Ground 1(a) -no intelligible justification
38 The Authority's finding which is challenged under Ground 1(a) appears at [19] of its decision, where the Authority concluded:
… Given its late raising, the fact he was able to legally depart from Iraq without issue and the inconsistencies I do not accept he deserted the army.
39 The Minister argues that there is no merit in this proposed ground as there is nothing illogical or unreasonable about that factual finding. The Minister points to the fact that the arrival interview in the materials before the Authority stated that the applicant claimed that, after he was threatened in Tikrit:
I went back home and I left the job. In Al Basrah there is work … but you need to have connection with the government and we didn't have connection".
The Minister construes the applicant as stating that after he returned to the Army for a short period after recovering from his injury he ultimately decided to leave the army, and gave specific evidence about the difficulties he then faced finding alternative work.
40 Moreover, the Minister contends that the mere fact that logical or rational or reasonable minds might differ in respect of the conclusions to be drawn from evidence is no basis for determination that the conclusion preferred is irrational or unreasonable: Minister for Immigration and Citizenship v SZMDS [2010] HCA 16; (2010) 240 CLR 611 (SZMDS) at [130]-[131] (Crennan and Bell JJ). The Minister argues that it was open to the Authority to disbelieve the applicant and make the finding that he had not deserted the Army and had instead resigned from it, when his claim to have been on leave from the Army when he left Iraq was inconsistent with the information he gave at his arrival interview.
41 I do not accept the Minister's submissions and I consider this ground to be reasonably arguable. The applicant's evidence was as follows:
(a) in his arrival interview in August 2013, when responding to a question as to why he feared harm he stated "because I left Iraq illegally. Because a person in the army cannot leave the country without getting permission from Ministry of Defence." Later in the interview he explained that he had left Iraq by air and did not have any problems at the airport;
(b) in his written statement in June 2017, he further explained he was able to leave Iraq legally because he was still within his period of leave from the Army, and he explained that he did not get approval for discharge from the Army; and
(c) in the visa interview in May 2018 he explained that he told the Army that his son was ill and it was only after the applicant landed in Indonesia, after having been in Malaysia for a few days, that the Army realised he had deserted.
42 It is reasonably arguable that there is no significant inconsistency in the applicant's account in this regard. At all times he claimed that he feared harm because he deserted from the Army and his further statements were not inconsistent with that. It is correct, as the Minister contends, that at question 32 of the arrival interview the applicant said he went back home to Basra and "left the job" and then briefly explained the difficulty he had in obtaining work in Basra. That answer was however immediately followed by question 33: "What do you think will happen to you if you return to your country of nationality (residence)? The applicant responded as follows:
If I were to go back I would be imprisoned. Why? Firstly because I was in the Army. Secondly because I left Iraq illegally. Because a person in the Army cannot leave the country without getting permission from the Ministry of Defence…
43 The Minister also sought to make something out of the fact that the Applicant did not state that he was placed on a "deflection list" in Malaysia until his visa interview, which was another "late raised" claim which justified the Authority's adverse finding at [19]. I do not consider this to be a point of substance. The relevant exchange in the visa interview was as follows:
Department Officer: Okay. So when did your leave run out and you officially become absent without leave?
Applicant: Okay when I left Iraq I told them that my son is ill and I had to take him. I them he's admitted in the hospital. Because if I told them I want to leave they wouldn't let me leave the airport. So when I arrived Indonesia that's when they became aware.
Department Officer: What did they do about it?
Applicant: They recorded me in the deflection list.
It is reasonably arguable that this does not justify a finding that the applicant's account was not to be believed because, understood in the context of the whole interview, the applicant was just answering the question and providing more detail, and not attempting to embellish his story.
44 In my view it is reasonably arguable that:
(a) the Minister's reading of the interview records is not a fair one and that there is no inconsistency of substance in the applicant's account that he deserted from the Army;
(b) there is no basis in the evidence for the positive finding that the applicant in fact resigned from the Army. It is difficult to see how the Authority's finding that the applicant left Iraq legally from an airport is capable of supporting a positive finding that he had resigned from the Army. The mere fact that the applicant had a passport and was able to leave Iraq legally was open to many speculative inferences including, for example, that the Army had not yet notified the airports, that there was some error in the system such that his departure went undetected, or as the applicant claimed, that he was recorded by the Army as being on leave: see Ashby v Slipper [2014] FCAFC 15; (2014) 219 FCR 322 at [70]-[73] (Mansfield, Siopis and Gilmour JJ) and the cases there cited about impermissible speculation where a multiplicity of inferences are open; and
(c) on a fair reading of the Authority's decision, its rejection of the applicant's claim to have deserted the Army and its finding that the applicant instead resigned from the Army is a finding which no rational or logical decision-maker could reach on the same evidence: SZMDS at [130] (Crennan and Bell JJ).
45 The Minister then argues that the Authority's erroneous finding at [19] is not material in the requisite sense. The Minister notes that the Authority said (at [29]):
The applicant claims to fear being harmed because he was an Iraqi soldier. I have accepted the applicant was in the Iraqi army. DFAT states that lower-level officials and office-based public servants face a low risk of violence in Iraq. Further while country information indicated Iraqi security forces were wounded or killed in northern and central Iraq in November 2017, it also indicated none were injured or killed in Basra. There is also no credible information before me to indicate former Iraqi soldiers are targeted. The applicant predominantly worked in an administrative role, was not high ranking, and it has been some six years since he last worked as a soldier and the applicant has not said he would not return to his home area in the south, where his mother and some of his adult siblings continue to reside. His brother who also worked in the army in the past now lives in Germany.
(Emphasis added and citations omitted.)
46 The Minister contends - based on the unchallenged findings of the Authority that the applicant was low ranking; that former Iraqi soldiers are not targeted; and that no Iraqi security officers were injured or killed in Basra in November 2017 - that the finding that the applicant did not desert the Army did not deprive the applicant of the realistic possibility of a successful outcome in his visa application: Hossain v Minister for Immigration and Border Protection [2018] HCA 34; (2018) 264 CLR 123 at [30]-[31] (Kiefel CJ; Gageler and Keane JJ); Minister for Immigration and Border Protection v SZMTA [2019] HCA 3; (2019) 264 CLR 421 at [49] (Bell, Gageler and Keane JJ).
47 In my view it is reasonably arguable that the relevant error is material. The findings at [29] concern the risk to former Iraqi Army soldiers from non-State actors, not the risk of harm the applicant might face at the hands of Iraqi authorities as a deserter. They do not relate to the applicant's claim that he was being targeted by Sunnis from Tikrit because he was a member of the Iraqi Army who was involved in the prison riot in Tikrit which led to many local people being killed and their houses damaged. The applicant's claim that he will face a risk of serious or significant harm as a deserter is an important integer of his claim for protection, and it is reasonably arguable that the Tribunal's failure to give that claim intelligible and rational consideration to the requisite level means he has been deprived of the realistic possibility of a different outcome.