellant submits that while the Tribunal (at [36]-[37]) referred to the articles furnished by Father McGee and their general content, and also referred to information submitted by the appellant's father (at [38]) and to DFAT country information (at [39]) indicating that unregistered churches were likely to be affected by the new laws, it summarily dismissed the claims reliant upon those new laws to which Father McGee's articles and the DFAT country information referred upon the basis that those laws only came into existence a month before the Tribunal's decision was made and that their impact was therefore "speculative".
10 The appellant argues that the assessment of whether or not a person faces a well-founded fear of persecution necessarily calls for consideration of what may happen in the future, which in turn requires speculation, citing Minister for Immigration and Ethnic Affairs v Wu Shan Liang (1996) 185 CLR 259 at 277-8 and Minister for Immigration and Ethnic Affairs v Guo (1997) 191 CLR 559 at 574-5. The appellant points to:
(1) information before the Tribunal that suggested a trend, backed by the new laws, which was intended to affect religious freedom; and
(2) evidence as to the possible effect of those changes contained in the articles furnished by Father McGee and in DFAT country information which made specific reference to active and public proselytising by persons associated with unregistered churches being likely to be exposed to harassment and worse.
11 In those circumstances, the appellant contends that the Tribunal had a duty to consider Father McGee's articles and the DFAT country information by way of an active intellectual process, in its assessment of what may happen in the future, and that this did not permit the Tribunal to find that the impact of the new laws in Fujian Province was merely "speculative". The oral submissions developing this argument are considered in more detail below.
12 The key issue advanced before the Tribunal, in the Court below, and on appeal, concerned an asserted fear of restrictions on religious practice. In that context, the consideration by the Tribunal of earlier country information from the Department of Foreign Affairs and Trade (DFAT) assumes central importance. Because the appellant's case turns on the adequacy of the consideration of his claims and the material advanced in support of them, it is necessary first to have regard to what was before the Tribunal and then to consider how that material was addressed.
13 At the Tribunal hearing on 9 January 2018, a Roman Catholic priest, Father McGee, gave evidence and produced five newspaper articles from the Sunday Examiner, a Hong Kong newspaper, published during October 2017. The appellant's written appeal submissions describe the theme of the articles as being that the Chinese government was tightening controls on religious observance, instruction and institutions, that it was likely to continue to do so, and that it had passed laws to assist in that process. It is convenient to adopt the summary of four of those articles furnished in the appellant's written submissions (omitting appeal book references), noting that the Court was taken to the content of each article in some detail at the appeal hearing:
There has been a push, instigated by government, for the "Sinicisation" of religion in China, which meant, "… making Christianity a specifically Chinese reality in every aspect, including doctrine, cultural custom, morality and culture", and that currently evangelism amongst other things was being used to try to reshape Chinese culture and ideology.
Church summer camps are being banned in several parts of China, teachers are being told to ask students' parents whether they sent their child to summer camps. In addition, Churches have been forced to stop faith formation classes, people are being forced to practice their religion in secret. The price of resistance can be very high. That price includes preventing children from studying at university or getting good jobs.
A China researcher for Amnesty International has commented that President Xi has emphasised religion as a conduit for Communist Party governance, the government's right to tightly regulate religion and the "Sinicisation" of religion. He commented that the impulse to tighten control indicates a grim outlook for religious freedom in China for years to come.
New regulations tighten government control of religion including tighter control on unauthorised religious venues and heavy fines for unauthorised activities. Concerns were expressed that religious observance and religious education may be significantly inhibited or prevented.
14 The appellant's father also gave evidence at the Tribunal hearing after Father McGee had given evidence. The appellant's father had also participated in an earlier Departmental interview. The burden of that evidence was that official churches were not genuine Catholic churches because they were not answerable to the Pope, that the historic lack of difference between official and unregistered churches in Fujian Province adverted to by the Tribunal would be adversely affected by new laws to commence in February 2018, and that he would "certainly explain to the people there what is a real church and what church they should attend". As set out in the extracts from the Tribunal reasons above, the Tribunal raised with the appellant's father the effect of country information, key aspects of which were later summarised and in part reproduced in those reasons.
15 Experienced and able counsel for the appellant quite properly accepted that his primary argument on the Tribunal's "speculation" finding, which was the same argument that failed before the primary judge, had to succeed for these and any of the other grounds of appeal to prevail. That primary argument attacks the Tribunal's reasons at [40] and [44]. The argument may be summarised as follows:
(1) While the Tribunal referred to the general content of the articles furnished by Father McGee, to information submitted by the appellant's father, and to country information concerning the new laws which would affect unregistered Christian churches, to dismiss summarily the effect of those laws as being "speculative" did not fulfil the obligation to address the question of whether the appellant faced a well-founded fear of persecution, commonly known as the "real chance" test following Chan v Minister for Immigration and Ethnic Affairs (1989) 169 CLR 379 at 389, 398, 407 and 429.
(2) That is because the assessment of that asserted fear inherently involves looking into the future and engaging in speculation: Wu Shan Liang at 277-8.
(3) That assessment process required the Tribunal to examine the available evidence: Guo at 574-5.
(4) The information before the Tribunal suggested a trend towards adversely affecting religious freedom in China, backed by:
(a) a change of legislation, in particular as referred to in the articles furnished by Father McGee; and
(b) the DFAT report (quoted in the Tribunal's reasons at [33] reproduced above), which specifically stated that active and public proselytising by people associated with unregistered churches would "likely" be exposed to harassment and worse.
(5) The evidence of the appellant's father was that he saw it as his religious duty to proselytise.
(6) The Tribunal was required to apply an active intellectual process to the information before it in its assessment of what may happen in the future: Carrascalao v Minister for Immigration and Border Protection [2017] FCAFC 107; 252 FCR 352 at [36]-[46]. Unless that obligation was met, it was not open to the Tribunal to find that the impact of new laws was merely "speculative".
(7) In those circumstances, the primary judge erred in the findings made at [38]-[39] that the claims made had been addressed.
(8) Rather, the necessary active intellectual process required the Tribunal to consider the predictions in the articles furnished by Father McGee, having particular regard to the intent or motivation behind the change in the laws and their likely effect, and "decide whether, on the basis of that information, the [appellant], upon return to China, would face a well-founded fear of persecution for reason of religion".
(9) The Tribunal fell short of what was required by reasoning, in effect, that there had been a large amount of tolerance in the past, and it was not known how the new laws were going to affect the situation, because that ignored the information about the intent and motivation behind those new laws.
16 Argued and reasoned as set out above, the appellant raises a proper case for consideration as to whether the Tribunal failed to fulfil its jurisdictional task. On any view, [40] of the Tribunal's reasons, taken in isolation, is a sparse treatment of such an important issue. However, a closer consideration of the Tribunal's reasons, and the applicable authority, is required.
17 Following Wu Shan Liang at 272, citing Collector of Customs v Pozzolanic Enterprises Pty Ltd (1993) 43 FCR 280 at 287; and also WAEE v Minister for Immigration and Multicultural and Indigenous Affairs [2003] FCAFC 184; 236 FCR 593 at [46], it must be kept steadily in mind that:
(1) the Tribunal is an administrative body, not a court, required to deal expeditiously with a high volume of merits review applications of this kind; and
(2) although Tribunal decisions made may literally be life and death in their impact, the reasons given must be read fairly, and not in search of error.
18 As the High Court pointed out in Wu Shan Liang at 277, the use of the word "speculative" need not necessarily amount to a denial of the function of assessing the future chances of persecution. It might equally be used to refer to the probative force of the material that was being considered. What matters is that an issue clearly raised has been dealt with, either expressly, or as a necessary part of the overall decision-making process: WAEE at [47]. The live question on this appeal is therefore the sense in which the Tribunal was using the word "speculative".
19 The Tribunal had dealt with a body of country information, both in relation to the religious persecution claim, and in relation to the claim relating to birth control laws in China that has not been pressed further by way of judicial review, as to the generally lenient approach of the authorities in Fujian Province. That material, quoted at some length by the Tribunal in the passages reproduced above, indicated that:
(1) generally speaking, individuals in Fujian can practice religion within state-sanctioned boundaries, as long as this does not challenge the interests or authority of the Chinese Communist Party, and that while religious practice is obstructed at an organisational level, there is indifference to it at an individual level;
(2) there was a large number of worshippers at unregistered churches which are tolerated as they operate discreetly, allowing for congregations of up to 50 to meet weekly in private homes without repression;
(3) while active and public proselytising or open criticism of the Chinese Communist Party could expose an individual to harassment and more, in practice this was more likely to affect leaders;
(4) there was nothing to suggest that the appellant's parents were in that role, such that it was unlikely that he or his parents would come to the adverse attention of the Chinese authorities, noting his father's intention to explain to people that they should attend a real church.
20 The Tribunal considered each of the articles furnished by Father McGee, and clearly enough was aware of what they contained. There was no obligation to address the content of them in any particular way.
21 Importantly, the DFAT country information about the new laws indicated that they would operate by devolving substantial powers and responsibility to local authorities to prevent illegal religious behaviour and undue foreign influence, which was likely to affect unregistered Christian churches, but this necessarily invited consideration of the approach of the authorities in Fujian Province. When [39], [40] and [44] of the Tribunal's reasons are considered in the context of the [30] to [38], the criticisms advanced by the appellant cannot be sustained.
22 In context, the Tribunal was not using the word "speculative" to refer to the real chance test, but rather was referring to the probative force of the material in support of the suggestion that the new laws would cause the local authorities in Fujian to behave in a markedly different way to way that they had in the past. The Tribunal was entitled to regard as it being no more than speculative that these new laws, devolved to the province officials, would produce a different approach. The Tribunal clearly had regard to the articles furnished by Father McGee, and the DFAT information, as to how the new laws would be implemented.
23 It follows that the error asserted on the part of the primary judge cannot be sustained. Her Honour did not err in concluding that the Tribunal had identified and assessed the evidence before it, including the articles from Father McGee and the DFAT country information about the new laws. The Tribunal was entitled to conclude that this evidence as to the impact of the new laws was speculative and to prefer to rely upon prior DFAT country information indicating that Fujian Province had traditionally been tolerant of and lenient towards unregulated Catholic churches.
24 It follows that appeal grounds 4 and 5 must fail.