174 For good or for ill, the respondents left location of the external lender necessary to enable the project to be implemented to Cowley. There is no suggestion that any of the other respondents made any attempt themselves to identify possible lenders. However, it was not until May 1993 that IMB entered into the consultancy agreement with Cowley under which he assumed, as his primary task, the job of securing funding for the project. Though the respondents decided in mid 1992 to change the method of funding from borrowing against the policies bought by participants in the scheme to funding the project with external loan finance, there is nothing in the evidence to suggest that a potential bona fide lender was ever identified before IMB ceased its operations at the end of September 1993.
175 An insight into the absence of effort made by the respondents to locate the external lender central to bringing the scheme to reality as from mid 1992 is provided by the actions of the respondents in authorising the submission to Logan City Council on 1 October 1992 of IMB's business plan. It identified the principal avenue of funding for the development as being Legal & General. It is apparent that this statement was made to the Council in circumstances where the respondents had never even raised with any person in a position of authority in Legal & General the question whether that company might be interested in funding development of the project. When Legal & General learned what the respondents had told the Council about their possible involvement as project funder, they immediately insisted that the respondents stop making any such suggestions since: "this scenario has never been considered or discussed in the past and is unlikely to be in the future".
176 McDougall, a director in the Corporate Finance Division of KPMG, was called by the Commission to give evidence that, in his opinion, the respondents could not have raised $20,000,000 debt funding for the project in July 1993, ie, when the Logan Lions business plan was given to the Council, for the reasons summarised in par 6.1.4 of his report. In cross-examination he made a number of concessions. He said that assignments to a lender of the insurance policies (by those owners prepared to do that, though under no enforceable obligation to do so) and security over the club operations, constructed as they were to be on land held only under a long lease from the Council, would be regarded by a financier for a variety of reasons as a "less than optimum" form of security to support a loan of $20,000,000. But he said a financier might possibly be found who would be prepared to lend against that security to a club with a strong cash flow. He did not resile, however, from his opinion that the respondents would not be likely to have been able to raise $20,000,000 in debt finance in mid 1993 for reasons that included the unreconciled major disparity between the financial projections in the Logan Lions business plan of July 1993 and the much more conservative projections in the feasibility study prepared in late 1991 - early 1992 by the independent consultant, IFC, and the absence of any independent support for Logan Lions in the form of market research suggesting that the project could reasonably achieve the forecasts set out in its optimistic business plan.
177 McDougall also noted, in contrast to IFC's conservative approach, the failure of the respondents to take into account in the July 1993 business plan the legislative restrictions on the number of poker machines that a particular club could operate. IMB relied in its Logan Lions business plan of July 1993 on these machines to generate a large part of the club's projected cash flow. The July 1993 business plan was based on the assumption that machine numbers would start in 1995 at 200 and increase from 200 in 1999 to 600 in 2000. The July 1993 business plan stated: "NB. This intended structure was developed, to conform with Queensland Gaming machine and licensing regulations". Mr John McKnoulty was called by the respondents as a solicitor expert in licensing matters. He said that the respondents had taken no advice from him as to the requirements of the Gaming Machine Act 1991 (Qld) before making the unjustified representations at seminars and in business plans about the club operating with poker machines far in excess of the maximum permissible number. The Ivers only sought his involvement after IMB had ceased trading in September 1993 to obtain a club liquor licence and a club gaming machine licence for premises at Woodridge for a club with which the Ivers apparently became associated, the Logan Lions League of Junior Sports Inc. In mid 1993, the maximum permissible number of machines was 250. This was amended in 1997 to 300. The evidence indicated that, as at late 1999, the respondents would not have had any prospect of obtaining licences for more than 300 poker machines.
178 The Commission also called a chartered accountant, Mr Rodin, who expressed the opinion that the respondents' initial scheme to finance the development through loans against policies was impracticable. He referred in this context to the difficulties in selling a sufficient number of policies to generate the level of development capital required and to the logistical problems associated with the timing of cash flows from loans of such a large number of policyholders to match the project's capital requirements and also with the logistical problems of administering loan backs from 5,000 policyholders. Mr Mills, State Manager of Legal & General throughout the period of IMB's agency, referred in his evidence to IMB's initial concept of raising development funding by way of a series of loans from 5,000 policyholders. He said that he could see no reason why Legal & General itself could not have "easily and promptly attended to" the processing of such a large volume of policy loan applications within one to two weeks. He was here assuming that 5,000 policies had all been sold and had all accumulated sufficient value to enable loans to be raised on each. There is no suggestion that Mills made any attempt to evaluate the possibility of IMB selling 5,000 policies in a particular period. That IMB may have had the capacity to set up a structure to enable it to do all it would have had to do to organise such a volume of policy loans is suggested by its capacity to marshall evidence from 1,340 witnesses.
179 Rodin also referred to the failure of the respondents to take into account lapses in policies dealt with in the report of Wood which he attached to his own. Wood, an actuary, was also called by the Commission. He said that if 5,000 policies were sold but experienced the industry average lapse rate of 11 percent per annum, then only about 1,600 of the original 5,000 policyholders would still hold policies at the end of ten years. Even if the policies produced $25,000 at the end of that period, the 1,600 policies would only provide about $39,000,000 in funds at the end of that period, as opposed to the $125,000,000 funding described in early versions of the scheme. The July 1993 version of the Logan Lions business plan described the project cost as A$120,000,000. If the lapse rate was only 5 percent per annum, the 3,000 policyholders left from the original 5,000 at the end of ten years, on the same assumption would provide only $75,000,000 of funds at the end of ten years, as opposed to the $125,000,000 suggested. The respondents may, however, have done rather better than 5 percent per annum, with their 8 percent overall average lapse rate.
180 Rodin did not think it likely that IMB would be able to obtain public listing at an early stage in the project's operations because of the absence of a track record of consistent profitability if it was planning to raise funds from the public for a $125,000,000 development in what he considered a high risk industry. The Australian Stock Exchange Listing Rules required that a company proposing to float, in effect, have accumulated profits of $500,000 over the three years preceding the float or assets of not less than $5,000,000 at the time of listing. Rodin also doubted whether the float proposed by the respondents would have attracted underwriting support so necessary to success in achieving a high placement. Mr Peter McKnoulty's evidence was that, before Logan Lions Limited could list, the policyholders would have to contribute from their policies. But when they would be called upon to contribute to the company's capital, they would not have any idea what the shares might trade at. It was impracticable for them to sit back and wait for the company to be listed before deciding whether or not to contribute from their policies, as was represented to be the position at the seminars.
181 If the case was to depend upon whether the scheme, as initially devised in early 1991, was practicable, having regard to how development finance was then intended to be raised, the respondents would face a difficult task in showing that they had reasonable grounds for making the predictive representations about development of the project that they did from early in the piece and through most of 1991. The sales performance they were able to achieve through 1991 culminating in a total of about 450 policies by November of that year must have cast increasing doubt on the reliability of the simple, unexplored assumption they made at the outset that they would sell 5,000 policies between early 1991 and about the end of 1992. The concessions made by McDougall, the evidence of Mills to the effect that the logistical problems emphasised by Rodin would not have been a problem for Legal & General and the demonstrated capacity of the respondents themselves to cope with major logistical exercises, as evidenced by their capacity to marshall the large number of witnesses they did, may have assisted the respondents to show that the initial proposal might have been practicable when it was devised in early 1991. But their poor performance through 1991 in failing to achieve policy sales at the level necessary to generate the loan moneys required to realise the project throws serious doubt on whether the respondents had any reasonable basis for thinking they would be able to fund the kind of project the subject of the respondents' representations in most of the period through 1991 to mid 1992. That question ceases, however, to be of significance from, at the latest, mid 1992 when that form of financing the scheme was abandoned.
182 Whether the respondents might have been able to raise $20,000,000 in debt finance in July 1993 (one of the issues to which McDougall's report was directed) is also largely beside the point. Their conduct between adopting that funding plan in mid 1992 and late 1993, when IMB had to shut its business down, shows they made no attempt to locate such a source of funding other than the very belated reliance they placed entirely on Cowley. There is no evidence that they attempted to identify an Australian lender. So far as the evidence reveals, Cowley confined such attempts as he made to identify a lender to seeking one off-shore about mid 1993. The undoubted difficulties that the respondents would have faced if they had actively sought debt finance for the project, described by, eg, McDougall, coupled with their inaction in seeking such finance, demonstrates the absence of any reasonable ground for making the predictive representations they did about a range of matters referred to by the Commission from mid 1992 to late 1993 concerning the development of the project. It is irrelevant, in my opinion, to that issue that, if the respondents had tried, they may have been able to overcome the difficulties inherent in the assets they had to offer a financier by way of security and obtain $20,000,000 of loan funding: they did not make any serious effort to do that.
183 There is no evidence (other than an unclear comment by Deputy Mayor Ayling in cross-examination, but not followed up) that any of the respondents gave any consideration at all to the possibility of resurrecting the idea of funding the project with loans from policyholders, who numbered only about 3,200 by September 1993, at any time after the respondents abandoned that idea in mid 1992, in favour of seeking external loan finance. There is no evidence on the feasibility in late 1993, when various of the respondents began to have serious doubts about Cowley's bona fides and reliability, of funding the project with policy loans at that stage. None of the respondents suggested in evidence the thought ever occurred to any of them. Nor, despite the long period of inaction in attempting to locate an external financier after the decision had been made to follow that course in mid 1992, is there anything in the evidence to suggest that any of the respondents took any action to put in place arrangements to raise funding by a public offer through a prospectus. So far as the evidence reveals, the only action taken after June 1992 to find funding for the project was the action, if it can be called that, by Cowley already referred to. I reject the closing submission of the respondents that they had good reason, in late 1993, to think that they might be able to fund the project by reverting to the original idea of persuading policyholders to take out loans against their policies and pay over the loan moneys to IMB, perhaps in exchange for shares in Logan Lions Limited, a course which would have required the issue of a prospectus, action never undertaken by the respondents.