The further hearing
35 The further hearing began on 23 October 2001 when Mr Vains' report of 8 June 2001, the fourth report, was tendered and admitted. In this report were two tables or schedules. The first table at page 7 listed the financial years from 1993 to 2000 and the occupancy rate achieved in the hotel for each of those years. The next column was headed "Revised occupancy (Report 1, 2 & 3) all physical impacts" to reflect the expected occupancy rate if not affected by the alleged failures to maintain and service the air-conditioning plant, to service the elevators adequately and ensure they were kept working and to maintain the exterior of the building and the common parts of the building. The last column in this table headed "Revised occupancy (this Report) Air-Conditioning impact only" was said to be an attempt to provide a comparative occupancy rate, assuming the inadequacies of the elevators and the maintenance of the exterior of the building, on the basis that the air-conditioning plant had been maintained and serviced in accordance with the requirements of cl 7.1(a). The second table at page 13 of the fourth report for the same years listed "Actual Net Result", "Estimated Re: Forecast Net Result" and "Variants".
36 In the second judgment of 23 January 2002 his Honour said:
"23 In the 'Plaintiff's submissions on Damages' dated 5 November 2001, paragraph 10, the plaintiff proceeded on the basis that the Court had accepted not only the approach and methodology in the HAP reports, but also the numerical assessments of loss of revenue contained in the first two reports. The damages attributable by those reports to the three elements of air-conditioning, elevators and building presentation was $2,941,000 in total. In the plaintiff's submission, therefore, the Court's present task is to identify the portion of that figure attributable to air-conditioning alone.
24 This submission misreads my judgment of 7 May 2001. At paragraph 31 of my judgment, I recorded the numerical figures reached in the first and second reports. However, I did not adopt those figures, but merely said that the approach of assessing variance and therefore damages was consistent with the case law. I decided to accept the approach that had been used in the HAP reports, but the numerical conclusions are clearly not part of the approach or methodology of the authors of the report. At paragraph 142-143, quoted above, I made it plain that the task of assessing damages was still to be undertaken. It is, of course, open to me to accept the HAP figures now, having reviewed all the evidence on assessment of damages."
37 Austin J concluded that the opinions in the HAP reports stood and were available to be accepted by the Court notwithstanding their imperfect compliance with the Expert's Code of Conduct. To this conclusion there was an important exception. His Honour said:
47 …. The percentage occupancy table [the first table at page 7] purports to give, with mathematical precision, an expert opinion on the impact of the air-conditioning problems on occupancy rates in the hotel. Nothing in the report explains the process of reasoning by which the precise figures in the table were derived, nor the data relied upon (except for the research which I have held to be inadmissible, and which in any event would not of itself justify precise numerical conclusions). There are other difficulties with the last column of the percentage occupancy table, which I shall explain. I have reached the conclusion that the last column ["Revised occupancy (this Report) Air-conditioning impact only"] is unreliable."
38 Mr Vains was extensively cross-examined at this second hearing. Austin J said this about Mr Vains' evidence:
"48 Next, the defendant criticised Mr Vains for assuming his conclusions on material aspects as a starting point of his analysis. I have decided that I cannot accept the oral evidence of Mr Vains that the new HAP report was prepared on the assumption that the elevator problems had no impact on the hotel's financial results, in view of the fact that the relevant text of the report is inconsistent with the oral evidence. For example, on page 2 of the report the authors referred to the 'need to disregard the impact associated with' the elevators and the appearance of the building. This acknowledges that those other problems had some impact. Similarly, the percentage occupancy table on page 7 purports to give percentage occupancies removing the impact of the air-conditioning and, separately, percentage occupancies removing the impact of all three physical elements, and for each year the percentages for the former are lower than the percentages for the latter. This implies that the authors regarded the elevator and building appearance problems as having an impact together, and since Mr Vains regarded the elevator problems as more serious than the building appearance problems, which he described as not a significant component, it is appropriate to infer that the major variance between the two columns is attributable to the impact of the elevator problems.
49 Mr Vains gave his oral evidence, that the new HAP report assumed that the elevator problems had no impact, on no fewer than four occasions (at Transcript pages 61, 62, 64 and 67). On the last occasion he agreed with the proposition that the assumption, that the elevator problems were not an important component in bringing about financial loss, was contrary to his opinion. For the Court to prefer the witness's earlier written evidence to his latter oral evidence, which repeatedly asserted a proposition inconsistent with the written evidence, is a big step to take. I do so because, notwithstanding my intervention during the cross-examination, I remain convinced that on this point, the witness had become completely muddled and was unable to extricate himself from his confusion. The source of his confusion was probably that the new HAP report was designed to disregard the impact of the elevator problems so as to isolate and identify the impact of the air-conditioning problems. That is, of course, quite a different matter from assuming that the elevators problems had no impact at all.
50 Doing my best to assess the evidence of Mr Vains as a whole, I have decided that I should not treat any of the HAP reports as lacking credibility merely because Mr Vains gave muddled and incorrect evidence about the assumptions upon which the new report was prepared. The confusion about assumptions was confined to the oral evidence and is not detectable in the new HAP report itself.
51 Next, the defendant criticised the evidence of Mr Vains on the ground that his attempts to explain large fluctuations in annual damage assessments by reference to undistributed operating costs was not supportable. This is an issue of central importance. I believe there are really two elements to this complaint. The first is the witness's failure to explain the fluctuating relationship between the air-conditioning problems and the elevator and building presentation problems in the percentage occupancy table [the first table at page 7], and the second is his alleged failure to explain the fluctuations in the figures set out in the table of annual variances between actual and projected net results on page 13 [the second table] of the new HAP report.
52 As to the first of these matters, in my opinion the cross-examination of Mr Vains demonstrated that the last column in the percentage occupancy table (that is, the column headed 'Revised occupancy (this Report) Air-Conditioning impact only') is unreliable and should not be accepted. Mr Vains agreed in cross-examination (Transcript page 71ff) that nothing had happened during the period 1993 to 2000 to alter the relative influence of the three elements on occupancy rates. However, the percentage occupancy table purports to show very substantial fluctuations in the relative importance of air-conditioning on the one hand, and elevators and building presentation on the other. In the year 1994, air-conditioning alone accounts for a 25% drop in occupancy, while the elevators and building presentation account for only an additional 4%, a ratio of 6.25:1. At the other extreme, in the year 1996 no drop in occupancy is attributed to air-conditioning, while a 1% drop is attributed to the elevators and building presentation.
53 When asked to explain this fluctuation, Mr Vains said (Transcript p69) that in years when there were stronger market conditions, if there was a problem it had less of an impact on occupancy rates due to 'turnaway demand' from superior hotels (that is, demand produced by customers who had been unable to obtain accommodation in better hotels). Of course, that is not an explanation for changes in the relative influence of the three elements from year to year, as Mr Vains later conceded (Transcript p71). The overall effect of his evidence was to acknowledge that the relative influence of the three elements should have remained stable, and that there was no explanation or justification for the figures in the last column of the percentage occupancy table, because they presented a fluctuating inter-relationship amongst the three elements.
54 As to the second aspect, there are marked fluctuations from year to year in the variances between actual net results and the estimated re-forecast net results in the new HAP report. A table on page 13 of the report shows that the variances for the years 1993 to 2000 were, respectively, $68,000, $748,000, $283,000, $112,000, $330,000, $114,000, $253,000 and $52,000. Mr Vains gave evidence that the constant problems with air- conditioning (and also with the elevators and building presentation) would produce a progressive manifestation of damage, as more and more potential hotel guests hear about the problems by word of mouth (Transcript p57-8).
55 When asked to explain the extreme fluctuations in the variances between actual and estimated net results (which were depicted graphically in a histogram which became part of Exhibit D12), Mr Vains at first referred to fluctuations in undistributed operating expenses of the hotel. He was then taken to some figures (now part of Exhibit D12) which showed that undistributed operating expenses in the 1994 year (when the variance was $728,000) were $600,000, while in 1996 (when the variance was $112,000) the undistributed operating expenses were $605,000. He conceded (Transcript p87) that the undistributed operating expenses did not explain the fluctuations in the variances."
39 At the close of his evidence in chief on 24 October 2001, Mr Vains gave this evidence:
"Q. In the course of preparing the report of 8 June 2001 did you turn your mind to the comparative significance in the aspect of the trading of the hotel of firstly the satisfactory operation of air-conditioning, plant and equipment. Secondly, satisfactory elevator functioning. And thirdly satisfactory state of repair of the hotel building? A. We did.
Q. Having turned your mind to the subject matters did you form the opinion, in relation to the comparative significance, of those three items, in the context of the trading operation of this hotel? A. Yes, we did, we asked --
Q. If you can confine yourself to the opinion there? A. Yes.
Q. Did you personally form the opinion? A. Yes, I did.
Q. What was the opinion you formed? A. That the air-conditioning would have the greatest impact on the operation of the hotel and that conclusion was drawn in my experience in hotel operations where similar problems had occurred."
40 In the cross-examination that followed is to be found this passage:
"Q. When you produced your bottom line conclusion in P20 [the fourth report] did you regard having working lifts as essential? A. Yes, we did.
Q. Did you regard it in particular as essential to ensure guest comfort and satisfaction levels? A. Yes, we did.
Q. Did you regard a history which included people being stuck in lifts as being very serious? A. Well, we were requested to exclude the impact of that so we assume that it had no impact.
Q. It had what? A. It had no impact.
Q. When you were asked, do you mean by the lawyers for the plaintiff? A. Yes.
Q. You were asked to exclude the lift problem? A. Just to consider based upon his Honour's judgment the effect of the air-conditioning on the hotel.
Q. You assumed the lift problem had no impact, that is what you just said? A. Yes.
Q. You assumed your conclusion? A. Yes.
Q. That is ridiculous and a waste of time isn't it? A. Sorry?
Q. The question was how much was it attributable to the air-conditioning compared to the other two of the three elements? A. Yes.
Q. You told his Honour of the method adopted of the other two, the lift had no impact? A. That is what I said.
Q. I suggest to you that is not the application of expert or investigation of fact but an absurd waste of time because you have assumed your conclusion. What do you say to that? A. I haven't got anything to say."
41 A little later in the absence of the witness, Austin J said:
"The problem I have, it seems to me in cross-examination the witness has become horribly muddled and inconsistent with his own report. I don't know what to make of that."
42 In later cross-examination Mr Vains gave this evidence:
"Q. I will start again. Your first four reports you put a figure 2.9 million, your figure on the financial loss about you said by the three physical elements, correct? A. That is correct.
Q. One of them is presentational façade, is that correct? A. Yes.
Q. You found it impossible to quantify between the three, is that correct? A. Yes.
Q. Obviously you found it possible to quantify the three together, is that correct? A. No, I understand what you are saying.
Q. You came up with a figure of 2.9 million, didn't you? A. That is correct.
Q. Well, I may be wrong. You didn't think it was possible to come up with that figure, financial loss brought about by the three physical elements? A. That is correct.
Q. But as between each of the three against themselves, and each other you have expressed the opinion that when you did your first four reports you regarded that as impossible, is that right? A. Yes.
Q. However, when I invited you no doubt to use not numbers but words an impression today you say the presentation façade aspect was not a significant component in causing financial loss, is that right? A. That is right. (sic)
Q. Whereas today you have ventured the word 'important' to describe what you believe to be the impact on financial loss of the lift problems, is that right? A. It is important, it is a more important factor than the facade.
Q. You said 'important' today, didn't you? A. I can't recall what I used, but something like that.
Q. Now you want to downgrade that so it is more important than something that is not significant, is that right? A. No, you are trying to confuse me."
43 Later when cross-examined about the first table at page 7 in the fourth report to which I have referred and in particular the change in different periods of the proportionate impact shown of the inadequately serviced elevators and maintained exterior on the one hand and the inadequately maintained air-conditioning on the other, one to six in one period and one to three and a half in another, Mr Vains' evidence continued as follows:
"Q. But again may his Honour take it you don't say there was anything that happened that altered the relativity amongst themselves in the year in question, you don't say that, no? (sic) A. No.
Q. For all of the years you don't claim there was anything that happened in a particular year altering the relativities among the three? A. That is correct."
44 Mr Vains agreed that there was nothing to explain this variation which continued from period to period. Later Mr Vains referred to the undistributed operating expenses mentioned in a PricewaterhouseCoopers' document which became Exhibit D12. Going to the second table at page 13 of the fourth report which dealt with "Variance" between actual net result and estimated re-forecast net result the following cross-examination occurred:
"Q. I pointed, among other things, the pattern shown by the zigzag between years 4, 5, 6, 7 and 8 high, low, high, low, low, high to low again to 9. Having asked you about whether that was not erratic and volatile trading conditions and you agreeing, having suggested that difference from what you would have expected according to your opinion about these influences, air-conditioning influences, you then said you cannot look at this in isolation, you ought to look at costs, didn't you? A. Yes.
Q. Finally, we got these pages in appendix E where you have identified them for us total undistributed operating expenses, that's correct? A. Yes, that's correct.
Q. You explained, paraphrasing as being head office expenses not specifically allocated to this hotel, is this right? You are nodding. You have to say something? A. Yes, they are allocated to the hotel.
Q. They are allocated to the hotel? A. Yes.
Q. What is the relationship you are suggesting between the level of those costs and the up and down of the claimed financial loss from air-conditioning shown on the page 13 graph? What is the relationship? A. The graph is comparing --
Q. I know what the graph does. I am asking about the relationship between what is shown on the graph and the figures you have drawn to attention for undistributed operating expenses? A. Yes.
Q. When the revenues are high, the losses incurred in air-conditioning are low or high? A. Could you repeat that please?
Q. No. Could you just explain in your own words the effect you say these different annual costs for undistributed operating expenses have on the different results you produce year by year for the loss caused by air-conditioning. What is the effect, what is the relation? A. I guess you could determine that the difference between the actual achieved revenue for the hotel and what we projected was different from year to year.
Q. That does not explain the inconsistency I have asked you about, does it? A. No.
Q. What you have been doing this afternoon is clutching at a straw, isn't it? You cannot explain the difference between the pattern, the smooth pattern you expect and the erratic pattern you have achieved, could you? A. I acknowledge from year to year the hotel had different income levels.
Q. Please try and answer my question. You cannot explain the difference between the smoothness you would expect in a progressively manifested damages and the erratic pattern shown on page 13. You can't explain it, can you? A. Except for some of the unusual management expenses.
Q. The line of costs you have taken us to, I will tell you figures if you like, that line of costs does explain the pattern, does it? A. No, this in its entirety.
Q. Not at all. What do you say to that, not at all? A. What do I --
Q. What do you say to that? A. Well, it does. They do vary from year to year. So it has some impact.
Q. If you looked at the highest claimed loss which is year 3, that is the year corresponding to 600, all those expenses, is that right? A. That's right.
Q. Year 5 corresponds to 605, do you see that? A. Correct.
Q. They are very different on the graph, aren't they? A. Yes.
Q. They are very similar on the expenses, correct? A. Yes.
Q. Then we take 485, which is the expenses for year 4, do you see that? A. Yes.
Q. But 706 which is the expenses for year 7, do you see that? A. Where's the last figure.
Q. 706 for year 7? A. Yes.
Q. You have got 485 in a year of higher claimed loss than 706. Do you see that? A. I do.
Q. But you start thinking, well, maybe the pattern is a relatively lower figure for the higher loss years and vice versa. Then you have got to look at what year 2 does compared to year 6 because the lowest of those expenses year 2, 316 and the highest of those expenses is year 6, 829 isn't that correct? A. That's correct.
Q. 829 is larger than the expenses in every year with a lower claimed loss debit, did you see that? A. Yes, I do.
Q. You can scrap any relation which I think it is an inverse relation, that is, one apply one below, that does not work. What I suggest to you there is no relation and you have none in mind. What do you say to that? A. Yes.
Q. You agree, don't you? A. Yes.
Q. And I suggest you have just been clutching at straws looking for an explanation for something you cannot otherwise explain. What do you say to that? A. Without analysing it in detail, yes. I cannot give you an explanation.
Q. You agree with me? A. I cannot give you an answer.
Q. You agree with me, don't you, you are clutching at straws? A. I am not clutching at straws. I cannot give you an answer.
Q. What you reached for does not support any argument. Do you agree? A. Yes."
45 This cross-examination took place on 24 October 2001. It was followed by Austin J's remark in the absence of the witness that he had the impression that the witness held cross-examining counsel "somewhat in awe". After some discussion and cross-examining counsel's remark that the witness had given an earlier contrary answer and had been given another chance, his Honour said:
"That is exactly what I am saying. That's why he is flummoxed. He would have if he had more time. They are, in other words, management for this hotel essentially. It is true there is no direct correlation between undistributed operating expenses and expenses for the various years on outcomes on page 13 [the second table in the fourth report]."
46 In the result the witness accepted an invitation from counsel to think about the matter overnight and put something in writing. On 25 October Mr Vains returned with a document which became Exhibit D11. About this Austin J said as follows in the second judgment:
"56 As I have said, following my intervention Mr Vains agreed to give the problem further consideration overnight, and on the following day he produced a single page which is now Exhibit D11. In that document he asserted that the fluctuations in the variances [the second table at page 13] were due to fluctuations in the hotel's actual results rather than any significant fluctuations in HAP's projections. That is true.
57 The HAP projections of net results depend on their projections of revenue, because the project expenses are based closely on the hotel's actual expenses (affected by projected occupancy rates, to the extent that expenses are seen to be related to occupancy). The projected revenue, in turn, depends principally upon HAP's projections of occupancy penetration rates and average daily rates for rooms. The average daily rates in the new HAP report are closely similar to the rates used in the first and second HAP reports, except that in the first and second reports, adjustments were made to reflect movements in the consumer price index, while in the new HAP report the impact of consumer price index movements was excluded and instead, interest was calculated. The new component in the most recent report is the projected occupancy table, set out above, from which it appears that the projected occupancy removing the impact of air-conditioning, and also the projected occupancy removing the impact of all three elements, trend upwards and then taper off, without significant fluctuations.
58 Exhibit D11 then offers an explanation for fluctuations in the hotel's actual net results, saying that they are 'predominantly due to the expected varying behavioural patterns of different market segments and their differing tolerance levels of the air-conditioning problems'. The document claims that a corporate guest is less willing to accept poor conditions than a discount leisure traveller, and prevailing market conditions are relevant because, if the market reaches capacity, guests are forced to be more tolerant of problems as there are fewer alternative accommodation options available. In addition, the document claims that price increases in the hotel market increased toleration levels for the air-conditioning problems 'where the guest's price barrier did not allow them to pay the higher room rates in the marketplace'.
59 In cross-examination Mr Vains admitted that the explanation in Exhibit D11 was not based on any 'hard facts' (Transcript p99) and that it was a 'generalised and incomplete impression' from his understanding of other hotels at other times and other places (Transcript p100). He insisted, however, that the document presented an expert opinion based on his experience and understanding of the hotel market. He agreed that he had made an assumption in the document that there were no differences between the present hotel and other hotels of which he was aware, but that it was a 'truism' of his profession that there are particular aspects of particular hotels which will influence trading performance, and that this invalidated his expert opinion (Transcript p101).
60 In my opinion the cross-examination of Mr Vains showed that the explanation put forward in Exhibit D11 is not based on any objective data or observable facts, and is essentially an extrapolation to the circumstances of the plaintiff's hotel of impressions gained by Mr Vains with respect to other hotels. The document is not a fully reasoned expression of opinion and does not explain its own limitations. Nevertheless, my view is that the cross-examination does not destroy the evidence given in terms of Exhibit D11 completely. I am left with an explanation, by a person who has expertise in the hotel industry, not contradicted by other evidence, and not so implausible or weakly reasoned that I would be justified substituting my opinion for the expert's. Therefore in my opinion that evidence stands.
61 This conclusion is important because the criticism of the new HAP report for finding extreme fluctuations in the annual losses attributable to the air-conditioning problems is matched by a criticism of the first and second HAP reports, which produce comparable fluctuations in the losses attributable to all three elements. If the criticism were valid, it would undermine the approach and methodology of the reports, which in my judgment of 7 May 2001 I decided to adopt. In light of my conclusions about this aspect of Mr Vains' evidence, there is no need to revisit that decision."
47 Austin J went on to deal with various criticisms counsel for Bevillesta made about Mr Vains' evidence and the suggestion that his opinion about the impact of problems with the presentation of the building and its insignificance was given in order to assist Sovereign to recover damages. It was submitted that Mr Vains had misled the court and withheld material factors from his earlier reports. Austin J said:
"65 As I have said, the reports are deficient because they do not adequately distinguish between matters of assumption and matters of opinion, they do not always support opinion is [sic] by full reasoning and an account of all relevant research. However, on the evidence I have heard, I do not regard Mr Vains or his co-author as having consciously set out to mislead the Court or to suppress relevant information. In his confused state, he agreed to some propositions put to him by counsel (such as the proposition that he misled the Court or tried to do so, at Transcript p77) that he would not have accepted in normal circumstances, and I regard his evidence on such matters as unreliable, although I am prepared to accept his evidence on matters going more directly to his expertise. I therefore regard these criticisms of his evidence as without substance.
66 The defendant submitted that I should not make any allowances for the inability of Mr Vains to handle the witness box environment, because he was given every opportunity to answer material questions, including the opportunity to reflect on a key issue overnight. I made it plain during my interventions that my concern about the witness not handling cross-examination well in no way reflected on the probity and skill of counsel - indeed, to the contrary, the cross-examination was a model of the cross-examiner's art. In the end, however, I must make an assessment on the basis of what I saw and heard, and my assessment is as I have stated it to be. I do not dismiss his evidence as simply the evidence of the advocate rather than expert, always evidence that is inherently unreliable, and in my view some significant portions of his evidence remains, as I shall indicate."
48 This brought Austin J to consider what remained of Sovereign's case for damages. Austin J said:
"67 First, in my judgment of 7 May 2001, I accepted, as expert opinion evidence, a passage from the third HAP report, which I quoted in paragraph 117 of the [first] judgment. That passage asserted that failure to achieve the expected guest comfort levels and satisfaction because of air-conditioning problems translated into lost business opportunities of various kinds, because the negative sentiment created in such situations is difficult to reverse. The passage expressed the opinion of the authors of the report that air-conditioning is 'one of the most important factors' in ensuring that guest comfort levels are satisfied. I found (at paragraph 123) that the passage reflected ordinary common sense and experience.
68 In my opinion, the oral evidence of Vains should not lead me to reject the evidence in the passage [from the third report] quoted at paragraph 117 of my earlier judgment. It was, as I have said, evidence that reflected ordinary common sense and experience. As the authors said, 'the design and construction of the hotel is to prevent the opening of the windows by occupants of the rooms, and if they are, the outside noise generated from passing traffic would be unbearable for hotel guests (this would be the case with the subject hotel, as it is located adjacent to the Pacific Highway)'. It stands to reason that stuffy, insufficiently cooled bedrooms would be the subject of more frequent complaints than problems with slow and inefficient elevators (unlikely to affect all guests on a given day) and building presentation.
69 The opinion of a person with expertise and experience in the hotel industry, about the way hotel guests react to air-conditioning problems and the likely impact of their reactions on revenue, has some weight even if the expert appears to be muddle-headed and gives contradictory evidence on other matters. The expertise and experience of Mr Vains (said in the first HAP report to have in excess of eight years operational and management experience with major international hotel chains within Australia), as opposed to his competence, was not challenged by the defendant.
70 Secondly, in his oral evidence Mr Vains said, in the passage quoted above, that in comparison with problems about elevators and presentation of the building, problems about air-conditioning 'would have the greatest impact on the operation of the hotel'. In cross-examination he said that presentation of the façade of the building was 'not a significant component' in bringing about financial loss (Transcript p65.50), and that 'the air-conditioning was the most significant component' (Transcript p67.45), although the problem about elevators 'was an important component' in bringing about financial loss (Transcript p67.35). It seems to me that this evidence is in the same category as the passage quoted from the third HAP report. In my opinion, it accords with ordinary commonsense and experience, and is evidence based upon the expert experience and knowledge of Mr Vains with respect to the hotel industry. It was not contradicted by his other evidence, however much his other evidence diminished the evidentiary value of the new HAP report.
…
72 I accept the assertions in the third and the new HAP report on these matters. In my opinion the cross-examination of Mr Vains reinforced the proposition that it is not possible to quantify the respective influences of the three elements with mathematical precision, but it did not countermand the proposition that an expert in the hotel industry is qualified to express a general opinion on that subject.
73 Fourthly, other evidence given at the initial hearing provides some support for the proposition that the air-conditioning problems were, of the three elements, the most significant component in bringing about financial loss. There is a summary of such evidence in paragraph 55 of my judgment of 7 May 2001, and I accepted the evidence so summarised in paragraph 56. That evidence demonstrates that there were frequent complaints by guests about the air-conditioning of the hotel. It was admitted to establish the fact that the complaints were made, rather than the truth of the matters complained of, but evidence showing that there were in fact complaints, on a reasonably widespread scale, is significant having regard to my findings based upon other evidence, to the effect that there were persistent air-conditioning problems caused by the intervention of the defendant. Moreover, the individuals mentioned in paragraph 55, other than Ms Steiner but including Mr Ramian, gave evidence based upon personal experience to the effect that the air-conditioning comfort levels were sometimes unsatisfactory. One of them, Mr Robert Hancock, who was licensee of the motel between January 1994 and August 1998, said in his affidavit evidence that in his experience in hotel management, air-conditioning comfort levels are a deciding factor in whether guests will stay on and return.
74 Finally, while Mr Vains' evidence in cross-examination has destroyed the credibility of the quantifications of the new HAP report, my opinion is that the approach and methodology of the first and second reports have survived. I decided to accept the approach and methodology of those reports in my judgment of 7 May 2001, and nothing has happened during the hearing of assessment of damages that has led me to resile from that decision. I shall elaborate on the significance of this point under the next heading."
49 After referring to several authorities dealing with how damages should be assessed and in particular to the principle that the fact that the assessment of damages is difficult and requires the Court to make estimations is no bar to recovery and that the Court must do its best to make an assessment upon the evidence before it; see Pennant Hills Restaurants Pty Ltd v Barrell Insurances Pty Ltd (1981) 145 CLR 625 at 636 and Commonwealth v Amman Aviation Pty Ltd (1991) 174 CLR 64 at 138, his Honour proceeded to assess damages as follows:
"81 Here the course of the trial, including my decisions on the admissibility of evidence and the course of Mr Vains' cross-examination, have left me with only a little acceptable evidence from the plaintiff, going to the assessment of damages. The evidentiary thinness of the plaintiff's case is not simply a product of the difficulty of making an assessment. In my opinion a rigorous and clearly thought out application of the approach and methodology in the first two HAP reports could have produced robust conclusions that would have survived challenge. It is the inadequacy of the plaintiff's evidence, rather than the sheer difficulty of the task to be performed, that has left the Court with very slim evidence upon which to base its decision.
82 Nevertheless, in my opinion the evidence on the plaintiff's part that has survived (summarised above) gives the Court a sufficient basis for making an assessment of substantial and not merely nominal damages in this case. An award of damages based on the plaintiff's surviving evidence would not be 'pure speculation' (see Tate & Lyle Food & Distribution Ltd v Greater London Council [1982] 1 WLR 149, 152), and I believe the Court is able to make a proper and reasonable assessment which, while based on estimation, will not fairly be open to the attack that the Court is 'simply plucking a figure from the air' (see Ashcroft v Curtin [1971] 1 WLR 1731).
83 The defendant submitted that this is a proper case for an award of nominal damages, because the plaintiff's difficulty in proving the extent of its loss was derived from the manner in which the plaintiff sought to prove its case. Apart from the inadequacies of the new HAP report and the evidence of Mr Vains, the defendant referred to the plaintiff's decision not to call evidence from its customers who had experienced the air-conditioning problems of the hotel.
84 There was, as I have said, some evidence, which I summarised in paragraph 55 of my judgment of 7 May 2001. The defendant submitted that the evidence before the Court, which had led me to conclude that some loss must have been caused by the breach of the lease, was of relatively little assistance in determining the amount [of] that loss. It is, however, of assistance to the degree that I have indicated. I very much doubt that further evidence from customers, complaining about the air-conditioning problems, would have done anything more than confirm my conclusions.
85 I do not believe that it would be justifiable to infer, in the absence of that further evidence, that there were in fact no other identifiable complaints about the air-conditioning. Even Mr Ramian gave evidence (first Transcript p225) that from his personal experience, on the occasion of complaints the temperature level was consistent with the complaint.
86 My conclusion is that, although the plaintiff may have made the Court's task considerably easier if the expert evidence had been more rigorous and helpful, there is sufficient evidence before me to make an assessment and I should proceed to do so.
87 Counsel for the defendant submitted that if that were my view, my award should reflect the notion that any harm caused by the air-conditioning problems would be expected to manifest itself gradually and in an increasing fashion. He contended that Mr Vains' acceptance of the 'progressive manifestation theory' carried the corollary that if the effect of the air-conditioning was worst in the final year and had no effect on the opening day of the hotel, a line could be drawn between these two points for the purpose of assessing damages. Since, according to the new HAP report, the loss in the final year was $57,000, loss for each previous year should be calculated by reducing that figure by $8,000 per year. That would give a maximum claim for damages of $232,000.
88 Then the defendant submitted that this amount should be heavily discounted because of the uncertainty of the exercise, and because even in the last year the assertion of damages by Mr Vains was (in the defendant's submission) significantly exaggerated. The defendant suggested a 25% discount to $174,000, or a 50% discount to $116,000.
89 I reject the method of calculation proposed by the defendant, because of the findings I have made on the evidence of Mr Vains and the HAP reports. I regard the approach and methodology adopted in the reports as a suitable means of assessing damages in this case. It has produced, in the first and second HAP reports, an assessment of loss attributable to the three elements, which fluctuates from year to year, because of fluctuations in the actual net results of the hotel. I have found that, while the explanation of the fluctuations offered by Mr Vains in Exhibit D11 is not supported by data or strong reasoning, it is the only available expert explanation and it is not so lacking in plausibility that I should substitute my opinion for the expert's.
90 Given these findings, my view is that an assessment of damages along the lines proposed by the defendant would not be supported by the evidence, and I should therefore not proceed in that fashion."
50 Austin J considered that in light of the evidence Sovereign's damages could properly be assessed by:
· employing the approach and methodology of the first and second HAP reports to reach a figure for the variance between actual net results and the estimated net results that would have been derived if there were no problems with respect to air-conditioning, elevators or building presentation;
· estimating, as best one can in light of the evidence that has survived challenge, the proportion of the total variance which is properly attributable to the air-conditioning problems, rather than the elevators and building presentation problems; and
· treating the figure so calculated as the loss suffered by the plaintiff due to the defendant's breach.
51 His Honour then said:
"92 Proceeding in this way implies a finding not articulated in my previous judgment, though supported by the evidence adduced at the original hearing, and by the evidence of Mr Vains in cross-examination at the assessment of damages hearing. The finding is that, for the purpose of assessing damages, the assumptions made in the first and second HAP reports, as the basis for making projections of estimated re-forecast net results, were reasonable and appropriate. Those assumptions were not only to the effect that the air-conditioning and elevators performed adequately and the external physical appearance of the building was properly maintained, but also that
· there were no other physical impediments affecting the trading performance of the hotel, to prevent guests and patrons from assessing the hotel and its facilities in accordance with the plaintiff's reasonable expectations; and
· the hotel was professionally managed and marketed throughout the projection period.
93 The effect of those assumptions is to take away the possibility that the variance between actual and estimated net results might have been caused wholly or partly by factors other than the three elements identified by the evidence. Mr Robertson said in his report, and counsel for the defendant submitted at the original hearing, that the approach and methodology of the HAP reports were deficient because they did not allow for the possibility that extraneous influences may have contributed to the underperformance of the plaintiff's hotel. However, such evidence as was adduced as to extraneous influences (including matters such as the size and location of the hotel and its potential market, and matters going to the 'competitive disadvantages' and relaunching of the hotel) indicates that all of the extraneous factors identified by the defendant in its evidence, cross-examination and submissions have been catered for in the approach and methodology used in the three HAP reports. The matter was canvassed in the cross-examination of Mr Vains (Transcript, pp46-50). It appears to me reasonable to infer, and I do infer, that there were no influences upon the performance of the plaintiff's hotel other than those identified, and taken into account, in the HAP reports. This enables me to say that the assumptions set out in those reports were reasonable assumptions to make, and that if the variance between estimated and actual results were to be accurately assessed, that variance could be used towards the assessment of damages, in the manner I have outlined."
52 The calculation of damages was done in the following way:
"94 Taking the approach and applying the methodology set out in the first and second HAP reports, Mr Vains and Mr Zographou concluded that the variation between the actual and estimated results for the period from 1 July 1992 to 31 May 2000 was $2.941 million. Although I did not accept this numerical assessment in my judgment of 7 May 2001, it is open to me to do so now if the evidence supports it.
95 As I have indicated, my view is that the approach and methodology in the first and second HAP reports have survived the cross-examination of Mr Vains and the submissions of the defendants. While the application of that approach and methodology has produced wide fluctuations in losses assessed from year to year, Mr Vains has offered in Exhibit D11 an explanation as an expert, which I have accepted. Therefore the fact that the assessed annual losses fluctuate widely is not itself a ground for rejecting the numerical conclusions expressed in the first and second HAP reports.
96 The defendant submitted that it would be inherently outlandish for me to assess the damages caused by the air-conditioning problems at $2.941 million, given that the total profit of the plaintiff's business for the eight years from 1993 to 2000 was in fact only $1,262 million. This means, said the defendant, that if the HAP estimate were accepted, the profit figure would have more than tripled to $4.2 million.
97 There is no direct evidence, expert or otherwise, to support the defendant's assertion that the figure advocated in the first and second HAP reports is inherently outlandish. I must make my decision based on the evidence before me. The evidence indicates that the air-conditioning and elevator problems were serious problems. I am able to infer from the evidence that hotels have substantial fixed costs, so that increasing the occupancy beyond an occupancy level that covers fixed costs will have an exponential effect on net results. I am unable to say, on the evidence, it is inherently outlandish or even implausible to conclude that the variance between actual net results, and estimated net results assuming the absence of the three elements, would be as high as $2.941 million.
98 However, in one respect the evidence indicates that the estimate of $2.941 million should be revised. In calculating average daily rates and in other respects, the authors of the first and second HAP reports made consumer price index adjustments. It seems to me more appropriate, in the assessment of damages for breach of contract, for the loss to be calculated using the value of currency in the relevant years, rather than a current value after consumer price adjustments. The effect of a decline in the value of money should be addressed by the award of interest, at the rates set out in Schedule J to the Supreme Court Rules. This point was acknowledged by the authors in the new HAP report, and the figures they calculated for the purposes of that report excluded consumer price index adjustments.
99 My conclusions are that the expert assessment of the amount of variance between actual net results and estimated net results excluding the impact of the three elements, as contained in the first and second HAP reports, has survived the defendant's challenges and should be accepted, subject to one point. That point is that the calculations of the variances should be revised to exclude adjustments based on the consumer price index, along the lines of the revisions made in the new HAP report. That will presumably produce a figure lower, but not very much lower, than $2.941 million."
53 In determining the proportion attributable to the air-conditioning problems his Honour said that he had derived no assistance from the calculations in the fourth report. He next said:
"101 The plaintiff's evidence supports the conclusion that the air-conditioning problems were the most significant of the three elements in contributing to the plaintiff's financial loss and therefore to the variance that I have assessed; that the building presentation problems were not a significant component; and that the elevator problems were an important but not the most significant component. Estimation in these circumstances is not a precise science, but the plaintiff's evidence suggests or implies that the air-conditioning problems were more significant than the combined effect of the elevator and building presentation problems, though not very much more significant, since the elevator problems were important. Given that the plaintiff might have adduced more convincing evidence but failed to do so, but on the basis of such evidence as I have accepted, I have decided that I should go as far as, but no further than, to find that the proportion of the variance attributable to the air-conditioning problems was 50.01%."
54 In conclusion his Honour summarised his findings as follows:
"(1) based upon the approach and methodology used in the first and second HAP reports, the variance between the plaintiff's actual net results in the period from 1 July 1992 to 31 May 2000, and the net results that would have been achieved during that period were it not for the air-conditioning, elevators and building presentation problems, is $2,941,000, adjusted to exclude consumer price index variations;
(2) there were no factors other than the air-conditioning, elevators and building presentation problems, affecting the underperformance of the plaintiff's hotel during that period, not properly taken into account in the approach and methodology adopted to calculate that variance;
(3) in light of the plaintiff's evidence, such as it is, the proportion of that variance properly attributable to the air-conditioning problems, and hence to the defendant's breach of clause 7.1(a) the lease, is 50.01%."
55 Consequently, Sovereign was entitled to recover damages for its loss of revenue due to Bevillesta's breach of contract measured as 50.01% of $2,941,000 adjusted to exclude consumer price index variations. Sovereign was also entitled to recover simple interest on that sum. The method of calculation was that employed in the fourth report. It was adopted and applied to figures calculated as the annual variances dividing each annual loss into twelve equal monthly amounts. The parties were given the opportunity to calculate these amounts. This produced the verdict and judgment for Sovereign in the sum of $1,939.888. Bevillesta was to pay Sovereign's costs and to pay on an indemnity basis any additional costs incurred by Sovereign in consequence of the non-compliance, by Bevillesta, with the orders of the Registrar for the filing by Bevillesta of its affidavits by 24 January 2000. This order was made on 11 February 2002.