Actuarial report
9 An actuarial report dated April 2015 and updating letters dated 16 April 2015 and 10 June 2015 have been prepared by Finity Consulting Pty Limited (Finity). The opinions and conclusions expressed in the actuarial report and updating letters have been verified by Mr Tim Andrews. Mr Andrews is the author of the report and letters. He is an actuary and employee of Finity. Mr Andrew Huszczo, the Appointed Actuary of the general insurers in the Suncorp Group, has reviewed the actuarial report and updating letters. He has verified each statement of fact therein, as well as the figures in the tables.
10 The actuarial report is based on the audited annual APRA returns as at 30 June 2014 for AAI and MTAI. The financial position in the updating letters is based on each company's unaudited quarterly APRA returns as at 31 December 2014 (for the 16 April 2015 updating letter) and 31 March 2015 (for the 10 June 2015 updating letter).
11 In the actuarial report, Mr Andrews expressed the opinion that the interests of policyholders of both AAI and MTAI will not be adversely affected in a material way by reason of the scheme. He advanced four reasons for that opinion.
12 First, the main interest of policyholders is to have their valid claims paid when due. There is no material adverse change in this aspect for policyholders of either insurer, noting the following matters:
The scheme is intra-group. The ultimate security provided to all policyholders is from Suncorp Group Limited, and this would be unchanged.
Capital levels would be well in excess of the minimum regulatory level for AAI post-scheme. The likelihood of claims not being paid is remote, noting that there is always uncertainty with the outcome of insurance business and ongoing solvency cannot be guaranteed.
The solvency protection is effectively unchanged for AAI policyholders post-scheme, noting that the MTAI business is small relative to AAI's portfolio.
The solvency protection will appear lower post-scheme for MTAI policyholders when measured using a simple multiple of the coverage of APRA's minimum requirements. However, the real protection for MTAI's policyholders will be higher post-scheme because AAI is substantially larger and its insurance business is more diversified than MTAI's present business.
For AAI policyholders, there will be no material change to the risk profile to which they are exposed. While MTAI policyholders will be exposed to a wider range of risks post-scheme, the overall risk will be low, once again because AAI is substantially larger and has a more diversified insurance business than MTAI's present business.
13 Secondly, AAI will assume MTAI's insurance liabilities for current and prior policyholders on the same terms and conditions as currently apply. Effectively, MTAI's current and prior policyholders will be in the same position as before the scheme.
14 Thirdly, there is no impact on the premiums for current MTAI policyholders.
15 Fourthly, MTAI policyholders will have their policies and claims managed by the same team, using the same processes as immediately before the scheme.
16 Mr Andrews noted that, as at 30 June 2014, AAI had net assets of $2.85 billion with a Prescribed Capital Amount (PCA) coverage ratio of 1.96, and that MTAI had net assets of $28.8 million with a PCA coverage ratio of 4.17. He observed:
Both insurers operate at levels of capital in excess of their regulatory PCA. The PCA Coverage represents the ratio of an insurer's APRA Capital Base to its PCA.
• MTA's PCA Multiple is 4.17. The insurer targets a multiple of 2.5.
• AAI's PCA Multiple is 1.96, which compares to its target of 1.45. The lower ratio and target for AAI is to be expected given it is a much larger and more diversified business, which would be expected to lead to lower volatility.
While MTA has a higher PCA Coverage, the capital position of both entities is strong. In each case the current position is in excess of target levels.
17 Based on the financial information as at 30 June 2014, Mr Andrews concluded that, post-scheme, the consolidated PCA coverage for AAI would be 1.97. Mr Andrews said:
The transfer would have no immediate material impact on the solvency protection of AAI policyholders, noting the small size of the MTA portfolio in relation to AAI.
The solvency protection will appear lower post transfer for MTA policyholders when measured using the PCA Coverage. However in our assessment the real protection would be higher post transfer, noting that the insurer will be substantially larger and more diversified.
18 In the updating letter of 16 April 2015, Mr Andrews noted that, based on the financial information available as at 31 December 2014, the PCA coverage for AAI, post-scheme, would be 1.74. He said:
The PCA coverage for the consolidated entity has reduced from 1.97 as at 30 June 2014 to 1.74 as at 31 December 2014. This is predominately due to the following reductions to the capital base:
• $713 million of profits for AAI being distributed as dividends. This is offset by $335 million first half year profits for 2014/15.
• Seasonal impact of premium liabilities which reduces the capital base by around $125 million.
The PCA Coverage as at 31 December 2014 remains in excess of AAI's target level of 1.45.
19 He also said:
Nothing has emerged from the review of the updated data presented in this letter that would cause us to alter our opinion. While the PCA coverage has reduced, it remains at a level well in excess of target and has reduced as a result of dividends, not due to any adverse experience. We continue to be satisfied that the interests of policyholders should not be adversely affected in any material way as a consequence of the transfer.
20 In the updating letter of 10 June 2015, Mr Andrews noted that, based on the financial information available as at 31 March 2015, the PCA coverage for AAI, post-scheme, would be 1.68. He said:
The PCA coverage for the consolidated entity has reduced from 1.97 as at 30 June 2014 and 1.74 as at 31 December 2014, to 1.68 as at 31 March 2015. This is predominantly due to reductions in the capital base due to a declared dividend of $248 million to AAI's parent entity during the 3 months to 31 March 2015. This is in addition to $713 million distributed as dividends in the 6 months to 31 December 2014, bringing total year to date dividends paid to $961 million. This is offset by $367 million year to date profits for 2014/15. The payment of dividends and the reduction in solvency were largely as planned. Notwithstanding this, the PCA Coverage is slightly lower due to the worse than expected natural perils losses, though this is normal for a business such as AAI.
The PCA Coverage as at 31 March 2015 remains in excess of AAI's target level of 1.45.
21 He also said:
Nothing has emerged from the review of the updated data presented in this letter that would cause us to alter our opinion. While the PCA coverage has reduced, it remains at a level well in excess of target and has reduced as a result of dividends, not due to any adverse experience. We continue to be satisfied that the interests of policyholders should not be adversely affected in any material way as a consequence of the transfer.